Great Elm Group (GEG) Stock Insights
$66.85M
Market Cap
-1.86
P/E
—
Forward P/E
—
Score
GEG price $2.15 -0.01 -0.46%
| 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4927000 | 5935000 | 51180000 | 58994000 | 60853000 | 4516000 | 8663000 | 17834000 | 16316000 | 27776000 |
Great Elm Group, Inc., an asset management company, focuses on the credit, real estate, specialty finance, and other alternative strategies businesses. It also engages in business development and investment management activities. The company was formerly known as Great Elm Capital Group, Inc. and changed its name to Great Elm Group, Inc. in December 2020. Great Elm Group, Inc. was incorporated in 1994 and is…
GEG fair value $5.02. Price $2.15. Price is 57% below fair value.
Below fair value, around its usual discount.
Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.
Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 11.88M. Growth 0.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 8.70% (beta 0.8). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 31.09M. Net debt 10.92M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.
| Date | EPS actual | EPS estimate | Revenue | Revenue estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-11 | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-26 | 0.04 | 0.32 | 10.56M | — |
| 2026-05-06 | -0.45 | — | 3.42M | — |
| 2026-02-04 | -0.50 | — | 3.01M | — |
| 2025-11-12 | -0.24 | — | 10.79M | — |
| 2025-09-02 | 0.02 | — | 5.61M | — |
| 2025-05-07 | -0.17 | 0.33 | 3.21M | — |
| 2025-02-05 | 0.04 | 0.34 | 3.51M | — |
| 2024-11-11 | 0.08 | 0.34 | 3.99M | — |
| 2024-08-29 | -0.02 | 0.40 | 8.92M | — |
| 2024-05-08 | -0.10 | 0.40 | 2.79M | — |
| 2024-02-13 | -0.01 | 0.43 | 2.82M | — |
| 2023-11-08 | 0.08 | 0.43 | 3.31M | — |
| 2023-09-20 | -0.12 | 0.43 | 3.03M | — |
| 2023-05-05 | -0.02 | 0.38 | 1.90M | — |
| 2023-02-13 | -0.74 | 0.30 | 1.88M | — |
| 2022-11-14 | -0.29 | — | 18.58M | 18.58M |
| 2022-09-12 | -0.18 | 0.36 | 18.07M | — |
| 2022-05-05 | -0.22 | 0.10 | 16.62M | 62.83M |
| 2022-02-10 | -0.16 | 0.43 | 16.75M | — |
| 2021-11-12 | -0.01 | 0.10 | 16.54M | — |
| 2021-09-21 | -0.06 | 0.09 | 12.50M | — |
| 2021-05-14 | -0.11 | 0.08 | 15.12M | 45.93M |
| 2021-02-16 | 0.05 | — | 16.58M | — |
| 2020-11-16 | -0.15 | — | 16.66M | — |
| 2020-09-18 | 0.14 | — | 15.94M | — |
| 2020-05-11 | -0.46 | — | 16.24M | — |
| 2020-02-10 | -0.07 | — | 16.55M | — |
| 2019-11-12 | -0.12 | — | 15.37M | — |
| 2019-09-13 | -0.03 | — | 15.08M | — |
| 2019-05-10 | 0.02 | 0.28 | 14.08M | — |
| 2019-02-11 | -0.17 | 0.28 | 15.54M | — |
| 2018-11-09 | -0.08 | — | 6.47M | — |
| 2018-09-13 | -0.10 | 0.31 | 2.09M | — |
| 2018-05-16 | -0.17 | 0.28 | -448.00K | — |
| 2018-02-09 | -0.05 | 0.29 | 2.52M | — |
| 2017-11-08 | -0.13 | — | 1.77M | — |
| 2017-09-20 | -0.06 | — | 1.25M | — |
| 2017-05-10 | -0.11 | — | 2.07M | — |
| 2017-02-14 | -0.79 | — | 1.61M | — |
Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency Irregular.
Safety score 43/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. Dividend history is short. There is no dividend yield.
| Ex-date | Dividend | Record | Payment | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007-06-13 | $14.40 | 2007-06-15 | 2007-07-02 | Irregular |
| Date | Insider | Action | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Milz Nichole | Buy | 48.70K | — | — |
| 2026-09-21 | Milz Nichole | Sell | 23.70K | $2.15 | 50.96K |
| 2026-09-21 | Milz Nichole | Buy | 50.00K | $3.00 | 150.00K |
| 2026-09-21 | Davis Keri | Buy | 20.05K | — | — |
| 2026-09-21 | Davis Keri | Sell | 7.64K | $2.15 | 16.43K |
| 2026-09-21 | Davis Keri | Buy | 20.00K | $3.00 | 60.00K |
| 2026-09-21 | Kleinman Adam M | Buy | 40.10K | — | — |
| 2026-09-21 | Kleinman Adam M | Sell | 17.37K | $2.15 | 37.34K |
| 2026-09-21 | Kleinman Adam M | Buy | 40.00K | $3.00 | 120.00K |
| 2026-09-21 | Reese Jason W. | Buy | 137.50K | — | — |
| 2026-07-10 | Northern Right Capital Management, L.P. | Sell | 7.89K | $2.18 | 17.19K |
| 2026-07-10 | Northern Right Capital Management, L.P. | Buy | 7.89K | $2.18 | 17.19K |
| 2026-07-10 | Northern Right Capital Management, L.P. | Sell | 0 | $3.47 | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Northern Right Capital Management, L.P. | Buy | 0 | $3.47 | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Reese Jason W. | Sell | 99.64K | — | — |
| 2026-03-03 | Reese Jason W. | Buy | 27.02K | — | — |
| 2026-01-13 | Northern Right Long Only Master Fund LP | Other | 176.38K | $3.47 | 612.41K |
| 2026-01-08 | Nathan Lloyd | Buy | 26.53K | — | — |
| 2026-01-08 | Matter David | Buy | 30.61K | — | — |
| 2026-01-08 | Matter David | Buy | 26.53K | — | — |
| 2026-01-08 | Drapkin Matthew A | Buy | 26.53K | — | — |
| 2026-01-08 | Drapkin Matthew A | Buy | 61.22K | — | — |
| 2026-01-08 | Drapkin Matthew A | Buy | 26.53K | — | — |
| 2026-01-08 | Schwartz David W. | Buy | 32.88K | — | — |
| 2026-01-08 | Schwartz David W. | Buy | 26.53K | — | — |
| 2026-01-08 | Smith Booker | Buy | 30.61K | — | — |
| 2026-01-08 | Smith Booker | Buy | 26.53K | — | — |
| 2026-01-08 | Parmelee James P | Buy | 48.98K | — | — |
| 2026-01-08 | Parmelee James P | Buy | 26.53K | — | — |
| 2026-01-08 | Scheyer Eric J | Buy | 30.61K | — | — |
| 2026-01-08 | Scheyer Eric J | Buy | 26.53K | — | — |
| 2025-12-05 | Schwartz David W. | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-11-11 | Reese Jason W. | Sell | 100.00K | — | — |
| 2025-09-23 | Davis Keri | Sell | 5.42K | $2.80 | 15.17K |
| 2025-09-23 | Kleinman Adam M | Sell | 18.31K | $2.80 | 51.28K |
| 2025-09-23 | Milz Nichole | Sell | 18.23K | $2.80 | 51.04K |
| 2025-09-20 | Reese Jason W. | Buy | 183.82K | — | — |
| 2025-09-19 | Davis Keri | Buy | 9.19K | — | — |
| 2025-09-19 | Kleinman Adam M | Buy | 22.98K | — | — |
| 2025-09-19 | Milz Nichole | Buy | 36.76K | — | — |
| 2025-09-08 | Smith Booker | Buy | 8.54K | — | — |
| 2025-09-08 | Smith Booker | Buy | 8.54K | — | — |
| 2025-09-08 | Nathan Lloyd | Buy | 10.22K | — | — |
| 2025-08-27 | Woodstead Value Fund LP | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-08-27 | Woodstead Value Fund LP | Other | 1.00M | $3.50 | 3.50M |
| 2025-08-27 | Woodstead Value Fund LP | Other | 1.00M | $5.00 | 5.00M |
| 2025-08-27 | SMITH RANDALL D | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-08-27 | SMITH RANDALL D | Other | 1.00M | $3.50 | 3.50M |
| 2025-08-27 | SMITH RANDALL D | Other | 1.00M | $5.00 | 5.00M |
| 2025-08-27 | Smith Booker | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-08-08 | Nathan Lloyd | Buy | 12.60K | — | — |
| 2025-07-31 | Nathan Lloyd | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-07-14 | Northern Right Capital Management, L.P. | Sell | 207.57K | $2.07 | 429.69K |
| 2025-07-14 | Northern Right Capital Management, L.P. | Buy | 207.57K | $2.07 | 429.69K |
| 2025-07-14 | Northern Right Capital Management, L.P. | Sell | 0 | $3.47 | 0 |
| 2025-07-14 | Northern Right Capital Management, L.P. | Buy | 0 | $3.47 | 0 |
| 2025-06-13 | PC Elfun LLC | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-01-13 | Northern Right Capital Management, L.P. | Sell | 409.58K | $1.81 | 741.33K |
| 2025-01-13 | Northern Right Long Only Master Fund LP | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-01-13 | Northern Right Capital Management, L.P. | Sell | 409.58K | — | — |
| 2025-01-13 | Northern Right Capital Management, L.P. | Sell | 0 | $3.47 | 0 |
| 2025-01-03 | Scheyer Eric J | Buy | 46.70K | — | — |
| 2025-01-03 | Scheyer Eric J | Buy | 35.71K | — | — |
| 2025-01-03 | Drapkin Matthew A | Buy | 35.71K | — | — |
| 2025-01-03 | Drapkin Matthew A | Buy | 82.42K | — | — |
| 2025-01-03 | Drapkin Matthew A | Buy | 35.71K | — | — |
| 2025-01-03 | Hugar James H | Buy | 35.71K | — | — |
| 2025-01-03 | Parmelee James P | Buy | 46.70K | — | — |
| 2025-01-03 | Parmelee James P | Buy | 35.71K | — | — |
| 2025-01-03 | Matter David | Buy | 41.21K | — | — |
| 2025-01-03 | Matter David | Buy | 35.71K | — | — |
| 2024-11-30 | ICAM Holdings, LLC | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2024-09-20 | Milz Nichole | Buy | 55.34K | — | — |
| 2024-09-20 | Davis Keri | Buy | 27.34K | — | — |
| 2024-09-20 | Kleinman Adam M | Buy | 32.55K | — | — |
| 2024-09-20 | Reese Jason W. | Buy | 130.21K | — | — |
| 2024-05-23 | Northern Right Capital Management, L.P. | Buy | 5.01K | $1.75 | 8.79K |
| 2024-05-23 | Reese Jason W. | Buy | 5.01K | $1.75 | 8.78K |
| 2024-05-23 | Drapkin Matthew A | Buy | 5.01K | $1.75 | 8.79K |
| 2024-05-22 | Northern Right Capital Management, L.P. | Buy | 20.00K | $1.76 | 35.27K |
| 2024-05-22 | Reese Jason W. | Buy | 20.00K | $1.76 | 35.20K |
| 2024-05-22 | Drapkin Matthew A | Buy | 20.00K | $1.76 | 35.27K |
| 2024-05-21 | Northern Right Capital Management, L.P. | Buy | 24.98K | $1.77 | 44.26K |
| 2024-05-21 | Reese Jason W. | Buy | 24.98K | $1.77 | 44.22K |
| 2024-05-21 | Drapkin Matthew A | Buy | 24.98K | $1.77 | 44.26K |
| 2024-05-21 | Hugar James H | Buy | 1.26K | $1.77 | 2.22K |
| 2024-05-21 | Hugar James H | Buy | 5.10K | $1.76 | 8.98K |
| 2024-05-20 | Hugar James H | Buy | 970 | $1.78 | 1.73K |
| 2024-05-20 | Hugar James H | Buy | 678 | $1.76 | 1.19K |
| 2024-05-15 | Hugar James H | Buy | 16 | $1.81 | 29 |
| 2024-05-15 | Hugar James H | Buy | 4.40K | $1.82 | 8.01K |
| 2024-05-14 | Hugar James H | Buy | 393 | $1.81 | 711 |
| 2024-03-15 | Reese Jason W. | Buy | 7.84K | $2.00 | 15.69K |
| 2024-03-14 | Reese Jason W. | Buy | 3.25K | $1.98 | 6.44K |
| 2024-03-13 | Reese Jason W. | Buy | 16.20K | $1.94 | 31.43K |
| 2024-03-12 | Reese Jason W. | Buy | 2.50K | $1.90 | 4.75K |
| 2024-03-11 | Reese Jason W. | Buy | 806 | $1.90 | 1.53K |
| 2024-03-07 | Reese Jason W. | Buy | 5.08K | $1.96 | 9.96K |
| 2024-03-06 | Reese Jason W. | Buy | 4.39K | $1.96 | 8.60K |
| 2024-03-05 | Reese Jason W. | Buy | 5.14K | $1.93 | 9.91K |
Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.
Institutions holding: 26, holders +3 vs prior quarter. Ownership 20.51%.
| Holder | Shares | Change | Change % | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NORTHERN RIGHT CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. | 4.24M | 0 | 0.00% | 9.25M |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 533.32K | -622 | -0.12% | 1.16M |
| RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC | 525.78K | -21.20K | -3.88% | 1.15M |
| BLACKROCK, INC. | 337.67K | 3.54K | +1.06% | 736.12K |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 179.07K | 40.20K | +28.95% | 390.55K |
| VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST CO | 89.77K | 622 | +0.70% | 195.69K |
| STATE STREET CORP | 82.92K | 0 | 0.00% | 180.76K |
| BRIDGEWAY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 41.55K | 0 | 0.00% | 90.57K |
| MORGAN STANLEY | 40.00K | -6.12K | -13.27% | 87.21K |
| CITADEL ADVISORS LLC | 36.63K | 5.72K | +18.52% | 79.85K |
| NORTHERN TRUST CORP | 30.73K | 801 | +2.68% | 66.98K |
| MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC | 21.69K | -10.65K | -32.94% | 47.28K |
| HRT FINANCIAL LP | 16.20K | 16.20K | New | 35.00K |
| TRUST CO OF TOLEDO NA /OH/ | 15.00K | 0 | 0.00% | 32.70K |
| GATEPASS CAPITAL, LLC | 10.50K | 10.50K | New | 22.89K |
| VANGUARD GLOBAL ADVISERS, LLC | 6.12K | 0 | 0.00% | 13.35K |
| OSAIC HOLDINGS, INC. | 1.08K | 0 | 0.00% | 2.35K |
| UBS GROUP AG | 920 | -694 | -43.00% | 2.00K |
| TOWER RESEARCH CAPITAL LLC (TRC) | 662 | -2.02K | -75.36% | 1.44K |
| BASECAMP WEALTH ADVISORS LLC | 269 | 0 | 0.00% | 586 |
| WELLS FARGO & COMPANY/MN | 216 | 0 | 0.00% | 471 |
| MERCER GLOBAL ADVISORS INC /ADV | 166 | 166 | New | 362 |
| FEDERATION DES CAISSES DESJARDINS DU QUEBEC | 77 | 0 | 0.00% | 168 |
| BARRETT & COMPANY, INC. | 13 | 0 | 0.00% | 28 |
| FARTHER FINANCE ADVISORS, LLC | 3 | 0 | 0.00% | 7 |
Insights · Dividends · Forecast · Financials · Learn
$66.85M
Market Cap
-1.86
P/E
—
Forward P/E
—
Score