Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) Stock Insights

KDP price $34.93 +0.07 +0.20%

Ticker
KDP
Price
$34.93
Change
+0.07 +0.20%
Market cap ?
$47.53B
P/E ?
35.20
Forward P/E ?
15.24
Dividend yield ?
2.63%
Beta ?
0.41
Sector
Consumer Defensive
Industry
Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
Stocklytics score
38
Value
38
Quality
34
Growth
42

Stocklytics score rationale: value 38, quality 34, growth 42.

Financials

2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
64400000006690000000744200000011120000000116180000001268300000014057000000148140000001535100000016603000000

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. is a prominent beverage firm with operations spanning both the United States and global markets. The company structures its business across four primary divisions: Coffee Systems, Packaged Beverages, Beverage Concentrates, and Latin America Beverages. Its Coffee Systems division is responsible for the production and distribution of an array of finished products linked to its coffee brewing…

Fair value

KDP fair value $56.13. Price $34.93. Price is 38% below fair value.

Above fair value, and more expensive than usual. A larger premium than on 66% of days in the past 5 years.

Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.

Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 1.97B. Growth 7.05%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 8.70% (beta 0.8). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 1.36B. Net debt 15.12B. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.

Compare KDP

Earnings

DateEPS actualEPS estimateRevenueRevenue estimate
2026-11-03—0.62—7.33B
2026-08-060.570.547.31B7.23B
2026-04-230.390.373.98B3.84B
2026-02-240.600.594.50B4.36B
2025-10-270.540.544.31B4.15B
2025-07-240.490.494.16B4.14B
2025-04-240.420.383.63B3.57B
2025-02-250.580.574.07B4.01B
2024-10-240.510.513.89B3.92B
2024-07-250.450.453.92B3.91B
2024-04-250.380.353.47B3.41B
2024-02-220.550.543.87B3.91B
2023-10-260.480.473.81B3.77B
2023-07-270.420.403.79B3.69B
2023-04-270.340.333.35B3.30B
2023-02-230.500.513.80B3.78B
2022-10-270.460.463.62B3.63B
2022-07-280.390.393.55B3.38B
2022-04-280.330.333.08B3.01B
2022-02-240.450.453.39B3.30B
2021-10-280.440.443.25B3.16B
2021-07-290.380.373.14B3.14B
2021-04-290.330.312.90B2.72B
2021-02-250.390.403.12B3.20B
2020-10-290.390.373.02B2.87B
2020-07-300.330.322.86B2.78B
2020-04-270.290.272.61B2.43B
2020-02-270.350.352.93B2.93B
2019-11-070.320.312.87B2.87B
2019-08-080.300.292.81B2.72B
2019-05-090.250.232.50B2.30B
2019-02-280.300.312.81B2.81B
2018-11-070.300.272.73B2.55B
2018-08-080.270.281.89B204.40M
2018-04-250.981.041.59B1.01B
2018-02-141.131.161.64B1.69B
2017-10-251.101.161.74B1.83B
2017-07-271.251.281.80B1.84B
2017-04-260.910.971.51B1.45B
2017-02-141.041.061.58B1.61B

Dividends

Yield 2.63%. Payout ratio 91.31%. Frequency Quarterly.

Safety score 75/100 · Safe. Payout ratio is 91% of earnings. Dividends use a moderate share of free cash flow. Dividends were paid in 18 separate years. Yield is 2.6%, in a range that is usually sustainable.

Ex-dateDividendRecordPaymentFrequency
2026-09-28$0.232026-09-282026-10-09Quarterly
2026-06-26$0.232026-06-262026-07-10Quarterly
2026-03-27$0.232026-03-272026-04-10Irregular
2026-01-02$0.232026-01-022026-01-16Quarterly
2025-09-26$0.232025-09-262025-10-10Quarterly
2025-06-27$0.232025-06-272025-07-11Quarterly
2025-03-28$0.232025-03-282025-04-11Irregular
2025-01-03$0.232025-01-032025-01-17Quarterly
2024-09-27$0.232024-09-272024-10-11Quarterly
2024-06-28$0.212024-06-282024-07-12Quarterly
2024-03-27$0.212024-03-292024-04-12Quarterly
2024-01-04$0.212024-01-052024-01-19Quarterly
2023-09-28$0.212023-09-292023-10-13Quarterly
2023-06-29$0.202023-06-302023-07-14Quarterly
2023-03-30$0.202023-03-312023-04-14Quarterly
2023-01-05$0.202023-01-062023-01-20Quarterly
2022-09-29$0.202022-09-302022-10-14Quarterly
2022-06-30$0.192022-07-012022-07-15Quarterly
2022-03-31$0.192022-04-012022-04-15Quarterly
2022-01-05$0.192022-01-062022-01-20Quarterly
2021-09-30$0.192021-10-012021-10-15Quarterly
2021-06-30$0.192021-07-012021-07-15Quarterly
2021-03-31$0.152021-04-012021-04-15Quarterly
2021-01-07$0.152021-01-082021-01-22Quarterly
2020-10-01$0.152020-10-022020-10-16Quarterly
2020-07-01$0.152020-07-032020-07-17Quarterly
2020-04-02$0.152020-04-032020-04-17Quarterly
2020-01-02$0.152020-01-032020-01-17Quarterly
2019-10-03$0.152019-10-042019-10-18Quarterly
2019-07-03$0.152019-07-052019-07-19Quarterly
2019-04-04$0.152019-04-052019-04-19Quarterly
2019-01-03$0.152019-01-042019-01-18Quarterly
2018-10-04$0.152018-10-052018-10-19Semi-Annual
2018-07-10$103.752018-07-062018-07-10Quarterly
2018-03-20$0.582018-03-212018-04-12Quarterly
2017-12-13$0.582017-12-142018-01-04Quarterly
2017-09-13$0.582017-09-142017-10-05Quarterly
2017-06-12$0.582017-06-142017-07-06Quarterly
2017-03-10$0.582017-03-142017-04-05Quarterly
2016-12-09$0.532016-12-132017-01-05Quarterly
2016-09-09$0.532016-09-132016-10-05Quarterly
2016-06-10$0.532016-06-142016-07-07Quarterly
2016-03-11$0.532016-03-152016-04-05Quarterly
2015-12-10$0.482015-12-142016-01-06Quarterly
2015-09-10$0.482015-09-142015-10-02Quarterly
2015-06-11$0.482015-06-152015-07-07Quarterly
2015-03-12$0.482015-03-162015-04-07Quarterly
2014-12-11$0.412014-12-152015-01-07Quarterly
2014-09-11$0.412014-09-152014-10-03Quarterly
2014-06-12$0.412014-06-162014-07-03Quarterly
2014-03-13$0.412014-03-172014-04-04Quarterly
2013-12-12$0.382013-12-162014-01-03Quarterly
2013-09-12$0.382013-09-162013-10-04Quarterly
2013-06-13$0.382013-06-172013-07-05Quarterly
2013-03-13$0.382013-03-152013-04-05Quarterly
2012-12-13$0.342012-12-172013-01-04Quarterly
2012-09-13$0.342012-09-172012-10-05Quarterly
2012-06-14$0.342012-06-182012-07-06Quarterly
2012-03-15$0.342012-03-192012-04-06Quarterly
2011-12-15$0.322011-12-192012-01-06Quarterly
2011-09-15$0.322011-09-192011-10-07Quarterly
2011-06-16$0.322011-06-202011-07-08Quarterly
2011-03-17$0.252011-03-212011-04-08Quarterly
2010-12-16$0.252010-12-202011-01-07Quarterly
2010-09-16$0.252010-09-202010-10-08Quarterly
2010-06-17$0.252010-06-212010-07-09Quarterly
2010-03-18$0.152010-03-222010-04-09Quarterly
2009-12-17$0.152009-12-212010-01-08Quarterly

Insider trades

DateInsiderActionSharesPriceValue
2026-09-16Alt Aaron EBuy2.75K——
2026-09-16DRISCOLL BRIAN JBuy2.75K——
2026-09-14Gorli EricBuy3.32K——
2026-09-14Gorli EricSell1.31K$31.5841.24K
2026-09-14Gorli EricSell3.32K——
2026-09-14Shoemaker AnthonyBuy785——
2026-09-14Shoemaker AnthonyBuy59.78K——
2026-09-14Shoemaker AnthonySell23.83K$31.58752.65K
2026-09-14Shoemaker AnthonySell785——
2026-09-14Sandler Debra A.Buy2.29K——
2026-09-14Sandler Debra A.Sell2.29K——
2026-09-09DeNooyer Mary BethSell12.00K$32.30387.60K
2026-09-08DeNooyer Mary BethSell12.00K$32.55390.60K
2026-09-03Stephens Angela A.Sell9.50K$32.70310.65K
2026-08-25Alt Aaron EBuy7.86K$31.83250.25K
2026-08-14Alt Aaron EOther0——
2026-06-16DRISCOLL BRIAN JOther0——
2026-06-01Stephens Angela A.Buy2.95K——
2026-06-01Stephens Angela A.Sell1.16K$30.2035.06K
2026-06-01Stephens Angela A.Sell2.95K——
2026-05-20Cofer Timothy P.Buy88.11K——
2026-05-20Cofer Timothy P.Sell88.11K——
2026-05-20Cofer Timothy P.Sell34.67K$28.69994.68K
2026-04-27OLIVEIRA RAFAELBuy177.62K——
2026-04-01OLIVEIRA RAFAELOther0——
2026-03-05Stephens Angela A.Buy2.39K——
2026-03-05Stephens Angela A.Sell900$28.0525.25K
2026-03-05Stephens Angela A.Sell2.39K——
2026-03-05Lemire OlivierBuy2.39K——
2026-03-05Lemire OlivierSell1.24K$28.0534.75K
2026-03-05Lemire OlivierSell2.39K——
2026-03-05Gorli EricBuy6.76K——
2026-03-05Gorli EricSell2.66K$28.0574.58K
2026-03-05Gorli EricSell6.76K——
2026-03-05DeNooyer Mary BethBuy6.76K——
2026-03-05DeNooyer Mary BethSell3.40K$28.0595.48K
2026-03-05DeNooyer Mary BethSell6.76K——
2026-03-05Shoemaker AnthonyBuy6.76K——
2026-03-05Shoemaker AnthonySell2.66K$28.0574.58K
2026-03-05Shoemaker AnthonySell6.76K——
2026-03-05Johnson Roger FrederickBuy6.76K——
2026-03-05Johnson Roger FrederickSell2.66K$28.0574.58K
2026-03-05Johnson Roger FrederickSell6.76K——
2026-03-05Cofer Timothy P.Buy30.97K——
2026-03-05Cofer Timothy P.Sell12.19K$28.05341.85K
2026-03-05Cofer Timothy P.Sell30.97K——
2026-03-05Gamgort Robert JamesBuy14.08K——
2026-03-05Gamgort Robert JamesSell5.54K$28.05155.40K
2026-03-05Gamgort Robert JamesSell14.08K——
2026-03-04Stephens Angela A.Buy11.04K——
2026-03-04Lemire OlivierBuy48.49K——
2026-03-04Lemire OlivierBuy18.18K——
2026-03-04Gorli EricBuy103.92K——
2026-03-04Gorli EricBuy38.97K——
2026-03-04DeNooyer Mary BethBuy83.13K——
2026-03-04DeNooyer Mary BethBuy31.18K——
2026-03-04Shoemaker AnthonyBuy103.92K——
2026-03-04Shoemaker AnthonyBuy38.97K——
2026-03-04Johnson Roger FrederickBuy103.92K——
2026-03-04Johnson Roger FrederickBuy38.97K——
2026-03-04Cofer Timothy P.Buy225.15K——
2026-03-04Cofer Timothy P.Buy168.86K——
2026-03-04Gamgort Robert JamesBuy10.39K——
2026-03-04O'Toole Amie ThuenerBuy6.06K——
2026-03-04Newlands William ABuy6.06K——
2026-03-04Sandler Debra A.Buy6.06K——
2026-03-04Van de Ven Michael GBuy6.06K——
2026-03-04Boston OrayBuy6.06K——
2026-03-04Whiting Lawson EBuy6.06K——
2026-03-04Singer Robert SBuy6.06K——
2026-03-04PATSLEY PAMELA HBuy10.39K——
2026-03-04Hickman JulietteBuy6.06K——
2026-03-03Singer Robert SBuy5.23K——
2026-03-03Singer Robert SSell5.23K——
2026-03-03PATSLEY PAMELA HBuy5.23K——
2026-03-03PATSLEY PAMELA HSell5.23K——
2026-03-03Hickman JulietteBuy5.23K——
2026-03-03Hickman JulietteSell5.23K——
2026-03-03Gamgort Robert JamesBuy30.70K——
2026-03-03Gamgort Robert JamesSell12.08K$29.57357.24K
2026-03-03Gamgort Robert JamesSell30.70K——
2026-03-03Stephens Angela A.Buy2.78K——
2026-03-03Stephens Angela A.Sell1.03K$29.5730.49K
2026-03-03Stephens Angela A.Sell2.78K——
2026-03-03Shoemaker AnthonyBuy2.78K——
2026-03-03Shoemaker AnthonySell1.09K$29.5732.32K
2026-03-03Shoemaker AnthonySell2.78K——
2026-03-03Lemire OlivierBuy1.29K——
2026-03-03Lemire OlivierSell653$29.5719.31K
2026-03-03Lemire OlivierSell1.29K——
2026-03-03Johnson Roger FrederickBuy2.78K——
2026-03-03Johnson Roger FrederickSell1.17K$29.5734.69K
2026-03-03Johnson Roger FrederickSell2.78K——
2026-03-03Gorli EricBuy2.78K——
2026-03-03Gorli EricSell1.09K$29.5732.32K
2026-03-03Gorli EricSell2.78K——
2026-03-03DeNooyer Mary BethBuy4.57K——
2026-03-03DeNooyer Mary BethSell2.34K$29.5769.16K
2026-03-03DeNooyer Mary BethSell4.57K——
2026-03-02Gamgort Robert JamesBuy24.35K——

Institutional holders

Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.

Institutions holding: 891, holders +26 vs prior quarter. Ownership 107.19%.

HolderSharesChangeChange %Value
FMR LLC172.40M26.77M+18.38%5.64B
BLACKROCK, INC.143.53M18.02M+14.36%4.70B
CAPITAL WORLD INVESTORS118.73M19.70M+19.89%3.89B
HARRIS ASSOCIATES L P92.85M-228.02K-0.24%3.04B
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC86.58M610.70K+0.71%2.83B
STATE STREET CORP64.13M-993.78K-1.53%2.11B
VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC62.85M733.21K+1.18%2.06B
WELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP55.94M-5.80M-9.40%1.83B
INVESCO LTD.45.57M17.05M+59.80%1.49B
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC38.55M5.61M+17.02%1.26B
T. ROWE PRICE INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, INC.37.80M503.30K+1.35%1.24B
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO31.36M-1.90M-5.73%1.05B
BARROW HANLEY MEWHINNEY & STRAUSS LLC23.44M1.57M+7.16%767.11M
CAPITAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTORS22.73M2.70M+13.47%744.04M
MORGAN STANLEY17.16M-9.44M-35.49%561.70M
PRICE T ROWE ASSOCIATES INC /MD/16.70M2.55M+18.03%546.55M
CITADEL ADVISORS LLC16.66M14.87M+827.35%545.38M
NORGES BANK16.04M16.04MNew525.09M
POINT72 ASSET MANAGEMENT, L.P.13.95M12.97M+1319.28%456.54M
ALLSPRING GLOBAL INVESTMENTS HOLDINGS, LLC12.87M-304.74K-2.31%429.47M
UBS GROUP AG13.00M6.60M+103.12%425.52M
NORTHERN TRUST CORP11.92M-247.79K-2.04%390.13M
UBS AM, A DISTINCT BUSINESS UNIT OF UBS ASSET MANAGEMENT AMERICAS LLC11.37M-116.15K-1.01%372.08M
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP9.56M-23.11K-0.24%313.07M
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC9.46M-44.08K-0.46%309.67M

Insights

Revenue by product
PeriodValue
FY2011Beverage Concentrates: 1193000000.0, Latin America Beverages: 418000000.0, Packaged Beverages: 4292000000.0
FY2012Beverage Concentrates: 1221000000.0, Latin America Beverages: 416000000.0, Packaged Beverages: 4358000000.0
FY2013Beverage Concentrates: 1229000000.0, Latin America Beverages: 462000000.0, Packaged Beverages: 4306000000.0
FY2014Beverage Concentrates: 1228000000.0, Latin America Beverages: 532000000.0, Packaged Beverages: 4361000000.0
FY2015Beverage Concentrates: 1241000000.0, Latin America Beverages: 497000000.0, Packaged Beverages: 4544000000.0
FY2016Beverage Concentrates: 1284000000.0, Latin America Beverages: 460000000.0, Packaged Beverages: 4696000000.0
FY2017Beverage Concentrates: 1332000000.0, Latin America Beverages: 487000000.0, Packaged Beverages: 4871000000.0
FY2018Beverage Concentrates: 669000000.0, Coffee Systems: 4114000000.0, Latin America Beverages: 244000000.0, Packaged Beverages: 2415000000.0
FY2019Beverage Concentrates: 1414000000.0, Coffee Systems: 4233000000.0, Latin America Beverages: 528000000.0, Packaged Beverages: 4945000000.0
FY2020Beverage Concentrates: 1325000000.0, Coffee Systems: 4433000000.0, Latin America Beverages: 497000000.0, Packaged Beverages: 5363000000.0
FY2021Beverage Concentrates: 1486000000.0, Coffee Systems: 4716000000.0, Latin America Beverages: 599000000.0, Packaged Beverages: 5882000000.0
FY2022Beverage Concentrates: 1725000000.0, Coffee Systems: 4982000000.0, Latin America Beverages: 743000000.0, Packaged Beverages: 6607000000.0
FY2023Appliances: 799000000.0, K-Cup Pods: 3684000000.0, LRB: 9905000000.0, Other Products: 426000000.0
FY2024Appliances: 772000000.0, K-Cup Pods: 3614000000.0, LRB: 10566000000.0, Other Products: 399000000.0
FY2025Appliances: 646000000.0, K-Cup Pods: 3777000000.0, LRB: 11602000000.0, Other Products: 578000000.0
Revenue by region
PeriodValue
FY2010International: 607000000.0, UNITED STATES: 5029000000.0
FY2011International: 660000000.0, UNITED STATES: 5243000000.0
FY2012International: 654000000.0, UNITED STATES: 5341000000.0
FY2013International: 705000000.0, UNITED STATES: 5292000000.0
FY2014International: 760000000.0, UNITED STATES: 5361000000.0
FY2015International: 707000000.0, UNITED STATES: 5575000000.0
FY2016International: 672000000.0, UNITED STATES: 5768000000.0
FY2017International: 712000000.0, UNITED STATES: 5978000000.0
FY2018International: 834000000.0, UNITED STATES: 6608000000.0
FY2019International: 1277000000.0, UNITED STATES: 9843000000.0
FY2020International: 1300000000.0, UNITED STATES: 10318000000.0
FY2021International: 1416000000.0, UNITED STATES: 11267000000.0
FY2022International: 1603000000.0, UNITED STATES: 12454000000.0
FY2023International: 1853000000.0, UNITED STATES: 12961000000.0
FY2024International: 1983000000.0, UNITED STATES: 13368000000.0
FY2025International: 2101000000.0, UNITED STATES: 14502000000.0

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Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) Stock Insights

KDP$34.93+0.07 +0.20%

$47.53B

Market Cap

35.20

P/E

15.24

Forward P/E

38

Score

Price History