Nathan's Famous (NATH) Stock Insights

NATH price $102.05 0.00 0.00%

Ticker
NATH
Price
$102.05
Change
0.00 0.00%
Market cap ?
$418.17M
Beta ?
0.28
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Industry
Restaurants

Fair value

NATH fair value $128.32. Price $102.05. Price is 20% below fair value.

Below fair value, around its usual discount.

Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.

Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 19.08M. Growth 16.39%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 8.70% (beta 0.8). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 4.10M. Net debt 27.68M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, kept between 8 and 40. Fewer than five years of history uses the sector's typical P/E. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.

Compare NATH

Earnings

DateEPS actualEPS estimateRevenueRevenue estimate
2026-11-06————
2026-08-072.14—54.06M—
2026-06-090.68—35.07M—
2026-02-050.75—34.31M—
2025-11-061.26—45.69M—
2025-08-082.16—47.00M—
2025-06-101.03—30.79M—
2025-02-061.10—31.52M—
2024-11-071.47—41.11M—
2024-08-082.27—44.77M—
2024-06-120.96—28.99M—
2024-02-010.64—28.89M—
2023-11-021.40—38.74M—
2023-08-031.81—41.98M—
2023-06-080.80—130.78M—
2023-02-020.79—26.15M—
2022-11-031.46—37.50M—
2022-08-051.74—39.72M—
2022-06-100.52—24.77M—
2022-02-040.52—25.91M—
2021-11-050.86—32.88M—
2021-08-061.40—31.32M—
2021-06-110.50—18.28M—
2021-02-050.33—18.03M—
2020-11-060.89—21.84M—
2020-08-070.97—17.69M—
2020-06-120.76—21.70M—
2020-02-070.29—21.38M—
2019-11-080.87—29.73M—
2019-08-091.28—30.52M—
2019-06-140.59—22.13M—
2019-02-010.44—20.22M—
2018-11-021.06—29.33M—
2018-08-031.13—30.17M—
2018-06-080.28—19.59M—
2018-02-020.25—22.08M—
2017-11-030.74—31.61M—
2017-08-040.69—30.92M—
2017-06-090.17—19.29M—
2017-02-030.17—19.94M—

Dividends

Yield 3.92%. Payout ratio 92.38%. Frequency Semi-Annual.

Safety score 67/100 · Moderate. Payout ratio is 92% of earnings. Dividends use most of free cash flow. Dividends were paid in 11 separate years. Yield is 3.9%, in a range that is usually sustainable.

Ex-dateDividendRecordPaymentFrequency
2026-06-22$0.502026-06-222026-06-30Semi-Annual
2026-02-17$0.502026-02-172026-02-27Semi-Annual
2025-11-24$3.002025-11-242025-12-05Special
2025-08-25$0.502025-08-252025-09-05Irregular
2025-06-23$0.502025-06-232025-07-01Quarterly
2025-02-18$0.502025-02-182025-02-28Quarterly
2024-11-25$0.502024-11-252024-12-06Quarterly
2024-08-26$0.502024-08-262024-09-06Quarterly
2024-06-24$0.502024-06-242024-07-02Quarterly
2024-02-16$0.502024-02-202024-03-01Quarterly
2023-11-17$0.502023-11-202023-12-01Quarterly
2023-08-18$0.502023-08-212023-09-01Quarterly
2023-06-16$0.502023-06-202023-06-28Quarterly
2023-02-17$0.502023-02-212023-03-03Quarterly
2022-11-18$0.452022-11-212022-12-02Quarterly
2022-08-19$0.452022-08-222022-09-02Quarterly
2022-06-16$0.452022-06-202022-06-24Quarterly
2022-02-17$0.452022-02-212022-03-04Quarterly
2021-11-19$0.352021-11-222021-12-03Quarterly
2021-08-20$0.352021-08-232021-09-03Quarterly
2021-06-18$0.352021-06-212021-06-25Quarterly
2021-02-19$0.352021-02-222021-03-05Quarterly
2020-11-20$0.352020-11-232020-12-04Quarterly
2020-08-21$0.352020-08-242020-09-04Quarterly
2020-06-19$0.352020-06-222020-06-26Quarterly
2020-02-21$0.352020-02-242020-03-06Quarterly
2019-11-22$0.352019-11-252019-12-06Quarterly
2019-08-23$0.352019-08-262019-09-06Quarterly
2019-06-21$0.352019-06-242019-06-28Quarterly
2019-03-08$0.252019-03-112019-03-22Quarterly
2018-11-30$0.252018-12-032018-12-14Quarterly
2018-09-07$0.252018-09-102018-09-21Quarterly
2018-06-15$0.252018-06-182018-06-22Quarterly
2017-12-21$5.002017-12-222018-01-04Special
2015-03-30$25.002015-03-20—Special

Insider trades

DateInsiderActionSharesPriceValue
2026-10-26Podell JoanneSell5.00K$74.47372.35K
2026-10-26Podell JoanneSell10.00K$78.00780.00K
2026-10-26Platte LeighSell863$0.019
2026-10-26PETROCELLI ATTILIOSell50.00K$0.01500
2026-10-26PETROCELLI ATTILIOSell15.00K$74.471.12M
2026-10-26NORBITZ WAYNESell15.00K$74.471.12M
2026-10-26LORBER HOWARD MSell250.00K$0.012.50K
2026-10-26LORBER HOWARD MSell20.00K$102.002.04M
2026-10-26Levine Andrew MSell3.26K$0.0133
2026-10-26Levine Andrew MSell15.00K$74.471.12M
2026-10-26LEISTNER BARRYSell36.41K$0.01364
2026-10-26LEISTNER BARRYSell15.00K$74.471.12M
2026-10-26GENSON BRIAN SSell7.04K$0.0170
2026-10-26GENSON BRIAN SSell15.00K$74.471.12M
2026-10-26GATOFF ERICSell78.75K$0.01788
2026-10-26EIDE ROBERT JSell15.00K$74.471.12M
2026-10-26EIDE ROBERT JSell138$0.011
2026-10-26Raich CharlesSell45.92K$0.01459
2026-10-26Raich CharlesSell15.00K$74.471.12M
2026-06-11Levine Andrew MBuy10.00K$68.50685.00K
2026-06-11Levine Andrew MSell6.74K$101.58685.06K
2026-06-11Levine Andrew MSell10.00K$68.50685.00K
2025-12-08LORBER HOWARD MBuy10.00K——
2025-12-08LORBER HOWARD MSell5.11K$89.87458.79K
2025-12-08LORBER HOWARD MSell10.00K——
2025-02-13PETROCELLI ATTILIOSell21.71K——
2025-02-11GENSON BRIAN SSell900$87.0078.30K
2025-02-11GENSON BRIAN SSell100$87.448.74K
2024-12-08LORBER HOWARD MBuy10.00K——
2024-12-08LORBER HOWARD MSell5.11K$85.60436.99K
2024-12-08LORBER HOWARD MSell10.00K——
2024-11-14GENSON BRIAN SSell1.40K$86.25120.75K
2024-08-26LEISTNER BARRYSell1.75K——
2024-08-19Raich CharlesBuy15.00K$74.471.12M
2024-08-19Podell JoanneBuy5.00K$74.47372.35K
2024-08-19PETROCELLI ATTILIOBuy15.00K$74.471.12M
2024-08-19NORBITZ WAYNEBuy15.00K$74.471.12M
2024-08-19Levine Andrew MBuy15.00K$74.471.12M
2024-08-19LEISTNER BARRYBuy15.00K$74.471.12M
2024-08-19GENSON BRIAN SBuy15.00K$74.471.12M
2024-08-19EIDE ROBERT JBuy15.00K$74.471.12M
2024-02-29PETROCELLI ATTILIOSell25.00K——
2024-02-22GENSON BRIAN SSell50$68.003.40K
2024-02-22GENSON BRIAN SSell206$68.0114.01K
2024-02-22GENSON BRIAN SSell78$68.105.31K
2024-02-22GENSON BRIAN SSell676$68.2746.15K
2024-02-22GENSON BRIAN SSell189$68.2712.90K
2024-02-22GENSON BRIAN SSell82$68.285.60K
2024-02-22GENSON BRIAN SSell99$68.306.76K
2024-02-22GENSON BRIAN SSell20$68.311.37K
2024-02-22GENSON BRIAN SSell100$68.326.83K
2023-12-08LORBER HOWARD MBuy10.00K——
2023-12-08LORBER HOWARD MSell5.11K$70.99362.40K
2023-12-08LORBER HOWARD MSell10.00K——
2023-12-06GENSON BRIAN SSell580$67.5039.15K
2023-12-06GENSON BRIAN SSell200$67.5113.50K
2023-12-06GENSON BRIAN SSell200$67.6513.53K
2023-12-06GENSON BRIAN SSell10$67.70677
2023-12-06GENSON BRIAN SSell41$67.732.78K
2023-12-06GENSON BRIAN SSell38$67.742.57K
2023-12-06GENSON BRIAN SSell100$67.756.78K
2023-12-06GENSON BRIAN SSell4$67.81271
2023-12-06GENSON BRIAN SSell827$68.0056.24K
2023-11-29LEISTNER BARRYSell900——
2023-08-30GENSON BRIAN SSell1.74K$73.00127.31K
2023-08-30GENSON BRIAN SSell50$73.103.65K
2023-08-30GENSON BRIAN SSell200$73.1314.63K
2023-08-30GENSON BRIAN SSell6$73.50441
2023-08-17LEISTNER BARRYSell675——
2023-08-11Podell JoanneBuy10.00K$78.00780.00K
2023-08-08PETROCELLI ATTILIOSell20.00K——
2023-07-06Podell JoanneSell0——
2022-12-08LORBER HOWARD MBuy50.00K——
2022-11-30GENSON BRIAN SSell390$65.0525.37K
2022-11-30GENSON BRIAN SSell1.39K$65.6091.18K
2022-11-30GENSON BRIAN SSell220$66.8114.70K
2022-08-16LEISTNER BARRYSell900——
2021-09-12Platte LeighSell113$62.837.10K
2021-08-10Levine Andrew MBuy10.00K$68.50685.00K
2020-11-25LEISTNER BARRYSell2.34K——
2020-09-12Platte LeighSell111$50.725.63K
2020-06-30Steinberg Robert ESell0——
2020-06-01Levine Andrew MSell0——
2019-12-13DEVOS RONALD GSell13.71K$71.90985.68K
2019-12-05LEISTNER BARRYSell1.93K——
2019-12-05LORBER HOWARD MSell2.50K——
2019-12-05LORBER HOWARD MSell2.50K——
2019-11-15GENSON BRIAN SSell1.50K$77.00115.50K
2019-11-15GENSON BRIAN SSell1.49K$76.50114.06K
2019-11-14GENSON BRIAN SSell1.01K$80.0080.72K
2019-09-12Platte LeighSell113$69.997.91K
2019-06-18Raich CharlesBuy16.12K$33.44538.92K
2019-06-18Raich CharlesSell16.12K$33.44538.92K
2019-05-07LEISTNER BARRYBuy16.12K$33.44538.92K
2019-05-07LEISTNER BARRYSell16.12K$33.44538.92K
2019-04-29Walker James RobertSell0——
2019-02-07GENSON BRIAN SSell5.00K$70.58352.91K
2019-02-05GENSON BRIAN SBuy16.12K$33.44538.92K
2019-02-05GENSON BRIAN SSell7.42K$72.64538.92K
2019-02-05GENSON BRIAN SSell16.12K$33.44538.92K

Institutional holders

Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.

Institutions holding: 126, holders 0 vs prior quarter. Ownership 51.60%.

HolderSharesChangeChange %Value
GAMCO INVESTORS, INC. ET AL273.19K-17.90K-6.15%27.76M
BLACKROCK, INC.253.23K78.12K+44.61%25.73M
GABELLI FUNDS LLC180.00K-7.00K-3.74%18.29M
RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC158.06K3.70K+2.40%16.06M
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC115.51K-660-0.57%11.74M
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC69.36K3.60K+5.47%7.05M
HOTCHKIS & WILEY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC66.72K400+0.60%6.78M
CREDIT INDUSTRIEL ET COMMERCIAL54.81K12.00K+28.03%5.57M
STATE STREET CORP54.51K-3.25K-5.63%5.54M
ABC ARBITRAGE SA53.96K00.00%5.48M
MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC53.41K10.54K+24.58%5.43M
MAGNETAR FINANCIAL LLC50.30K1.19K+2.43%5.11M
YAKIRA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, INC.43.92K43.92KNew4.46M
TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP41.37K2.61K+6.73%4.20M
ARROWSTREET CAPITAL, LIMITED PARTNERSHIP33.76K00.00%3.43M
LMR PARTNERS LLP31.78K11.67K+58.02%3.23M
BANK OF NEW YORK MELLON CORP29.71K863+2.99%3.02M
QUBE RESEARCH & TECHNOLOGIES LTD28.42K-1.11K-3.77%2.89M
NORTHERN TRUST CORP25.74K949+3.83%2.62M
POLAR ASSET MANAGEMENT PARTNERS INC.25.63K18.23K+246.39%2.60M
COMMONWEALTH OF PENNSYLVANIA PUBLIC SCHOOL EMPLS RETRMT SYS24.20K00.00%2.46M
OMERS ADMINISTRATION CORP23.61K-6.39K-21.32%2.40M
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC23.28K9.08K+63.88%2.37M
VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC19.67K2.53K+14.76%2.00M
D. E. SHAW & CO., INC.18.62K4.08K+28.10%1.89M

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Nathan's Famous (NATH) Stock Insights

NATH$102.050.00 0.00%

$418.17M

Market Cap

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P/E

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Forward P/E

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Score

Price History