McDonald's (MCD) Stock Insights

MCD price $250.50 +1.03 +0.41%

Ticker
MCD
Price
$250.50
Change
+1.03 +0.41%
Market cap ?
$177.26B
P/E ?
20.28
Forward P/E ?
19.46
Dividend yield ?
2.97%
Beta ?
0.45
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Industry
Restaurants
Stocklytics score
55
Value
46
Quality
77
Growth
43

Stocklytics score rationale: value 46, quality 77, growth 43.

Financials

2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
24621900000228204000002102520000021076500000192078000002322290000023182600000254937000002592000000026885000000

McDonald's Corporation operates and licenses its renowned fast-food chain worldwide, with a significant presence in both the United States and international markets. Their comprehensive menu offers classic items like hamburgers and cheeseburgers, a variety of chicken options including sandwiches and nuggets, alongside lighter choices such as wraps, french fries, and salads. For breakfast, patrons can select from…

Fair value

MCD fair value $231.82. Price $250.50. Price is 8% above fair value.

Above fair value, but less expensive than usual. A smaller premium than on 98% of days in the past 5 years.

Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.

Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 7.76B. Growth 9.85%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 8.70% (beta 0.8). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 707.64M. Net debt 54.04B. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.

Compare MCD

Earnings

DateEPS actualEPS estimateRevenueRevenue estimate
2026-11-04—3.38—7.29B
2026-08-043.383.327.10B7.13B
2026-05-072.832.746.52B6.47B
2026-02-113.123.057.01B6.84B
2025-11-053.223.337.08B7.08B
2025-08-063.193.146.84B6.70B
2025-05-012.672.665.96B6.10B
2025-02-102.832.856.39B6.45B
2024-10-293.233.206.87B6.82B
2024-07-292.973.076.49B6.62B
2024-04-302.702.726.17B6.16B
2024-02-052.952.826.41B6.45B
2023-10-303.193.006.69B6.19B
2023-07-273.172.796.50B6.27B
2023-04-252.632.335.90B5.59B
2023-01-312.592.455.93B5.72B
2022-10-272.682.585.87B5.70B
2022-07-262.552.455.72B5.80B
2022-04-282.282.185.67B5.57B
2022-01-272.232.346.01B6.02B
2021-10-272.762.466.20B6.05B
2021-07-282.372.115.89B6.03B
2021-04-291.921.815.12B5.02B
2021-01-281.701.785.31B5.55B
2020-11-092.221.905.42B4.51B
2020-07-280.660.743.76B4.27B
2020-04-301.471.574.71B5.04B
2020-01-291.971.965.35B5.32B
2019-10-222.112.215.50B5.69B
2019-07-262.052.055.41B5.34B
2019-04-301.781.755.02B5.11B
2019-01-301.971.895.16B4.95B
2018-10-232.101.995.37B5.09B
2018-07-261.991.925.35B5.17B
2018-04-301.791.675.14B4.79B
2018-01-301.711.595.34B4.97B
2017-10-241.761.775.75B5.79B
2017-07-251.731.626.05B5.77B
2017-04-251.471.335.68B5.14B
2017-01-231.431.416.03B5.94B

Dividends

Yield 2.97%. Payout ratio 59.46%. Frequency Quarterly.

Safety score 82/100 · Safe. Payout ratio is 59% of earnings. Dividends use a moderate share of free cash flow. Dividends were paid in 51 separate years. Yield is 3.0%, in a range that is usually sustainable.

Ex-dateDividendRecordPaymentFrequency
2026-12-01$1.932026-12-012026-12-15Quarterly
2026-09-01$1.862026-09-012026-09-16Quarterly
2026-06-02$1.862026-06-022026-06-16Quarterly
2026-03-03$1.862026-03-032026-03-17Quarterly
2025-12-01$1.862025-12-012025-12-15Quarterly
2025-09-02$1.772025-09-022025-09-16Quarterly
2025-06-02$1.772025-06-022025-06-16Quarterly
2025-03-03$1.772025-03-032025-03-17Quarterly
2024-12-02$1.772024-12-022024-12-16Quarterly
2024-09-03$1.672024-09-032024-09-17Quarterly
2024-06-03$1.672024-06-032024-06-17Quarterly
2024-02-29$1.672024-03-012024-03-15Quarterly
2023-11-30$1.672023-12-012023-12-15Quarterly
2023-08-31$1.522023-09-012023-09-18Quarterly
2023-06-02$1.522023-06-052023-06-20Quarterly
2023-02-28$1.522023-03-012023-03-15Quarterly
2022-11-30$1.522022-12-012022-12-15Quarterly
2022-08-31$1.382022-09-012022-09-16Quarterly
2022-06-03$1.382022-06-062022-06-20Quarterly
2022-02-28$1.382022-03-012022-03-15Quarterly
2021-11-30$1.382021-12-012021-12-15Quarterly
2021-08-31$1.292021-09-012021-09-15Quarterly
2021-05-28$1.292021-06-012021-06-15Quarterly
2021-02-26$1.292021-03-012021-03-15Quarterly
2020-11-30$1.292020-12-012020-12-15Quarterly
2020-08-31$1.252020-09-012020-09-15Quarterly
2020-05-29$1.252020-06-012020-06-15Quarterly
2020-02-28$1.252020-03-022020-03-16Quarterly
2019-11-29$1.252019-12-022019-12-16Quarterly
2019-08-30$1.162019-09-032019-09-17Quarterly
2019-05-31$1.162019-06-032019-06-17Quarterly
2019-02-28$1.162019-03-012019-03-15Quarterly
2018-11-30$1.162018-12-032018-12-17Quarterly
2018-08-31$1.012018-09-042018-09-18Quarterly
2018-06-01$1.012018-06-042018-06-18Quarterly
2018-02-28$1.012018-03-012018-03-15Quarterly
2017-11-30$1.012017-12-012017-12-15Quarterly
2017-08-30$0.942017-09-012017-09-18Quarterly
2017-06-01$0.942017-06-052017-06-19Quarterly
2017-02-27$0.942017-03-012017-03-15Quarterly
2016-11-29$0.942016-12-012016-12-15Quarterly
2016-08-30$0.892016-09-012016-09-16Quarterly
2016-06-02$0.892016-06-062016-06-20Quarterly
2016-02-26$0.892016-03-012016-03-15Quarterly
2015-11-27$0.892015-12-012015-12-15Quarterly
2015-08-28$0.852015-09-012015-09-16Quarterly
2015-05-28$0.852015-06-012015-06-15Quarterly
2015-02-26$0.852015-03-022015-03-16Quarterly
2014-11-26$0.852014-12-012014-12-15Quarterly
2014-08-28$0.812014-09-022014-09-16Quarterly
2014-05-29$0.812014-06-022014-06-16Quarterly
2014-02-27$0.812014-03-032014-03-17Quarterly
2013-11-27$0.812013-12-022013-12-16Quarterly
2013-08-29$0.772013-09-032013-09-17Quarterly
2013-05-30$0.772013-06-032013-06-17Quarterly
2013-02-27$0.772013-03-012013-03-15Quarterly
2012-11-29$0.772012-12-032012-12-17Quarterly
2012-08-30$0.702012-09-042012-09-18Quarterly
2012-05-31$0.702012-06-042012-06-15Quarterly
2012-02-28$0.702012-03-012012-03-15Quarterly
2011-11-29$0.702011-12-012011-12-15Quarterly
2011-08-30$0.612011-09-012011-09-16Quarterly
2011-05-27$0.612011-06-012011-06-15Quarterly
2011-02-25$0.612011-03-012011-03-15Quarterly
2010-11-29$0.612010-12-012010-12-15Quarterly
2010-08-30$0.552010-09-012010-09-16Quarterly
2010-05-27$0.552010-06-012010-06-15Quarterly
2010-02-25$0.552010-03-012010-03-15Quarterly
2009-11-27$0.552009-12-012009-12-15Quarterly
2009-08-28$0.502009-09-012009-09-15Quarterly
2009-06-04$0.502009-06-082009-06-22Quarterly
2009-02-26$0.502009-03-022009-03-16Quarterly
2008-11-26$0.502008-12-012008-12-15Quarterly
2008-08-28$0.382008-09-022008-09-16Quarterly
2008-06-05$0.382008-06-092008-06-23Quarterly
2008-02-28$0.382008-03-032008-03-17Quarterly
2007-11-13$1.502007-11-152007-12-03Annual
2006-11-13$1.002006-11-152006-12-01Annual
2005-11-10$0.672005-11-152005-12-01Annual
2004-11-10$0.552004-11-152004-12-01Annual

Insider trades

DateInsiderActionSharesPriceValue
2029-02-13Anderson SkyeOther2.84K——
2028-02-12Baroni DarioOther979——
2027-08-07Elting Lauren BOther2.99K——
2027-02-12Boyd Tiffanie L.Sell1.05K——
2026-09-30Dean Lloyd HBuy157$230.9436.25K
2026-09-30Taubert Jennifer LBuy130$230.9430.00K
2026-09-30Hsu Michael D.Buy130$230.9430.00K
2026-08-07Elting Lauren BBuy48——
2026-08-07Elting Lauren BBuy990——
2026-08-07Elting Lauren BSell304$274.4883.44K
2026-08-07Elting Lauren BSell990——
2026-08-07Elting Lauren BSell48——
2026-08-04Anderson SkyeOther0——
2026-08-04Anderson SkyeOther8.51K$266.202.27M
2026-08-04Anderson SkyeOther7.31K$307.602.25M
2026-08-04Anderson SkyeOther16.05K$327.585.26M
2026-08-04Anderson SkyeOther305——
2026-08-04Anderson SkyeOther7.73K$289.442.24M
2026-08-04Anderson SkyeOther10.21K$216.152.21M
2026-08-04Anderson SkyeOther14.80K$215.033.18M
2026-08-04Anderson SkyeOther10.98K$253.392.78M
2026-06-30Taubert Jennifer LBuy111——
2026-06-30Dean Lloyd HBuy134——
2026-06-30Hsu Michael D.Buy111——
2026-06-10Erlinger Joseph M.Sell5.25K$157.79828.71K
2026-06-10Erlinger Joseph M.Buy5.25K$157.79828.71K
2026-06-10Erlinger Joseph M.Sell5.25K$284.321.49M
2026-05-28Ralls-Morrison DesireeSell2.76K$278.36769.11K
2026-05-26Erlinger Joseph M.Sell333$280.1193.28K
2026-04-23Erlinger Joseph M.Sell333$302.72100.81K
2026-04-10Erlinger Joseph M.Sell2.63K$157.79414.36K
2026-04-10Erlinger Joseph M.Buy2.63K$157.79414.36K
2026-04-10Erlinger Joseph M.Sell2.63K$307.00806.18K
2026-03-31Taubert Jennifer LBuy97——
2026-03-31Dean Lloyd HBuy117——
2026-03-31Hsu Michael D.Buy97——
2026-03-23Erlinger Joseph M.Sell333$313.47104.39K
2026-03-18Baroni DarioSell600$323.77194.26K
2026-03-10Erlinger Joseph M.Sell2.63K$157.79414.36K
2026-03-10Erlinger Joseph M.Buy2.63K$157.79414.36K
2026-03-10Erlinger Joseph M.Sell2.63K$328.34862.22K
2026-02-23Erlinger Joseph M.Sell333$330.43110.03K
2026-02-23Banner JonathanBuy4.60K$266.201.22M
2026-02-23Banner JonathanSell4.60K$266.201.22M
2026-02-23Banner JonathanSell4.60K$333.241.53M
2026-02-23Banner JonathanSell1.60K$333.42533.69K
2026-02-20Ralls-Morrison DesireeBuy1.52K——
2026-02-13Steijaert Manuel JMBuy28.08K$327.589.20M
2026-02-13Steijaert Manuel JMBuy237——
2026-02-13Steijaert Manuel JMBuy3.27K——
2026-02-13Steijaert Manuel JMSell1.64K$327.58537.01K
2026-02-13Steijaert Manuel JMSell3.27K——
2026-02-13Steijaert Manuel JMSell237——
2026-02-13Rice Brian SBuy24.07K$327.587.88M
2026-02-13Rice Brian SBuy188——
2026-02-13Rice Brian SBuy2.60K——
2026-02-13Rice Brian SSell808$327.58264.52K
2026-02-13Rice Brian SSell188——
2026-02-13Rice Brian SSell2.60K——
2026-02-13Ralls-Morrison DesireeBuy28.08K$327.589.20M
2026-02-13Ralls-Morrison DesireeBuy279——
2026-02-13Ralls-Morrison DesireeBuy3.87K——
2026-02-13Ralls-Morrison DesireeSell1.38K$327.58453.01K
2026-02-13Ralls-Morrison DesireeSell3.87K——
2026-02-13Ralls-Morrison DesireeSell279——
2026-02-13McDonald GillianBuy30.09K$327.589.86M
2026-02-13McDonald GillianBuy161——
2026-02-13McDonald GillianBuy2.23K——
2026-02-13McDonald GillianBuy296——
2026-02-13McDonald GillianBuy4.09K——
2026-02-13McDonald GillianSell1.10K$327.58361.23K
2026-02-13McDonald GillianSell2.02K$327.58662.35K
2026-02-13McDonald GillianSell2.23K——
2026-02-13McDonald GillianSell161——
2026-02-13Kempczinski Christopher JBuy144.42K$327.5847.31M
2026-02-13Kempczinski Christopher JBuy26.28K$128.093.37M
2026-02-13Kempczinski Christopher JBuy1.40K——
2026-02-13Kempczinski Christopher JBuy19.33K——
2026-02-13Kempczinski Christopher JSell9.18K$327.583.01M
2026-02-13Kempczinski Christopher JSell26.28K$333.548.76M
2026-02-13Kempczinski Christopher JSell1.40K——
2026-02-13Kempczinski Christopher JSell26.28K$128.093.37M
2026-02-13Kempczinski Christopher JSell19.33K——
2026-02-13Flatley Edith MorganBuy26.08K$327.588.54M
2026-02-13Flatley Edith MorganBuy135——
2026-02-13Flatley Edith MorganBuy1.86K——
2026-02-13Flatley Edith MorganSell798$327.58261.27K
2026-02-13Flatley Edith MorganSell135——
2026-02-13Flatley Edith MorganSell1.86K——
2026-02-13Erlinger Joseph M.Buy32.09K$327.5810.51M
2026-02-13Erlinger Joseph M.Buy403——
2026-02-13Erlinger Joseph M.Buy5.58K——
2026-02-13Erlinger Joseph M.Sell2.31K$327.58757.44K
2026-02-13Erlinger Joseph M.Sell5.58K——
2026-02-13Erlinger Joseph M.Sell403——
2026-02-13Elting Lauren BBuy2.41K$327.58788.49K
2026-02-13Boyd Tiffanie L.Buy22.06K$327.587.23M
2026-02-13Boyd Tiffanie L.Buy70——
2026-02-13Boyd Tiffanie L.Buy967——
2026-02-13Boyd Tiffanie L.Sell304$327.5899.53K

Institutional holders

Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.

Institutions holding: 3.59K, holders -109 vs prior quarter. Ownership 75.09%.

HolderSharesChangeChange %Value
BLACKROCK, INC.55.44M83.30K+0.15%14.98B
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC46.40M180.68K+0.39%12.54B
STATE STREET CORP36.08M646.67K+1.83%9.75B
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO31.92M-5.73M-15.22%8.53B
VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC18.78M-323.20K-1.69%5.08B
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC18.11M152.64K+0.85%4.89B
MORGAN STANLEY15.03M-591.14K-3.78%4.06B
BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/11.00M-1.16M-9.53%2.97B
NORGES BANK9.88M9.88MNew2.67B
PRICE T ROWE ASSOCIATES INC /MD/9.02M-710.07K-7.29%2.44B
CAPITAL RESEARCH GLOBAL INVESTORS8.96M2.07M+29.98%2.42B
WELLS FARGO & COMPANY/MN8.05M81.05K+1.02%2.18B
NORTHERN TRUST CORP7.92M-301.24K-3.66%2.14B
ROYAL BANK OF CANADA6.62M-185.41K-2.73%1.79B
SIXTH STREET PARTNERS MANAGEMENT COMPANY, L.P.6.20M6.20MNew1.68B
CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC6.20M620.28K+11.11%1.68B
UBS AM, A DISTINCT BUSINESS UNIT OF UBS ASSET MANAGEMENT AMERICAS LLC5.84M-754.40K-11.44%1.58B
UBS GROUP AG5.83M147.11K+2.59%1.57B
BANK OF NEW YORK MELLON CORP5.03M-127.90K-2.48%1.36B
FRANKLIN TEMPLETON INC4.94M692.59K+16.32%1.33B
LEGAL & GENERAL GROUP PLC4.40M-343.17K-7.23%1.19B
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC4.33M-738.80K-14.58%1.17B
ARROWSTREET CAPITAL, LIMITED PARTNERSHIP4.27M627.33K+17.24%1.15B
GALLAGHER FIDUCIARY ADVISORS, LLC4.25M-73.33K-1.70%1.15B
AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL INC4.24M-101.32K-2.33%1.15B

Insights

Revenue by product
PeriodValue
FY2015High-Growth Markets: 16854100000.0, UNITED STATES: 8558900000.0
FY2016High-Growth Markets: 16369200000.0, UNITED STATES: 8252700000.0
FY2017High-Growth Markets: 14814000000.0, UNITED STATES: 8006400000.0
FY2018High-Growth Markets: 13359400000.0, UNITED STATES: 7665800000.0
FY2019High-Growth Markets: 11398600000.0, International Developmental Licensed Markets and Corporate: 1835200000.0, UNITED STATES: 7842700000.0
FY2020High-Growth Markets: 9570700000.0, International Developmental Licensed Markets and Corporate: 1808600000.0, UNITED STATES: 7828500000.0
FY2021High-Growth Markets: 12219800000.0, International Developmental Licensed Markets and Corporate: 2138100000.0, UNITED STATES: 8865000000.0
FY2022High-Growth Markets: 11297000000.0, International Developmental Licensed Markets and Corporate: 2297200000.0, UNITED STATES: 9588400000.0
FY2023High-Growth Markets: 12382000000.0, International Developmental Licensed Markets and Corporate: 2543300000.0, UNITED STATES: 10568400000.0
FY2024High-Growth Markets: 12628000000.0, International Developmental Licensed Markets and Corporate: 2661000000.0, UNITED STATES: 10631000000.0
FY2025High-Growth Markets: 13633000000.0, International Developmental Licensed Markets and Corporate: 2427000000.0, UNITED STATES: 10825000000.0
Revenue by region
PeriodValue
FY2010Asia Pacific Middle East Africa: 5065500000.0, Europe: 9569200000.0, Other Countries And Corporate: 1328300000.0, UNITED STATES: 8111600000.0
FY2011Asia Pacific Middle East Africa: 6019500000.0, Europe: 10886400000.0, Other Countries And Corporate: 1571900000.0, UNITED STATES: 8528200000.0
FY2012Asia Pacific Middle East Africa: 6391100000.0, Europe: 10827400000.0, Other Countries And Corporate: 1534800000.0, UNITED STATES: 8813700000.0
FY2013Asia Pacific Middle East Africa: 6477200000.0, Europe: 11299800000.0, Other Countries And Corporate: 1477400000.0, UNITED STATES: 8851300000.0
FY2014Asia Pacific Middle East Africa: 6324400000.0, Europe: 11077400000.0, Other Countries And Corporate: 1388500000.0, UNITED STATES: 8651000000.0
FY2015International Operated Markets: 7614900000.0, UNITED STATES: 8558900000.0
FY2016International Operated Markets: 7223400000.0, UNITED STATES: 8252700000.0
FY2017International Operated Markets: 7340300000.0, UNITED STATES: 8006400000.0
FY2018International Operated Markets: 7600100000.0, UNITED STATES: 7665800000.0
FY2019International Developmental Licensed Markets and Corporate: 1835200000.0, International Operated Markets: 11398600000.0, UNITED STATES: 7842700000.0
FY2020International Developmental Licensed Markets and Corporate: 1808600000.0, International Operated Markets: 9570700000.0, UNITED STATES: 7828500000.0
FY2021International Developmental Licensed Markets and Corporate: 2138100000.0, International Operated Markets: 12219800000.0, UNITED STATES: 8865000000.0
FY2022International Developmental Licensed Markets and Corporate: 2297200000.0, International Operated Markets: 11297000000.0, UNITED STATES: 9588400000.0
FY2023International Developmental Licensed Markets and Corporate: 2543300000.0, International Operated Markets: 12382000000.0, UNITED STATES: 10568400000.0
FY2024International Developmental Licensed Markets and Corporate: 2661000000.0, International Operated Markets: 12628000000.0, UNITED STATES: 10631000000.0
FY2025International Developmental Licensed Markets and Corporate: 2427000000.0, International Operated Markets: 13633000000.0, UNITED STATES: 10825000000.0

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McDonald's (MCD) Stock Insights

MCD$250.50+1.03 +0.41%

$177.26B

Market Cap

20.28

P/E

19.46

Forward P/E

55

Score

Price History