Fractyl Health (GUTS) Stock Insights

GUTS price $0.88 -0.00 -0.18%

Ticker
GUTS
Price
$0.88
Change
-0.00 -0.18%
Market cap ?
$11.65M
Beta ?
2.42
Sector
Healthcare
Industry
Biotechnology

Fair value

GUTS fair value $70.15. Price $0.88. Price is 99% below fair value.

Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.

Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 12.03K. Growth 20.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 12.00% (beta 2.0). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 13.26M. Net debt -19.89M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.

Model uncertainty high for this stock

Compare GUTS

Earnings

DateEPS actualEPS estimateRevenueRevenue estimate
2026-11-11—-1.59——
2026-08-11-1.92-1.62——
2026-05-13-0.13-0.17——
2026-03-24-2.04-2.28——
2025-11-12-0.71-4.08——
2025-08-13-4.20-4.44——
2025-05-12-0.47-5.40——
2025-04-07-0.52-5.283.00K10.00K
2024-11-13-5.76-6.0014.00K10.00K
2024-08-12-4.32-5.5243.00K—
2024-07-01-2.04-3.6033.00K—
2024-04-01-1.34-0.087.00K—
2023-12-14-7.44—36.00K—

Dividends

Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency —.

Safety score 37/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. No dividend history was found. There is no dividend yield.

Ex-dateDividendRecordPaymentFrequency
No data yet.

Insider trades

DateInsiderActionSharesPriceValue
2026-09-14BRADLEY WILLIAMBuy64.52K$0.6239.90K
2026-06-12Royan AjayBuy23.00K$0.8519.60K
2026-06-10BRADLEY WILLIAMBuy68.49K$0.7350.33K
2026-06-10BRADLEY WILLIAMBuy22.50K$0.7316.47K
2026-06-10Conaway SamuelBuy22.50K$0.7316.47K
2026-06-10Royan AjayBuy22.50K$0.7316.47K
2026-06-10Thompson Christopher CharlesBuy22.50K$0.7316.47K
2026-06-10Elia MarcBuy22.50K$0.7316.47K
2026-06-10Barnes Kelly AnnBuy22.50K$0.7316.47K
2026-06-10MEANWELL CLIVEBuy22.50K$0.7316.47K
2026-06-10Sheffield IanBuy35.00K$0.7325.53K
2026-06-10Sheffield IanBuy22.50K$0.7316.47K
2026-06-10Rajagopalan HarithBuy25.00K$0.7318.25K
2026-06-08Smith Weber LaraBuy20.00K$0.6913.71K
2026-01-12Smith Weber LaraBuy1.04M$2.002.07M
2026-01-12Smith Weber LaraOther0——
2025-12-15Toomey SarahBuy743.91K$2.241.67M
2025-12-15Caplan Jay DavidBuy845.23K$2.241.89M
2025-12-15Rajagopalan HarithBuy2.49M$2.245.57M
2025-12-04Rajagopalan HarithBuy10.42K$1.9220.00K
2025-09-02Thompson Christopher CharlesBuy45.00K$0.9843.95K
2025-09-02Thompson Christopher CharlesOther20.97K$2.6755.99K
2025-09-02Sheffield IanBuy45.00K$0.9843.95K
2025-09-02Sheffield IanOther0——
2025-06-11SCHULMAN AMY WBuy22.50K$2.2751.08K
2025-06-11Elia MarcBuy22.50K$2.2751.08K
2025-06-11MEANWELL CLIVEBuy22.50K$2.2751.08K
2025-06-11BRADLEY WILLIAMBuy22.50K$2.2751.08K
2025-06-11Barnes Kelly AnnBuy22.50K$2.2751.08K
2025-06-11Royan AjayBuy22.50K$2.2751.08K
2025-06-11Conaway SamuelBuy22.50K$2.2751.08K
2025-03-14Royan AjayBuy17.90K$1.2822.98K
2025-03-14Barnes Kelly AnnBuy31.00K$1.3040.21K
2025-03-13Conaway SamuelOther0——
2025-03-13SCHULMAN AMY WBuy8.55K$1.179.96K
2025-03-13BRADLEY WILLIAMBuy16.13K$1.2620.36K
2025-03-13Conaway SamuelBuy8.55K$1.179.96K
2025-02-27Kieffer TimothyBuy169.70K$1.46247.76K
2025-02-27Kieffer TimothyBuy35.28K$15.00529.20K
2025-02-27Toomey SarahBuy166.20K$1.46242.65K
2025-02-27Toomey SarahBuy79.38K$15.001.19M
2025-02-27Davidson LisaBuy174.70K$1.46255.06K
2025-02-27Davidson LisaBuy91.50K$15.001.37M
2025-02-27Caplan Jay DavidBuy179.70K$1.46262.36K
2025-02-27Caplan Jay DavidBuy104.40K$15.001.57M
2025-02-27Rajagopalan HarithBuy571.49K$1.46834.38K
2025-02-27Rajagopalan HarithBuy261.54K$15.003.92M
2025-01-31Rajagopalan HarithBuy90.97K$1.70154.65K
2025-01-31Rajagopalan HarithSell90.97K$1.82165.21K
2025-01-31Rajagopalan HarithSell90.97K$1.70154.65K
2025-01-31Caplan Jay DavidBuy22.35K$1.7037.99K
2025-01-31Caplan Jay DavidSell22.35K$1.8140.46K
2025-01-31Caplan Jay DavidSell22.35K$1.7037.99K
2025-01-30Rajagopalan HarithBuy20.95K$1.7035.61K
2025-01-30Rajagopalan HarithSell20.95K$1.9540.80K
2025-01-30Rajagopalan HarithSell20.95K$1.7035.61K
2025-01-30Caplan Jay DavidBuy21.47K$1.7036.50K
2025-01-30Caplan Jay DavidSell21.47K$1.9541.80K
2025-01-30Caplan Jay DavidSell21.47K$1.7036.50K
2024-11-11Rajagopalan HarithSell96.52K$2.47238.36K
2024-11-11Caplan Jay DavidSell64.20K$2.47158.54K
2024-11-10Rajagopalan HarithBuy216.92K——
2024-11-10Rajagopalan HarithSell216.92K——
2024-11-10Caplan Jay DavidBuy187.26K——
2024-11-10Caplan Jay DavidSell187.26K——
2024-09-12Caplan Jay DavidBuy95.48K$1.70162.32K
2024-09-12Caplan Jay DavidSell65.00K$2.90188.47K
2024-09-12Caplan Jay DavidSell95.48K$1.70162.32K
2024-04-01Kimber AdrianBuy250.00K$7.451.86M
2024-04-01Kimber AdrianOther0——
2024-02-06Bessemer Venture Partners VII L.P.Buy4.77M——
2024-02-06Bessemer Venture Partners VII L.P.Sell3.16M——
2024-02-06Bessemer Venture Partners VII L.P.Sell909.00K——
2024-02-06Bessemer Venture Partners VII L.P.Sell2.24M——
2024-02-06Bessemer Venture Partners VII L.P.Sell352.16K——
2024-02-06Bessemer Venture Partners VII L.P.Sell1.63M——
2024-02-06Bessemer Venture Partners VII L.P.Sell1.95M——
2024-02-06AMERICAN INTERNATIONAL GROUP, INC.Buy673.39K——
2024-02-06AMERICAN INTERNATIONAL GROUP, INC.Buy283.88K——
2024-02-06AMERICAN INTERNATIONAL GROUP, INC.Buy199.26K——
2024-02-06AMERICAN INTERNATIONAL GROUP, INC.Buy182.74K——
2024-02-06AMERICAN INTERNATIONAL GROUP, INC.Sell346.87K——
2024-02-06AMERICAN INTERNATIONAL GROUP, INC.Sell80.74K——
2024-02-06Corebridge DECO II, LLCBuy673.39K——
2024-02-06Corebridge DECO II, LLCSell1.17M——
2024-02-06Corebridge DECO II, LLCSell272.86K——
2024-02-06AMERICAN HOME ASSURANCE COBuy283.88K——
2024-02-06AMERICAN HOME ASSURANCE COSell494.17K——
2024-02-06AMERICAN HOME ASSURANCE COSell115.03K——
2024-02-06MEANWELL CLIVEBuy277.89K——
2024-02-06MEANWELL CLIVESell596.35K——
2024-02-06Royan AjayBuy5.16M——
2024-02-06Royan AjayBuy333.33K$15.005.00M
2024-02-06Royan AjayBuy918.57K——
2024-02-06Royan AjaySell545.45K——
2024-02-06Royan AjaySell373.02K——
2024-02-06Royan AjaySell1.60M——
2024-02-06Royan AjaySell6.50M——
2024-02-06Royan AjaySell4.03M——
2024-02-06Caplan Jay DavidBuy23.30K——

Institutional holders

Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.

Institutions holding: 76, holders -7 vs prior quarter. Ownership 44.65%.

HolderSharesChangeChange %Value
NANTAHALA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC11.29M-2.08M-15.53%8.97M
CATALIO CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LP6.17M676.88K+12.33%4.90M
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC6.10M563.92K+10.19%4.84M
BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/6.03M5.91M+4727.74%4.79M
PALE FIRE CAPITAL SE5.00M-917.81K-15.50%3.97M
GENERAL CATALYST GROUP MANAGEMENT, LLC4.88M-7-0.00%3.88M
DEER MANAGEMENT CO. LLC4.77M00.00%3.79M
MAVERICK CAPITAL LTD3.97M00.00%3.16M
M28 CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LP1.86M00.00%1.47M
BLACKROCK, INC.1.80M-338.78K-15.83%1.43M
WOODLINE PARTNERS LP1.78M-458.09K-20.43%1.42M
JANE STREET GROUP, LLC1.73M1.69M+4260.78%1.38M
SILVERARC CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC1.64M-63.65K-3.74%1.30M
UBS GROUP AG1.58M-42.27K-2.61%1.25M
CM MANAGEMENT, LLC1.40M00.00%1.11M
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC1.32M-118.92K-8.29%1.05M
IKARIAN CAPITAL, LLC1.10M00.00%873.84K
MARSHALL WACE, LLP1.08M272.87K+33.78%853.73K
LOGOS GLOBAL MANAGEMENT LP1.00M00.00%794.40K
BREVAN HOWARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LP916.32K683.95K+294.34%719.27K
683 CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC756.72K-5.97M-88.75%601.13K
VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST CO722.13K115.95K+19.13%573.37K
STATE STREET CORP516.00K51.30K+11.04%409.91K
MORGAN STANLEY426.50K-69.40K-13.99%338.81K
MINK BROOK ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC352.75K352.75KNew280.22K

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Fractyl Health (GUTS) Stock Insights

GUTS$0.88-0.00 -0.18%

$11.65M

Market Cap

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P/E

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Forward P/E

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Score

Price History