LENZ Therapeutics (LENZ) Stock Insights
LENZ$3.21+0.06 +1.90%
$100.86M
Market Cap
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P/E
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Forward P/E
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Score
LENZ Therapeutics (LENZ) Stock Insights
LENZ price $3.21 +0.06 +1.90%
- Ticker
- LENZ
- Price
- $3.21
- Change
- +0.06 +1.90%
- Market cap ?
- $100.86M
- Beta ?
- 1.73
- Sector
- Healthcare
- Industry
- Biotechnology
Fair value
LENZ fair value $10.28. Price $3.21. Price is 69% below fair value.
Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.
Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 1.72M. Growth 0.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 12.00% (beta 1.7). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 31.42M. Net debt -24.36M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.
Model uncertainty high for this stock
Earnings
| Date | EPS actual | EPS estimate | Revenue | Revenue estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 | — | -0.89 | — | 4.20M |
| 2026-08-11 | -1.02 | -1.05 | 5.49M | 2.38M |
| 2026-05-11 | -1.32 | -1.10 | 1.90M | 1.76M |
| 2026-03-24 | -1.16 | -0.91 | 1.59M | 3.08M |
| 2025-11-05 | -0.59 | -0.67 | 12.50M | 3.09M |
| 2025-07-30 | -0.53 | -0.58 | 5.00M | 714.29K |
| 2025-05-07 | -0.53 | -0.55 | — | 714.29K |
| 2025-03-19 | -0.46 | -0.42 | — | — |
| 2024-11-06 | -0.38 | -0.46 | — | — |
| 2024-08-14 | -0.40 | -0.49 | — | — |
| 2024-05-08 | -3.53 | -0.84 | — | — |
| 2024-02-27 | -0.40 | -0.13 | — | — |
| 2023-11-13 | -2.75 | -1.75 | — | — |
| 2023-08-14 | -6.79 | -6.79 | — | — |
| 2023-05-11 | -3.01 | -2.41 | — | — |
| 2023-03-20 | -3.08 | -3.45 | — | — |
| 2022-11-09 | -3.15 | -3.11 | — | — |
| 2022-08-11 | -3.36 | -3.44 | — | — |
| 2022-05-12 | -3.36 | -2.73 | — | — |
Dividends
Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency Weekly.
Safety score 43/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. Dividend history is short. There is no dividend yield.
| Ex-date | Dividend | Record | Payment | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-22 | $7.21 | 2024-03-18 | — | Weekly |
| 2024-03-15 | $7.21 | — | — | Weekly |
Insider trades
| Date | Insider | Action | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-15 | RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. | Buy | 22.10K | $6.63 | 146.52K |
| 2026-06-15 | George Jeffrey P. | Buy | 22.10K | $6.63 | 146.52K |
| 2026-06-15 | Drapkin Kimberlee C | Buy | 22.10K | $6.63 | 146.52K |
| 2026-06-15 | MCCOLLUM JAMES W | Buy | 22.10K | $6.63 | 146.52K |
| 2026-06-15 | Thunen Shelley B | Buy | 22.10K | $6.63 | 146.52K |
| 2026-06-15 | Guerard Frederic | Buy | 22.10K | $6.63 | 146.52K |
| 2026-06-15 | Scheiner Zachary | Buy | 22.10K | $6.63 | 146.52K |
| 2026-03-27 | George Jeffrey P. | Buy | 5.59K | $8.92 | 49.89K |
| 2026-03-27 | Schimmelpennink Evert B. | Buy | 28.09K | $8.95 | 251.41K |
| 2026-03-27 | Chevallard Daniel R. | Buy | 7.50K | $8.57 | 64.28K |
| 2026-01-02 | Olsson Shawn | Buy | 84.20K | $16.00 | 1.35M |
| 2026-01-02 | Olsson Shawn | Buy | 14.00K | — | — |
| 2026-01-02 | Odrich Marc | Buy | 84.20K | $16.00 | 1.35M |
| 2026-01-02 | Odrich Marc | Buy | 14.00K | — | — |
| 2026-01-02 | Chevallard Daniel R. | Buy | 84.20K | $16.00 | 1.35M |
| 2026-01-02 | Chevallard Daniel R. | Buy | 14.00K | — | — |
| 2026-01-02 | Schimmelpennink Evert B. | Buy | 358.10K | $16.00 | 5.73M |
| 2025-11-17 | Olsson Shawn | Sell | 10.00K | $2.08 | 20.80K |
| 2025-11-17 | Olsson Shawn | Buy | 10.00K | $2.08 | 20.80K |
| 2025-11-17 | Olsson Shawn | Sell | 4.21K | $25.74 | 108.41K |
| 2025-11-17 | Olsson Shawn | Sell | 5.79K | $26.37 | 152.61K |
| 2025-11-07 | MCCOLLUM JAMES W | Buy | 10.50K | $22.79 | 239.28K |
| 2025-11-07 | Chevallard Daniel R. | Buy | 2.18K | $22.76 | 49.56K |
| 2025-11-07 | Chevallard Daniel R. | Buy | 20 | $22.71 | 454 |
| 2025-09-30 | Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. | Sell | 49.70K | $45.35 | 2.25M |
| 2025-09-30 | Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. | Sell | 83.07K | $46.41 | 3.85M |
| 2025-09-30 | Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. | Sell | 177 | $47.01 | 8.32K |
| 2025-09-30 | Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. | Sell | 34.41K | $45.35 | 1.56M |
| 2025-09-30 | Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. | Sell | 57.50K | $46.41 | 2.67M |
| 2025-09-30 | Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. | Sell | 123 | $47.01 | 5.78K |
| 2025-09-18 | Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. | Sell | 49.48K | $41.59 | 2.06M |
| 2025-09-18 | Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. | Sell | 40.91K | $43.00 | 1.76M |
| 2025-09-18 | Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. | Sell | 268 | $43.30 | 11.60K |
| 2025-09-18 | Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. | Sell | 24.37K | $41.59 | 1.01M |
| 2025-09-18 | Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. | Sell | 20.15K | $43.00 | 866.44K |
| 2025-09-18 | Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. | Sell | 132 | $43.30 | 5.72K |
| 2025-08-26 | Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. | Sell | 43.98K | $38.97 | 1.71M |
| 2025-08-26 | Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. | Sell | 3.46K | $39.50 | 136.88K |
| 2025-08-26 | Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. | Sell | 21.66K | $38.97 | 844.22K |
| 2025-08-26 | Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. | Sell | 1.71K | $39.50 | 67.43K |
| 2025-08-25 | Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. | Sell | 50.27K | $39.53 | 1.99M |
| 2025-08-25 | Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. | Sell | 2.15K | $39.92 | 85.79K |
| 2025-08-25 | Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. | Sell | 24.76K | $39.53 | 978.65K |
| 2025-08-25 | Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. | Sell | 1.06K | $39.92 | 42.24K |
| 2025-08-22 | Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. | Sell | 20.49K | $40.03 | 820.33K |
| 2025-08-22 | Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. | Sell | 5.67K | $40.59 | 230.06K |
| 2025-08-22 | Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. | Sell | 10.08K | $40.03 | 403.34K |
| 2025-08-22 | Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. | Sell | 2.81K | $40.59 | 114.02K |
| 2025-08-18 | Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. | Sell | 30.63K | $38.56 | 1.18M |
| 2025-08-18 | Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. | Sell | 15.09K | $38.56 | 581.69K |
| 2025-08-15 | Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. | Sell | 145.05K | $39.50 | 5.73M |
| 2025-08-15 | Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. | Sell | 69.95K | $39.50 | 2.76M |
| 2025-07-10 | Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. | Sell | 191.38K | $34.00 | 6.51M |
| 2025-06-27 | Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. | Sell | 200.00K | $30.46 | 6.09M |
| 2025-06-20 | Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. | Sell | 133.92K | $30.25 | 4.05M |
| 2025-06-20 | Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. | Sell | 100.88K | $30.35 | 3.06M |
| 2025-06-18 | Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. | Sell | 100.00K | $29.95 | 3.00M |
| 2025-06-11 | RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. | Buy | 13.50K | $30.00 | 405.00K |
| 2025-06-11 | George Jeffrey P. | Buy | 13.50K | $30.00 | 405.00K |
| 2025-06-11 | Drapkin Kimberlee C | Buy | 13.50K | $30.00 | 405.00K |
| 2025-06-11 | Guerard Frederic | Buy | 13.50K | $30.00 | 405.00K |
| 2025-06-11 | Thunen Shelley B | Buy | 13.50K | $30.00 | 405.00K |
| 2025-06-11 | MCCOLLUM JAMES W | Buy | 13.50K | $30.00 | 405.00K |
| 2025-06-11 | Scheiner Zachary | Buy | 13.50K | $30.00 | 405.00K |
| 2025-06-10 | Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. | Sell | 350.00K | $29.00 | 10.15M |
| 2025-04-09 | Olsson Shawn | Sell | 1.40K | $2.08 | 2.91K |
| 2025-04-09 | Olsson Shawn | Buy | 1.40K | $2.08 | 2.91K |
| 2025-03-07 | Schimmelpennink Evert B. | Sell | 4.20K | $1.04 | 4.37K |
| 2025-03-07 | Schimmelpennink Evert B. | Buy | 4.20K | $1.04 | 4.37K |
| 2025-01-09 | Olsson Shawn | Buy | 80.10K | $26.34 | 2.11M |
| 2025-01-09 | Odrich Marc | Buy | 80.10K | $26.34 | 2.11M |
| 2025-01-09 | Chevallard Daniel R. | Buy | 70.44K | $26.34 | 1.86M |
| 2025-01-09 | Schimmelpennink Evert B. | Buy | 279.10K | $26.34 | 7.35M |
| 2024-12-16 | Olsson Shawn | Sell | 3.33K | $2.08 | 6.93K |
| 2024-12-16 | Olsson Shawn | Buy | 3.33K | $2.08 | 6.93K |
| 2024-07-22 | Schimmelpennink Evert B. | Sell | 45.00K | $1.04 | 46.80K |
| 2024-07-22 | Schimmelpennink Evert B. | Buy | 45.00K | $1.04 | 46.80K |
| 2024-05-14 | Chevallard Daniel R. | Buy | 3.19K | $15.68 | 49.99K |
| 2024-05-13 | MCCOLLUM JAMES W | Buy | 31.33K | $15.99 | 501.09K |
| 2024-03-21 | Alpha Wave Ventures GP, Ltd | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2024-03-21 | Alpha Wave Ventures GP, Ltd | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2024-03-21 | RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. | Buy | 933.04K | $15.03 | 14.02M |
| 2024-03-21 | RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. | Buy | 2.39M | — | — |
| 2024-03-21 | RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. | Buy | 64.97K | $15.03 | 976.51K |
| 2024-03-21 | RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. | Buy | 694.75K | — | — |
| 2024-03-21 | RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. | Buy | 164.73K | — | — |
| 2024-03-21 | RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. | Buy | 54.58K | $10.64 | 580.75K |
| 2024-03-21 | RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. | Buy | 27.00K | $15.05 | 406.35K |
| 2024-03-21 | RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. | Buy | 10.58K | $10.64 | 112.57K |
| 2024-03-21 | RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. | Buy | 5.37K | $10.64 | 57.15K |
| 2024-03-21 | RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2024-03-21 | Thunen Shelley B | Buy | 27.00K | $15.05 | 406.35K |
| 2024-03-21 | MCCOLLUM JAMES W | Buy | 16.63K | $15.03 | 249.99K |
| 2024-03-21 | MCCOLLUM JAMES W | Buy | 477.60K | — | — |
| 2024-03-21 | MCCOLLUM JAMES W | Buy | 95.03K | — | — |
| 2024-03-21 | MCCOLLUM JAMES W | Buy | 27.00K | $15.05 | 406.35K |
| 2024-03-21 | MCCOLLUM JAMES W | Buy | 6.58K | $10.64 | 69.96K |
| 2024-03-21 | Guerard Frederic | Buy | 30.90K | $2.08 | 64.27K |
| 2024-03-21 | Guerard Frederic | Buy | 27.00K | $15.05 | 406.35K |
| 2024-03-21 | Guerard Frederic | Buy | 23.57K | $6.04 | 142.37K |
Institutional holders
Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.
Institutions holding: 152, holders 0 vs prior quarter. Ownership 111.21%.
| Holder | Shares | Change | Change % | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. | 4.18M | 0 | 0.00% | 23.74M |
| ALPHA WAVE GLOBAL, LP | 3.61M | 0 | 0.00% | 20.52M |
| FMR LLC | 3.56M | -38.88K | -1.08% | 20.21M |
| VERSANT VENTURE MANAGEMENT, LLC | 2.66M | 0 | 0.00% | 15.09M |
| BLACKROCK, INC. | 2.29M | 315.30K | +15.95% | 13.02M |
| SQUAREPOINT OPS LLC | 1.75M | 240.60K | +15.97% | 9.92M |
| ABERDEEN GROUP PLC | 1.55M | 391.72K | +33.88% | 8.79M |
| MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC | 1.51M | 639.22K | +73.54% | 8.57M |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 1.10M | 56.57K | +5.43% | 6.24M |
| 72 INVESTMENT HOLDINGS, LLC | 1.02M | 0 | 0.00% | 5.78M |
| BLUE OWL CAPITAL HOLDINGS LP | 756.72K | 250.00K | +49.34% | 4.30M |
| C WORLDWIDE GROUP HOLDING A/S | 700.00K | 0 | 0.00% | 3.98M |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 564.66K | 40.09K | +7.64% | 3.21M |
| TREXQUANT INVESTMENT LP | 497.53K | 283.12K | +132.05% | 2.83M |
| MARSHALL WACE, LLP | 493.10K | 332.83K | +207.68% | 2.80M |
| QUBE RESEARCH & TECHNOLOGIES LTD | 482.19K | 482.19K | New | 2.74M |
| MORGAN STANLEY | 473.00K | -175.85K | -27.10% | 2.69M |
| PRIMECAP MANAGEMENT CO/CA/ | 472.20K | 0 | 0.00% | 2.68M |
| TANG CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 451.11K | 0 | 0.00% | 2.56M |
| ALYESKA INVESTMENT GROUP, L.P. | 438.88K | -24.61K | -5.31% | 2.49M |
| STATE STREET CORP | 406.67K | 4.45K | +1.11% | 2.31M |
| CITADEL ADVISORS LLC | 363.23K | 287.93K | +382.38% | 2.06M |
| TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP | 285.58K | -215.41K | -43.00% | 1.62M |
| ROCK SPRINGS CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LP | 257.46K | 0 | 0.00% | 1.46M |
| BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/ | 255.41K | -292.12K | -53.35% | 1.45M |
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