Green Brick Partners (GRBK) Stock Insights
GRBK$62.92-1.16 -1.81%
$2.71B
Market Cap
10.05
P/E
10.47
Forward P/E
53
Score
Green Brick Partners (GRBK) Stock Insights
GRBK price $62.92 -1.16 -1.81%
- Ticker
- GRBK
- Price
- $62.92
- Change
- -1.16 -1.81%
- Market cap ?
- $2.71B
- P/E ?
- 10.05
- Forward P/E ?
- 10.47
- Dividend yield ?
- 0.00%
- Beta ?
- 1.76
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- Industry
- Residential Construction
- Stocklytics score
- 53
- Value
- 63
- Quality
- 59
- Growth
- 36
Stocklytics score rationale: value 63, quality 59, growth 36.
Financials
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 380328000 | 454374000 | 623647000 | 791660000 | 976021000 | 1402876000 | 1757793000 | 1777710000 | 2098943000 | 2039994000 |
Green Brick Partners, Inc. is an American enterprise primarily engaged in the construction of residential properties and the development of land. The company's operations are segmented into its Central and Southeast building divisions, alongside a dedicated land development unit. Its comprehensive activities span the entire homebuilding lifecycle, encompassing land acquisition, securing necessary entitlements…
Fair value
GRBK fair value $44.77. Price $62.92. Price is 41% above fair value.
Above fair value, and more expensive than usual. A larger premium than on 74% of days in the past 5 years.
Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.
Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Average free cash flow, last three years 145.18M. Growth 0.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 12.00% (beta 1.8). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 43.01M. Net debt 144.43M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.
Earnings
| Date | EPS actual | EPS estimate | Revenue | Revenue estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-02-24 | — | 1.48 | — | 488.20M |
| 2026-10-28 | 1.35 | 1.44 | 448.20M | 464.52M |
| 2026-07-29 | 1.70 | 1.42 | 493.84M | 470.00M |
| 2026-04-29 | 1.39 | 1.24 | 456.00M | 423.50M |
| 2026-02-25 | 1.78 | 1.62 | 552.61M | 473.25M |
| 2025-10-29 | 1.77 | 1.43 | 499.09M | 477.50M |
| 2025-07-30 | 1.85 | 1.64 | 549.15M | 423.68M |
| 2025-04-30 | 1.67 | 1.76 | 497.62M | 491.54M |
| 2025-02-26 | 2.31 | 2.06 | 567.31M | 557.42M |
| 2024-10-30 | 1.98 | 2.07 | 523.66M | 562.48M |
| 2024-07-31 | 2.32 | 1.77 | 560.63M | 502.64M |
| 2024-05-01 | 1.82 | 1.51 | 447.34M | 439.99M |
| 2024-02-29 | 1.58 | 1.77 | 450.38M | 423.82M |
| 2023-10-31 | 1.56 | 1.45 | 418.98M | 444.70M |
| 2023-08-02 | 1.63 | 1.15 | 456.29M | 443.12M |
| 2023-05-03 | 1.37 | 0.66 | 452.06M | 245.62M |
| 2023-02-27 | 1.18 | 1.14 | 431.09M | 357.14M |
| 2022-11-02 | 1.57 | 1.38 | 407.94M | 399.52M |
| 2022-08-03 | 2.08 | 1.24 | 525.14M | 406.87M |
| 2022-05-03 | 1.20 | 0.85 | 393.62M | 339.50M |
| 2022-03-01 | 1.24 | 1.16 | 452.25M | 409.59M |
| 2021-11-02 | 0.95 | 1.05 | 342.34M | 371.41M |
| 2021-08-03 | 1.02 | 0.85 | 373.81M | 332.28M |
| 2021-05-04 | 0.51 | 0.49 | 234.48M | 224.91M |
| 2021-03-08 | 0.58 | 0.63 | 254.10M | — |
| 2020-10-29 | 0.68 | 0.43 | 275.82M | 174.42M |
| 2020-08-04 | 0.66 | 0.42 | 232.83M | 148.17M |
| 2020-05-11 | 0.31 | 0.24 | 213.27M | 165.11M |
| 2020-03-03 | 0.31 | 0.29 | 230.12M | 215.28M |
| 2019-11-07 | 0.31 | 0.27 | 209.40M | 182.38M |
| 2019-08-08 | 0.29 | 0.24 | 183.51M | 151.87M |
| 2019-05-02 | 0.26 | 0.20 | 168.63M | 134.90M |
| 2019-03-04 | 0.29 | 0.26 | 185.12M | 170.69M |
| 2018-11-05 | 0.24 | 0.29 | 149.99M | 181.24M |
| 2018-08-06 | 0.29 | 0.27 | 155.01M | 144.31M |
| 2018-05-07 | 0.22 | 0.20 | 128.26M | 117.45M |
| 2018-03-12 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 136.38M | 140.30M |
| 2017-11-06 | 0.29 | 0.15 | 113.71M | 89.76M |
| 2017-08-07 | 0.25 | 0.16 | 104.95M | 105.00M |
| 2017-05-08 | 0.21 | 0.10 | 99.34M | 76.38M |
Dividends
Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 1.48%. Frequency —.
Safety score 37/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 1% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. No dividend history was found. There is no dividend yield.
| Ex-date | Dividend | Record | Payment | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No data yet. | ||||
Insider trades
| Date | Insider | Action | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2028-03-03 | PARK ERIC JOHN | Other | 585 | — | — |
| 2028-03-03 | COX JEFFERY DEAN | Other | 418 | — | — |
| 2027-03-05 | SAMUEL BOBBY L III | Other | 2.14K | — | — |
| 2026-10-15 | Dolson Jed | Buy | 29.94K | — | — |
| 2026-06-15 | PARK ERIC JOHN | Buy | 1.38K | — | — |
| 2026-06-09 | Press Richard S | Sell | 2.00K | $70.58 | 141.16K |
| 2026-06-09 | Press Richard S | Sell | 3.00K | $70.59 | 211.77K |
| 2026-06-08 | PARK ERIC JOHN | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-08 | PARK ERIC JOHN | Other | 679 | — | — |
| 2026-03-26 | SAMUEL BOBBY L III | Buy | 2.56K | — | — |
| 2026-03-26 | SAMUEL BOBBY L III | Buy | 2.56K | — | — |
| 2026-03-26 | Brickman James R. | Buy | 16.92K | — | — |
| 2026-03-26 | Brickman James R. | Buy | 16.92K | — | — |
| 2026-03-26 | COX JEFFERY DEAN | Buy | 3.33K | — | — |
| 2026-03-26 | COX JEFFERY DEAN | Buy | 3.33K | — | — |
| 2026-03-26 | Dolson Jed | Buy | 12.82K | — | — |
| 2026-03-26 | Dolson Jed | Buy | 12.82K | — | — |
| 2026-03-26 | Suit Neal J | Buy | 4.36K | — | — |
| 2026-03-26 | Suit Neal J | Buy | 4.36K | — | — |
| 2026-03-06 | SAMUEL BOBBY L III | Buy | 4.38K | — | — |
| 2026-03-06 | SAMUEL BOBBY L III | Sell | 3.06K | $70.26 | 214.86K |
| 2026-03-06 | SAMUEL BOBBY L III | Buy | 4.52K | — | — |
| 2026-03-06 | SAMUEL BOBBY L III | Sell | 4.38K | — | — |
| 2026-03-06 | COX JEFFERY DEAN | Buy | 235 | — | — |
| 2026-03-06 | COX JEFFERY DEAN | Sell | 93 | $70.26 | 6.53K |
| 2026-03-06 | COX JEFFERY DEAN | Sell | 235 | — | — |
| 2026-03-03 | SAMUEL BOBBY L III | Buy | 930 | — | — |
| 2026-03-03 | SAMUEL BOBBY L III | Sell | 320 | $72.40 | 23.17K |
| 2026-03-03 | SAMUEL BOBBY L III | Sell | 930 | — | — |
| 2026-03-03 | COX JEFFERY DEAN | Sell | 977 | — | — |
| 2026-03-03 | COX JEFFERY DEAN | Buy | 977 | — | — |
| 2026-03-03 | COX JEFFERY DEAN | Sell | 385 | $72.40 | 27.87K |
| 2026-03-03 | Suit Neal J | Buy | 930 | — | — |
| 2026-03-03 | Suit Neal J | Sell | 366 | $72.40 | 26.50K |
| 2026-03-03 | Suit Neal J | Sell | 930 | — | — |
| 2026-03-03 | Brickman James R. | Buy | 6.14K | — | — |
| 2026-03-03 | Brickman James R. | Sell | 2.42K | $72.40 | 174.92K |
| 2026-03-03 | Brickman James R. | Sell | 6.14K | — | — |
| 2026-03-03 | Dolson Jed | Buy | 3.72K | — | — |
| 2026-03-03 | Dolson Jed | Sell | 1.46K | $72.40 | 105.99K |
| 2026-03-03 | Dolson Jed | Sell | 3.72K | — | — |
| 2026-03-02 | Press Richard S | Buy | 2.04K | — | — |
| 2026-03-02 | Press Richard S | Sell | 2.50K | $72.02 | 180.05K |
| 2026-03-02 | Olsen Kathleen | Buy | 2.71K | — | — |
| 2026-03-02 | Olsen Kathleen | Sell | 7.50K | $71.81 | 538.58K |
| 2026-03-02 | Brickman James R. | Buy | 18.76K | — | — |
| 2026-03-02 | Brickman James R. | Sell | 6.94K | $73.66 | 511.20K |
| 2026-03-02 | MURPHY LILA A | Buy | 3.80K | — | — |
| 2026-03-02 | BLAKE ELIZABETH | Buy | 4.41K | — | — |
| 2026-03-02 | Brandler Harry | Buy | 3.67K | — | — |
| 2026-03-02 | Dolson Jed | Buy | 14.07K | — | — |
| 2026-03-02 | Dolson Jed | Sell | 5.21K | $73.66 | 383.40K |
| 2025-08-19 | Press Richard S | Sell | 3.00K | $70.21 | 210.63K |
| 2025-08-18 | Press Richard S | Sell | 3.00K | $69.75 | 209.25K |
| 2025-08-13 | Dolson Jed | Sell | 15.00K | $68.76 | 1.03M |
| 2025-08-12 | Dolson Jed | Sell | 20.00K | $66.76 | 1.34M |
| 2025-07-08 | Press Richard S | Sell | 300 | — | — |
| 2025-06-13 | Suit Neal J | Sell | 1.19K | $61.16 | 72.90K |
| 2025-05-13 | Press Richard S | Sell | 60 | — | — |
| 2025-05-13 | Press Richard S | Buy | 60 | — | — |
| 2025-04-15 | COX JEFFERY DEAN | Buy | 2.93K | — | — |
| 2025-04-15 | COX JEFFERY DEAN | Buy | 2.93K | — | — |
| 2025-03-06 | SAMUEL BOBBY L III | Sell | 1.00K | $60.51 | 60.51K |
| 2025-03-06 | Suit Neal J | Sell | 360 | $60.51 | 21.78K |
| 2025-03-03 | MURPHY LILA A | Buy | 4.69K | — | — |
| 2025-03-03 | BLAKE ELIZABETH | Buy | 5.44K | — | — |
| 2025-03-03 | Press Richard S | Buy | 4.86K | — | — |
| 2025-03-03 | Olsen Kathleen | Buy | 4.18K | — | — |
| 2025-03-03 | Brandler Harry | Buy | 4.52K | — | — |
| 2025-03-03 | Brickman James R. | Buy | 58.59K | — | — |
| 2025-03-03 | Brickman James R. | Sell | 21.68K | $59.73 | 1.29M |
| 2025-03-03 | Brickman James R. | Buy | 18.42K | — | — |
| 2025-03-03 | Brickman James R. | Buy | 18.42K | — | — |
| 2025-03-03 | Dolson Jed | Buy | 43.94K | — | — |
| 2025-03-03 | Dolson Jed | Sell | 16.26K | $59.73 | 971.09K |
| 2025-03-03 | Dolson Jed | Buy | 11.16K | — | — |
| 2025-03-03 | Dolson Jed | Buy | 11.16K | — | — |
| 2025-03-03 | Suit Neal J | Buy | 7.53K | — | — |
| 2025-03-03 | Suit Neal J | Sell | 2.79K | $59.73 | 166.47K |
| 2025-03-03 | Suit Neal J | Buy | 2.79K | — | — |
| 2025-03-03 | Suit Neal J | Buy | 2.79K | — | — |
| 2025-03-03 | COSTELLO RICHARD ARTHUR | Buy | 11.30K | — | — |
| 2025-03-03 | COSTELLO RICHARD ARTHUR | Sell | 4.18K | $59.73 | 249.73K |
| 2025-03-03 | SAMUEL BOBBY L III | Buy | 2.79K | — | — |
| 2025-03-03 | SAMUEL BOBBY L III | Buy | 2.79K | — | — |
| 2025-02-28 | SAMUEL BOBBY L III | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-02-28 | SAMUEL BOBBY L III | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2024-11-22 | Press Richard S | Sell | 3.50K | $69.04 | 241.64K |
| 2024-11-13 | EINHORN DAVID | Buy | 1.02M | $69.16 | 70.35M |
| 2024-11-13 | EINHORN DAVID | Sell | 539.35K | $69.16 | 37.30M |
| 2024-11-13 | EINHORN DAVID | Sell | 477.81K | $69.16 | 33.05M |
| 2024-11-07 | BLAKE ELIZABETH | Sell | 28.07K | — | — |
| 2024-08-23 | Brickman James R. | Sell | 12.13K | $77.11 | 935.50K |
| 2024-08-23 | Brickman James R. | Sell | 1.97K | $77.95 | 153.41K |
| 2024-08-21 | Olsen Kathleen | Sell | 3.67K | $74.26 | 272.76K |
| 2024-08-20 | Olsen Kathleen | Sell | 3.83K | $73.04 | 279.52K |
| 2024-08-19 | COSTELLO RICHARD ARTHUR | Sell | 15.00K | $72.75 | 1.09M |
| 2024-07-11 | EINHORN DAVID | Sell | 500.00K | $57.80 | 28.90M |
| 2024-07-11 | EINHORN DAVID | Sell | 500.00K | $57.80 | 28.90M |
| 2024-07-09 | Brickman James R. | Sell | 300.00K | — | — |
Institutional holders
Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.
Institutions holding: 331, holders +10 vs prior quarter. Ownership 81.42%.
| Holder | Shares | Change | Change % | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DME CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LP | 9.47M | 0 | 0.00% | 757.77M |
| BLACKROCK, INC. | 4.87M | 4.82K | +0.10% | 389.59M |
| DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP | 1.89M | 126.54K | +7.18% | 151.13M |
| FMR LLC | 1.72M | 66.71K | +4.03% | 137.97M |
| STATE STREET CORP | 1.51M | 45.92K | +3.15% | 120.50M |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 1.36M | -1.45K | -0.11% | 108.99M |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 785.85K | 34.82K | +4.64% | 62.91M |
| PRICE T ROWE ASSOCIATES INC /MD/ | 715.91K | 129.34K | +22.05% | 57.30M |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | 659.47K | 60.08K | +10.02% | 52.78M |
| SALEM INVESTMENT COUNSELORS INC | 643.03K | 1.18K | +0.18% | 51.47M |
| ANNEX ADVISORY SERVICES, LLC | 437.05K | -112.69K | -20.50% | 34.98M |
| JBF CAPITAL, INC. | 436.53K | 0 | 0.00% | 34.94M |
| SIXTH STREET PARTNERS MANAGEMENT COMPANY, L.P. | 434.67K | 434.67K | New | 34.79M |
| CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC | 434.67K | -34.40K | -7.33% | 34.79M |
| BOSTON PARTNERS | 407.89K | 22.92K | +5.95% | 32.03M |
| PUNCH & ASSOCIATES INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, INC. | 380.39K | 22.05K | +6.15% | 30.45M |
| MANUFACTURERS LIFE INSURANCE COMPANY, THE | 348.04K | 3.39K | +0.98% | 27.86M |
| NORTHERN TRUST CORP | 343.06K | 6.64K | +1.97% | 27.46M |
| GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC | 338.30K | 46.09K | +15.77% | 27.08M |
| GW&K INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, LLC | 297.70K | -11.25K | -3.64% | 23.83M |
| MORGAN STANLEY | 267.84K | 32.87K | +13.99% | 21.44M |
| NATIONAL PHILANTHROPIC TRUST | 231.56K | 0 | 0.00% | 18.53M |
| BANK OF NEW YORK MELLON CORP | 208.67K | 7.24K | +3.60% | 16.70M |
| MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC | 200.82K | 200.82K | New | 16.07M |
| VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST CO | 200.64K | -2.32K | -1.14% | 16.06M |
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