Montauk Renewables (MNTK) Stock Insights
MNTK$2.23-0.01 -0.22%
$318.13M
Market Cap
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P/E
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Forward P/E
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Score
Montauk Renewables (MNTK) Stock Insights
MNTK price $2.23 -0.01 -0.22%
- Ticker
- MNTK
- Price
- $2.23
- Change
- -0.01 -0.22%
- Market cap ?
- $318.13M
- Beta ?
- 0.54
- Sector
- Industrials
- Industry
- Industrial - Specialties
Fair value
MNTK fair value $8.54. Price $2.23. Price is 74% below fair value.
Below fair value, and cheaper than usual. A larger discount than on 74% of days in the past 5 years.
Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.
Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 39.17M. Growth 19.34%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 8.70% (beta 0.8). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 142.34M. Net debt 114.19M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.
Model uncertainty high for this stock
Earnings
| Date | EPS actual | EPS estimate | Revenue | Revenue estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-04 | — | 0.05 | — | 53.34M |
| 2026-08-05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 54.02M | 49.35M |
| 2026-05-06 | 0.01 | -0.02 | 46.43M | 42.35M |
| 2026-03-11 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 43.38M | 43.93M |
| 2025-11-05 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 45.26M | 44.28M |
| 2025-08-06 | -0.04 | 0.02 | 45.13M | 42.73M |
| 2025-05-08 | -0.00 | 0.01 | 42.60M | 42.40M |
| 2025-03-13 | -0.06 | 0.05 | 27.69M | 64.08M |
| 2024-11-12 | 0.12 | 0.10 | 65.92M | 59.92M |
| 2024-08-08 | -0.01 | 0.06 | 43.34M | 46.97M |
| 2024-05-09 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 38.79M | 44.92M |
| 2024-03-14 | 0.03 | 0.07 | 46.80M | 56.87M |
| 2023-11-09 | 0.09 | 0.10 | 55.69M | 61.61M |
| 2023-08-09 | 0.01 | 0.04 | 53.26M | 45.28M |
| 2023-05-10 | -0.03 | -0.01 | 19.15M | 39.90M |
| 2023-03-16 | 0.05 | 0.09 | 49.64M | 57.32M |
| 2022-11-09 | 0.08 | 0.13 | 55.86M | 59.80M |
| 2022-08-09 | 0.13 | 0.14 | 67.88M | 50.70M |
| 2022-05-10 | -0.01 | 0.06 | 32.17M | 39.70M |
| 2022-03-16 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 45.26M | 34.80M |
| 2021-11-15 | 0.06 | 0.01 | 39.75M | 31.80M |
| 2021-08-16 | -0.03 | -0.01 | 31.67M | 31.80M |
| 2021-05-17 | -0.10 | — | 31.45M | — |
| 2021-04-01 | 0.02 | -0.01 | 24.82M | — |
| 2020-09-30 | -0.01 | — | 28.25M | — |
| 2020-06-30 | -0.01 | — | 27.91M | — |
| 2020-03-31 | 0.04 | — | 18.40M | — |
| 2019-12-31 | 0.00 | — | 23.68M | — |
Dividends
Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency —.
Safety score 37/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. No dividend history was found. There is no dividend yield.
| Ex-date | Dividend | Record | Payment | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No data yet. | ||||
Insider trades
| Date | Insider | Action | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-20 | Shaw James A | Buy | 282.84K | — | — |
| 2026-05-20 | McClain Sean F | Buy | 383.18K | — | — |
| 2026-05-20 | Van Asdalan Kevin A | Buy | 302.98K | — | — |
| 2026-05-20 | Ciroli John | Buy | 302.98K | — | — |
| 2026-05-11 | Copelyn John A | Buy | 17.51K | $1.45 | 25.38K |
| 2025-11-24 | Frank Sharon R | Sell | 2.75K | $1.67 | 4.59K |
| 2025-11-03 | Aktiv Investment Management (Pty) Ltd | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-11-03 | Aktiv Investment Management (Pty) Ltd | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2024-11-24 | Frank Sharon R | Sell | 2.75K | $4.46 | 12.26K |
| 2024-04-02 | Jacobson Michael Alon | Sell | 0 | — | — |
| 2023-11-24 | Frank Sharon R | Sell | 2.66K | $9.09 | 24.16K |
| 2023-09-15 | Barsch Michael | Buy | 75.00K | $9.57 | 717.75K |
| 2023-09-15 | Barsch Michael | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2023-04-19 | Van Asdalan Kevin A | Buy | 166.67K | $6.77 | 1.13M |
| 2023-04-19 | Van Asdalan Kevin A | Buy | 166.67K | $6.77 | 1.13M |
| 2023-04-19 | Shaw James A | Buy | 100.00K | $6.77 | 677.00K |
| 2023-04-19 | McClain Sean F | Buy | 200.00K | $6.77 | 1.35M |
| 2023-04-19 | Frank Sharon R | Buy | 100.00K | $6.77 | 677.00K |
| 2023-04-19 | Ciroli John | Buy | 133.33K | $6.77 | 902.67K |
| 2023-04-19 | Ciroli John | Buy | 133.33K | $6.77 | 902.66K |
| 2022-12-01 | Frank Sharon R | Sell | 2.75K | $10.01 | 27.51K |
| 2022-11-28 | Hill Scott E | Sell | 101.80K | $12.02 | 1.22M |
| 2022-11-28 | Hill Scott E | Sell | 2.35K | $12.68 | 29.80K |
| 2022-11-28 | McClain Sean F | Sell | 57.75K | $12.07 | 697.04K |
| 2022-11-28 | McClain Sean F | Sell | 2.25K | $12.68 | 28.53K |
| 2022-01-28 | McClain Sean F | Sell | 87 | $10.01 | 871 |
| 2022-01-28 | Ciroli John | Sell | 87 | $10.01 | 871 |
| 2022-01-28 | Hill Scott E | Sell | 87 | $10.01 | 871 |
| 2022-01-28 | Van Asdalan Kevin A | Sell | 87 | $10.01 | 871 |
| 2022-01-28 | Shaw James A | Sell | 87 | $10.01 | 871 |
| 2022-01-28 | Frank Sharon R | Sell | 87 | $10.01 | 871 |
| 2022-01-01 | Cunningham Jennifer E | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2021-12-01 | Frank Sharon R | Buy | 50.00K | — | — |
| 2021-10-25 | Frank Sharon R | Sell | 0 | — | — |
| 2021-06-04 | Shaik Yunis | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2021-01-28 | McClain Sean F | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2021-01-28 | Hill Scott E | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2021-01-28 | Van Asdalan Kevin A | Buy | 354.16K | — | — |
| 2021-01-28 | Van Asdalan Kevin A | Sell | 159.83K | $11.38 | 1.82M |
| 2021-01-28 | Van Asdalan Kevin A | Buy | 159.83K | $11.38 | 1.82M |
| 2021-01-28 | Van Asdalan Kevin A | Buy | 264 | — | — |
| 2021-01-28 | McClain Sean F | Buy | 695.89K | — | — |
| 2021-01-28 | McClain Sean F | Sell | 313.45K | $11.38 | 3.57M |
| 2021-01-28 | McClain Sean F | Buy | 264 | — | — |
| 2021-01-28 | McClain Sean F | Buy | 313.45K | $11.38 | 3.57M |
| 2021-01-28 | Ciroli John | Buy | 317.12K | — | — |
| 2021-01-28 | Ciroli John | Sell | 149.51K | $11.38 | 1.70M |
| 2021-01-28 | Ciroli John | Buy | 149.51K | $11.38 | 1.70M |
| 2021-01-28 | Ciroli John | Buy | 264 | — | — |
| 2021-01-28 | Shaw James A | Buy | 354.16K | — | — |
| 2021-01-28 | Shaw James A | Sell | 159.79K | $11.38 | 1.82M |
| 2021-01-28 | Shaw James A | Buy | 159.79K | $11.38 | 1.82M |
| 2021-01-28 | Shaw James A | Buy | 264 | — | — |
| 2021-01-28 | Hill Scott E | Buy | 371.50K | — | — |
| 2021-01-28 | Hill Scott E | Sell | 167.63K | $11.38 | 1.91M |
| 2021-01-28 | Hill Scott E | Buy | 264 | — | — |
| 2021-01-28 | Hill Scott E | Buy | 167.63K | $11.38 | 1.91M |
| 2021-01-26 | Raynor Bruce S | Buy | 1 | — | — |
| 2021-01-26 | Raynor Bruce S | Buy | 1 | — | — |
| 2021-01-21 | Govender Theventheran (Kevin) G | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2021-01-21 | Govender Theventheran (Kevin) G | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2021-01-21 | Copelyn John A | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2021-01-21 | Montauk Holdings Ltd | Sell | 135.97M | — | — |
| 2021-01-21 | Copelyn John A | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2021-01-21 | Raynor Bruce S | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2021-01-21 | McClain Sean F | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2021-01-21 | Govender Theventheran (Kevin) G | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2021-01-21 | Montauk Holdings Ltd | Sell | 0 | — | — |
| 2021-01-21 | Ciroli John | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2021-01-21 | Jacobson Michael Alon | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2021-01-21 | Shaw James A | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2021-01-21 | Hill Scott E | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2021-01-21 | Ahmed Mohamed H | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2021-01-21 | Van Asdalan Kevin A | Other | 0 | — | — |
Institutional holders
Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.
Institutions holding: 93, holders 0 vs prior quarter. Ownership 15.31%.
| Holder | Shares | Change | Change % | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BLACKROCK, INC. | 4.71M | 490.90K | +11.64% | 7.35M |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 2.71M | 18.19K | +0.68% | 4.22M |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 1.88M | 120.01K | +6.82% | 2.93M |
| BAADER BANK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT | 1.60M | 0 | 0.00% | 2.50M |
| STATE STREET CORP | 1.37M | 4.22K | +0.31% | 2.14M |
| BARCLAYS PLC | 953.51K | -85.41K | -8.22% | 1.49M |
| AMERICAN CENTURY COMPANIES INC | 950.44K | -4.03K | -0.42% | 1.48M |
| SIXTH STREET PARTNERS MANAGEMENT COMPANY, L.P. | 539.33K | 539.33K | New | 841.36K |
| CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC | 539.33K | 18.72K | +3.60% | 841.36K |
| NORTHERN TRUST CORP | 536.06K | 30.68K | +6.07% | 836.25K |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | 469.05K | 80.13K | +20.60% | 731.72K |
| DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP | 448.82K | -287.77K | -39.07% | 700.15K |
| VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST CO | 438.78K | 6.51K | +1.51% | 684.49K |
| HOSKING PARTNERS LLP | 390.52K | -6.42K | -1.62% | 609.21K |
| FIRST TRUST ADVISORS LP | 381.89K | 69.94K | +22.42% | 595.75K |
| GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC | 377.28K | 46.09K | +13.92% | 588.55K |
| RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC | 364.80K | 10.20K | +2.88% | 569.09K |
| JPMORGAN CHASE & CO | 270.98K | 108.73K | +67.01% | 422.73K |
| AQR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 238.15K | 199.80K | +520.98% | 371.52K |
| GSA CAPITAL PARTNERS LLP | 201.06K | -88.84K | -30.65% | 314.00K |
| JTC EMPLOYER SOLUTIONS TRUSTEE LTD | 197.86K | 0 | 0.00% | 311.00K |
| BANK OF NEW YORK MELLON CORP | 195.91K | 0 | 0.00% | 305.62K |
| MORGAN STANLEY | 167.18K | -94.22K | -36.04% | 260.81K |
| NUVEEN, LLC | 162.04K | 22.44K | +16.07% | 252.79K |
| CAPROCK GROUP, LLC | 119.80K | 119.80K | New | 186.89K |
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