Heartflow (HTFL) Fair Value & DCF

HTFL$48.46-11.46 -19.13%
Medical - Healthcare Information Services
Compare
Market cap$4.21BEnterprise value$4.21BRevenue (TTM)$238.66MMarket position—

Score

41
Bearish
Value
24
Quality
45
Growth
55

HTFL fair value Not meaningful. Price $48.46.

Worked example

Cash-flow value. Starting free cash flow is $0.21 a share. Years 1 to 5 grow at 20.00%. Years 6 to 10 fade that rate in a straight line to 3% terminal growth. The discount rate is 12.00% (beta 2.00, capped at 12%). It is beta-adjusted and capped at 12%. The cash-flow value is $6.02 a share.

Earnings value. Next-twelve-months earnings per share of $0.07 times 30.00 is $2.13. The peer group is Healthcare, 75 companies worth at least $10 billion. This stock has no 10-year median P/E, so the peer median of 30.7 is kept between 8 and 30, which is 30.00.

Fair value is not shown. The result, $4.07, is more than 80% below the $48.46 price, so it is not used as a target.

Heartflow (HTFL) Fair Value & DCF

HTFL price $48.46 -11.46 -19.13%

Ticker
HTFL
Price
$48.46
Change
-11.46 -19.13%
Market cap
$4.21B
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
2.02
Sector
Healthcare
Industry
Medical - Healthcare Information Services
Stocklytics score
41
Value
24
Quality
45
Growth
55

Stocklytics score rationale: value 24, quality 45, growth 55.

Fair value

HTFL fair value Not meaningful. Price $48.46.

Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price.

Fair value blends a 10-year DCF and an earnings multiple: the average of the DCF value and an earnings value from next-twelve-months EPS times 30.0, a blend of the industry median and the stock's own 10-year median. How we calculate it →

Not meaningful. The model is more than 80% below the live price, which happens for unprofitable or very early companies and is not a price target.

Compare HTFL

Earnings

DateEPS actualEPS estimateRevenueRevenue estimate
2027-03-17—-0.09—72.40M
2026-11-12-0.03-0.1072.86M65.19M
2026-08-13-0.07-0.1364.08M56.64M
2026-05-14-0.16-0.1952.59M49.71M
2026-03-18-0.12-0.1949.13M46.58M
2025-11-12-0.27-0.2046.28M46.30M
2025-09-19-0.06-0.2143.41M43.20M
2025-07-17-0.46-0.2137.20M43.20M

Dividends

Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency —.

Safety score 37/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. No dividend history was found. There is no dividend yield.

Ex-dateDividendRecordPaymentFrequency
No data yet.

Insider trades

DateInsiderActionSharesPriceValue
2026-11-10Farquhar John C.M.Sell15.62K$2.2234.68K
2026-11-10Farquhar John C.M.Buy15.62K$2.2234.68K
2026-11-10Farquhar John C.M.Sell38.90K$55.742.17M
2026-11-09Verghese VikramSell3.59K$53.15190.65K
2026-11-06Farquhar John C.M.Sell7.75K$52.40406.15K
2026-11-06Verghese VikramSell2.01K$52.40105.27K
2026-11-06Rogers CampbellSell2.27K$52.40118.95K
2026-11-06Jones Marie L.Sell568$52.4029.76K
2026-10-22Rogers CampbellBuy5.10K$2.2211.32K
2026-10-22Rogers CampbellBuy12.33K$8.33102.70K
2026-10-22Rogers CampbellSell23.93K$55.011.32M
2026-10-22Rogers CampbellSell5.10K$2.2211.32K
2026-10-22Rogers CampbellSell12.33K$8.33102.70K
2026-10-12Farquhar John C.M.Sell38.90K$49.571.93M
2026-09-18Rogers CampbellBuy850$2.221.89K
2026-09-18Rogers CampbellBuy12.33K$8.33102.70K
2026-09-18Rogers CampbellSell19.68K$50.15987.05K
2026-09-18Rogers CampbellSell850$2.221.89K
2026-09-18Rogers CampbellSell12.33K$8.33102.70K
2026-09-18Verghese VikramSell16.77K$50.75850.93K
2026-09-17Verghese VikramSell7.58K$50.11379.82K
2026-09-15Verghese VikramSell668$50.0133.41K
2026-09-14Verghese VikramSell4.59K$50.24230.74K
2026-09-11Verghese VikramSell29.71K$50.061.49M
2026-09-11Farquhar John C.M.Sell3.89K$50.00194.50K
2026-09-10Farquhar John C.M.Sell35.01K$46.421.63M
2026-09-08Jones Marie L.Buy795$19.7015.66K
2026-09-08Verghese VikramSell6.64K$50.03332.21K
2026-09-03Verghese VikramSell27.54K$49.691.37M
2026-09-02Verghese VikramSell5.88K$50.60297.33K
2026-08-21Farquhar John C.M.Sell27.23K$50.001.36M
2026-08-18Farquhar John C.M.Sell32.68K$45.001.47M
2026-08-17Rogers CampbellBuy9.22K$19.00175.16K
2026-08-17Rogers CampbellSell9.22K$41.23380.10K
2026-08-17Rogers CampbellSell9.22K$19.00175.16K
2026-08-14Farquhar John C.M.Sell15.56K$39.06607.77K
2026-08-10Farquhar John C.M.Sell22.56K$28.31638.73K
2026-08-07Jones Marie L.Sell82$28.822.36K
2026-08-07Verghese VikramSell473$28.8213.63K
2026-08-07Rogers CampbellSell637$28.8218.36K
2026-08-07Farquhar John C.M.Sell1.90K$28.8254.87K
2026-08-06Jones Marie L.Sell486$27.1913.21K
2026-08-06Verghese VikramSell1.54K$27.1941.79K
2026-08-06Rogers CampbellSell1.64K$27.1944.46K
2026-08-06Farquhar John C.M.Sell5.85K$27.19158.98K
2026-07-30Farquhar John C.M.Sell18.69K$2.2241.50K
2026-07-30Farquhar John C.M.Buy9.74K$9.5893.28K
2026-07-30Farquhar John C.M.Buy18.69K$2.2241.50K
2026-07-30Farquhar John C.M.Buy2.79K$8.3323.23K
2026-07-30Farquhar John C.M.Sell9.74K$9.5893.28K
2026-07-30Farquhar John C.M.Sell2.79K$8.3323.23K
2026-07-27Verghese VikramBuy22.52K$2.2250.00K
2026-07-27Verghese VikramSell22.52K$2.2250.00K
2026-07-24Lightcap Jeffrey CBuy47.42K$19.00900.98K
2026-07-24Lightcap Jeffrey CSell47.42K$19.00900.98K
2026-07-22BARABE TIMOTHY CBuy3.71K$19.0070.49K
2026-07-22BARABE TIMOTHY CSell3.71K$19.0070.49K
2026-07-21Verghese VikramBuy22.52K$2.2250.00K
2026-07-21Verghese VikramSell22.52K$2.2250.00K
2026-07-17BARABE TIMOTHY CBuy5.00K$19.0095.00K
2026-07-17BARABE TIMOTHY CSell5.00K$19.0095.00K
2026-07-15Rogers CampbellBuy9.22K$19.00175.16K
2026-07-15Rogers CampbellSell9.22K$19.00175.16K
2026-07-15Rogers CampbellSell9.22K$25.72237.11K
2026-07-10Farquhar John C.M.Sell22.56K$27.75626.10K
2026-07-08WELDON WILLIAM CBuy17.12K$8.33142.63K
2026-07-08WELDON WILLIAM CBuy17.12K$8.33142.63K
2026-07-08WELDON WILLIAM CBuy17.12K$8.33142.63K
2026-07-08WELDON WILLIAM CSell17.12K$8.33142.63K
2026-06-24Farquhar John C.M.Sell38.90K$35.001.36M
2026-06-16WELDON WILLIAM CBuy16.07K$32.05515.20K
2026-06-16BARABE TIMOTHY CBuy16.07K$32.05515.20K
2026-06-16Cullivan Julie ABuy16.07K$32.05515.20K
2026-06-16Lightcap Jeffrey CBuy16.07K$32.05515.20K
2026-06-16Riley Wayne JosephBuy16.07K$32.05515.20K
2026-06-16Tansey Casey MBuy16.07K$32.05515.20K
2026-06-15Rogers CampbellBuy10.00K$2.2222.20K
2026-06-15Rogers CampbellSell10.00K$2.2222.20K
2026-06-10Farquhar John C.M.Sell22.56K$28.50643.02K
2026-05-18Rogers CampbellSell9.22K$19.00175.16K
2026-05-18Rogers CampbellBuy9.22K$19.00175.16K
2026-05-18Rogers CampbellSell9.22K$28.34261.27K
2026-05-11Farquhar John C.M.Sell22.56K$29.12657.01K
2026-05-07Jones Marie L.Sell82$29.982.46K
2026-05-07Rogers CampbellSell637$29.9819.10K
2026-05-07Verghese VikramSell473$29.9814.18K
2026-05-07Farquhar John C.M.Sell1.90K$29.9857.08K
2026-05-06Jones Marie L.Sell485$30.2914.69K
2026-05-06Rogers CampbellSell1.63K$30.2949.49K
2026-05-06Verghese VikramSell1.54K$30.2946.53K
2026-05-06Farquhar John C.M.Sell5.30K$30.29160.54K
2026-04-30Bain Capital Life Sciences Investors, LLCSell892.53K$29.1826.04M
2026-04-30Bain Capital Life Sciences Investors, LLCSell56.22K$30.051.69M
2026-04-29Bain Capital Life Sciences Investors, LLCSell797.13K$29.3723.41M
2026-04-28Bain Capital Life Sciences Investors, LLCSell254.11K$30.517.75M
2026-04-10Farquhar John C.M.Sell22.56K$26.72602.86K
2026-04-01Rogers CampbellBuy6.85K$2.2215.20K
2026-04-01Rogers CampbellBuy40.77K$2.2290.50K
2026-03-06Jones Marie L.Buy1.66K$16.1526.83K
2026-03-06Verghese VikramBuy671$16.1510.84K

Institutional holders

Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.

Institutions holding: 200, holders +29 vs prior quarter. Ownership 20.39%.

HolderSharesChangeChange %Value
BAIN CAPITAL LIFE SCIENCES INVESTORS, LLC8.45M-2.00M-19.14%247.87M
WELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP7.86M-4.12M-34.37%230.74M
BLACKROCK, INC.5.20M3.74M+255.38%152.50M
FMR LLC4.82M-576.86K-10.69%141.45M
VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC3.58M1.54M+75.20%105.17M
BAMCO INC /NY/3.23M-602.40K-15.74%94.63M
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC2.75M859.71K+45.40%80.78M
JUPITER TOPCO LLC2.42M2.42MNew70.98M
INVESCO LTD.2.30M385.63K+20.16%67.44M
POINT72 ASSET MANAGEMENT, L.P.1.72M1.18M+219.73%50.50M
SUMMIT PARTNERS PUBLIC ASSET MANAGEMENT, LLC1.69M802.56K+89.96%49.72M
ALLIANCEBERNSTEIN L.P.1.92M699.94K+57.17%46.82M
STATE STREET CORP1.47M1.02M+225.36%43.27M
UBS AM, A DISTINCT BUSINESS UNIT OF UBS ASSET MANAGEMENT AMERICAS LLC1.47M50.82K+3.59%43.00M
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC1.36M818.73K+151.15%39.92M
NUVEEN, LLC1.35M1.35MNew39.70M
MORGAN STANLEY1.05M202.96K+23.82%30.95M
UBS GROUP AG975.51K546.43K+127.35%28.62M
BNP PARIBAS ASSET MANAGEMENT HOLDING S.A.931.16K931.16KNew27.32M
MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC922.89K-170.52K-15.60%27.08M
12 WEST CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LP902.50K262.50K+41.02%26.48M
FRANKLIN TEMPLETON INC817.70K23.98K+3.02%23.99M
CITADEL ADVISORS LLC799.88K43.28K+5.72%23.47M
CHAMPLAIN INVESTMENT PARTNERS, LLC733.61K166.18K+29.29%21.52M
VOYA INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LLC733.18K5.52K+0.76%21.51M

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