Kodiak AI (KDK) Stock Insights
KDK$1.33+0.21 +18.75%
$266.82M
Market Cap
—
P/E
—
Forward P/E
—
Score
Kodiak AI (KDK) Stock Insights
KDK price $1.33 +0.21 +18.75%
- Ticker
- KDK
- Price
- $1.33
- Change
- +0.21 +18.75%
- Market cap ?
- $266.82M
- Beta ?
- 0.42
- Sector
- Technology
- Industry
- Software - Infrastructure
Fair value
KDK fair value $11.91. Price $1.33. Price is 89% below fair value.
Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.
Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 295.62K. Growth 0.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 8.70% (beta 0.8). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 200.62M. Net debt -14.32M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, kept between 8 and 40. Fewer than five years of history uses the sector's typical P/E. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.
Model uncertainty high for this stock
Earnings
| Date | EPS actual | EPS estimate | Revenue | Revenue estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-05 | — | -0.25 | — | 2.52M |
| 2026-08-06 | -0.50 | -0.17 | 3.50M | 2.57M |
| 2026-05-07 | 0.10 | -0.20 | 1.83M | 1.65M |
| 2026-03-10 | -0.42 | -0.16 | 1.05M | 992.75K |
| 2025-11-12 | -3.89 | -0.16 | 770.00K | 674.92K |
| 2025-08-12 | -1.26 | -0.28 | 501.50K | 674.92K |
| 2025-05-15 | -0.71 | — | 1.47M | — |
Dividends
Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency —.
Safety score 37/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. No dividend history was found. There is no dividend yield.
| Ex-date | Dividend | Record | Payment | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No data yet. | ||||
Insider trades
| Date | Insider | Action | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | Major Zsuzsanna | Buy | 200.33K | — | — |
| 2026-07-01 | Coleman Jordan S. | Buy | 292.15K | — | — |
| 2026-07-01 | Wiesinger Michael | Buy | 417.36K | — | — |
| 2026-07-01 | Datta Surajit | Buy | 417.36K | — | — |
| 2026-07-01 | Datta Surajit | Buy | 563.06K | — | — |
| 2026-07-01 | Datta Surajit | Sell | 2.04M | $8.88 | 18.07M |
| 2026-07-01 | Wendel Andreas | Buy | 434.06K | — | — |
| 2026-07-01 | Burnette Donald L. | Buy | 1.17M | — | — |
| 2026-06-12 | TOBIN SCOTT R | Buy | 31.76K | — | — |
| 2026-06-12 | Sverchek Kristin | Buy | 31.76K | — | — |
| 2026-06-12 | Reed James D | Buy | 31.76K | — | — |
| 2026-06-12 | GOLDMAN KENNETH A | Buy | 31.76K | — | — |
| 2026-06-12 | Elshenawy Mohamed | Buy | 31.76K | — | — |
| 2026-05-08 | AAC II Holdings II LP | Buy | 769.23K | $4,999,995.00 | 3.85T |
| 2026-05-08 | AAC II Holdings II LP | Sell | 769.23K | $6.00 | 4.62M |
| 2025-12-30 | Major Zsuzsanna | Sell | 10.00K | $0.51 | 5.13K |
| 2025-12-30 | Major Zsuzsanna | Buy | 10.00K | $0.51 | 5.13K |
| 2025-09-24 | AAC II Holdings II LP | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | Wiesinger Michael | Buy | 357.36K | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | Wiesinger Michael | Buy | 147.26K | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | Wiesinger Michael | Buy | 140.64K | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | Wiesinger Michael | Buy | 125.91K | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | Wiesinger Michael | Buy | 45.51K | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | Wiesinger Michael | Buy | 30.34K | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | Major Zsuzsanna | Buy | 156.55K | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | Major Zsuzsanna | Buy | 153.48K | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | Major Zsuzsanna | Buy | 125.91K | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | Major Zsuzsanna | Buy | 113.77K | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | Major Zsuzsanna | Buy | 101.61K | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | Major Zsuzsanna | Buy | 46.05K | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | Major Zsuzsanna | Buy | 45.51K | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | Wendel Andreas | Buy | 1.51M | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | Wendel Andreas | Buy | 227.54K | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | Wendel Andreas | Buy | 49.09K | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | Wendel Andreas | Buy | 46.05K | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | Sverchek Kristin | Buy | 62.90K | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | Reed James D | Buy | 425.04K | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | GOLDMAN KENNETH A | Buy | 62.90K | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | Elshenawy Mohamed | Buy | 62.90K | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | Coleman Jordan S. | Buy | 251.83K | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | Coleman Jordan S. | Buy | 228.47K | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | Coleman Jordan S. | Buy | 227.54K | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | Coleman Jordan S. | Buy | 125.91K | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | Coleman Jordan S. | Buy | 49.09K | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | Coleman Jordan S. | Buy | 48.54K | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | Coleman Jordan S. | Buy | 46.05K | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | Coleman Jordan S. | Buy | 45.51K | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | Datta Surajit | Buy | 699.45K | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | Burnette Donald L. | Buy | 349.43K | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | Satin Allyson | Buy | 59.24K | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | TOBIN SCOTT R | Buy | 11.14M | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | TOBIN SCOTT R | Buy | 215.77K | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | TOBIN SCOTT R | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | Wiesinger Michael | Buy | 1.04M | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | Wiesinger Michael | Buy | 1.04M | $0.47 | 486.80K |
| 2025-09-24 | Wiesinger Michael | Buy | 428.63K | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | Wiesinger Michael | Buy | 428.63K | $6.84 | 2.93M |
| 2025-09-24 | Wiesinger Michael | Buy | 409.36K | $0.68 | 278.12K |
| 2025-09-24 | Wiesinger Michael | Buy | 409.36K | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | Wiesinger Michael | Buy | 366.50K | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | Wiesinger Michael | Buy | 366.50K | $0.68 | 249.00K |
| 2025-09-24 | Wiesinger Michael | Buy | 178.74K | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | Wiesinger Michael | Buy | 132.46K | $0.68 | 89.99K |
| 2025-09-24 | Wiesinger Michael | Buy | 132.46K | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | Wiesinger Michael | Buy | 88.31K | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | Wiesinger Michael | Buy | 88.31K | $0.68 | 60.00K |
| 2025-09-24 | Wendel Andreas | Buy | 4.40M | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | Wendel Andreas | Buy | 4.40M | $0.68 | 2.99M |
| 2025-09-24 | Wendel Andreas | Buy | 4.31M | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | Wendel Andreas | Buy | 662.31K | $0.47 | 309.96K |
| 2025-09-24 | Wendel Andreas | Buy | 662.31K | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | Wendel Andreas | Buy | 142.88K | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | Wendel Andreas | Buy | 142.88K | $6.84 | 977.11K |
| 2025-09-24 | Wendel Andreas | Buy | 134.06K | $0.35 | 46.54K |
| 2025-09-24 | Wendel Andreas | Buy | 134.06K | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | Sverchek Kristin | Buy | 183.09K | $6.84 | 1.25M |
| 2025-09-24 | Sverchek Kristin | Buy | 183.09K | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | Reed James D | Buy | 1.24M | $0.68 | 840.53K |
| 2025-09-24 | Reed James D | Buy | 1.24M | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | Major Zsuzsanna | Buy | 455.67K | $0.68 | 309.58K |
| 2025-09-24 | Major Zsuzsanna | Buy | 455.67K | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | Major Zsuzsanna | Buy | 446.75K | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | Major Zsuzsanna | Buy | 446.75K | $0.51 | 229.31K |
| 2025-09-24 | Major Zsuzsanna | Buy | 366.50K | $0.68 | 249.00K |
| 2025-09-24 | Major Zsuzsanna | Buy | 366.50K | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | Major Zsuzsanna | Buy | 331.15K | $0.47 | 154.98K |
| 2025-09-24 | Major Zsuzsanna | Buy | 331.15K | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | Major Zsuzsanna | Buy | 295.75K | $6.84 | 2.02M |
| 2025-09-24 | Major Zsuzsanna | Buy | 295.75K | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | Major Zsuzsanna | Buy | 134.06K | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | Major Zsuzsanna | Buy | 134.06K | $0.35 | 46.54K |
| 2025-09-24 | Major Zsuzsanna | Buy | 132.46K | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | Major Zsuzsanna | Buy | 132.46K | $0.68 | 89.99K |
| 2025-09-24 | GOLDMAN KENNETH A | Buy | 183.09K | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | GOLDMAN KENNETH A | Buy | 183.09K | $6.84 | 1.25M |
| 2025-09-24 | Elshenawy Mohamed | Buy | 183.09K | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | Elshenawy Mohamed | Buy | 183.09K | $8.88 | 1.63M |
| 2025-09-24 | Datta Surajit | Buy | 2.04M | $8.88 | 18.07M |
| 2025-09-24 | Datta Surajit | Buy | 2.04M | — | — |
| 2025-09-24 | Coleman Jordan S. | Buy | 733.00K | $0.68 | 498.00K |
Institutional holders
Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.
Institutions holding: 94, holders +27 vs prior quarter. Ownership 45.54%.
| Holder | Shares | Change | Change % | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BATTERY MANAGEMENT CORP. | 11.36M | 0 | 0.00% | 57.69M |
| ARES MANAGEMENT LLC | 10.61M | 10.61M | New | 53.90M |
| SOROS FUND MANAGEMENT LLC | 9.77M | 0 | 0.00% | 49.62M |
| SIP GLOBAL OPPORTUNITY MANAGER LLC | 9.55M | 0 | 0.00% | 48.53M |
| LIGHTSPEED MANAGEMENT COMPANY, L.L.C. | 7.34M | 0 | 0.00% | 37.29M |
| ARK INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LLC | 5.15M | 1.34M | +35.35% | 26.16M |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 4.85M | 3.68M | +312.79% | 24.64M |
| ALYESKA INVESTMENT GROUP, L.P. | 3.85M | 3.85M | New | 19.54M |
| AMOVA ASSET MANAGEMENT AMERICAS, INC. | 2.36M | 683.73K | +40.75% | 12.02M |
| SUMITOMO MITSUI TRUST GROUP, INC. | 2.36M | 683.73K | +40.75% | 12.00M |
| LMR PARTNERS LLP | 1.92M | 1.92M | New | 9.77M |
| BLACKROCK, INC. | 1.79M | -20.03K | -1.11% | 9.07M |
| SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP | 1.62M | 1.62M | New | 8.22M |
| CITADEL ADVISORS LLC | 1.54M | 1.50M | +4806.07% | 7.80M |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 1.45M | 106.16K | +7.91% | 7.36M |
| STEPSTONE GROUP LP | 1.41M | 226 | +0.02% | 7.18M |
| POLAR ASSET MANAGEMENT PARTNERS INC. | 1.38M | 1.38M | New | 7.02M |
| STATE STREET CORP | 1.29M | 507.50K | +65.15% | 6.54M |
| POLAR ASSET MANAGEMENT PARTNERS INC. | 1.20M | 1.20M | New | 6.10M |
| METEORA CAPITAL, LLC | 778.96K | 778.96K | New | 3.96M |
| MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC | 731.55K | 731.55K | New | 3.72M |
| VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST CO | 672.90K | 110.62K | +19.67% | 3.42M |
| SIXTH STREET PARTNERS MANAGEMENT COMPANY, L.P. | 663.65K | 663.65K | New | 3.37M |
| CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC | 663.65K | 33.39K | +5.30% | 3.37M |
| UBS GROUP AG | 580.15K | 92.06K | +18.86% | 2.95M |
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