GATX Stock Forecast & Price Target

GATX price $180.85 +11.98 +7.09%

Ticker
GATX
Price
$180.85
Change
+11.98 +7.09%
Market cap ?
$6.38B
P/E ?
16.60
Forward P/E ?
17.68
Dividend yield ?
1.53%
Beta ?
1.20
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Rental & Leasing Services
Stocklytics score
48
Value
34
Quality
42
Growth
68

Stocklytics score rationale: value 34, quality 42, growth 68.

Financials

2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
1418300000137690000013609000001202100000120920000012574000001273000000141090000015855000001740400000

GATX Corporation, established in Chicago, Illinois in 1898, is a prominent global equipment lessor. The company primarily provides railcar and locomotive leasing services across North America and internationally, catering to vital industries such as petroleum, chemicals, food/agriculture, and transportation. Its operational framework is divided into three key segments: Rail North America, Rail International, and…

Fair value

GATX fair value $157.84. Price $180.85. Price is 15% above fair value.

Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.

Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 300.11M. Growth 20.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 10.88% (beta 1.2). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 35.31M. Net debt 7.82B. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.

Compare GATX

Earnings

DateEPS actualEPS estimateRevenueRevenue estimate
2026-10-29—2.46—592.66M
2026-07-302.842.46580.10M598.77M
2026-05-072.352.28583.70M599.76M
2026-02-192.442.42449.00M445.17M
2025-10-212.102.32439.30M435.78M
2025-07-292.062.31430.50M430.20M
2025-04-232.152.09421.60M423.08M
2025-01-231.931.68413.50M416.66M
2024-10-222.501.85405.40M391.65M
2024-07-231.431.78386.70M385.45M
2024-04-232.011.76379.90M375.80M
2024-01-231.741.58368.70M365.40M
2023-10-241.441.47360.10M343.48M
2023-07-251.731.66343.20M338.02M
2023-04-252.201.44338.90M328.65M
2023-01-241.541.38322.70M327.63M
2022-10-251.121.15321.00M324.30M
2022-07-211.071.24312.70M321.45M
2022-04-202.101.39316.60M322.75M
2022-01-251.691.02321.00M272.61M
2021-10-211.111.07313.50M315.42M
2021-07-201.351.01317.10M315.42M
2021-04-201.020.85305.80M303.17M
2021-01-280.500.89304.90M394.66M
2020-10-201.030.86304.40M262.05M
2020-07-211.050.94300.50M269.02M
2020-05-041.311.22308.90M278.83M
2020-01-231.361.05356.70M275.39M
2019-10-221.251.17360.70M337.62M
2019-07-181.781.33359.40M222.29M
2019-04-241.121.18317.00M333.98M
2019-01-220.840.73356.40M313.97M
2018-10-231.221.07349.70M306.70M
2018-07-191.160.92349.50M277.19M
2018-04-191.981.15305.30M210.26M
2018-01-180.680.72352.80M378.74M
2017-10-191.250.97359.60M279.05M
2017-07-201.321.11348.40M292.97M
2017-04-201.441.11316.10M243.66M
2017-01-191.141.05362.10M327.16M

Dividends

Yield 1.43%. Payout ratio 25.29%. Frequency Quarterly.

Safety score 91/100 · Safe. Payout ratio is 25% of earnings. Dividends use less than 40% of free cash flow. Dividends were paid in 46 separate years. Yield is 1.4%, which is modest.

Ex-dateDividendRecordPaymentFrequency
2026-09-15$0.662026-09-152026-09-30Quarterly
2026-06-15$0.662026-06-152026-06-30Quarterly
2026-03-02$0.662026-03-022026-03-31Quarterly
2025-12-15$0.612025-12-152025-12-31Quarterly
2025-09-15$0.612025-09-152025-09-30Quarterly
2025-06-13$0.612025-06-132025-06-30Quarterly
2025-02-28$0.612025-02-282025-03-31Quarterly
2024-12-13$0.582024-12-132024-12-31Quarterly
2024-09-13$0.582024-09-132024-09-30Quarterly
2024-06-14$0.582024-06-142024-06-30Quarterly
2024-02-29$0.582024-03-012024-03-31Quarterly
2023-12-14$0.552023-12-152023-12-31Quarterly
2023-09-14$0.552023-09-152023-09-30Quarterly
2023-06-14$0.552023-06-152023-06-30Quarterly
2023-03-02$0.552023-03-032023-03-31Quarterly
2022-12-14$0.522022-12-152022-12-31Quarterly
2022-09-14$0.522022-09-152022-09-30Quarterly
2022-06-14$0.522022-06-152022-06-30Quarterly
2022-02-24$0.522022-02-252022-03-31Quarterly
2021-12-14$0.502021-12-152021-12-31Quarterly
2021-09-14$0.502021-09-152021-09-30Quarterly
2021-06-14$0.502021-06-152021-06-30Quarterly
2021-02-25$0.502021-02-262021-03-31Quarterly
2020-12-14$0.482020-12-152020-12-31Quarterly
2020-09-14$0.482020-09-152020-09-30Quarterly
2020-06-12$0.482020-06-152020-06-30Quarterly
2020-02-27$0.482020-02-282020-03-31Quarterly
2019-12-12$0.462019-12-132019-12-31Quarterly
2019-09-12$0.462019-09-132019-09-30Quarterly
2019-06-13$0.462019-06-142019-06-30Quarterly
2019-03-01$0.462019-03-042019-03-31Quarterly
2018-12-13$0.442018-12-142018-12-31Quarterly
2018-09-13$0.442018-09-142018-09-30Quarterly
2018-06-14$0.442018-06-152018-06-30Quarterly
2018-03-02$0.442018-03-052018-03-31Quarterly
2017-12-14$0.422017-12-152017-12-31Quarterly
2017-09-14$0.422017-09-152017-09-30Quarterly
2017-06-13$0.422017-06-152017-06-30Quarterly
2017-03-08$0.422017-03-102017-03-31Quarterly
2016-12-13$0.402016-12-152016-12-31Quarterly
2016-09-13$0.402016-09-152016-09-30Quarterly
2016-06-13$0.402016-06-152016-06-30Quarterly
2016-02-24$0.402016-02-262016-03-31Quarterly
2015-12-11$0.382015-12-152015-12-31Quarterly
2015-09-11$0.382015-09-152015-09-30Quarterly
2015-06-11$0.382015-06-152015-06-30Quarterly
2015-02-25$0.382015-02-272015-03-31Quarterly
2014-12-11$0.332014-12-152014-12-31Quarterly
2014-09-11$0.332014-09-152014-09-30Quarterly
2014-06-11$0.332014-06-132014-06-30Quarterly
2014-02-26$0.332014-02-282014-03-31Quarterly
2013-12-11$0.312013-12-132013-12-31Quarterly
2013-09-11$0.312013-09-132013-09-30Quarterly
2013-06-12$0.312013-06-142013-06-30Quarterly
2013-02-27$0.312013-03-012013-03-31Quarterly
2012-12-12$0.302012-12-142012-12-31Quarterly
2012-09-12$0.302012-09-142012-09-30Quarterly
2012-06-13$0.302012-06-152012-06-30Quarterly
2012-02-29$0.302012-03-022012-03-31Quarterly
2011-12-13$0.292011-12-152011-12-31Quarterly
2011-09-13$0.292011-09-152011-09-30Quarterly
2011-06-13$0.292011-06-152011-06-30Quarterly
2011-02-23$0.292011-02-252011-03-31Quarterly
2010-12-13$0.282010-12-152010-12-31Quarterly
2010-09-13$0.282010-09-152010-09-30Quarterly
2010-06-11$0.282010-06-152010-06-30Quarterly
2010-02-24$0.282010-02-262010-03-31Quarterly
2009-12-11$0.282009-12-152009-12-31Quarterly
2009-09-11$0.282009-09-152009-09-30Quarterly
2009-06-11$0.282009-06-152009-06-30Quarterly
2009-02-25$0.282009-02-272009-03-31Quarterly
2008-12-11$0.272008-12-152008-12-31Quarterly
2008-09-11$0.272008-09-152008-09-30Quarterly
2008-06-11$0.272008-06-132008-06-30Quarterly
2008-02-27$0.272008-02-292008-03-31Quarterly
2007-12-12$0.242007-12-142007-12-31Quarterly
2007-09-12$0.242007-09-142007-09-30Quarterly
2007-06-13$0.242007-06-152007-06-30Quarterly
2007-02-28$0.242007-03-022007-03-31Quarterly
2006-12-13$0.212006-12-152006-12-31Quarterly

Insider trades

DateInsiderActionSharesPriceValue
2027-02-23Doygun ErenOther2.40K$196.40471.36K
2026-09-11Phillips GeoffreyBuy2.50K$77.07192.67K
2026-09-11Phillips GeoffreySell1.70K$177.12301.11K
2026-09-11Phillips GeoffreySell500$178.0689.03K
2026-09-11Phillips GeoffreySell300$179.5153.85K
2026-09-11Phillips GeoffreySell2.50K$77.07192.67K
2026-09-03Phillips GeoffreySell6.47K——
2026-08-26Doygun ErenBuy1.00K$77.0777.07K
2026-08-26Doygun ErenSell1.00K$179.52179.52K
2026-08-26Doygun ErenSell1.00K$77.0777.07K
2026-08-15Sbragia JohnSell47$179.638.44K
2026-08-15Hillesland KevinSell70$179.6312.57K
2026-08-15Phillips GeoffreySell70$179.6312.57K
2026-08-14Sbragia JohnBuy1.90K$77.07146.43K
2026-08-14Sbragia JohnSell1.90K$180.40342.76K
2026-08-14Sbragia JohnSell1.90K$77.07146.43K
2026-08-05Doygun ErenOther0——
2026-08-05Doygun ErenOther0——
2026-08-05Ellman Thomas A.Buy18.20K$77.071.40M
2026-08-05Ellman Thomas A.Sell9.45K$179.621.70M
2026-08-05Ellman Thomas A.Sell8.64K$180.561.56M
2026-08-05Ellman Thomas A.Sell107$181.2019.39K
2026-08-05Ellman Thomas A.Sell18.20K$77.071.40M
2026-08-03WETHERBEE ROBERT SBuy130$177.9123.13K
2026-08-03Holmes John McClain IIIBuy142$177.9125.26K
2026-08-03Bausch Shelley JBuy142$177.9125.26K
2026-08-03YOVOVICH PAUL GBuy130$177.9123.13K
2026-08-03REAM JAMES BBuy164$177.9129.18K
2026-08-03Aigotti DianeBuy70$177.9112.45K
2026-08-03Stanley Adam L.Buy28$177.914.98K
2026-08-03Arvia Anne LBuy118$177.9120.99K
2026-08-03Van Aken JenniferBuy1.70K$77.07131.02K
2026-08-03Van Aken JenniferSell1.37K$180.58247.76K
2026-08-03Van Aken JenniferSell328$181.2359.44K
2026-08-03Van Aken JenniferSell1.70K$77.07131.02K
2026-05-01Holmes John McClain IIIBuy129$194.9225.14K
2026-05-01Bausch Shelley JBuy128$194.9224.95K
2026-05-01WETHERBEE ROBERT SBuy115$194.9222.42K
2026-05-01YOVOVICH PAUL GBuy136$194.9226.51K
2026-05-01REAM JAMES BBuy169$194.9232.94K
2026-05-01Aigotti DianeBuy71$194.9213.84K
2026-05-01Stanley Adam L.Buy30$194.925.85K
2026-05-01Arvia Anne LBuy124$194.9224.17K
2026-04-24Aigotti DianeBuy731——
2026-04-24Stanley Adam L.Buy731——
2026-04-24REAM JAMES BBuy731——
2026-04-24YOVOVICH PAUL GBuy731——
2026-04-24Arvia Anne LBuy731——
2026-04-24WETHERBEE ROBERT SBuy731——
2026-04-24Holmes John McClain IIIBuy731——
2026-04-24Bausch Shelley JBuy731——
2026-02-23LYONS ROBERT CBuy47.90K$196.409.41M
2026-02-23Ellman Thomas A.Buy14.30K$196.402.81M
2026-02-23Glassberg Brian LBuy7.10K$196.401.39M
2026-02-23Nero KimberleyBuy5.10K$196.401.00M
2026-02-23Titterton Paul FBuy12.80K$196.402.51M
2026-02-23Zmudka RobertBuy4.80K$196.40942.72K
2026-02-23Young Jeffery R.Buy2.40K$196.40471.36K
2026-02-23Adedoyin NiyiBuy3.30K$196.40648.12K
2026-02-23Van Aken JenniferBuy2.20K$196.40432.08K
2026-02-23McManus JenniferBuy2.60K$196.40510.64K
2026-02-23Hillesland KevinBuy2.30K$196.40451.72K
2026-02-23Phillips GeoffreyBuy2.40K$196.40471.36K
2026-02-23Sbragia JohnBuy1.90K$196.40373.16K
2026-02-23LaHurd ChristopherBuy2.10K$196.40412.44K
2026-02-20Glassberg Brian LBuy2.00K$77.07154.14K
2026-02-20Glassberg Brian LSell1.13K$198.04223.00K
2026-02-20Glassberg Brian LSell874$198.61173.59K
2026-02-20Glassberg Brian LSell2.00K$77.07154.14K
2026-02-20Young Jeffery R.Buy1.20K$113.28135.94K
2026-02-20Young Jeffery R.Buy833$166.19138.44K
2026-02-20Young Jeffery R.Buy900$126.47113.82K
2026-02-20Young Jeffery R.Sell2.60K$196.29509.37K
2026-02-20Young Jeffery R.Sell833$166.19138.44K
2026-02-20Young Jeffery R.Sell900$126.47113.82K
2026-02-20Young Jeffery R.Sell1.20K$113.28135.94K
2026-02-20Zmudka RobertBuy5.20K$103.15536.38K
2026-02-20Zmudka RobertSell5.20K$192.611.00M
2026-02-20Zmudka RobertSell5.20K$103.15536.38K
2026-02-18Glassberg Brian LBuy2.79K——
2026-02-18Glassberg Brian LSell1.24K$192.82238.33K
2026-02-18Nero KimberleyBuy2.91K——
2026-02-18Nero KimberleySell1.29K$192.82248.94K
2026-02-02Stanley Adam L.Buy27$180.664.88K
2026-02-02Arvia Anne LBuy114$180.6620.60K
2026-02-02Aigotti DianeBuy68$180.6612.29K
2026-02-02REAM JAMES BBuy155$180.6628.00K
2026-02-02YOVOVICH PAUL GBuy125$180.6622.58K
2026-02-02Holmes John McClain IIIBuy136$180.6624.57K
2026-02-02Bausch Shelley JBuy136$180.6624.57K
2026-01-30Doygun ErenOther1.30K$166.19216.05K
2026-01-26Hillesland KevinSell414$184.6676.45K
2026-01-26Phillips GeoffreySell287$184.6653.00K
2026-01-26LaHurd ChristopherSell142$184.6626.22K
2026-01-26Sbragia JohnSell186$184.6634.35K
2025-12-31Nero KimberleyOther0——
2025-12-31Young Jeffery R.Other0——
2025-12-31Young Jeffery R.Other0——
2025-12-31Glassberg Brian LOther0——
2025-12-31LYONS ROBERT COther0——

Institutional holders

Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.

Institutions holding: 417, holders +16 vs prior quarter. Ownership 102.81%.

HolderSharesChangeChange %Value
STATE FARM MUTUAL AUTOMOBILE INSURANCE CO5.43M00.00%961.67M
BLACKROCK, INC.4.65M151.56K+3.37%823.06M
EARNEST PARTNERS LLC2.56M-58.53K-2.24%453.02M
VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC2.05M34.57K+1.72%363.24M
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC1.60M19.16K+1.21%283.26M
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP1.53M55.02K+3.74%270.31M
AMERICAN CENTURY COMPANIES INC1.40M134.09K+10.63%247.26M
STATE STREET CORP1.39M66.45K+5.03%245.67M
GAMCO INVESTORS, INC. ET AL1.05M-46.01K-4.18%186.93M
BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/1.00M-612-0.06%178.04M
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC963.42K48.04K+5.25%170.74M
GABELLI FUNDS LLC811.15K-34.30K-4.06%143.73M
SEI INVESTMENTS CO761.46K-2.58K-0.34%134.92M
WELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP679.72K-163.22K-19.36%120.44M
VAUGHAN NELSON INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, L.P.642.90K45.35K+7.59%113.92M
NORTHERN TRUST CORP624.62K15.70K+2.58%110.68M
ALLIANCEBERNSTEIN L.P.581.47K1.28K+0.22%99.28M
SIXTH STREET PARTNERS MANAGEMENT COMPANY, L.P.416.27K416.27KNew73.76M
CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC416.27K-8.47K-2.00%73.76M
FMR LLC397.77K-149.91K-27.37%70.48M
NORGES BANK372.47K372.47KNew66.00M
MORGAN STANLEY339.31K23.49K+7.44%60.12M
ENSIGN PEAK ADVISORS, INC308.75K-3.21K-1.03%54.71M
NATIXIS ADVISORS, LLC298.97K16.42K+5.81%52.97M
BANK OF NEW YORK MELLON CORP288.83K-9.37K-3.14%51.18M

Forecast

Consensus Buy from 4 analysts. Average price target $220.00, +21.6% versus the current price. Low $218.00. High $222.00.

Insights · Dividends · Forecast · Financials · Learn

Stocklytics home · Screener

Analysts have an average 12-month price target of $220.00 for GATX (GATX), 21.6% above the current price of $180.85. Of 4 analysts covering the stock, 4 rate it Buy or Strong Buy, 0 Hold, and 0 Sell or Strong Sell, giving a consensus of Buy.

Forecasts are third-party estimates and often wrong. They are not investment advice.

GATX price target

12-month price target
Low$218.00
Average$220.00
High$222.00

The average is 21.6% above the current price of $180.85.

Is GATX a buy or sell?

Of 4 analysts, 4 rate GATX Buy or Strong Buy, 0 Hold, and 0 Sell or Strong Sell. The consensus label is Buy. That split is not a recommendation.

GATX earnings and revenue forecast

Analyst averages on file: 2026, EPS $10.23, revenue $2.35 billion. 2027, EPS $11.26, revenue $2.43 billion.

GATX score and fair value

The Stocklytics Score for GATX is 48 out of 100. It averages value, quality, and growth against a large-cap US universe. It is not a price target and not a buy or sell rating. Fair value is a separate estimate on the fair value tab.

GATX forecast FAQs

What is the GATX price target?

$220.00 average, with a published range of $218.00 to $222.00.

Is GATX a buy or sell?

The consensus is Buy from 4 analysts. This is not a recommendation.

What is the GATX stock forecast for 2026?

Analysts' average EPS estimate for 2026 on file is $10.23. The average revenue estimate is $2.35 billion.

What will GATX be worth in 2030?

No reliable forecast exists that far out.

When is GATX's next earnings report?

The next earnings date is shown on the stock page when a future report is on the calendar. This forecast does not invent a date.

Capital is at risk. Stocklytics is operated by Stocklytics Inc., a Marshall Islands company. It is not regulated by the FCA and does not give investment advice.

GATX Stock Forecast & Price Target

GATX$180.85+11.98 +7.09%

$6.38B

Market Cap

16.60

P/E

17.68

Forward P/E

48

Score

Price History