Vail Resorts (MTN) Stock Insights
$5.45B
Market Cap
36.67
P/E
27.27
Forward P/E
37
Score
MTN price $153.03 +1.08 +0.71%
Stocklytics score rationale: value 63, quality 30, growth 19.
| 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1907218000 | 2011553000 | 2271575000 | 1963704000 | 1909710000 | 2525912000 | 2889364000 | 2885191000 | 2964347000 | 2838204000 |
Vail Resorts, Inc., operating through its various subsidiary entities, oversees a portfolio of mountain resorts and urban ski areas located across the United States. The company's business activities are structured into three distinct segments: Mountain, Lodging, and Real Estate. The Mountain division is responsible for managing 37 prominent mountain destinations and regional ski facilities. This segment also…
MTN fair value $403.87. Price $153.03. Price is 62% below fair value.
Above fair value, and more expensive than usual. A larger premium than on 74% of days in the past 5 years.
Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.
Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 312.00M. Growth 13.74%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 8.70% (beta 0.8). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 35.64M. Net debt 3.19B. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.
Model uncertainty high for this stock
| Date | EPS actual | EPS estimate | Revenue | Revenue estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-12-09 | — | -5.49 | — | 275.59M |
| 2026-09-28 | -5.34 | -5.35 | 278.07M | 269.30M |
| 2026-06-08 | 8.81 | 8.94 | 1.21B | 1.20B |
| 2026-03-09 | 5.87 | 6.06 | 1.08B | 1.10B |
| 2025-12-10 | -5.20 | -5.16 | 271.03M | 277.59M |
| 2025-09-29 | -5.08 | -4.72 | 271.29M | 274.36M |
| 2025-06-05 | 10.54 | 10.04 | 1.30B | 1.30B |
| 2025-03-10 | 6.56 | 6.29 | 1.14B | 1.14B |
| 2024-12-09 | -4.61 | -5.01 | 260.27M | 249.78M |
| 2024-09-26 | -4.67 | -4.24 | 265.39M | 264.84M |
| 2024-06-06 | 9.54 | 9.97 | 1.28B | 1.31B |
| 2024-03-11 | 5.76 | 6.07 | 1.08B | 1.15B |
| 2023-12-07 | -4.60 | -4.54 | 258.56M | 272.88M |
| 2023-09-28 | -3.35 | -3.24 | 269.77M | 282.26M |
| 2023-06-08 | 8.18 | 8.84 | 1.24B | 1.27B |
| 2023-03-09 | 5.16 | 6.11 | 1.10B | 1.07B |
| 2022-12-08 | -3.40 | -3.17 | 279.45M | 259.42M |
| 2022-09-28 | -2.70 | -2.92 | 267.14M | 262.30M |
| 2022-06-09 | 9.16 | 9.06 | 1.18B | 1.16B |
| 2022-03-14 | 5.47 | 5.72 | 906.53M | 956.79M |
| 2021-12-09 | -3.44 | -3.62 | 175.58M | 977.22M |
| 2021-09-23 | -3.49 | -3.64 | 204.20M | 212.62M |
| 2021-06-07 | 6.72 | 6.54 | 889.08M | 785.16M |
| 2021-03-11 | 3.62 | 2.26 | 684.64M | 631.34M |
| 2020-12-10 | -3.82 | -3.54 | 131.79M | 130.32M |
| 2020-09-24 | -3.82 | -3.43 | 77.21M | 69.33M |
| 2020-06-04 | 3.74 | 3.28 | 694.09M | 608.72M |
| 2020-03-09 | 5.04 | 5.45 | 924.64M | 999.86M |
| 2019-12-09 | -2.64 | -2.98 | 267.77M | 302.26M |
| 2019-09-26 | -2.22 | -2.53 | 244.01M | 278.08M |
| 2019-06-06 | 7.12 | 7.05 | 957.99M | 948.57M |
| 2019-03-08 | 5.02 | 4.83 | 849.58M | 817.42M |
| 2018-12-07 | -2.66 | -2.46 | 220.00M | 203.46M |
| 2018-09-28 | -2.07 | -2.24 | 211.64M | 229.02M |
| 2018-06-07 | 6.17 | 6.12 | 844.49M | 837.65M |
| 2018-03-08 | 4.10 | 3.58 | 734.58M | 463.81M |
| 2017-12-07 | -2.00 | -1.90 | 220.85M | 591.01M |
| 2017-09-28 | -1.43 | -1.81 | 209.12M | 264.70M |
| 2017-06-08 | 4.40 | 4.82 | 794.63M | 870.48M |
| 2017-03-10 | 3.63 | 3.41 | 725.20M | 681.25M |
Yield 5.80%. Payout ratio 2.15%. Frequency Quarterly.
Safety score 77/100 · Safe. Payout ratio is 2% of earnings. Dividends are larger than free cash flow. Dividends were paid in 16 separate years. Yield is 5.8%, in a range that is usually sustainable.
| Ex-date | Dividend | Record | Payment | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-08 | $2.22 | 2026-10-08 | 2026-10-27 | Quarterly |
| 2026-06-25 | $2.22 | 2026-06-25 | 2026-07-09 | Quarterly |
| 2026-03-26 | $2.22 | 2026-03-26 | 2026-04-09 | Quarterly |
| 2025-12-30 | $2.22 | 2025-12-30 | 2026-01-12 | Irregular |
| 2025-10-09 | $2.22 | 2025-10-09 | 2025-10-27 | Quarterly |
| 2025-06-24 | $2.22 | 2025-06-24 | 2025-07-09 | Quarterly |
| 2025-03-27 | $2.22 | 2025-03-27 | 2025-04-10 | Quarterly |
| 2024-12-26 | $2.22 | 2024-12-26 | 2025-01-09 | Irregular |
| 2024-10-08 | $2.22 | 2024-10-08 | 2024-10-24 | Quarterly |
| 2024-06-25 | $2.22 | 2024-06-25 | 2024-07-10 | Quarterly |
| 2024-03-27 | $2.22 | 2024-03-28 | 2024-04-11 | Quarterly |
| 2023-12-22 | $2.06 | 2023-12-26 | 2024-01-09 | Quarterly |
| 2023-10-06 | $2.06 | 2023-10-10 | 2023-10-26 | Quarterly |
| 2023-06-26 | $2.06 | 2023-06-27 | 2023-07-12 | Quarterly |
| 2023-03-24 | $2.06 | 2023-03-27 | 2023-04-11 | Quarterly |
| 2022-12-23 | $1.91 | 2022-12-27 | 2023-01-10 | Quarterly |
| 2022-10-04 | $1.91 | 2022-10-05 | 2022-10-24 | Quarterly |
| 2022-06-24 | $1.91 | 2022-06-27 | 2022-07-12 | Quarterly |
| 2022-03-29 | $1.91 | 2022-03-30 | 2022-04-14 | Quarterly |
| 2021-12-27 | $0.88 | 2021-12-28 | 2022-01-11 | Quarterly |
| 2021-10-04 | $0.88 | 2021-10-05 | 2021-10-22 | Annual |
| 2020-03-25 | $1.76 | 2020-03-26 | 2020-04-09 | Annual |
| 2019-12-24 | $1.76 | 2019-12-26 | 2020-01-09 | Quarterly |
| 2019-10-07 | $1.76 | 2019-10-08 | 2019-10-25 | Quarterly |
| 2019-06-25 | $1.76 | 2019-06-26 | 2019-07-11 | Quarterly |
| 2019-03-26 | $1.76 | 2019-03-27 | 2019-04-11 | Quarterly |
| 2018-12-26 | $1.47 | 2018-12-27 | 2019-01-10 | Quarterly |
| 2018-10-05 | $1.47 | 2018-10-09 | 2018-10-26 | Quarterly |
| 2018-06-26 | $1.47 | 2018-06-27 | 2018-07-12 | Quarterly |
| 2018-03-26 | $1.47 | 2018-03-27 | 2018-04-11 | Quarterly |
| 2017-12-26 | $1.05 | 2017-12-27 | 2018-01-10 | Quarterly |
| 2017-10-06 | $1.05 | 2017-10-10 | 2017-10-27 | Quarterly |
| 2017-06-26 | $1.05 | 2017-06-28 | 2017-07-13 | Quarterly |
| 2017-03-27 | $1.05 | 2017-03-29 | 2017-04-13 | Quarterly |
| 2016-12-23 | $0.81 | 2016-12-28 | 2017-01-12 | Quarterly |
| 2016-10-05 | $0.81 | 2016-10-07 | 2016-10-25 | Quarterly |
| 2016-06-24 | $0.81 | 2016-06-28 | 2016-07-13 | Quarterly |
| 2016-03-24 | $0.81 | 2016-03-29 | 2016-04-13 | Quarterly |
| 2015-12-23 | $0.62 | 2015-12-28 | 2016-01-12 | Quarterly |
| 2015-10-07 | $0.62 | 2015-10-09 | 2015-10-26 | Quarterly |
| 2015-06-23 | $0.62 | 2015-06-25 | 2015-07-10 | Quarterly |
| 2015-03-27 | $0.62 | 2015-03-31 | 2015-04-15 | Quarterly |
| 2014-12-24 | $0.41 | 2014-12-29 | 2015-01-12 | Quarterly |
| 2014-10-03 | $0.41 | 2014-10-07 | 2014-10-22 | Quarterly |
| 2014-06-19 | $0.41 | 2014-06-23 | 2014-07-08 | Quarterly |
| 2014-03-28 | $0.41 | 2014-04-01 | 2014-04-16 | Quarterly |
| 2013-12-23 | $0.21 | 2013-12-26 | 2014-01-10 | Quarterly |
| 2013-10-07 | $0.21 | 2013-10-09 | 2013-10-24 | Quarterly |
| 2013-06-20 | $0.21 | 2013-06-24 | 2013-07-09 | Quarterly |
| 2013-03-21 | $0.21 | 2013-03-25 | 2013-04-09 | Quarterly |
| 2012-12-17 | $0.19 | 2012-12-19 | 2012-12-27 | Irregular |
| 2012-10-05 | $0.19 | 2012-10-10 | 2012-10-25 | Quarterly |
| 2012-06-21 | $0.19 | 2012-06-25 | 2012-07-10 | Quarterly |
| 2012-03-22 | $0.19 | 2012-03-26 | 2012-04-10 | Quarterly |
| 2011-12-20 | $0.15 | 2011-12-22 | 2012-01-06 | Quarterly |
| 2011-10-07 | $0.15 | 2011-10-12 | 2011-10-27 | Quarterly |
| 2011-06-29 | $0.15 | 2011-07-01 | 2011-07-18 | Quarterly |
| Date | Insider | Action | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | Gronberg Nathan Mark | Buy | 4.67K | $141.16 | 659.92K |
| 2026-10-03 | Gronberg Nathan Mark | Buy | 1.33K | — | — |
| 2026-10-03 | Korch Angela A | Buy | 26.26K | $141.16 | 3.71M |
| 2026-10-03 | Korch Angela A | Buy | 7.45K | — | — |
| 2026-10-03 | Knobloch Iris | Buy | 1.66K | — | — |
| 2026-10-03 | Kunkel Lynanne | Buy | 22.46K | $141.16 | 3.17M |
| 2026-10-03 | Kunkel Lynanne | Buy | 6.38K | — | — |
| 2026-10-03 | Chambers Reginald | Buy | 1.66K | — | — |
| 2026-10-03 | KATZ ROBERT A | Buy | 48.86K | $155.28 | 7.59M |
| 2026-10-03 | KATZ ROBERT A | Buy | 12.43K | — | — |
| 2026-10-03 | SEWELL D BRUCE | Buy | 1.66K | — | — |
| 2026-10-03 | Sullivan Gregory Jon | Buy | 10.23K | $141.16 | 1.44M |
| 2026-10-03 | Sullivan Gregory Jon | Buy | 2.90K | — | — |
| 2026-10-03 | HORNBUCKLE WILLIAM | Buy | 1.66K | — | — |
| 2026-10-03 | DeCecco Julie A. | Buy | 15.01K | $141.16 | 2.12M |
| 2026-10-03 | DeCecco Julie A. | Buy | 4.26K | — | — |
| 2026-10-03 | Rawlinson Nadia Nicole | Buy | 1.66K | — | — |
| 2026-10-03 | BURGOYNE CELESTE | Buy | 49.98K | $141.16 | 7.06M |
| 2026-10-03 | BURGOYNE CELESTE | Buy | 14.19K | — | — |
| 2026-10-03 | SCHNEIDER HILARY | Buy | 1.66K | — | — |
| 2026-10-03 | Rock William | Buy | 16.84K | $141.16 | 2.38M |
| 2026-10-03 | Rock William | Buy | 4.78K | — | — |
| 2026-10-03 | Romanow Michele | Buy | 1.66K | — | — |
| 2026-10-03 | Vaughn Peter A | Buy | 1.66K | — | — |
| 2026-09-30 | Rock William | Buy | 1.45K | — | — |
| 2026-09-30 | Rock William | Sell | 417 | $137.18 | 57.20K |
| 2026-09-30 | Rock William | Sell | 1.45K | — | — |
| 2026-09-30 | Chambers Reginald | Buy | 1.56K | — | — |
| 2026-09-30 | Chambers Reginald | Sell | 1.56K | — | — |
| 2026-09-30 | Sullivan Gregory Jon | Buy | 880 | — | — |
| 2026-09-30 | Sullivan Gregory Jon | Sell | 386 | $137.18 | 52.95K |
| 2026-09-30 | Sullivan Gregory Jon | Sell | 880 | — | — |
| 2026-09-30 | KATZ ROBERT A | Buy | 3.77K | — | — |
| 2026-09-30 | KATZ ROBERT A | Sell | 1.65K | $137.18 | 226.21K |
| 2026-09-30 | KATZ ROBERT A | Sell | 3.77K | — | — |
| 2026-09-30 | DeCecco Julie A. | Buy | 1.29K | — | — |
| 2026-09-30 | DeCecco Julie A. | Sell | 372 | $137.18 | 51.03K |
| 2026-09-30 | DeCecco Julie A. | Sell | 1.29K | — | — |
| 2026-09-30 | Romanow Michele | Buy | 1.56K | — | — |
| 2026-09-30 | Romanow Michele | Sell | 77 | $137.18 | 10.56K |
| 2026-09-30 | Romanow Michele | Sell | 1.56K | — | — |
| 2026-09-30 | SEWELL D BRUCE | Buy | 1.56K | — | — |
| 2026-09-30 | SEWELL D BRUCE | Sell | 1.56K | — | — |
| 2026-09-30 | Vaughn Peter A | Buy | 1.56K | — | — |
| 2026-09-30 | Vaughn Peter A | Sell | 1.56K | — | — |
| 2026-09-30 | Kunkel Lynanne | Buy | 1.69K | — | — |
| 2026-09-30 | Kunkel Lynanne | Sell | 486 | $137.18 | 66.67K |
| 2026-09-30 | Kunkel Lynanne | Sell | 1.69K | — | — |
| 2026-09-30 | Korch Angela A | Buy | 1.96K | — | — |
| 2026-09-30 | Korch Angela A | Sell | 856 | $137.18 | 117.43K |
| 2026-09-30 | Korch Angela A | Sell | 1.96K | — | — |
| 2026-09-30 | Gronberg Nathan Mark | Buy | 749 | — | — |
| 2026-09-30 | Gronberg Nathan Mark | Sell | 329 | $137.18 | 45.13K |
| 2026-09-30 | Gronberg Nathan Mark | Sell | 749 | — | — |
| 2026-09-30 | Knobloch Iris | Buy | 1.56K | — | — |
| 2026-09-30 | Knobloch Iris | Sell | 88 | $137.18 | 12.07K |
| 2026-09-30 | Knobloch Iris | Sell | 1.56K | — | — |
| 2026-09-30 | DECKER SUSAN L | Buy | 1.56K | — | — |
| 2026-09-30 | DECKER SUSAN L | Sell | 1.56K | — | — |
| 2026-09-30 | SCHNEIDER HILARY | Buy | 1.56K | — | — |
| 2026-09-30 | SCHNEIDER HILARY | Sell | 1.56K | — | — |
| 2026-09-29 | Rock William | Buy | 839 | — | — |
| 2026-09-29 | Rock William | Sell | 243 | $141.29 | 34.33K |
| 2026-09-29 | Rock William | Sell | 839 | — | — |
| 2026-09-29 | Sullivan Gregory Jon | Buy | 368 | — | — |
| 2026-09-29 | Sullivan Gregory Jon | Sell | 163 | $141.29 | 23.03K |
| 2026-09-29 | Sullivan Gregory Jon | Sell | 368 | — | — |
| 2026-09-29 | KATZ ROBERT A | Buy | 890 | — | — |
| 2026-09-29 | KATZ ROBERT A | Sell | 391 | $141.29 | 55.24K |
| 2026-09-29 | KATZ ROBERT A | Sell | 890 | — | — |
| 2026-09-29 | DeCecco Julie A. | Buy | 403 | — | — |
| 2026-09-29 | DeCecco Julie A. | Sell | 118 | $141.29 | 16.67K |
| 2026-09-29 | DeCecco Julie A. | Sell | 403 | — | — |
| 2026-09-29 | Kunkel Lynanne | Buy | 1.02K | — | — |
| 2026-09-29 | Kunkel Lynanne | Sell | 295 | $141.29 | 41.68K |
| 2026-09-29 | Kunkel Lynanne | Sell | 1.02K | — | — |
| 2026-09-29 | Korch Angela A | Buy | 1.20K | — | — |
| 2026-09-29 | Korch Angela A | Sell | 524 | $141.29 | 74.04K |
| 2026-09-29 | Korch Angela A | Sell | 1.20K | — | — |
| 2026-09-29 | Gronberg Nathan Mark | Buy | 222 | — | — |
| 2026-09-29 | Gronberg Nathan Mark | Sell | 99 | $141.29 | 13.99K |
| 2026-09-29 | Gronberg Nathan Mark | Sell | 222 | — | — |
| 2026-09-27 | DeCecco Julie A. | Buy | 586 | — | — |
| 2026-09-27 | DeCecco Julie A. | Sell | 172 | $136.11 | 23.41K |
| 2026-09-27 | DeCecco Julie A. | Sell | 586 | — | — |
| 2026-09-27 | Gronberg Nathan Mark | Buy | 344 | — | — |
| 2026-09-27 | Gronberg Nathan Mark | Sell | 153 | $136.11 | 20.82K |
| 2026-09-27 | Gronberg Nathan Mark | Sell | 344 | — | — |
| 2026-09-27 | KATZ ROBERT A | Buy | 1.15K | — | — |
| 2026-09-27 | KATZ ROBERT A | Sell | 336 | $136.11 | 45.73K |
| 2026-09-27 | KATZ ROBERT A | Sell | 1.15K | — | — |
| 2026-09-27 | Korch Angela A | Buy | 1.54K | — | — |
| 2026-09-27 | Korch Angela A | Sell | 682 | $136.11 | 92.83K |
| 2026-09-27 | Korch Angela A | Sell | 1.54K | — | — |
| 2026-09-27 | Kunkel Lynanne | Buy | 1.33K | — | — |
| 2026-09-27 | Kunkel Lynanne | Sell | 390 | $136.11 | 53.08K |
| 2026-09-27 | Kunkel Lynanne | Sell | 1.33K | — | — |
| 2026-09-27 | Sullivan Gregory Jon | Buy | 695 | — | — |
| 2026-09-27 | Sullivan Gregory Jon | Sell | 308 | $136.11 | 41.92K |
| 2026-09-27 | Sullivan Gregory Jon | Sell | 695 | — | — |
Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.
Institutions holding: 464, holders +1 vs prior quarter. Ownership 132.91%.
| Holder | Shares | Change | Change % | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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| OASIS MANAGEMENT CO LTD. | 2.33M | 1.53M | +191.13% | 317.10M |
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| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | 1.70M | 8.39K | +0.50% | 231.40M |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 1.60M | -2.09K | -0.13% | 218.29M |
| UBS GROUP AG | 1.51M | 784.88K | +108.82% | 205.06M |
| FIRST PACIFIC ADVISORS, LP | 1.30M | 128.61K | +10.93% | 177.67M |
| SIXTH STREET PARTNERS MANAGEMENT COMPANY, L.P. | 1.30M | 1.30M | New | 176.98M |
| CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC | 1.30M | 106.83K | +8.95% | 176.98M |
| FMR LLC | 1.18M | -18.58K | -1.55% | 160.94M |
| STATE STREET CORP | 1.14M | 33.33K | +3.02% | 157.33M |
| MANUFACTURERS LIFE INSURANCE COMPANY, THE | 965.25K | -11.49K | -1.18% | 131.42M |
| HARRIS ASSOCIATES L P | 764.38K | 18.83K | +2.53% | 104.07M |
| HIGHTOWER ADVISORS, LLC | 712.43K | 131.90K | +22.72% | 97.00M |
| DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP | 666.76K | 17.84K | +2.75% | 90.78M |
| SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP | 544.30K | 329.00K | +152.81% | 74.11M |
| MORGAN STANLEY | 495.21K | -276.21K | -35.81% | 67.42M |
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| NORTHERN TRUST CORP | 479.02K | 58.02K | +13.78% | 65.22M |
| CORIENT PRIVATE WEALTH LP | 406.96K | -4.87K | -1.18% | 55.41M |
| EPOCH INVESTMENT PARTNERS, INC. | 398.15K | 10.70K | +2.76% | 54.21M |
| BANK OF NEW YORK MELLON CORP | 365.40K | -1.37K | -0.37% | 49.75M |
Insights · Dividends · Forecast · Financials · Learn
$5.45B
Market Cap
36.67
P/E
27.27
Forward P/E
37
Score