Invivyd (IVVD) Stock Insights
$180.07M
Market Cap
—
P/E
—
Forward P/E
—
Score
IVVD price $0.61 +0.02 +3.77%
IVVD fair value $9.49. Price $0.61. Price is 94% below fair value.
Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.
Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 8.57M. Growth 12.41%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 8.70% (beta 0.8). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 294.76M. Net debt -224.19M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.
Model uncertainty high for this stock
| Date | EPS actual | EPS estimate | Revenue | Revenue estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-05 | — | -0.11 | — | 15.04M |
| 2026-08-13 | -0.14 | -0.11 | 14.29M | 14.40M |
| 2026-05-14 | -0.13 | -0.08 | 13.74M | 18.04M |
| 2026-03-05 | 0.02 | -0.06 | 17.20M | 17.20M |
| 2025-11-06 | -0.06 | -0.05 | 13.13M | 15.52M |
| 2025-08-14 | -0.12 | -0.04 | 11.79M | 29.00M |
| 2025-05-15 | -0.14 | -0.04 | 11.30M | 17.50M |
| 2025-03-20 | -0.15 | -0.25 | 13.82M | 34.45M |
| 2024-11-14 | -0.51 | -0.33 | 9.30M | 13.87M |
| 2024-08-14 | -0.40 | -0.37 | 2.26M | 5.00M |
| 2024-05-09 | -0.38 | -0.51 | — | — |
| 2024-03-28 | -0.67 | -0.41 | 3.02M | — |
| 2023-11-09 | -0.36 | -0.54 | — | — |
| 2023-08-10 | -0.46 | -0.40 | — | — |
| 2023-05-11 | -0.32 | -0.36 | — | — |
| 2023-03-23 | -0.41 | -0.39 | — | — |
| 2022-11-10 | -0.42 | -0.49 | — | — |
| 2022-08-15 | -0.47 | -0.57 | — | — |
| 2022-05-13 | -0.93 | -0.82 | — | — |
| 2022-03-30 | -0.77 | -1.03 | — | — |
| 2021-11-15 | -0.98 | -0.74 | 3 | 2 |
| 2021-09-20 | -0.18 | -0.80 | — | — |
| 2021-08-06 | -0.61 | — | — | — |
| 2020-12-31 | -11.42 | — | — | — |
| 2020-09-30 | -0.76 | — | — | — |
| 2020-06-30 | -0.00 | — | — | — |
Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency —.
Safety score 37/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. No dividend history was found. There is no dividend yield.
| Ex-date | Dividend | Record | Payment | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No data yet. | ||||
| Date | Insider | Action | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Sheffield Ian | Buy | 100.00K | $0.95 | 95.49K |
| 2026-08-30 | Sheffield Ian | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-08-30 | Elia Marc | Buy | 10.70M | $0.96 | 10.32M |
| 2026-08-18 | Lee Timothy Edward | Sell | 18.43K | $0.84 | 15.53K |
| 2026-08-18 | Green Julie | Sell | 18.43K | $0.84 | 15.53K |
| 2026-08-18 | Duke William E. | Sell | 18.43K | $0.84 | 15.53K |
| 2026-08-18 | Andersen Jill | Sell | 30.71K | $0.84 | 25.88K |
| 2026-08-18 | Allen Robert D. III | Sell | 17.04K | $0.84 | 14.37K |
| 2026-08-17 | Lee Timothy Edward | Sell | 22.36K | $0.72 | 16.14K |
| 2026-08-17 | Green Julie | Sell | 22.36K | $0.72 | 16.14K |
| 2026-08-17 | Duke William E. | Sell | 22.36K | $0.72 | 16.14K |
| 2026-08-17 | Andersen Jill | Sell | 37.26K | $0.72 | 26.90K |
| 2026-08-17 | Allen Robert D. III | Sell | 20.68K | $0.72 | 14.93K |
| 2026-08-15 | Lee Timothy Edward | Buy | 102.00K | — | — |
| 2026-08-15 | Lee Timothy Edward | Sell | 102.00K | — | — |
| 2026-08-15 | Green Julie | Buy | 102.00K | — | — |
| 2026-08-15 | Green Julie | Sell | 102.00K | — | — |
| 2026-08-15 | Duke William E. | Buy | 102.00K | — | — |
| 2026-08-15 | Duke William E. | Sell | 102.00K | — | — |
| 2026-08-15 | Andersen Jill | Buy | 170.00K | — | — |
| 2026-08-15 | Andersen Jill | Sell | 170.00K | — | — |
| 2026-08-15 | Allen Robert D. III | Buy | 102.00K | — | — |
| 2026-08-15 | Allen Robert D. III | Sell | 102.00K | — | — |
| 2026-07-31 | Mina Michael | Buy | 1.12M | $0.54 | 601.88K |
| 2026-07-31 | Mina Michael | Other | 375.00K | $1.33 | 498.75K |
| 2026-05-19 | Royan Ajay | Buy | 50.00K | $1.04 | 52.00K |
| 2026-05-19 | MCLAUGHLIN KEVIN F | Buy | 50.00K | $1.04 | 52.00K |
| 2026-05-19 | MCGUIRE TERRANCE | Buy | 50.00K | $1.04 | 52.00K |
| 2026-05-19 | Elia Marc | Buy | 50.00K | $1.04 | 52.00K |
| 2026-05-19 | BOLNO PAUL | Buy | 32.88K | $1.04 | 34.19K |
| 2026-05-19 | Berry Tamsin | Buy | 50.00K | $1.04 | 52.00K |
| 2026-02-18 | Allen Robert D. III | Sell | 19.39K | $1.58 | 30.60K |
| 2026-02-18 | Green Julie | Sell | 20.96K | $1.58 | 33.08K |
| 2026-02-18 | Duke William E. | Sell | 20.96K | $1.58 | 33.08K |
| 2026-02-18 | Lee Timothy Edward | Sell | 20.96K | $1.58 | 33.08K |
| 2026-02-18 | Andersen Jill | Sell | 34.94K | $1.58 | 55.13K |
| 2026-02-17 | Allen Robert D. III | Sell | 18.19K | $1.54 | 28.00K |
| 2026-02-17 | Green Julie | Sell | 19.66K | $1.54 | 30.27K |
| 2026-02-17 | Duke William E. | Sell | 19.66K | $1.54 | 30.27K |
| 2026-02-17 | Lee Timothy Edward | Sell | 19.66K | $1.54 | 30.27K |
| 2026-02-17 | Andersen Jill | Sell | 32.77K | $1.54 | 50.45K |
| 2026-02-15 | Allen Robert D. III | Buy | 99.00K | — | — |
| 2026-02-15 | Allen Robert D. III | Sell | 99.00K | — | — |
| 2026-02-15 | Green Julie | Buy | 99.00K | — | — |
| 2026-02-15 | Green Julie | Sell | 99.00K | — | — |
| 2026-02-15 | Duke William E. | Buy | 99.00K | — | — |
| 2026-02-15 | Duke William E. | Sell | 99.00K | — | — |
| 2026-02-15 | Lee Timothy Edward | Buy | 99.00K | — | — |
| 2026-02-15 | Lee Timothy Edward | Sell | 99.00K | — | — |
| 2026-02-15 | Andersen Jill | Buy | 165.00K | — | — |
| 2026-02-15 | Andersen Jill | Sell | 165.00K | — | — |
| 2026-01-29 | Duke William E. | Buy | 625.00K | $1.85 | 1.16M |
| 2026-01-29 | Green Julie | Buy | 675.00K | $1.85 | 1.25M |
| 2026-01-29 | Lee Timothy Edward | Buy | 675.00K | $1.85 | 1.25M |
| 2026-01-29 | Andersen Jill | Buy | 820.00K | $1.85 | 1.52M |
| 2026-01-29 | Allen Robert D. III | Buy | 625.00K | $1.85 | 1.16M |
| 2025-11-19 | MCLAUGHLIN KEVIN F | Buy | 50.00K | $2.50 | 125.00K |
| 2025-09-22 | BOLNO PAUL | Buy | 100.00K | $1.22 | 122.00K |
| 2025-09-22 | BOLNO PAUL | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-08-19 | Lee Timothy Edward | Sell | 29.64K | $0.57 | 16.80K |
| 2025-08-19 | Duke William E. | Sell | 29.64K | $0.57 | 16.80K |
| 2025-08-19 | Green Julie | Sell | 29.64K | $0.57 | 16.80K |
| 2025-08-19 | Andersen Jill | Sell | 49.40K | $0.57 | 27.99K |
| 2025-08-19 | Allen Robert D. III | Sell | 27.42K | $0.57 | 15.54K |
| 2025-08-18 | Lee Timothy Edward | Sell | 20.01K | $0.65 | 13.01K |
| 2025-08-18 | Duke William E. | Sell | 20.01K | $0.65 | 13.01K |
| 2025-08-18 | Green Julie | Sell | 20.01K | $0.65 | 13.01K |
| 2025-08-18 | Andersen Jill | Sell | 33.35K | $0.65 | 21.69K |
| 2025-08-18 | Allen Robert D. III | Sell | 18.51K | $0.65 | 12.04K |
| 2025-08-15 | Lee Timothy Edward | Sell | 99.00K | — | — |
| 2025-08-15 | Lee Timothy Edward | Buy | 99.00K | — | — |
| 2025-08-15 | Duke William E. | Sell | 99.00K | — | — |
| 2025-08-15 | Duke William E. | Buy | 99.00K | — | — |
| 2025-08-15 | Green Julie | Sell | 99.00K | — | — |
| 2025-08-15 | Green Julie | Buy | 99.00K | — | — |
| 2025-08-15 | Andersen Jill | Sell | 165.00K | — | — |
| 2025-08-15 | Andersen Jill | Buy | 165.00K | — | — |
| 2025-08-15 | Allen Robert D. III | Sell | 99.00K | — | — |
| 2025-08-15 | Allen Robert D. III | Buy | 99.00K | — | — |
| 2025-05-20 | MCGUIRE TERRANCE | Buy | 50.00K | $0.81 | 40.46K |
| 2025-05-20 | Berry Tamsin | Buy | 50.00K | $0.81 | 40.46K |
| 2025-05-20 | MCLAUGHLIN KEVIN F | Buy | 50.00K | $0.81 | 40.46K |
| 2025-05-20 | Elia Marc | Buy | 50.00K | $0.81 | 40.46K |
| 2025-05-20 | Lindenboom Christine | Buy | 50.00K | $0.81 | 40.46K |
| 2025-05-20 | Royan Ajay | Buy | 8.22K | $0.81 | 6.65K |
| 2025-03-24 | Royan Ajay | Buy | 100.00K | $0.72 | 72.40K |
| 2025-03-22 | Royan Ajay | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-02-15 | Andersen Jill | Buy | 950.00K | $1.61 | 1.53M |
| 2025-02-15 | Andersen Jill | Buy | 500.00K | — | — |
| 2025-02-15 | Allen Robert D. III | Buy | 950.00K | $1.61 | 1.53M |
| 2025-02-15 | Duke William E. | Buy | 950.00K | $1.61 | 1.53M |
| 2025-02-15 | Allen Robert D. III | Buy | 300.00K | — | — |
| 2025-02-15 | Duke William E. | Buy | 300.00K | — | — |
| 2025-02-15 | Green Julie | Buy | 950.00K | $1.61 | 1.53M |
| 2025-02-15 | Green Julie | Buy | 300.00K | — | — |
| 2025-02-15 | Lee Timothy Edward | Buy | 950.00K | $1.61 | 1.53M |
| 2025-02-15 | Lee Timothy Edward | Buy | 300.00K | — | — |
| 2024-12-31 | MCGUIRE TERRANCE | Sell | 103.47K | $0.45 | 46.10K |
| 2024-12-30 | MCGUIRE TERRANCE | Sell | 86.55K | $0.48 | 41.78K |
| 2024-12-27 | MCGUIRE TERRANCE | Sell | 83.74K | $0.52 | 43.65K |
Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.
Institutions holding: 133, holders -13 vs prior quarter. Ownership 72.70%.
| Holder | Shares | Change | Change % | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUPITER TOPCO LLC | 34.17M | 34.17M | New | 30.05M |
| BVF INC/IL | 28.16M | 8.64M | +44.25% | 24.57M |
| MAVERICK CAPITAL LTD | 18.97M | 0 | 0.00% | 16.55M |
| PERCEPTIVE ADVISORS LLC | 18.49M | -2.37M | -11.36% | 16.13M |
| BLACKROCK, INC. | 16.13M | 11.85M | +276.83% | 14.08M |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 10.50M | 422.18K | +4.19% | 9.15M |
| M28 CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LP | 9.25M | 0 | 0.00% | 8.07M |
| SATURN V CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LP | 8.39M | -2.56M | -23.35% | 7.32M |
| SOLEUS CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. | 7.71M | 0 | 0.00% | 6.73M |
| POINT72 ASSET MANAGEMENT, L.P. | 7.54M | 7.50M | +17067.97% | 6.58M |
| MORGAN STANLEY | 5.73M | 2.34M | +69.15% | 5.00M |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 5.42M | 2.95M | +119.48% | 4.73M |
| SIREN, L.L.C. | 5.00M | 1.00M | +25.00% | 4.36M |
| DRIEHAUS CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 4.81M | -3.63M | -43.03% | 4.19M |
| ADAR1 CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 3.81M | -15.00K | -0.39% | 3.32M |
| ADAGE CAPITAL PARTNERS GP, L.L.C. | 3.66M | 0 | 0.00% | 3.19M |
| CITADEL ADVISORS LLC | 3.58M | 3.50M | +4520.57% | 3.12M |
| STATE STREET CORP | 3.46M | -3.48M | -50.15% | 3.02M |
| QUBE RESEARCH & TECHNOLOGIES LTD | 3.32M | 633.04K | +23.56% | 2.90M |
| IKARIAN CAPITAL, LLC | 2.66M | 0 | 0.00% | 2.32M |
| REDMILE GROUP, LLC | 2.60M | -50.90K | -1.92% | 2.27M |
| 683 CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 2.48M | -32.46K | -1.29% | 2.17M |
| TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP | 2.33M | 363.81K | +18.47% | 2.04M |
| EVERSEPT PARTNERS, LP | 2.24M | -39.33K | -1.73% | 1.95M |
| ENSIGN PEAK ADVISORS, INC | 1.72M | -297.93K | -14.75% | 1.50M |
Insights · Dividends · Forecast · Financials · Learn
$180.07M
Market Cap
—
P/E
—
Forward P/E
—
Score