Nebius Group (NBIS) Stock Price & Analysis
$40.97B
Market Cap
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P/E
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Forward P/E
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Score
NBIS price $170.69 +0.22 +0.13%
Nebius Group N.V. is a technology company dedicated to developing comprehensive infrastructure to serve the global artificial intelligence industry. Its operations encompass several key areas. Central to its mission is Nebius, an AI-focused cloud platform engineered to handle demanding AI workloads. This division constructs end-to-end AI infrastructure, featuring extensive GPU computing clusters, robust cloud…
NBIS fair value $77.85. Price $170.69. Price is 119% above fair value.
Above fair value, and more expensive than usual. A larger premium than on 77% of days in the past 5 years.
Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.
Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 72.09M. Growth 20.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 12.00% (beta 1.5). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 240.00M. Net debt 1.29B. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, kept between 8 and 40. Fewer than five years of history uses the sector's typical P/E. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.
Model uncertainty high for this stock
| Date | EPS actual | EPS estimate | Revenue | Revenue estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-10 | — | -0.71 | — | 905.75M |
| 2026-08-12 | -0.12 | -0.72 | 582.30M | 569.89M |
| 2026-05-13 | -0.23 | -0.77 | 399.00M | 375.13M |
| 2026-02-12 | -0.99 | -0.58 | 227.70M | 246.05M |
| 2025-11-11 | -0.39 | -0.56 | 146.10M | 157.88M |
| 2025-08-07 | -0.38 | -0.50 | 105.10M | 105.37M |
| 2025-05-20 | -0.43 | -0.45 | 55.30M | 57.73M |
| 2025-02-20 | -0.43 | -0.39 | 37.90M | 58.10M |
| 2024-10-31 | -0.33 | — | 43.30M | — |
| 2024-08-01 | 0.68 | — | 12.08M | — |
| 2024-04-26 | -0.22 | — | 11.30M | — |
| 2024-02-15 | 0.34 | — | 2.70B | — |
| 2023-10-27 | 0.10 | — | 2.20B | — |
| 2023-06-30 | 0.47 | — | 4.70M | — |
| 2023-04-27 | 0.04 | — | 1.87B | — |
| 2023-02-16 | 0.03 | 0.20 | 2.07B | 2.15B |
| 2022-11-03 | 0.12 | 0.04 | 2.21B | 2.03B |
| 2022-06-30 | 0.28 | — | 2.16B | — |
| 2022-03-31 | -0.49 | — | 1.30B | — |
| 2019-12-31 | 0.05 | — | 832.87M | — |
| 2019-09-30 | 0.21 | — | 694.17M | — |
| 2019-06-30 | 0.17 | — | 654.87M | — |
| 2019-03-31 | 0.14 | — | 568.09M | — |
| 2018-12-31 | 0.20 | — | 557.39M | — |
| 2018-09-30 | 0.23 | — | 497.12M | — |
| 2018-06-30 | 1.61 | — | 472.42M | — |
| 2018-03-31 | 0.12 | — | 465.31M | — |
| 2017-12-31 | 0.18 | — | 482.51M | — |
| 2017-09-30 | 0.05 | — | 407.22M | — |
| 2017-06-30 | 0.18 | — | 374.77M | — |
| 2017-03-31 | 0.05 | — | 367.02M | — |
| 2016-12-31 | 0.06 | — | 359.55M | — |
| 2016-09-30 | 0.12 | — | 307.23M | — |
| 2016-06-30 | 0.10 | — | 282.35M | — |
| 2016-03-31 | 0.05 | — | 245.47M | — |
| 2015-12-31 | 0.12 | — | 251.64M | — |
| 2015-09-30 | 0.20 | — | 235.17M | — |
| 2015-06-30 | 0.02 | — | 250.54M | — |
| 2015-03-31 | 0.11 | — | 212.16M | — |
| 2014-12-31 | 0.38 | — | 238.97M | — |
Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency —.
Safety score 37/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. No dividend history was found. There is no dividend yield.
| Ex-date | Dividend | Record | Payment | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No data yet. | ||||
| Date | Insider | Action | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-26 | Grimme Arne | Buy | 208 | $153.96 | 32.02K |
| 2026-10-23 | Grimme Arne | Buy | 205 | $158.98 | 32.59K |
| 2026-10-22 | Grimme Arne | Buy | 357 | $161.97 | 57.82K |
| 2026-10-21 | Grimme Arne | Buy | 148 | $167.94 | 24.86K |
| 2026-10-20 | Grimme Arne | Buy | 151 | $164.62 | 24.86K |
| 2026-10-19 | Grimme Arne | Buy | 148 | $169.99 | 25.16K |
| 2026-10-16 | Grimme Arne | Buy | 148 | $169.99 | 25.16K |
| 2026-10-15 | Boynton John Wilson IV | Sell | 200 | $164.80 | 32.96K |
| 2026-10-15 | Boynton John Wilson IV | Sell | 500 | $166.78 | 83.39K |
| 2026-10-15 | Boynton John Wilson IV | Sell | 500 | $167.80 | 83.90K |
| 2026-10-15 | Boynton John Wilson IV | Sell | 100 | $168.57 | 16.86K |
| 2026-10-15 | Boynton John Wilson IV | Sell | 100 | $170.00 | 17.00K |
| 2026-10-15 | Boynton John Wilson IV | Sell | 400 | $171.38 | 68.55K |
| 2026-10-15 | Boynton John Wilson IV | Sell | 200 | $172.59 | 34.52K |
| 2026-10-15 | Boynton John Wilson IV | Sell | 400 | $174.70 | 69.88K |
| 2026-10-15 | Boynton John Wilson IV | Sell | 500 | $175.72 | 87.86K |
| 2026-10-15 | Boynton John Wilson IV | Sell | 700 | $176.72 | 123.70K |
| 2026-10-15 | Boynton John Wilson IV | Sell | 400 | $177.90 | 71.16K |
| 2026-10-15 | Boynton John Wilson IV | Sell | 400 | $179.03 | 71.61K |
| 2026-10-15 | Boynton John Wilson IV | Sell | 600 | $180.26 | 108.16K |
| 2026-10-15 | Boynton John Wilson IV | Sell | 400 | $181.27 | 72.51K |
| 2026-10-15 | Boynton John Wilson IV | Sell | 200 | $182.21 | 36.44K |
| 2026-10-15 | Boynton John Wilson IV | Sell | 200 | $184.35 | 36.87K |
| 2026-10-15 | Boynton John Wilson IV | Sell | 400 | $186.67 | 74.67K |
| 2026-10-15 | Boynton John Wilson IV | Sell | 960 | $188.20 | 180.67K |
| 2026-10-15 | Boynton John Wilson IV | Sell | 100 | $188.77 | 18.88K |
| 2026-10-15 | Grimme Arne | Buy | 148 | $169.99 | 25.16K |
| 2026-10-12 | Boroditsky Marc | Sell | 7.00K | $40.00 | 280.00K |
| 2026-10-12 | Boroditsky Marc | Buy | 7.00K | $211.23 | 1.48M |
| 2026-10-12 | Boroditsky Marc | Sell | 7.00K | $211.23 | 1.48M |
| 2026-10-05 | Nave Ophir | Sell | 16.22K | $231.12 | 3.75M |
| 2026-10-05 | Nave Ophir | Sell | 61.21K | $232.37 | 14.22M |
| 2026-10-05 | Nave Ophir | Sell | 56.43K | $233.19 | 13.16M |
| 2026-10-05 | Nave Ophir | Sell | 48.84K | $234.21 | 11.44M |
| 2026-10-05 | Nave Ophir | Sell | 106.72K | $235.24 | 25.10M |
| 2026-10-05 | Nave Ophir | Sell | 73.59K | $235.99 | 17.37M |
| 2026-10-05 | Nave Ophir | Sell | 18.22K | $237.15 | 4.32M |
| 2026-10-05 | Nave Ophir | Sell | 48.66K | $238.22 | 11.59M |
| 2026-10-05 | Nave Ophir | Sell | 48.06K | $239.23 | 11.50M |
| 2026-10-05 | Nave Ophir | Sell | 14.85K | $240.00 | 3.56M |
| 2026-10-05 | Nave Ophir | Sell | 1.20K | $241.02 | 289.22K |
| 2026-10-05 | Nave Ophir | Sell | 6.00K | $243.50 | 1.46M |
| 2026-10-01 | Korolenko Andrey | Sell | 29.09K | $234.16 | 6.81M |
| 2026-10-01 | Shtan Danila | Sell | 14.55K | $234.16 | 3.41M |
| 2026-10-01 | Volozh Arkadiy | Sell | 37.78K | $234.16 | 8.85M |
| 2026-09-29 | Boynton John Wilson IV | Sell | 50 | $235.01 | 11.75K |
| 2026-09-15 | Boynton John Wilson IV | Sell | 1.26K | $207.67 | 262.49K |
| 2026-09-15 | Boynton John Wilson IV | Sell | 1.90K | $208.84 | 396.80K |
| 2026-09-15 | Boynton John Wilson IV | Sell | 1.10K | $209.74 | 230.71K |
| 2026-09-15 | Boynton John Wilson IV | Sell | 400 | $210.53 | 84.21K |
| 2026-09-15 | Boynton John Wilson IV | Sell | 200 | $211.88 | 42.38K |
| 2026-09-15 | Boynton John Wilson IV | Sell | 300 | $213.40 | 64.02K |
| 2026-09-15 | Boynton John Wilson IV | Sell | 900 | $214.81 | 193.33K |
| 2026-09-15 | Boynton John Wilson IV | Sell | 200 | $215.59 | 43.12K |
| 2026-09-15 | Boynton John Wilson IV | Sell | 100 | $216.52 | 21.65K |
| 2026-09-14 | Boroditsky Marc | Sell | 5.00K | $40.00 | 200.00K |
| 2026-09-14 | Boroditsky Marc | Sell | 2.00K | $40.00 | 80.00K |
| 2026-09-14 | Boroditsky Marc | Buy | 5.00K | $209.26 | 1.05M |
| 2026-09-14 | Boroditsky Marc | Buy | 2.00K | $208.63 | 417.26K |
| 2026-09-14 | Boroditsky Marc | Sell | 2.00K | $208.63 | 417.26K |
| 2026-09-14 | Boroditsky Marc | Sell | 5.00K | $209.26 | 1.05M |
| 2026-09-01 | Weigand Matthew Robert | Buy | 1.35K | — | — |
| 2026-09-01 | Ryan Charles E | Buy | 1.35K | — | — |
| 2026-09-01 | Grimme Arne | Buy | 1.35K | — | — |
| 2026-09-01 | Radinsky Kira | Buy | 1.35K | — | — |
| 2026-09-01 | Bunina Elena | Buy | 1.35K | — | — |
| 2026-09-01 | Nave Ophir | Buy | 1.35K | — | — |
| 2026-09-01 | Volozh Arkadiy | Buy | 1.35K | — | — |
| 2026-09-01 | Boynton John Wilson IV | Buy | 1.35K | — | — |
| 2026-09-01 | Alonso Sanchez Maria del Dado | Sell | 470 | $196.00 | 92.12K |
| 2026-08-14 | Ryan Charles E | Sell | 13.31K | $263.32 | 3.51M |
| 2026-08-14 | Ryan Charles E | Sell | 9.28K | $264.78 | 2.46M |
| 2026-08-14 | Ryan Charles E | Sell | 10.11K | $265.45 | 2.68M |
| 2026-08-14 | Ryan Charles E | Sell | 9.62K | $266.67 | 2.57M |
| 2026-08-14 | Ryan Charles E | Sell | 5.00K | $268.61 | 1.34M |
| 2026-08-14 | Ryan Charles E | Sell | 2.67K | $269.64 | 719.13K |
| 2026-08-14 | Boynton John Wilson IV | Sell | 100 | $258.55 | 25.86K |
| 2026-08-14 | Boynton John Wilson IV | Sell | 200 | $263.51 | 52.70K |
| 2026-08-14 | Boynton John Wilson IV | Sell | 400 | $264.75 | 105.90K |
| 2026-08-14 | Boynton John Wilson IV | Sell | 496 | $266.78 | 132.32K |
| 2026-08-14 | Boynton John Wilson IV | Sell | 404 | $267.87 | 108.22K |
| 2026-08-14 | Boynton John Wilson IV | Sell | 600 | $270.44 | 162.26K |
| 2026-08-14 | Boynton John Wilson IV | Sell | 700 | $271.75 | 190.22K |
| 2026-08-14 | Boynton John Wilson IV | Sell | 1.00K | $272.76 | 272.76K |
| 2026-08-14 | Boynton John Wilson IV | Sell | 500 | $273.78 | 136.89K |
| 2026-08-14 | Boynton John Wilson IV | Sell | 300 | $275.80 | 82.74K |
| 2026-08-14 | Boynton John Wilson IV | Sell | 400 | $277.02 | 110.81K |
| 2026-08-14 | Boynton John Wilson IV | Sell | 196 | $277.86 | 54.46K |
| 2026-07-22 | Almog Yael | Buy | 7.79K | $218.16 | 1.70M |
| 2026-07-15 | Boroditsky Marc | Sell | 22.39K | $197.00 | 4.41M |
| 2026-07-15 | Boynton John Wilson IV | Sell | 200 | $187.79 | 37.56K |
| 2026-07-15 | Boynton John Wilson IV | Sell | 200 | $189.24 | 37.85K |
| 2026-07-15 | Boynton John Wilson IV | Sell | 400 | $192.33 | 76.93K |
| 2026-07-15 | Boynton John Wilson IV | Sell | 700 | $194.07 | 135.85K |
| 2026-07-15 | Boynton John Wilson IV | Sell | 1.20K | $196.10 | 235.32K |
| 2026-07-15 | Boynton John Wilson IV | Sell | 1.50K | $197.30 | 295.95K |
| 2026-07-15 | Boynton John Wilson IV | Sell | 500 | $198.25 | 99.12K |
| 2026-07-15 | Boynton John Wilson IV | Sell | 1.06K | $198.87 | 210.40K |
| 2026-07-15 | Boynton John Wilson IV | Sell | 300 | $200.04 | 60.01K |
| 2026-07-15 | Boynton John Wilson IV | Sell | 300 | $201.24 | 60.37K |
Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.
Institutions holding: 1.17K, holders +354 vs prior quarter. Ownership 62.41%.
| Holder | Shares | Change | Change % | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC | 17.58M | 16.35M | +1328.58% | 4.85B |
| BLACKROCK, INC. | 11.53M | 1.59M | +16.04% | 3.18B |
| SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP | 9.88M | 9.12M | +1193.12% | 2.73B |
| GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC | 9.80M | 8.57M | +696.40% | 2.71B |
| SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP | 9.10M | 8.33M | +1090.37% | 2.51B |
| INVESCO LTD. | 6.94M | 5.18M | +293.53% | 1.92B |
| JANE STREET GROUP, LLC | 6.57M | 5.12M | +352.74% | 1.82B |
| JANE STREET GROUP, LLC | 6.56M | 5.11M | +351.62% | 1.81B |
| ORBIS ALLAN GRAY LTD | 6.49M | -1.82M | -21.89% | 1.79B |
| BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/ | 6.14M | 4.64M | +309.61% | 1.70B |
| VALUE ALIGNED RESEARCH ADVISORS, LLC | 6.10M | 5.68M | +1326.20% | 1.69B |
| FRED ALGER MANAGEMENT, LLC | 5.73M | -3.87M | -40.34% | 1.58B |
| GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC | 5.62M | 4.39M | +356.68% | 1.55B |
| CITADEL ADVISORS LLC | 5.60M | 5.14M | +1125.84% | 1.55B |
| UBS GROUP AG | 5.24M | 5.00M | +2021.68% | 1.45B |
| CITADEL ADVISORS LLC | 5.23M | 4.77M | +1044.40% | 1.44B |
| SITUATIONAL AWARENESS LP | 4.46M | 4.46M | New | 1.23B |
| LONE PINE CAPITAL LLC | 4.26M | 4.26M | New | 1.18B |
| STATE STREET CORP | 4.07M | 568.41K | +16.23% | 1.12B |
| JENNISON ASSOCIATES LLC | 3.98M | 2.28M | +134.32% | 1.10B |
| JPMORGAN CHASE & CO | 4.00M | 2.54M | +173.92% | 1.04B |
| MORGAN STANLEY | 3.76M | 93.28K | +2.55% | 1.04B |
| ACCEL LEADERS 4 ASSOCIATES L.P. | 3.66M | -916.19K | -20.00% | 1.01B |
| CLEAR STREET GROUP INC. | 3.62M | 560.07K | +18.31% | 999.36M |
| NORGES BANK | 2.91M | 2.91M | New | 803.98M |
Insights · Dividends · Forecast · Financials · Learn
$40.97B
Market Cap
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P/E
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Forward P/E
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Score