National Energy Services Reunited (NESR) Fair Value & DCF
Score
NESR fair value $73.92. Price $20.70. Price is 72% below fair value.
Worked example
Cash-flow value. Starting free cash flow is $1.55 a share. Year 1 is the first earnings forecast, so it has no growth rate of its own. The forecast then reaches 28.47%, and that pace fades in a straight line to 3% terminal growth by year 10. The discount rate is 8.70% (beta 0.80). It is beta-adjusted and capped at 12%. The cash-flow value is $100.71 a share.
Earnings value. Next-twelve-months earnings per share of $2.20 times 21.46 is $47.13. The peer group is Energy, 50 companies worth at least $10 billion. Peer median 12.8. Own 10-year median 30.1. The multiple used is the average of the two, kept between 8 and 30, which is 21.46.
Fair value is the average of the two, $73.92. The price is $20.70, which is 72.0% below fair value.