Firefly Aerospace (FLY) Financials: Revenue & Earnings
$3.31B
Market Cap
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P/E
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Forward P/E
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Score
FLY price $19.77 -0.12 -0.61%
FLY fair value $16.99. Price $19.77. Price is 16% above fair value.
Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.
Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 13.90M. Growth 20.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 8.70% (beta 0.8). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 167.40M. Net debt -484.37M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, kept between 8 and 40. Fewer than five years of history uses the sector's typical P/E. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.
| Date | EPS actual | EPS estimate | Revenue | Revenue estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-10 | — | -0.53 | — | 102.36M |
| 2026-08-11 | -0.42 | -0.51 | 117.68M | 88.20M |
| 2026-05-04 | -0.46 | -0.50 | 80.88M | 77.08M |
| 2026-03-19 | -0.38 | -0.48 | 57.67M | 52.41M |
| 2025-11-12 | -1.50 | -0.41 | 30.78M | 27.71M |
| 2025-09-22 | -5.30 | -0.42 | 15.55M | 16.82M |
| 2025-07-11 | -0.47 | -0.43 | 55.85M | 16.82M |
Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio —. Frequency —.
Safety score 24/100 · At risk. Payout ratio is not reported, so this part stays neutral. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. No dividend history was found. There is no dividend yield.
| Ex-date | Dividend | Record | Payment | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No data yet. | ||||
| Date | Insider | Action | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | Ambrose Richard F | Buy | 6.72K | — | — |
| 2026-10-05 | Ambrose Richard F | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-09-30 | AEROEQUITY GP, LLC | Sell | 42.22K | — | — |
| 2026-09-22 | Kim Jesung | Buy | 43.28K | $2.31 | 100.00K |
| 2026-09-22 | Kim Jesung | Sell | 43.28K | $2.31 | 100.00K |
| 2026-09-17 | Ma Darren | Buy | 33.23K | $0.49 | 16.22K |
| 2026-09-17 | Ma Darren | Buy | 54.29K | $0.42 | 22.97K |
| 2026-09-17 | Ma Darren | Sell | 54.29K | $0.42 | 22.97K |
| 2026-09-17 | Ma Darren | Sell | 33.23K | $0.45 | 14.90K |
| 2026-09-16 | Ferring Russell Shea | Sell | 16.70K | $20.28 | 338.68K |
| 2026-09-16 | Wu Remington | Sell | 1.83K | $20.28 | 37.05K |
| 2026-09-16 | Ma Darren | Sell | 18.31K | $20.28 | 371.31K |
| 2026-09-16 | Kim Jesung | Sell | 86.27K | $20.28 | 1.75M |
| 2026-08-24 | Ma Darren | Sell | 256 | $23.10 | 5.91K |
| 2026-08-14 | Boland Ryan Michael | Buy | 3.19K | — | — |
| 2026-08-14 | Boland Ryan Michael | Sell | 40.82K | — | — |
| 2026-08-04 | O'Konek Nathan | Buy | 103.15K | — | — |
| 2026-06-15 | O'Konek Nathan | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-04 | McAllister Kevin G | Buy | 3.63K | — | — |
| 2026-06-04 | Zurbuchen Thomas Hansueli | Buy | 3.63K | — | — |
| 2026-06-04 | Emerson Christopher Plummer IV | Buy | 3.63K | — | — |
| 2026-06-04 | Boland Ryan Michael | Buy | 3.63K | — | — |
| 2026-06-04 | Braden Pamela Joyce | Buy | 3.63K | — | — |
| 2026-06-04 | Lusczakoski Jonathan Donald | Buy | 3.63K | — | — |
| 2026-06-04 | Konert Kirk Michael | Buy | 3.63K | — | — |
| 2026-05-18 | Wheeler David Leigh | Sell | 3.77K | $2.31 | 8.70K |
| 2026-05-18 | Wheeler David Leigh | Buy | 3.77K | $2.31 | 8.70K |
| 2026-05-18 | Wheeler David Leigh | Sell | 3.77K | $45.12 | 169.88K |
| 2026-04-17 | Wheeler David Leigh | Sell | 3.77K | $2.31 | 8.70K |
| 2026-04-17 | Wheeler David Leigh | Buy | 3.77K | $2.31 | 8.70K |
| 2026-04-17 | Wheeler David Leigh | Sell | 3.77K | $45.04 | 169.61K |
| 2026-04-13 | Zurbuchen Thomas Hansueli | Other | 6.15K | $2.31 | 14.20K |
| 2026-04-08 | Wu Remington | Buy | 10.42K | — | — |
| 2026-03-23 | Boland Ryan Michael | Buy | 122.86K | — | — |
| 2026-03-23 | Boland Ryan Michael | Sell | 688.75K | — | — |
| 2026-03-23 | Boland Ryan Michael | Sell | 1.60M | — | — |
| 2026-03-19 | Kim Jesung | Buy | 52.84K | — | — |
| 2026-03-10 | Wheeler David Leigh | Buy | 25.04K | — | — |
| 2026-03-10 | Ma Darren | Buy | 26.63K | — | — |
| 2026-03-10 | Ferring Russell Shea | Buy | 15.76K | — | — |
| 2026-03-10 | Sanchez Ramon Gilbert | Buy | 18.49K | — | — |
| 2026-02-25 | Emerson Christopher Plummer IV | Buy | 3.33K | — | — |
| 2026-02-25 | Konert Kirk Michael | Buy | 3.33K | — | — |
| 2026-02-25 | Lusczakoski Jonathan Donald | Buy | 3.33K | — | — |
| 2026-02-25 | McAllister Kevin G | Buy | 3.33K | — | — |
| 2026-02-25 | Zurbuchen Thomas Hansueli | Buy | 3.33K | — | — |
| 2026-02-25 | Weiser Marc Allen | Buy | 3.33K | — | — |
| 2026-02-25 | Braden Pamela Joyce | Buy | 3.33K | — | — |
| 2026-02-25 | Boland Ryan Michael | Buy | 3.33K | — | — |
| 2025-12-22 | Sanchez Ramon Gilbert | Buy | 100.00K | — | — |
| 2025-12-22 | Sanchez Ramon Gilbert | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | Ferring Russell Shea | Buy | 216.67K | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | Wu Remington | Buy | 30.00K | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | Ma Darren | Buy | 222.22K | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | Wheeler David Leigh | Buy | 55.56K | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | Kim Jesung | Buy | 888.89K | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | Fermon Daniel Frank | Buy | 88.89K | — | — |
| 2025-08-24 | Ma Darren | Buy | 768 | — | — |
| 2025-08-06 | Lusczakoski Jonathan Donald | Buy | 2.22K | $45.00 | 99.99K |
| 2025-08-06 | Astera Institute | Other | 2.86M | — | — |
| 2025-08-06 | Astera Institute | Other | 10.00M | — | — |
| 2025-08-06 | Konert Kirk Michael | Buy | 3.33K | $45.00 | 149.99K |
| 2025-08-06 | Lusczakoski Jonathan Donald | Buy | 266 | $45.00 | 11.97K |
| 2025-08-06 | Braden Pamela Joyce | Buy | 8.89K | $45.00 | 399.96K |
| 2025-08-06 | Zurbuchen Thomas Hansueli | Buy | 800 | $45.00 | 36.00K |
| 2025-08-06 | AEROEQUITY GP, LLC | Buy | 11.11K | $45.00 | 500.00K |
| 2025-08-06 | MITSUI & CO LTD | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-08-06 | AEROEQUITY GP, LLC | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-08-06 | AEROEQUITY GP, LLC | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-08-06 | AEROEQUITY GP, LLC | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-08-06 | AEROEQUITY GP, LLC | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-08-06 | AEROEQUITY GP, LLC | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-08-06 | AEROEQUITY GP, LLC | Other | 100.32K | $21.17 | 2.12M |
| 2025-08-06 | Markusic Thomas E | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-08-06 | Markusic Thomas E | Other | 4.52M | $1.01 | 4.56M |
| 2025-08-06 | Markusic Thomas E | Other | 491.64K | $1.11 | 545.63K |
| 2025-08-06 | Braden Pamela Joyce | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-08-06 | Lusczakoski Jonathan Donald | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-08-06 | Boland Ryan Michael | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-08-06 | Boland Ryan Michael | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-08-06 | Boland Ryan Michael | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-08-06 | Emerson Christopher Plummer IV | Other | 15.36K | $0.88 | 13.50K |
| 2025-08-06 | McAllister Kevin G | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-08-06 | Konert Kirk Michael | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-08-06 | Weiser Marc Allen | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-08-06 | Weiser Marc Allen | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-08-06 | Ferring Russell Shea | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-08-06 | Ferring Russell Shea | Other | 246.56K | $2.31 | 569.69K |
| 2025-08-06 | Ferring Russell Shea | Other | 16.11K | $0.81 | 13.11K |
| 2025-08-06 | Ferring Russell Shea | Other | 17.82K | $0.88 | 15.66K |
| 2025-08-06 | Ferring Russell Shea | Other | 85.53K | $1.01 | 86.30K |
| 2025-08-06 | Ferring Russell Shea | Other | 31.27K | $0.49 | 15.26K |
| 2025-08-06 | Wheeler David Leigh | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-08-06 | Wheeler David Leigh | Other | 303.52K | $2.31 | 701.32K |
| 2025-08-06 | Wheeler David Leigh | Other | 13.70K | $0.81 | 11.14K |
| 2025-08-06 | Wheeler David Leigh | Other | 36.87K | $0.88 | 32.40K |
| 2025-08-06 | Wu Remington | Other | 30.73K | $2.31 | 71.00K |
| 2025-08-06 | Fermon Daniel Frank | Other | 161.32K | $2.31 | 372.75K |
| 2025-08-06 | Fermon Daniel Frank | Other | 23.05K | $0.81 | 18.75K |
| 2025-08-06 | Fermon Daniel Frank | Other | 153.64K | $0.88 | 135.00K |
Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.
Institutions holding: 294, holders +57 vs prior quarter. Ownership 58.85%.
| Holder | Shares | Change | Change % | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AE INDUSTRIAL PARTNERS, LP | 34.53M | -697.17K | -1.98% | 1.02B |
| BLACKROCK, INC. | 5.90M | 3.87M | +189.70% | 173.57M |
| STATE STREET CORP | 4.18M | 3.69M | +751.37% | 122.87M |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | 3.59M | 1.16M | +47.96% | 105.58M |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 3.07M | 737.27K | +31.59% | 90.29M |
| VAN ECK ASSOCIATES CORP | 3.05M | 927.80K | +43.75% | 89.62M |
| JPMORGAN CHASE & CO | 2.79M | 2.16M | +341.24% | 81.22M |
| TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP | 2.71M | 2.71M | New | 79.80M |
| TEMA ETFS LLC | 2.28M | 2.28M | New | 67.06M |
| TIDAL INVESTMENTS LLC | 2.17M | 2.17M | New | 63.71M |
| SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP | 1.99M | 1.84M | +1190.47% | 58.60M |
| PHOENIX FINANCIAL LTD. | 1.81M | 1.15M | +174.65% | 53.30M |
| CITADEL ADVISORS LLC | 1.71M | 1.62M | +1903.40% | 50.23M |
| PRICE T ROWE ASSOCIATES INC /MD/ | 1.65M | 764.53K | +86.15% | 48.57M |
| UBS GROUP AG | 1.63M | 557.05K | +52.12% | 47.80M |
| JANE STREET GROUP, LLC | 1.60M | 800.30K | +100.44% | 46.95M |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 1.55M | 898.08K | +137.76% | 45.57M |
| JANE STREET GROUP, LLC | 1.51M | 717.00K | +89.98% | 44.51M |
| CAPITAL WORLD INVESTORS | 1.24M | 33.80K | +2.80% | 36.43M |
| SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP | 1.20M | 1.04M | +674.81% | 35.19M |
| MORGAN STANLEY | 1.15M | 724.14K | +168.39% | 33.93M |
| CITADEL ADVISORS LLC | 1.14M | 1.05M | +1236.69% | 33.52M |
| MIRAE ASSET GLOBAL INVESTMENTS CO., LTD. | 1.05M | 1.05M | New | 30.98M |
| MAREX GROUP LTD | 964.35K | 502.14K | +108.64% | 28.35M |
| PENSERRA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 925.29K | 158.64K | +20.69% | 27.20M |
Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY) trades at $19.77, with a market cap of $3.31B and a trailing P/E of n/a. Revenue below is the annual history on file. It describes what the business has already reported. It is not a forecast and it is not a recommendation.
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$3.31B
Market Cap
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P/E
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Forward P/E
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Score