Nebius Group (NBIS) Stock Price & Analysis

NBIS price $170.69 +0.22 +0.13%

Ticker
NBIS
Price
$170.69
Change
+0.22 +0.13%
Market cap ?
$40.97B
Sector
Technology
Industry
Software - Application

Nebius Group N.V. is a technology company dedicated to developing comprehensive infrastructure to serve the global artificial intelligence industry. Its operations encompass several key areas. Central to its mission is Nebius, an AI-focused cloud platform engineered to handle demanding AI workloads. This division constructs end-to-end AI infrastructure, featuring extensive GPU computing clusters, robust cloud…

Fair value

NBIS fair value $77.85. Price $170.69. Price is 119% above fair value.

Above fair value, and more expensive than usual. A larger premium than on 77% of days in the past 5 years.

Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.

Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 72.09M. Growth 20.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 12.00% (beta 1.5). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 240.00M. Net debt 1.29B. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, kept between 8 and 40. Fewer than five years of history uses the sector's typical P/E. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.

Model uncertainty high for this stock

Compare NBIS

Earnings

DateEPS actualEPS estimateRevenueRevenue estimate
2026-11-10—-0.71—905.75M
2026-08-12-0.12-0.72582.30M569.89M
2026-05-13-0.23-0.77399.00M375.13M
2026-02-12-0.99-0.58227.70M246.05M
2025-11-11-0.39-0.56146.10M157.88M
2025-08-07-0.38-0.50105.10M105.37M
2025-05-20-0.43-0.4555.30M57.73M
2025-02-20-0.43-0.3937.90M58.10M
2024-10-31-0.33—43.30M—
2024-08-010.68—12.08M—
2024-04-26-0.22—11.30M—
2024-02-150.34—2.70B—
2023-10-270.10—2.20B—
2023-06-300.47—4.70M—
2023-04-270.04—1.87B—
2023-02-160.030.202.07B2.15B
2022-11-030.120.042.21B2.03B
2022-06-300.28—2.16B—
2022-03-31-0.49—1.30B—
2019-12-310.05—832.87M—
2019-09-300.21—694.17M—
2019-06-300.17—654.87M—
2019-03-310.14—568.09M—
2018-12-310.20—557.39M—
2018-09-300.23—497.12M—
2018-06-301.61—472.42M—
2018-03-310.12—465.31M—
2017-12-310.18—482.51M—
2017-09-300.05—407.22M—
2017-06-300.18—374.77M—
2017-03-310.05—367.02M—
2016-12-310.06—359.55M—
2016-09-300.12—307.23M—
2016-06-300.10—282.35M—
2016-03-310.05—245.47M—
2015-12-310.12—251.64M—
2015-09-300.20—235.17M—
2015-06-300.02—250.54M—
2015-03-310.11—212.16M—
2014-12-310.38—238.97M—

Dividends

Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency —.

Safety score 37/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. No dividend history was found. There is no dividend yield.

Ex-dateDividendRecordPaymentFrequency
No data yet.

Insider trades

DateInsiderActionSharesPriceValue
2026-10-26Grimme ArneBuy208$153.9632.02K
2026-10-23Grimme ArneBuy205$158.9832.59K
2026-10-22Grimme ArneBuy357$161.9757.82K
2026-10-21Grimme ArneBuy148$167.9424.86K
2026-10-20Grimme ArneBuy151$164.6224.86K
2026-10-19Grimme ArneBuy148$169.9925.16K
2026-10-16Grimme ArneBuy148$169.9925.16K
2026-10-15Boynton John Wilson IVSell200$164.8032.96K
2026-10-15Boynton John Wilson IVSell500$166.7883.39K
2026-10-15Boynton John Wilson IVSell500$167.8083.90K
2026-10-15Boynton John Wilson IVSell100$168.5716.86K
2026-10-15Boynton John Wilson IVSell100$170.0017.00K
2026-10-15Boynton John Wilson IVSell400$171.3868.55K
2026-10-15Boynton John Wilson IVSell200$172.5934.52K
2026-10-15Boynton John Wilson IVSell400$174.7069.88K
2026-10-15Boynton John Wilson IVSell500$175.7287.86K
2026-10-15Boynton John Wilson IVSell700$176.72123.70K
2026-10-15Boynton John Wilson IVSell400$177.9071.16K
2026-10-15Boynton John Wilson IVSell400$179.0371.61K
2026-10-15Boynton John Wilson IVSell600$180.26108.16K
2026-10-15Boynton John Wilson IVSell400$181.2772.51K
2026-10-15Boynton John Wilson IVSell200$182.2136.44K
2026-10-15Boynton John Wilson IVSell200$184.3536.87K
2026-10-15Boynton John Wilson IVSell400$186.6774.67K
2026-10-15Boynton John Wilson IVSell960$188.20180.67K
2026-10-15Boynton John Wilson IVSell100$188.7718.88K
2026-10-15Grimme ArneBuy148$169.9925.16K
2026-10-12Boroditsky MarcSell7.00K$40.00280.00K
2026-10-12Boroditsky MarcBuy7.00K$211.231.48M
2026-10-12Boroditsky MarcSell7.00K$211.231.48M
2026-10-05Nave OphirSell16.22K$231.123.75M
2026-10-05Nave OphirSell61.21K$232.3714.22M
2026-10-05Nave OphirSell56.43K$233.1913.16M
2026-10-05Nave OphirSell48.84K$234.2111.44M
2026-10-05Nave OphirSell106.72K$235.2425.10M
2026-10-05Nave OphirSell73.59K$235.9917.37M
2026-10-05Nave OphirSell18.22K$237.154.32M
2026-10-05Nave OphirSell48.66K$238.2211.59M
2026-10-05Nave OphirSell48.06K$239.2311.50M
2026-10-05Nave OphirSell14.85K$240.003.56M
2026-10-05Nave OphirSell1.20K$241.02289.22K
2026-10-05Nave OphirSell6.00K$243.501.46M
2026-10-01Korolenko AndreySell29.09K$234.166.81M
2026-10-01Shtan DanilaSell14.55K$234.163.41M
2026-10-01Volozh ArkadiySell37.78K$234.168.85M
2026-09-29Boynton John Wilson IVSell50$235.0111.75K
2026-09-15Boynton John Wilson IVSell1.26K$207.67262.49K
2026-09-15Boynton John Wilson IVSell1.90K$208.84396.80K
2026-09-15Boynton John Wilson IVSell1.10K$209.74230.71K
2026-09-15Boynton John Wilson IVSell400$210.5384.21K
2026-09-15Boynton John Wilson IVSell200$211.8842.38K
2026-09-15Boynton John Wilson IVSell300$213.4064.02K
2026-09-15Boynton John Wilson IVSell900$214.81193.33K
2026-09-15Boynton John Wilson IVSell200$215.5943.12K
2026-09-15Boynton John Wilson IVSell100$216.5221.65K
2026-09-14Boroditsky MarcSell5.00K$40.00200.00K
2026-09-14Boroditsky MarcSell2.00K$40.0080.00K
2026-09-14Boroditsky MarcBuy5.00K$209.261.05M
2026-09-14Boroditsky MarcBuy2.00K$208.63417.26K
2026-09-14Boroditsky MarcSell2.00K$208.63417.26K
2026-09-14Boroditsky MarcSell5.00K$209.261.05M
2026-09-01Weigand Matthew RobertBuy1.35K——
2026-09-01Ryan Charles EBuy1.35K——
2026-09-01Grimme ArneBuy1.35K——
2026-09-01Radinsky KiraBuy1.35K——
2026-09-01Bunina ElenaBuy1.35K——
2026-09-01Nave OphirBuy1.35K——
2026-09-01Volozh ArkadiyBuy1.35K——
2026-09-01Boynton John Wilson IVBuy1.35K——
2026-09-01Alonso Sanchez Maria del DadoSell470$196.0092.12K
2026-08-14Ryan Charles ESell13.31K$263.323.51M
2026-08-14Ryan Charles ESell9.28K$264.782.46M
2026-08-14Ryan Charles ESell10.11K$265.452.68M
2026-08-14Ryan Charles ESell9.62K$266.672.57M
2026-08-14Ryan Charles ESell5.00K$268.611.34M
2026-08-14Ryan Charles ESell2.67K$269.64719.13K
2026-08-14Boynton John Wilson IVSell100$258.5525.86K
2026-08-14Boynton John Wilson IVSell200$263.5152.70K
2026-08-14Boynton John Wilson IVSell400$264.75105.90K
2026-08-14Boynton John Wilson IVSell496$266.78132.32K
2026-08-14Boynton John Wilson IVSell404$267.87108.22K
2026-08-14Boynton John Wilson IVSell600$270.44162.26K
2026-08-14Boynton John Wilson IVSell700$271.75190.22K
2026-08-14Boynton John Wilson IVSell1.00K$272.76272.76K
2026-08-14Boynton John Wilson IVSell500$273.78136.89K
2026-08-14Boynton John Wilson IVSell300$275.8082.74K
2026-08-14Boynton John Wilson IVSell400$277.02110.81K
2026-08-14Boynton John Wilson IVSell196$277.8654.46K
2026-07-22Almog YaelBuy7.79K$218.161.70M
2026-07-15Boroditsky MarcSell22.39K$197.004.41M
2026-07-15Boynton John Wilson IVSell200$187.7937.56K
2026-07-15Boynton John Wilson IVSell200$189.2437.85K
2026-07-15Boynton John Wilson IVSell400$192.3376.93K
2026-07-15Boynton John Wilson IVSell700$194.07135.85K
2026-07-15Boynton John Wilson IVSell1.20K$196.10235.32K
2026-07-15Boynton John Wilson IVSell1.50K$197.30295.95K
2026-07-15Boynton John Wilson IVSell500$198.2599.12K
2026-07-15Boynton John Wilson IVSell1.06K$198.87210.40K
2026-07-15Boynton John Wilson IVSell300$200.0460.01K
2026-07-15Boynton John Wilson IVSell300$201.2460.37K

Institutional holders

Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.

Institutions holding: 1.17K, holders +354 vs prior quarter. Ownership 62.41%.

HolderSharesChangeChange %Value
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC17.58M16.35M+1328.58%4.85B
BLACKROCK, INC.11.53M1.59M+16.04%3.18B
SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP9.88M9.12M+1193.12%2.73B
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC9.80M8.57M+696.40%2.71B
SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP9.10M8.33M+1090.37%2.51B
INVESCO LTD.6.94M5.18M+293.53%1.92B
JANE STREET GROUP, LLC6.57M5.12M+352.74%1.82B
JANE STREET GROUP, LLC6.56M5.11M+351.62%1.81B
ORBIS ALLAN GRAY LTD6.49M-1.82M-21.89%1.79B
BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/6.14M4.64M+309.61%1.70B
VALUE ALIGNED RESEARCH ADVISORS, LLC6.10M5.68M+1326.20%1.69B
FRED ALGER MANAGEMENT, LLC5.73M-3.87M-40.34%1.58B
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC5.62M4.39M+356.68%1.55B
CITADEL ADVISORS LLC5.60M5.14M+1125.84%1.55B
UBS GROUP AG5.24M5.00M+2021.68%1.45B
CITADEL ADVISORS LLC5.23M4.77M+1044.40%1.44B
SITUATIONAL AWARENESS LP4.46M4.46MNew1.23B
LONE PINE CAPITAL LLC4.26M4.26MNew1.18B
STATE STREET CORP4.07M568.41K+16.23%1.12B
JENNISON ASSOCIATES LLC3.98M2.28M+134.32%1.10B
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO4.00M2.54M+173.92%1.04B
MORGAN STANLEY3.76M93.28K+2.55%1.04B
ACCEL LEADERS 4 ASSOCIATES L.P.3.66M-916.19K-20.00%1.01B
CLEAR STREET GROUP INC.3.62M560.07K+18.31%999.36M
NORGES BANK2.91M2.91MNew803.98M

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Nebius Group (NBIS) Stock Price & Analysis

NBIS$170.69+0.22 +0.13%

$40.97B

Market Cap

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P/E

—

Forward P/E

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Score

Price History