Nomad Foods (NOMD) Stock Forecast & Price Target
NOMD$11.84+0.05 +0.42%
$1.66B
Market Cap
12.50
P/E
8.21
Forward P/E
49
Score
Nomad Foods (NOMD) Stock Forecast & Price Target
NOMD price $11.84 +0.05 +0.42%
- Ticker
- NOMD
- Price
- $11.84
- Change
- +0.05 +0.42%
- Market cap ?
- $1.66B
- P/E ?
- 12.50
- Forward P/E ?
- 8.21
- Dividend yield ?
- 5.59%
- Beta ?
- 0.73
- Sector
- Consumer Defensive
- Industry
- Packaged Foods
- Stocklytics score
- 49
- Value
- 75
- Quality
- 32
- Growth
- 40
Stocklytics score rationale: value 75, quality 32, growth 40.
Financials
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1927700000 | 1956600000 | 2172800000 | 2324300000 | 2515900000 | 2606600000 | 2939700000 | 3044500000 | 3099800000 | 3032500000 |
Nomad Foods Limited operates as a leading entity in the frozen food industry, handling the manufacturing, promotion, and supply of its diverse product range across a significant portion of Europe. Its operational reach extends to countries including the United Kingdom, Italy, Germany, France, Sweden, Austria, Norway, Spain, and other European territories. The company's extensive product offerings encompass various…
Fair value
NOMD fair value $24.90. Price $11.84. Price is 52% below fair value.
Below fair value, and cheaper than usual. A larger discount than on 65% of days in the past 5 years.
Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.
Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Average free cash flow, last three years 318.57M. Growth 0.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 8.70% (beta 0.8). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 139.79M. Net debt 1.97B. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.
Earnings
| Date | EPS actual | EPS estimate | Revenue | Revenue estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-04 | — | 0.52 | — | 863.25M |
| 2026-08-13 | 0.45 | 0.44 | 826.51M | 822.08M |
| 2026-05-07 | 0.27 | 0.21 | 826.32M | 804.00M |
| 2026-02-26 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 908.01M | 912.34M |
| 2025-11-06 | 0.57 | 0.47 | 881.25M | 760.75M |
| 2025-08-06 | 0.45 | 0.44 | 879.43M | 762.15M |
| 2025-05-08 | 0.37 | 0.41 | 833.26M | 762.81M |
| 2025-03-03 | 0.45 | 0.39 | 821.56M | 769.39M |
| 2024-11-14 | 0.55 | 0.51 | 844.04M | 869.84M |
| 2024-08-07 | 0.44 | 0.42 | 809.76M | 852.60M |
| 2024-05-09 | 0.40 | 0.41 | 841.91M | 825.16M |
| 2024-02-29 | 0.34 | 0.34 | 836.70M | 833.03M |
| 2023-11-09 | 0.43 | 0.38 | 805.38M | 839.50M |
| 2023-08-09 | 0.44 | 0.42 | 812.84M | 814.90M |
| 2023-05-10 | 0.49 | 0.41 | 842.70M | 796.43M |
| 2023-02-23 | 0.34 | 0.37 | 808.09M | 851.28M |
| 2022-11-09 | 0.52 | 0.43 | 741.80M | 704.30M |
| 2022-08-10 | 0.40 | 0.42 | 729.08M | 714.48M |
| 2022-05-11 | 0.43 | 0.38 | 810.68M | 813.36M |
| 2022-02-24 | 0.37 | 0.37 | 798.13M | 803.99M |
| 2021-11-04 | 0.35 | 0.31 | 695.72M | 725.39M |
| 2021-08-05 | 0.40 | 0.32 | 706.88M | 592.22M |
| 2021-05-06 | 0.56 | 0.46 | 832.03M | 562.29M |
| 2021-02-25 | 0.38 | 0.37 | 806.58M | 782.52M |
| 2020-11-05 | 0.30 | 0.28 | 676.63M | 535.14M |
| 2020-08-06 | 0.34 | 0.30 | 674.01M | 508.50M |
| 2020-05-07 | 0.36 | 0.31 | 743.11M | 620.82M |
| 2020-02-27 | 0.32 | 0.32 | 712.99M | 628.40M |
| 2019-11-07 | 0.25 | 0.24 | 592.33M | 518.69M |
| 2019-08-08 | 0.27 | 0.23 | 610.66M | 444.27M |
| 2019-05-09 | 0.47 | 0.39 | 693.86M | 540.57M |
| 2019-02-28 | 0.29 | 0.29 | 734.63M | 614.80M |
| 2018-11-08 | 0.26 | 0.22 | 618.69M | 469.38M |
| 2018-08-09 | 0.33 | 0.29 | 566.72M | 418.46M |
| 2018-05-10 | 0.35 | 0.30 | 664.43M | 462.17M |
| 2018-03-22 | 0.32 | 0.31 | 596.28M | — |
| 2017-11-28 | 0.24 | 0.19 | 540.45M | 363.38M |
| 2017-08-24 | 0.25 | 0.22 | 522.03M | 378.43M |
| 2017-05-25 | 0.25 | 0.24 | 569.05M | 510.05M |
| 2017-03-30 | 0.14 | 0.16 | 508.94M | 653.91M |
Dividends
Yield 5.74%. Payout ratio 67.89%. Frequency Quarterly.
Safety score 76/100 · Safe. Payout ratio is 68% of earnings. Dividends use less than 40% of free cash flow. Dividends were paid in 3 separate years. Yield is 5.7%, in a range that is usually sustainable.
| Ex-date | Dividend | Record | Payment | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | $0.17 | 2026-08-11 | 2026-08-27 | Quarterly |
| 2026-05-12 | $0.17 | 2026-05-12 | 2026-05-28 | Quarterly |
| 2026-02-11 | $0.17 | 2026-02-11 | 2026-02-26 | Quarterly |
| 2025-11-10 | $0.17 | 2025-11-10 | 2025-11-26 | Quarterly |
| 2025-08-11 | $0.17 | 2025-08-11 | 2025-08-26 | Quarterly |
| 2025-05-12 | $0.17 | 2025-05-12 | 2025-05-28 | Quarterly |
| 2025-02-10 | $0.17 | 2025-02-10 | 2025-02-26 | Quarterly |
| 2024-11-08 | $0.15 | 2024-11-08 | 2024-11-26 | Quarterly |
| 2024-08-09 | $0.15 | 2024-08-10 | 2024-08-26 | Quarterly |
| 2024-05-08 | $0.15 | 2024-05-09 | 2024-05-28 | Quarterly |
| 2024-02-08 | $0.15 | 2024-02-09 | 2024-02-26 | Quarterly |
Insider trades
| Date | Insider | Action | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | BRISBY DOMINIC | Buy | 50.00K | $12.38 | 619.00K |
| 2026-08-19 | BALDEW RUBEN | Buy | 28.29K | $11.85 | 335.23K |
| 2026-07-02 | PILOWSKY AMIT | Sell | 3.73K | $10.02 | 37.36K |
| 2026-07-02 | LILLIE JAMES E | Sell | 3.58K | $10.02 | 35.87K |
| 2026-07-02 | Dorman Carey J. | Sell | 1.68K | $10.02 | 16.79K |
| 2026-07-02 | PARRY VICTORIA | Sell | 4.02K | $10.02 | 40.29K |
| 2026-07-02 | STACK MELANIE DAWN | Sell | 4.02K | $10.02 | 40.29K |
| 2026-06-22 | PILOWSKY AMIT | Buy | 21.66K | — | — |
| 2026-06-22 | LILLIE JAMES E | Buy | 13.97K | — | — |
| 2026-06-22 | Dorman Carey J. | Buy | 22.65K | — | — |
| 2026-06-22 | STACK MELANIE DAWN | Buy | 21.86K | — | — |
| 2026-06-22 | PARRY VICTORIA | Buy | 13.97K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | BRISBY DOMINIC | Buy | 150.00K | $9.79 | 1.47M |
| 2026-05-14 | BALDEW RUBEN | Buy | 14.73K | $9.71 | 143.07K |
| 2026-05-13 | ASHKEN IAN G H | Buy | 100.00K | $9.13 | 912.69K |
| 2026-05-12 | Gottesman Noam | Buy | 200.00K | $9.23 | 1.85M |
| 2026-05-11 | Gottesman Noam | Buy | 500.00K | $9.57 | 4.79M |
| 2026-05-07 | BALDEW RUBEN | Buy | 1.85M | $10.14 | 18.76M |
| 2026-05-07 | Gottesman Noam | Buy | 1.00M | $10.14 | 10.14M |
| 2026-05-07 | FRANKLIN MARTIN E | Buy | 1.00M | $10.14 | 10.14M |
| 2026-05-07 | BRISBY DOMINIC | Buy | 5.00M | $10.14 | 50.70M |
| 2026-05-06 | FRANKLIN MARTIN E | Buy | 220.00K | — | — |
| 2026-05-06 | FRANKLIN MARTIN E | Sell | 220.00K | — | — |
| 2026-03-17 | PARRY VICTORIA | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-17 | Dorman Carey J. | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-17 | PILOWSKY AMIT | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-17 | Gottesman Noam | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-17 | Gottesman Noam | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-17 | MACFARLANE STUART M | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-17 | BALDEW RUBEN | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-17 | BALDEW RUBEN | Other | 119.90K | — | — |
| 2026-03-17 | ASHKEN IAN G H | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-17 | ASHKEN IAN G H | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-17 | ASHKEN IAN G H | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-17 | LILLIE JAMES E | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-17 | LILLIE JAMES E | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-17 | DESCHEEMAEKER STEFAN | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-17 | DESCHEEMAEKER STEFAN | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-17 | DESCHEEMAEKER STEFAN | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-17 | DESCHEEMAEKER STEFAN | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-17 | DESCHEEMAEKER STEFAN | Other | 300.00K | — | — |
| 2026-03-17 | BRISBY DOMINIC | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-17 | BRISBY DOMINIC | Other | 300.00K | — | — |
| 2026-03-17 | FRANKLIN MARTIN E | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-17 | FRANKLIN MARTIN E | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-17 | FRANKLIN MARTIN E | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-17 | STACK MELANIE DAWN | Other | 0 | — | — |
Institutional holders
Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.
Institutions holding: 199, holders +3 vs prior quarter. Ownership 63.04%.
| Holder | Shares | Change | Change % | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALLSPRING GLOBAL INVESTMENTS HOLDINGS, LLC | 5.30M | -154.56K | -2.83% | 59.63M |
| BOSTON PARTNERS | 5.24M | 229.18K | +4.58% | 57.36M |
| BROWN ADVISORY INC | 4.07M | -2.45M | -37.60% | 44.53M |
| MASSACHUSETTS FINANCIAL SERVICES CO /MA/ | 4.00M | 493.20K | +14.08% | 44.09M |
| DOMA PERPETUAL CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 3.83M | 489.49K | +14.65% | 41.94M |
| ROYCE & ASSOCIATES LP | 3.32M | 380.11K | +12.92% | 36.37M |
| RIVER ROAD ASSET MANAGEMENT, LLC | 3.11M | -711.55K | -18.64% | 34.01M |
| T. ROWE PRICE INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, INC. | 2.58M | 1.38M | +115.58% | 28.22M |
| RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC | 2.57M | -456.51K | -15.09% | 28.12M |
| FMR LLC | 2.56M | 212.30K | +9.05% | 28.01M |
| STOREBRAND ASSET MANAGEMENT AS | 2.54M | 317.60K | +14.32% | 27.77M |
| TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP | 2.53M | 422.33K | +20.07% | 27.66M |
| NORGES BANK | 2.11M | 2.11M | New | 23.16M |
| INVENOMIC CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LP | 2.09M | 135.67K | +6.93% | 22.91M |
| POLARIS CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 1.78M | -319.30K | -15.18% | 19.53M |
| MOUNT CAPITAL LTD | 1.78M | 0 | 0.00% | 19.47M |
| ARROWSTREET CAPITAL, LIMITED PARTNERSHIP | 1.78M | -5.06K | -0.28% | 19.46M |
| BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/ | 1.75M | 178.94K | +11.40% | 19.15M |
| SYSTEMATIC FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT LP | 1.72M | -6.13K | -0.35% | 18.87M |
| D. E. SHAW & CO., INC. | 1.58M | -831.49K | -34.53% | 17.27M |
| WELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP | 1.55M | -55.11K | -3.44% | 16.96M |
| JANE STREET GROUP, LLC | 1.46M | 1.46M | New | 15.99M |
| ATLANTIC INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, INC. | 1.33M | 1.00K | +0.08% | 14.60M |
| CONGRESS ASSET MANAGEMENT CO | 1.26M | 837.22K | +198.69% | 13.78M |
| THOMPSON SIEGEL & WALMSLEY LLC | 1.24M | -66.73K | -5.11% | 13.56M |
Forecast
Consensus Buy from 13 analysts. Average price target $13.00, +9.8% versus the current price. Low $12.00. High $14.00.
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