Grand Canyon Education (LOPE) Stock Insights
$4.02B
Market Cap
19.10
P/E
15.09
Forward P/E
58
Score
LOPE price $154.07 -3.23 -2.06%
Stocklytics score rationale: value 57, quality 80, growth 36.
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 873344000 | 974134000 | 845501000 | 778643000 | 844096000 | 896564000 | 911306000 | 960899000 | 1033002000 | 1106070000 |
Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (GCE) furnishes a broad spectrum of educational support services to higher education institutions throughout the United States. Its comprehensive suite of offerings encompasses technology solutions, such as learning management systems, internal administrative platforms, and critical infrastructure and technical support. GCE also provides academic services, which include curriculum and…
LOPE fair value $200.09. Price $154.07. Price is 23% below fair value.
Below fair value, around its usual discount.
Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.
Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 242.49M. Growth 5.61%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 8.70% (beta 0.8). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 26.07M. Net debt 88.32M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, kept between 8 and 40. Fewer than five years of history uses the sector's typical P/E. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.
| Date | EPS actual | EPS estimate | Revenue | Revenue estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-04 | — | 1.76 | — | 270.11M |
| 2026-07-30 | 1.81 | 1.67 | 264.05M | 261.87M |
| 2026-04-30 | 2.86 | 2.78 | 308.80M | 307.75M |
| 2026-02-18 | 3.21 | 3.19 | 308.12M | 308.10M |
| 2025-11-05 | 1.78 | 1.78 | 261.14M | 307.92M |
| 2025-08-06 | 1.53 | 1.37 | 247.50M | 240.91M |
| 2025-05-06 | 2.57 | 2.51 | 289.31M | 239.11M |
| 2025-02-19 | 2.95 | 2.93 | 292.57M | 289.61M |
| 2024-11-06 | 1.42 | 1.47 | 238.29M | 239.70M |
| 2024-08-06 | 1.27 | 1.10 | 227.46M | 223.39M |
| 2024-05-07 | 2.35 | 2.22 | 274.68M | 272.32M |
| 2024-02-13 | 2.77 | 2.72 | 278.28M | 275.10M |
| 2023-11-02 | 1.26 | 1.09 | 221.91M | 219.63M |
| 2023-08-03 | 1.01 | 0.89 | 210.58M | 208.10M |
| 2023-05-02 | 2.00 | 1.96 | 250.12M | 249.73M |
| 2023-02-16 | 2.36 | 2.24 | 258.70M | 256.18M |
| 2022-10-27 | 1.02 | 0.87 | 208.72M | 207.94M |
| 2022-08-04 | 0.85 | 0.84 | 199.75M | 201.06M |
| 2022-05-04 | 1.72 | 1.70 | 244.13M | 241.78M |
| 2022-02-16 | 2.11 | 2.11 | 251.38M | 252.41M |
| 2021-10-28 | 1.11 | 1.14 | 206.77M | 209.80M |
| 2021-08-05 | 1.12 | 1.09 | 201.49M | 201.49M |
| 2021-05-05 | 1.72 | 1.67 | 236.93M | 234.97M |
| 2021-02-17 | 1.89 | 1.79 | 238.29M | 224.98M |
| 2020-11-05 | 1.14 | 1.11 | 198.38M | 193.16M |
| 2020-08-04 | 1.03 | 0.89 | 185.77M | 160.52M |
| 2020-05-07 | 1.53 | 1.50 | 221.66M | 217.31M |
| 2020-02-19 | 1.63 | 1.54 | 213.25M | 201.47M |
| 2019-11-06 | 1.24 | 1.14 | 193.29M | 177.70M |
| 2019-08-06 | 1.09 | 0.94 | 174.82M | 150.76M |
| 2019-05-07 | 1.62 | 1.49 | 197.29M | 181.46M |
| 2019-02-20 | 1.57 | 1.42 | 177.55M | 160.58M |
| 2018-11-08 | 1.06 | 1.00 | 155.45M | 145.19M |
| 2018-08-08 | 0.95 | 0.85 | 236.82M | 211.89M |
| 2018-05-02 | 1.52 | 1.39 | 275.68M | 252.10M |
| 2018-02-21 | 1.19 | 1.10 | 271.42M | 250.89M |
| 2017-11-01 | 0.81 | 0.76 | 236.21M | 221.63M |
| 2017-08-01 | 0.83 | 0.68 | 218.30M | 178.85M |
| 2017-05-04 | 1.16 | 1.01 | 248.21M | 216.11M |
| 2017-02-16 | 1.01 | 0.98 | 244.66M | 237.40M |
Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency —.
Safety score 37/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. No dividend history was found. There is no dividend yield.
| Ex-date | Dividend | Record | Payment | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No data yet. | ||||
| Date | Insider | Action | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-10 | Warren Kevin F. | Buy | 498 | — | — |
| 2026-06-10 | Humphrey Chevy | Buy | 498 | — | — |
| 2026-06-10 | Keegan Lisa Graham | Buy | 498 | — | — |
| 2026-06-10 | HENRY JACK A | Buy | 498 | — | — |
| 2026-06-10 | Ward Sara | Buy | 498 | — | — |
| 2026-05-05 | BACHUS DANIEL E | Sell | 770 | — | — |
| 2026-05-05 | Meyer William Stan | Sell | 500 | — | — |
| 2026-05-05 | MUELLER BRIAN E | Sell | 300 | — | — |
| 2026-03-01 | Collins Sarah S. | Sell | 127 | $159.07 | 20.20K |
| 2026-03-01 | Browning Lori | Sell | 980 | $159.07 | 155.89K |
| 2026-03-01 | Marsh Dilek | Sell | 1.66K | $159.07 | 264.69K |
| 2026-03-01 | BACHUS DANIEL E | Sell | 2.48K | $159.07 | 394.49K |
| 2026-03-01 | Meyer William Stan | Sell | 2.48K | $159.07 | 394.49K |
| 2026-03-01 | MUELLER BRIAN E | Sell | 4.71K | $159.07 | 749.38K |
| 2026-01-28 | Collins Sarah S. | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-01-28 | Browning Lori | Buy | 1.44K | — | — |
| 2026-01-28 | Marsh Dilek | Buy | 2.86K | — | — |
| 2026-01-28 | BACHUS DANIEL E | Buy | 3.70K | — | — |
| 2026-01-28 | Meyer William Stan | Buy | 3.70K | — | — |
| 2026-01-28 | MUELLER BRIAN E | Buy | 6.93K | — | — |
| 2025-11-11 | Humphrey Chevy | Sell | 600 | $166.15 | 99.69K |
| 2025-06-10 | Warren Kevin F. | Buy | 409 | — | — |
| 2025-06-10 | Humphrey Chevy | Buy | 409 | — | — |
| 2025-06-10 | Keegan Lisa Graham | Buy | 409 | — | — |
| 2025-06-10 | HENRY JACK A | Buy | 409 | — | — |
| 2025-06-10 | Ward Sara | Buy | 409 | — | — |
| 2025-05-12 | Keegan Lisa Graham | Sell | 500 | $195.67 | 97.83K |
| 2025-03-04 | Claypatch Kathy J. | Sell | 1.50K | $179.03 | 268.55K |
| 2025-03-03 | BACHUS DANIEL E | Sell | 550 | — | — |
| 2025-03-03 | BACHUS DANIEL E | Sell | 4.16K | $180.40 | 751.01K |
| 2025-03-03 | Meyer William Stan | Sell | 450 | — | — |
| 2025-03-03 | Meyer William Stan | Sell | 4.16K | $180.40 | 751.01K |
| 2025-03-03 | MUELLER BRIAN E | Sell | 560 | — | — |
| 2025-03-03 | MUELLER BRIAN E | Sell | 7.72K | $180.40 | 1.39M |
| 2025-03-01 | Browning Lori | Sell | 1.07K | $179.82 | 192.77K |
| 2025-03-01 | Claypatch Kathy J. | Sell | 662 | $179.82 | 119.04K |
| 2025-03-01 | Marsh Dilek | Sell | 1.71K | $179.82 | 307.67K |
| 2025-03-01 | BACHUS DANIEL E | Sell | 2.83K | $179.82 | 507.99K |
| 2025-03-01 | Meyer William Stan | Sell | 2.83K | $179.82 | 507.99K |
| 2025-03-01 | MUELLER BRIAN E | Sell | 5.35K | $179.82 | 962.22K |
| 2025-01-29 | Browning Lori | Buy | 1.46K | — | — |
| 2025-01-29 | Claypatch Kathy J. | Buy | 1.46K | — | — |
| 2025-01-29 | Marsh Dilek | Buy | 2.60K | — | — |
| 2025-01-29 | BACHUS DANIEL E | Buy | 3.74K | — | — |
| 2025-01-29 | Meyer William Stan | Buy | 3.74K | — | — |
| 2025-01-29 | MUELLER BRIAN E | Buy | 7.01K | — | — |
| 2024-12-18 | Marsh Dilek | Sell | 1.50K | $166.07 | 249.10K |
| 2024-11-20 | HENRY JACK A | Sell | 1.56K | $162.20 | 253.03K |
| 2024-11-12 | BACHUS DANIEL E | Sell | 3.00K | $170.84 | 512.52K |
| 2024-11-12 | BACHUS DANIEL E | Sell | 662 | — | — |
| 2024-11-12 | Meyer William Stan | Sell | 2.80K | $170.85 | 478.38K |
| 2024-11-12 | Meyer William Stan | Sell | 600 | — | — |
| 2024-11-12 | MUELLER BRIAN E | Sell | 7.70K | $171.26 | 1.32M |
| 2024-09-18 | Marsh Dilek | Sell | 1.50K | $141.23 | 211.84K |
| 2024-08-13 | Humphrey Chevy | Sell | 560 | $142.92 | 80.04K |
| 2024-06-30 | Briggs Daniel J. | Sell | 9.29K | — | — |
| 2024-06-18 | Marsh Dilek | Sell | 1.50K | $136.78 | 205.17K |
| 2024-06-12 | Warren Kevin F. | Buy | 537 | — | — |
| 2024-06-12 | Humphrey Chevy | Buy | 537 | — | — |
| 2024-06-12 | Keegan Lisa Graham | Buy | 537 | — | — |
| 2024-06-12 | HENRY JACK A | Buy | 537 | — | — |
| 2024-06-12 | Ward Sara | Buy | 537 | — | — |
| 2024-05-13 | Keegan Lisa Graham | Sell | 270 | $147.96 | 39.95K |
| 2024-05-13 | Browning Lori | Sell | 2.00K | $147.80 | 295.60K |
| 2024-05-10 | Claypatch Kathy J. | Sell | 1.50K | $149.20 | 223.80K |
| 2024-04-24 | Warren Kevin F. | Buy | 156 | — | — |
| 2024-04-24 | Warren Kevin F. | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2024-03-18 | Marsh Dilek | Sell | 1.50K | $132.65 | 198.97K |
| 2024-03-01 | Browning Lori | Sell | 1.12K | $134.71 | 150.34K |
| 2024-03-01 | Claypatch Kathy J. | Sell | 661 | $134.71 | 89.04K |
| 2024-03-01 | Briggs Daniel J. | Sell | 2.02K | $134.71 | 271.98K |
| 2024-03-01 | Marsh Dilek | Sell | 1.66K | $134.71 | 224.16K |
| 2024-03-01 | BACHUS DANIEL E | Sell | 2.98K | $134.71 | 401.30K |
| 2024-03-01 | Meyer William Stan | Sell | 2.98K | $134.71 | 401.30K |
| 2024-03-01 | MUELLER BRIAN E | Sell | 5.66K | $134.71 | 762.59K |
| 2024-01-31 | Browning Lori | Buy | 1.93K | — | — |
| 2024-01-31 | Claypatch Kathy J. | Buy | 1.93K | — | — |
| 2024-01-31 | Briggs Daniel J. | Buy | 3.83K | — | — |
| 2024-01-31 | Marsh Dilek | Buy | 3.44K | — | — |
| 2024-01-31 | BACHUS DANIEL E | Buy | 4.95K | — | — |
| 2024-01-31 | Meyer William Stan | Buy | 4.95K | — | — |
| 2024-01-31 | MUELLER BRIAN E | Buy | 9.28K | — | — |
| 2023-11-17 | HENRY JACK A | Sell | 1.45K | $137.92 | 199.98K |
| 2023-11-07 | BACHUS DANIEL E | Sell | 575 | — | — |
| 2023-11-07 | Meyer William Stan | Sell | 600 | — | — |
| 2023-08-10 | Keegan Lisa Graham | Sell | 540 | $109.34 | 59.04K |
| 2023-08-08 | Browning Lori | Sell | 2.50K | $112.75 | 281.88K |
| 2023-06-20 | Adame David | Buy | 739 | — | — |
| 2023-06-20 | Humphrey Chevy | Buy | 739 | — | — |
| 2023-06-20 | Keegan Lisa Graham | Buy | 739 | — | — |
| 2023-06-20 | HENRY JACK A | Buy | 739 | — | — |
| 2023-06-20 | Dial Sara R. | Buy | 739 | — | — |
| 2023-05-23 | HENRY JACK A | Sell | 2.50K | $109.53 | 273.82K |
| 2023-05-05 | Claypatch Kathy J. | Sell | 1.50K | $112.59 | 168.88K |
| 2023-03-01 | Browning Lori | Sell | 1.14K | $113.65 | 129.56K |
| 2023-03-01 | Claypatch Kathy J. | Sell | 646 | $113.65 | 73.42K |
| 2023-03-01 | Briggs Daniel J. | Sell | 1.66K | $113.65 | 188.43K |
| 2023-03-01 | Marsh Dilek | Sell | 1.58K | $113.65 | 179.45K |
| 2023-03-01 | BACHUS DANIEL E | Sell | 3.08K | $113.65 | 350.16K |
| 2023-03-01 | Meyer William Stan | Sell | 3.08K | $113.65 | 350.16K |
Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.
Institutions holding: 461, holders -21 vs prior quarter. Ownership 103.49%.
| Holder | Shares | Change | Change % | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BLACKROCK, INC. | 2.78M | -32.70K | -1.16% | 397.65M |
| FMR LLC | 2.05M | -637.03K | -23.75% | 292.70M |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | 1.28M | -14.07K | -1.09% | 183.05M |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 1.19M | -32.42K | -2.64% | 170.96M |
| WILLIAM BLAIR INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, LLC | 1.04M | 59.09K | +6.03% | 148.67M |
| REINHART PARTNERS, LLC. | 882.93K | 237.94K | +36.89% | 126.36M |
| STATE STREET CORP | 848.87K | -11.46K | -1.33% | 121.48M |
| DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP | 626.55K | 5.11K | +0.82% | 89.66M |
| GW&K INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, LLC | 616.65K | -107.07K | -14.79% | 88.25M |
| RIVERBRIDGE PARTNERS LLC | 555.69K | -160.89K | -22.45% | 79.53M |
| VAN BERKOM & ASSOCIATES INC. | 544.86K | -40.70K | -6.95% | 77.97M |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 542.01K | -24.27K | -4.29% | 77.59M |
| BANK OF MONTREAL /CAN/ | 536.92K | 75.32K | +16.32% | 76.84M |
| QUBE RESEARCH & TECHNOLOGIES LTD | 452.38K | 321.36K | +245.29% | 64.74M |
| AQR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 446.68K | -72.59K | -13.98% | 63.08M |
| WASATCH ADVISORS LP | 391.96K | 75.76K | +23.96% | 56.09M |
| BOSTON PARTNERS | 383.42K | 12.01K | +3.23% | 55.16M |
| FIL LTD | 356.73K | 925 | +0.26% | 51.05M |
| NORGES BANK | 356.39K | 356.39K | New | 51.00M |
| JUPITER TOPCO LLC | 300.10K | 300.10K | New | 42.94M |
| SIXTH STREET PARTNERS MANAGEMENT COMPANY, L.P. | 296.16K | 296.16K | New | 42.38M |
| CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC | 296.16K | -10.02K | -3.27% | 42.38M |
| NO STREET GP LP | 275.00K | 50.00K | +22.22% | 39.36M |
| NORTHERN TRUST CORP | 259.28K | -12.48K | -4.59% | 37.11M |
| MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC | 254.42K | 210.60K | +480.69% | 36.41M |
Insights · Dividends · Forecast · Financials · Learn
$4.02B
Market Cap
19.10
P/E
15.09
Forward P/E
58
Score