LSB Industries (LXU) Stock Forecast & Price Target
LXU$11.61+1.32 +12.83%
$835.89M
Market Cap
20.78
P/E
20.44
Forward P/E
78
Score
LSB Industries (LXU) Stock Forecast & Price Target
LXU price $11.61 +1.32 +12.83%
- Ticker
- LXU
- Price
- $11.61
- Change
- +1.32 +12.83%
- Market cap ?
- $835.89M
- P/E ?
- 20.78
- Forward P/E ?
- 20.44
- Dividend yield ?
- 0.00%
- Beta ?
- 0.31
- Sector
- Basic Materials
- Industry
- Chemicals
- Stocklytics score
- 78
- Value
- 84
- Quality
- 61
- Growth
- 88
Stocklytics score rationale: value 84, quality 61, growth 88.
Financials
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 374585000 | 427504000 | 378160000 | 365070000 | 351316000 | 556239000 | 901711000 | 593709000 | 522400000 | 615208000 |
LSB Industries, Inc. specializes in the production, distribution, and sale of a diverse array of chemical compounds. The company is a key supplier of nitrogen-based agricultural inputs, including ammonia, fertilizer-grade ammonium nitrate (HDAN), urea ammonia nitrate, and NPK blends, which are essential for enhancing the growth of corn and various other crops. Beyond agriculture, LSB provides a broad spectrum of…
Fair value
LXU fair value $10.18. Price $11.61. Price is 14% above fair value.
Above fair value, and more expensive than usual. A larger premium than on 91% of days in the past 5 years.
Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.
Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Average free cash flow, last three years 27.42M. Growth 6.12%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 8.70% (beta 0.8). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 72.00M. Net debt 469.90M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.
Earnings
| Date | EPS actual | EPS estimate | Revenue | Revenue estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-02-24 | — | 0.25 | — | 172.26M |
| 2026-10-28 | 0.22 | 0.14 | 158.60M | 160.18M |
| 2026-07-29 | -0.09 | 0.33 | 168.09M | 155.45M |
| 2026-04-29 | 0.27 | 0.13 | 169.49M | 166.19M |
| 2026-02-25 | 0.22 | 0.18 | 165.05M | 153.82M |
| 2025-10-29 | 0.10 | 0.07 | 155.43M | 138.20M |
| 2025-07-29 | 0.04 | 0.18 | 151.30M | 158.52M |
| 2025-04-29 | -0.02 | 0.02 | 143.43M | 134.60M |
| 2025-02-26 | -0.13 | -0.01 | 134.91M | 121.07M |
| 2024-10-29 | -0.35 | -0.07 | 109.22M | 96.73M |
| 2024-07-31 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 140.07M | 145.66M |
| 2024-04-30 | 0.12 | 0.05 | 138.20M | 126.84M |
| 2024-03-06 | -0.03 | 0.04 | 132.61M | 126.56M |
| 2023-11-02 | -0.06 | -0.03 | 114.29M | 107.56M |
| 2023-07-27 | 0.25 | 0.23 | 165.84M | 157.08M |
| 2023-05-03 | 0.21 | 0.25 | 180.96M | 178.59M |
| 2023-02-22 | 0.83 | 0.75 | 233.65M | 239.25M |
| 2022-11-01 | 0.03 | 0.09 | 184.27M | 155.00M |
| 2022-07-27 | 1.15 | 1.06 | 284.80M | 270.38M |
| 2022-05-03 | 0.65 | 0.82 | 198.98M | 219.12M |
| 2022-02-23 | 0.72 | 0.14 | 190.23M | 200.23M |
| 2021-11-01 | 0.07 | -0.28 | 127.20M | 126.33M |
| 2021-07-28 | 0.12 | 0.17 | 140.70M | 144.55M |
| 2021-04-28 | -0.63 | -0.37 | 98.12M | 70.83M |
| 2021-02-24 | -0.86 | -0.69 | 88.90M | 79.93M |
| 2020-11-05 | -0.82 | -0.74 | 73.97M | 66.99M |
| 2020-07-29 | -0.26 | -0.37 | 105.03M | 148.28M |
| 2020-05-06 | -0.78 | -0.60 | 83.41M | 64.42M |
| 2020-02-24 | -0.71 | -0.75 | 73.90M | 66.51M |
| 2019-10-28 | -1.07 | -0.77 | 75.50M | 54.31M |
| 2019-07-29 | -0.04 | -0.36 | 121.53M | 97.55M |
| 2019-04-30 | -0.53 | -0.55 | 94.15M | 90.76M |
| 2019-02-26 | -0.58 | — | 94.73M | — |
| 2018-10-24 | -0.94 | — | 79.78M | — |
| 2018-07-25 | -0.98 | 0.12 | 103.20M | 14.60M |
| 2018-04-25 | -0.38 | -0.28 | 100.45M | 73.84M |
| 2018-02-26 | -0.23 | -0.79 | 88.92M | 351.15M |
| 2017-10-30 | -0.70 | -0.79 | 92.39M | 104.58M |
| 2017-07-25 | -0.41 | -0.21 | 122.85M | 75.42M |
| 2017-04-24 | -0.36 | -0.44 | 123.34M | 113.82M |
Dividends
Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency Semi-Annual.
Safety score 55/100 · Moderate. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. Dividends were paid in 6 separate years. There is no dividend yield.
| Ex-date | Dividend | Record | Payment | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1998-12-29 | $0.01 | — | — | Semi-Annual |
| 1998-06-11 | $0.01 | — | — | Semi-Annual |
| 1997-12-29 | $0.03 | — | — | Semi-Annual |
| 1997-06-12 | $0.03 | — | — | Semi-Annual |
| 1996-12-12 | $0.03 | — | — | Semi-Annual |
| 1996-06-12 | $0.03 | — | — | Semi-Annual |
| 1995-12-13 | $0.03 | — | — | Semi-Annual |
| 1995-06-13 | $0.03 | — | — | Semi-Annual |
| 1994-12-09 | $0.03 | — | — | Semi-Annual |
| 1994-06-09 | $0.03 | — | — | Semi-Annual |
| 1993-12-09 | $0.03 | — | — | Semi-Annual |
| 1993-06-09 | $0.03 | — | — | Semi-Annual |
Insider trades
| Date | Insider | Action | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | Ackerman Jonathan Z. | Buy | 1.00K | $10.17 | 10.17K |
| 2026-09-15 | Ackerman Jonathan Z. | Buy | 1.00K | $11.30 | 11.30K |
| 2026-08-12 | Ackerman Jonathan Z. | Buy | 1.00K | $9.89 | 9.89K |
| 2026-06-10 | White Lynn F | Sell | 40.00K | $11.80 | 472.00K |
| 2026-06-08 | CARVER KRISTY | Sell | 9.55K | $12.38 | 118.28K |
| 2026-05-22 | Ackerman Jonathan Z. | Buy | 9.25K | $12.97 | 120.00K |
| 2026-05-22 | CHANDLER JOHN D | Buy | 9.25K | $12.97 | 120.00K |
| 2026-05-22 | White Lynn F | Buy | 9.25K | $12.97 | 120.00K |
| 2026-05-22 | Bertocco Riccardo | Buy | 9.25K | $12.97 | 120.00K |
| 2026-05-22 | Peninger Diana M | Buy | 9.25K | $12.97 | 120.00K |
| 2026-04-24 | BEHRMAN MARK T | Buy | 706.88K | $14.57 | 10.30M |
| 2026-04-02 | Ackerman Jonathan Z. | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-26 | Boehly Todd L | Sell | 4.89M | $14.85 | 72.60M |
| 2026-03-12 | MAGUIRE CHERYL | Sell | 20.00K | $15.00 | 300.00K |
| 2026-03-02 | BEHRMAN MARK T | Sell | 250.00K | $11.75 | 2.94M |
| 2026-02-26 | CARVER KRISTY | Sell | 2.09K | $10.99 | 22.98K |
| 2026-02-11 | GOLSEN BARRY H | Sell | 4.43K | $10.04 | 44.45K |
| 2026-02-11 | GOLSEN BARRY H | Sell | 13.39K | $10.04 | 134.40K |
| 2026-02-10 | GOLSEN BARRY H | Sell | 6.34K | $10.04 | 63.64K |
| 2026-02-10 | GOLSEN BARRY H | Sell | 19.16K | $10.04 | 192.39K |
| 2026-02-09 | GOLSEN BARRY H | Sell | 826 | $10.00 | 8.26K |
| 2026-02-09 | GOLSEN BARRY H | Sell | 2.50K | $10.00 | 24.95K |
| 2026-02-04 | Renwick Damien | Buy | 25.11K | — | — |
| 2026-02-04 | BEHRMAN MARK T | Buy | 153.60K | — | — |
| 2026-02-04 | Bemis Scott D | Buy | 10.58K | — | — |
| 2026-02-04 | MAGUIRE CHERYL | Buy | 29.46K | — | — |
| 2026-02-04 | Foster Michael J. | Buy | 26.55K | — | — |
| 2026-02-04 | CARVER KRISTY | Buy | 8.12K | — | — |
| 2026-01-26 | Renwick Damien | Buy | 8.18K | $9.88 | 80.84K |
| 2026-01-26 | Renwick Damien | Sell | 3.60K | $9.88 | 35.54K |
| 2026-01-26 | Renwick Damien | Sell | 1.69K | $9.88 | 16.72K |
| 2026-01-26 | Foster Michael J. | Buy | 12.16K | $9.88 | 120.13K |
| 2026-01-26 | Foster Michael J. | Sell | 5.36K | $9.88 | 52.99K |
| 2026-01-26 | Foster Michael J. | Sell | 2.51K | $9.88 | 24.84K |
| 2026-01-26 | BEHRMAN MARK T | Buy | 67.88K | $9.88 | 670.69K |
| 2026-01-26 | BEHRMAN MARK T | Sell | 29.94K | $9.88 | 295.78K |
| 2026-01-26 | BEHRMAN MARK T | Sell | 14.03K | $9.88 | 138.66K |
| 2026-01-26 | MAGUIRE CHERYL | Buy | 12.27K | $9.88 | 121.27K |
| 2026-01-26 | MAGUIRE CHERYL | Sell | 5.41K | $9.88 | 53.48K |
| 2026-01-26 | MAGUIRE CHERYL | Sell | 2.54K | $9.88 | 25.08K |
| 2026-01-26 | CARVER KRISTY | Buy | 3.75K | $9.88 | 37.02K |
| 2026-01-26 | CARVER KRISTY | Sell | 1.85K | $9.88 | 18.30K |
| 2026-01-26 | CARVER KRISTY | Sell | 868 | $9.88 | 8.58K |
| 2026-01-23 | GOLSEN BARRY H | Sell | 3.96K | $10.03 | 39.71K |
| 2026-01-23 | GOLSEN BARRY H | Sell | 11.97K | $10.03 | 120.03K |
| 2026-01-22 | GOLSEN BARRY H | Sell | 1.62K | $10.02 | 16.19K |
| 2026-01-22 | GOLSEN BARRY H | Sell | 4.88K | $10.02 | 48.94K |
| 2026-01-21 | GOLSEN BARRY H | Sell | 24.00K | $10.06 | 241.45K |
| 2026-01-21 | GOLSEN BARRY H | Sell | 72.55K | $10.06 | 729.88K |
| 2026-01-21 | MAGUIRE CHERYL | Sell | 5.90K | $10.01 | 59.05K |
| 2026-01-17 | Renwick Damien | Sell | 4.16K | $9.60 | 39.95K |
| 2026-01-17 | CARVER KRISTY | Sell | 1.43K | $9.60 | 13.68K |
| 2026-01-17 | Foster Michael J. | Sell | 4.51K | $9.60 | 43.33K |
| 2026-01-17 | BEHRMAN MARK T | Sell | 23.20K | $9.60 | 222.70K |
| 2026-01-17 | MAGUIRE CHERYL | Sell | 4.51K | $9.60 | 43.28K |
| 2026-01-16 | Bemis Scott D | Sell | 1.61K | $9.95 | 16.03K |
| 2026-01-16 | Renwick Damien | Sell | 3.64K | $9.95 | 36.18K |
| 2026-01-16 | CARVER KRISTY | Sell | 1.24K | $9.95 | 12.36K |
| 2026-01-16 | Foster Michael J. | Sell | 4.05K | $9.95 | 40.29K |
| 2026-01-16 | BEHRMAN MARK T | Sell | 21.53K | $9.95 | 214.19K |
| 2026-01-16 | MAGUIRE CHERYL | Sell | 4.48K | $9.95 | 44.60K |
| 2026-01-15 | GOLSEN BARRY H | Sell | 1.16K | $10.00 | 11.64K |
| 2026-01-15 | GOLSEN BARRY H | Sell | 386 | $10.00 | 3.86K |
| 2026-01-15 | MAGUIRE CHERYL | Sell | 1.55K | $10.00 | 15.50K |
| 2026-01-14 | GOLSEN BARRY H | Sell | 7.00K | $10.00 | 70.00K |
| 2026-01-14 | GOLSEN BARRY H | Sell | 8.60K | $10.00 | 86.00K |
| 2026-01-14 | CARVER KRISTY | Sell | 19.55K | $9.99 | 195.30K |
| 2026-01-14 | MAGUIRE CHERYL | Sell | 7.55K | $10.00 | 75.51K |
| 2026-01-09 | GOLSEN BARRY H | Sell | 56.74K | $9.10 | 516.37K |
| 2026-01-08 | GOLSEN BARRY H | Sell | 87.77K | $9.23 | 810.14K |
| 2026-01-08 | GOLSEN BARRY H | Sell | 12.49K | $9.09 | 113.50K |
| 2026-01-08 | GOLSEN BARRY H | Sell | 18.70K | $9.06 | 169.38K |
| 2025-12-12 | GOLSEN BARRY H | Sell | 7.50K | $9.04 | 67.80K |
| 2025-12-12 | GOLSEN BARRY H | Sell | 22.57K | $9.04 | 204.05K |
| 2025-12-11 | GOLSEN BARRY H | Sell | 13.40K | $9.03 | 121.00K |
| 2025-12-11 | GOLSEN BARRY H | Sell | 40.92K | $9.03 | 369.47K |
| 2025-12-05 | GOLSEN BARRY H | Sell | 6.35K | $9.07 | 57.59K |
| 2025-12-05 | GOLSEN BARRY H | Sell | 20.70K | $9.07 | 187.79K |
| 2025-12-04 | GOLSEN BARRY H | Sell | 28.23K | $9.16 | 258.62K |
| 2025-12-04 | GOLSEN BARRY H | Sell | 84.03K | $9.16 | 769.75K |
| 2025-11-11 | MAGUIRE CHERYL | Sell | 19.60K | $9.81 | 192.28K |
| 2025-10-30 | MAGUIRE CHERYL | Sell | 5.40K | $9.75 | 52.65K |
| 2025-10-06 | Foster Michael J. | Sell | 28.30K | $9.07 | 256.68K |
| 2025-10-03 | Foster Michael J. | Sell | 1.70K | $8.99 | 15.28K |
| 2025-09-15 | GOLSEN BARRY H | Sell | 327.61K | — | — |
| 2025-05-15 | Bertocco Riccardo | Buy | 16.76K | $7.16 | 120.00K |
| 2025-05-15 | Peninger Diana M | Buy | 16.76K | $7.16 | 120.00K |
| 2025-05-15 | Packebush Steven L | Buy | 16.76K | $7.16 | 120.00K |
| 2025-05-15 | CHANDLER JOHN D | Buy | 16.76K | $7.16 | 120.00K |
| 2025-05-05 | CHANDLER JOHN D | Buy | 8.00K | $6.57 | 52.56K |
| 2025-04-09 | Bertocco Riccardo | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-03-08 | CARVER KRISTY | Sell | 3.47K | $7.05 | 24.49K |
| 2025-01-25 | MAGUIRE CHERYL | Sell | 2.54K | $8.73 | 22.16K |
| 2025-01-25 | CARVER KRISTY | Sell | 868 | $8.73 | 7.58K |
| 2025-01-25 | BEHRMAN MARK T | Sell | 14.03K | $8.73 | 122.52K |
| 2025-01-25 | Foster Michael J. | Sell | 2.51K | $8.73 | 21.95K |
| 2025-01-25 | Renwick Damien | Sell | 1.67K | $8.73 | 14.59K |
| 2025-01-20 | MAGUIRE CHERYL | Sell | 12.27K | — | — |
| 2025-01-20 | MAGUIRE CHERYL | Sell | 5.72K | $9.07 | 51.89K |
| 2025-01-20 | Renwick Damien | Sell | 7.99K | — | — |
Institutional holders
Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.
Institutions holding: 208, holders +12 vs prior quarter. Ownership 70.07%.
| Holder | Shares | Change | Change % | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BLACKROCK, INC. | 4.70M | 635.34K | +15.63% | 50.80M |
| AMERICAN CENTURY COMPANIES INC | 3.21M | 909.23K | +39.60% | 34.65M |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 2.51M | 265.85K | +11.85% | 27.13M |
| DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP | 2.43M | -6.61K | -0.27% | 26.22M |
| ROBOTTI ROBERT | 2.12M | -400 | -0.02% | 22.91M |
| RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC | 1.75M | -44.10K | -2.46% | 18.90M |
| SYSTEMATIC FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT LP | 1.67M | -73.58K | -4.22% | 18.07M |
| ARROWSTREET CAPITAL, LIMITED PARTNERSHIP | 1.56M | 791.50K | +102.92% | 16.87M |
| QUBE RESEARCH & TECHNOLOGIES LTD | 1.53M | 1.08M | +240.11% | 16.57M |
| CASTLEKNIGHT MANAGEMENT LP | 1.49M | 1.16M | +352.85% | 16.15M |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 1.47M | 153.27K | +11.66% | 15.87M |
| FIRST EAGLE INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, LLC | 1.42M | 333.90K | +30.77% | 15.34M |
| STATE STREET CORP | 1.30M | 173.03K | +15.30% | 14.10M |
| T. ROWE PRICE INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, INC. | 1.25M | 234.48K | +23.03% | 13.54M |
| CITADEL ADVISORS LLC | 1.09M | 907.50K | +503.89% | 11.76M |
| MORGAN STANLEY | 1.04M | 235.30K | +29.11% | 11.28M |
| TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP | 955.86K | 420.57K | +78.57% | 10.33M |
| CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC | 880.49K | -49.36K | -5.31% | 9.52M |
| SIXTH STREET PARTNERS MANAGEMENT COMPANY, L.P. | 880.49K | 880.49K | New | 9.52M |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | 777.57K | 323.78K | +71.35% | 8.41M |
| ACADIAN ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC | 593.72K | 436.92K | +278.65% | 6.41M |
| JPMORGAN CHASE & CO | 577.20K | -6.87K | -1.18% | 6.20M |
| BRIDGEWAY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 566.06K | 16.20K | +2.95% | 6.12M |
| HILLSDALE INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC. | 556.52K | 260.14K | +87.77% | 6.02M |
| NORTHERN TRUST CORP | 549.61K | 121.12K | +28.27% | 5.94M |
Forecast
Consensus Buy from 5 analysts. Average price target $14.50, +24.9% versus the current price. Low $13.00. High $16.00.
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