MP Materials (MP) Stock Forecast & Price Target

MP price $42.18 +1.12 +2.73%

Ticker
MP
Price
$42.18
Change
+1.12 +2.73%
Market cap ?
$7.51B
P/E ?
-120.13
Forward P/E ?
65.46
Dividend yield ?
0.00%
Beta ?
1.99
Sector
Basic Materials
Industry
Industrial Materials
Stocklytics score
60
Value
38
Quality
44
Growth
97

Stocklytics score rationale: value 38, quality 44, growth 97.

Financials

20182019202020212022202320242025
6741800073411000134310000331952000527510000253445000203855000224441000

MP Materials Corp. manages and operates facilities dedicated to the extraction and refinement of rare earth elements. The company's primary asset is the Mountain Pass Rare Earth mine, a key operation situated within the Western Hemisphere. MP Materials holds comprehensive mineral rights for this significant deposit and its surrounding areas, alongside proprietary intellectual property essential for the ongoing…

Fair value

MP fair value $12.99. Price $42.18. Price is 225% above fair value.

Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.

Model uncertainty high for this stock

Compare MP

Earnings

DateEPS actualEPS estimateRevenueRevenue estimate
2026-11-05—-0.02—117.55M
2026-08-06-0.01-0.01108.49M96.89M
2026-05-070.03-0.0390.65M74.82M
2026-02-260.090.0652.69M76.06M
2025-11-06-0.10-0.1753.55M53.24M
2025-08-07-0.13-0.2057.39M46.14M
2025-05-08-0.12-0.1060.81M61.80M
2025-02-20-0.12-0.0960.99M50.71M
2024-11-07-0.12-0.1362.93M48.26M
2024-08-01-0.17-0.0931.26M40.59M
2024-05-02-0.04-0.0248.68M49.10M
2024-02-22-0.02-0.0141.20M46.13M
2023-11-020.040.0052.52M51.14M
2023-08-030.090.0764.02M60.99M
2023-05-040.270.1895.70M88.50M
2023-02-230.420.1793.25M77.32M
2022-11-030.360.30124.44M115.64M
2022-08-040.430.33143.56M128.76M
2022-05-050.500.41166.26M137.30M
2022-02-240.310.2499.11M94.29M
2021-11-040.270.1799.75M70.62M
2021-08-050.170.1373.12M73.12M
2021-05-060.130.0859.97M55.66M
2021-03-180.180.0842.18M—
2020-11-180.20—41.02M—
2020-07-31-0.92—30.39M—
2020-06-090.03—20.72M—
2019-12-310.02—21.05M—
2019-09-300.04—26.92M—
2019-06-30-0.08—12.72M—
2019-03-31-0.08—12.72M—

Dividends

Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency —.

Safety score 37/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. No dividend history was found. There is no dividend yield.

Ex-dateDividendRecordPaymentFrequency
No data yet.

Insider trades

DateInsiderActionSharesPriceValue
2026-10-13Infuso David GregorySell338$42.4314.34K
2026-09-30DUCKWORTH CONNIE KBuy740——
2026-06-30DUCKWORTH CONNIE KBuy624——
2026-06-15DUCKWORTH CONNIE KBuy4.00K——
2026-06-15DUCKWORTH CONNIE KSell4.00K——
2026-06-15WEISENBURGER RANDALL JBuy4.00K——
2026-06-15WEISENBURGER RANDALL JSell4.00K——
2026-06-15Lavan MaryanneBuy4.00K——
2026-06-15Lavan MaryanneSell4.00K——
2026-06-15MYERS RICHARD BBuy4.00K——
2026-06-15MYERS RICHARD BSell4.00K——
2026-06-09WEISENBURGER RANDALL JBuy3.04K——
2026-06-09MYERS RICHARD BBuy3.04K——
2026-06-09Lavan MaryanneBuy3.04K——
2026-06-09McKnight Andrew A.Buy3.04K——
2026-06-09DONALD ARNOLD WBuy3.04K——
2026-06-09DUCKWORTH CONNIE KBuy3.04K——
2026-06-09Rosenthal Michael StuartBuy10.00K$54.30543.00K
2026-06-03Litinsky James H.Sell11.74K$71.31837.18K
2026-06-03Litinsky James H.Sell37.29K$70.232.62M
2026-06-03Litinsky James H.Sell136.14K$68.659.35M
2026-05-29Litinsky James H.Sell1.95K$65.13127.00K
2026-05-29Litinsky James H.Sell48.05K$64.563.10M
2026-05-28Litinsky James H.Sell6.71K$68.18457.49K
2026-05-28Litinsky James H.Sell39.45K$67.782.67M
2026-05-28Litinsky James H.Sell49.27K$66.523.28M
2026-05-28Litinsky James H.Sell44.12K$65.652.90M
2026-05-28Litinsky James H.Sell95.11K$64.676.15M
2026-05-27Litinsky James H.Sell23.11K$66.061.53M
2026-05-27Litinsky James H.Sell92.24K$65.206.01M
2026-05-20Rosenthal Michael StuartBuy17.00K$56.62962.54K
2026-05-13Litinsky James H.Sell93.96K$65.316.14M
2026-05-13Litinsky James H.Sell83.23K$64.935.40M
2026-05-12Litinsky James H.Sell19.84K$67.121.33M
2026-05-12Litinsky James H.Sell102.97K$65.676.76M
2026-05-08Hoops Elliot DeanSell6.96K$75.00521.85K
2026-05-08Corbett RyanSell20.00K$75.001.50M
2026-04-20Litinsky James H.Sell259.18K$64.0316.60M
2026-04-17Litinsky James H.Sell40.82K$64.052.61M
2026-04-01Infuso David GregorySell804$48.4138.92K
2026-03-31DUCKWORTH CONNIE KBuy725——
2026-03-17Corbett RyanSell46.00K$60.002.76M
2026-03-16Hoops Elliot DeanSell13.91K$60.01834.98K
2026-01-22Infuso David GregorySell1.20K$68.3781.91K
2026-01-20Hoops Elliot DeanSell7.82K$68.21533.61K
2026-01-14Hoops Elliot DeanSell1.30K$69.3090.09K
2026-01-14Infuso David GregorySell444$69.3030.77K
2026-01-14Corbett RyanSell3.51K$69.30243.31K
2026-01-13Hoops Elliot DeanSell3.77K$63.82240.54K
2026-01-13Infuso David GregorySell1.82K$63.82116.15K
2026-01-13Corbett RyanSell5.95K$63.82379.60K
2026-01-13Rosenthal Michael StuartSell9.08K$63.82579.68K
2026-01-13Litinsky James H.Sell35.05K$63.822.24M
2026-01-12Hoops Elliot DeanBuy22.94K——
2026-01-12Hoops Elliot DeanSell9.03K$65.34589.89K
2026-01-12Hoops Elliot DeanSell4.53K$65.34295.73K
2026-01-12Hoops Elliot DeanBuy8.72K——
2026-01-12Infuso David GregoryBuy1.30K——
2026-01-12Infuso David GregorySell581$65.3437.96K
2026-01-12Infuso David GregoryBuy3.89K——
2026-01-12Corbett RyanBuy30.59K——
2026-01-12Corbett RyanSell12.04K$65.34786.56K
2026-01-12Corbett RyanSell7.32K$65.34477.96K
2026-01-12Corbett RyanBuy16.57K——
2026-01-12Rosenthal Michael StuartBuy33.65K——
2026-01-12Rosenthal Michael StuartSell10.62K$65.34693.85K
2026-01-12Rosenthal Michael StuartBuy18.32K——
2026-01-12Litinsky James H.Buy38.24K——
2026-01-12Litinsky James H.Sell38.24K$65.342.50M
2026-01-12Litinsky James H.Buy65.42K——
2026-01-12Litinsky James H.Sell26.32K$65.341.72M
2026-01-08Litinsky James H.Sell272.60K$64.1717.49M
2026-01-07Litinsky James H.Sell27.40K$64.011.75M
2025-12-31DUCKWORTH CONNIE KBuy593——
2025-12-31Lavan MaryanneBuy556——
2025-12-09Corbett RyanSell38.15K$60.002.29M
2025-12-05Litinsky James H.Sell275.56K$62.7917.30M
2025-12-05Litinsky James H.Sell34.80K$63.112.20M
2025-12-05Litinsky James H.Sell74.64K$63.424.73M
2025-11-20Litinsky James H.Sell207.69K$63.7213.23M
2025-11-20Litinsky James H.Sell40.72K$64.602.63M
2025-11-18Litinsky James H.Sell78.70K$58.514.60M
2025-11-17Corbett RyanSell20.00K$57.721.15M
2025-10-13Infuso David GregoryBuy3.43K——
2025-09-30DUCKWORTH CONNIE KBuy447——
2025-09-30Lavan MaryanneBuy419——
2025-09-12Litinsky James H.Sell25.00K——
2025-08-29Rosenthal Michael StuartSell83.87K$71.486.00M
2025-08-29Rosenthal Michael StuartSell52.06K$72.563.78M
2025-08-29Rosenthal Michael StuartSell14.06K$73.231.03M
2025-08-01Hoops Elliot DeanSell5.42K$60.22326.33K
2025-08-01Hoops Elliot DeanSell700$60.7742.54K
2025-08-01Hoops Elliot DeanSell218$61.6213.43K
2025-07-01Hoops Elliot DeanSell3.94K$32.24126.93K
2025-07-01Hoops Elliot DeanSell2.40K$31.4675.54K
2025-06-30Lavan MaryanneBuy845——
2025-06-30DUCKWORTH CONNIE KBuy901——
2025-06-26Hoops Elliot DeanSell5.52K$36.37200.87K
2025-06-13Hoops Elliot DeanSell5.54K$29.96165.92K
2025-06-12Hoops Elliot DeanSell800$29.9523.96K

Institutional holders

Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.

Institutions holding: 820, holders +40 vs prior quarter. Ownership 83.28%.

HolderSharesChangeChange %Value
UBS GROUP AG34.04M33.68M+9227.14%1.91B
HANCOCK PROSPECTING PTY LTD14.86M00.00%832.38M
BLACKROCK, INC.14.74M-9.54K-0.06%825.44M
SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP8.55M8.19M+2224.85%479.12M
STATE STREET CORP7.77M376.52K+5.09%435.41M
JANE STREET GROUP, LLC7.28M6.98M+2349.60%407.65M
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC6.94M62.66K+0.91%388.51M
VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC6.82M53.03K+0.78%382.17M
D. E. SHAW & CO., INC.5.83M5.02M+622.29%326.48M
MORGAN STANLEY4.77M-779.70K-14.04%267.31M
VAN ECK ASSOCIATES CORP4.57M-23.21K-0.51%255.70M
UBS GROUP AG4.32M3.96M+1084.32%242.12M
INVESCO LTD.3.54M-257.68K-6.79%198.14M
BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/3.42M1.40M+69.70%191.41M
PRICE T ROWE ASSOCIATES INC /MD/3.27M1.88M+134.90%183.33M
COOPERMAN LEON G3.00M00.00%168.03M
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO3.02M99.47K+3.41%165.60M
CITADEL ADVISORS LLC2.94M2.68M+1042.13%164.67M
REAVES W H & CO INC2.61M-1.93K-0.07%146.01M
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC2.55M33.55K+1.33%143.05M
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP2.20M323.32K+17.27%122.97M
JANE STREET GROUP, LLC2.19M1.90M+638.64%122.92M
CAXTON ASSOCIATES LLP1.99M1.99MNew111.57M
CAPTION MANAGEMENT, LLC1.99M261.50K+15.17%111.18M
NORGES BANK1.93M1.93MNew108.36M

Forecast

Consensus Buy from 19 analysts. Average price target $80.70, +91.3% versus the current price. Low $69.00. High $100.00.

Insights · Dividends · Forecast · Financials · Learn

Stocklytics home · Screener

Analysts have an average 12-month price target of $80.70 for MP Materials (MP), 91.3% above the current price of $42.18. Of 19 analysts covering the stock, 18 rate it Buy or Strong Buy, 1 Hold, and 0 Sell or Strong Sell, giving a consensus of Buy.

Forecasts are third-party estimates and often wrong. They are not investment advice.

MP price target

12-month price target
Low$69.00
Average$80.70
High$100.00

The average is 91.3% above the current price of $42.18.

Is MP Materials a buy or sell?

Of 19 analysts, 18 rate MP Materials Buy or Strong Buy, 1 Hold, and 0 Sell or Strong Sell. The consensus label is Buy. That split is not a recommendation.

MP Materials earnings and revenue forecast

Analyst averages on file: 2026, EPS -0.04, revenue $449.61 million. 2027, EPS $0.64, revenue $772.24 million.

MP score and fair value

The Stocklytics Score for MP is 60 out of 100. It averages value, quality, and growth against a large-cap US universe. It is not a price target and not a buy or sell rating. Fair value is a separate estimate on the fair value tab.

MP forecast FAQs

What is the MP price target?

$80.70 average, with a published range of $69.00 to $100.00.

Is MP Materials a buy or sell?

The consensus is Buy from 19 analysts. This is not a recommendation.

What is the MP Materials stock forecast for 2026?

Analysts' average EPS estimate for 2026 on file is -0.04. The average revenue estimate is $449.61 million.

What will MP be worth in 2030?

No reliable forecast exists that far out.

When is MP Materials's next earnings report?

The next earnings date is shown on the stock page when a future report is on the calendar. This forecast does not invent a date.

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MP Materials (MP) Stock Forecast & Price Target

MP$42.18+1.12 +2.73%

$7.51B

Market Cap

-120.13

P/E

65.46

Forward P/E

60

Score

Price History