Nexstar Media Group (NXST) Stock Insights
$5.08B
Market Cap
29.28
P/E
5.24
Forward P/E
53
Score
NXST price $164.89 -1.37 -0.82%
Stocklytics score rationale: value 74, quality 35, growth 50.
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1103190000 | 2431966000 | 2766696000 | 3039324000 | 4501300000 | 4648000000 | 5211000000 | 4933000000 | 5407000000 | 4949000000 |
Nexstar Media Group, Inc. is a diversified U.S. media corporation focused on broadcast television and digital content. The company specializes in the strategic acquisition, development, and management of local television stations, along with operating interactive community-focused websites and a variety of digital media services. It provides no-cost programming to television viewers across the nation. By the end of…
NXST fair value $534.57. Price $164.89. Price is 69% below fair value.
Below fair value, but more expensive than usual. A smaller discount than on 73% of days in the past 5 years.
Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.
Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 743.00M. Growth 20.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 9.40% (beta 0.9). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 30.81M. Net debt 6.58B. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, kept between 8 and 40. Fewer than five years of history uses the sector's typical P/E. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.
Model uncertainty high for this stock
| Date | EPS actual | EPS estimate | Revenue | Revenue estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-05 | — | 8.08 | — | 2.07B |
| 2026-08-06 | 3.61 | 5.98 | 1.99B | 1.97B |
| 2026-05-07 | 6.15 | 4.43 | 1.40B | 1.28B |
| 2026-02-26 | 4.30 | 4.01 | 1.29B | 1.25B |
| 2025-11-06 | 2.14 | 2.62 | 1.20B | 1.25B |
| 2025-08-07 | 3.06 | 2.95 | 1.23B | 1.21B |
| 2025-05-08 | 3.37 | 3.26 | 1.23B | 1.23B |
| 2025-02-27 | 7.56 | 9.22 | 1.49B | 1.25B |
| 2024-11-07 | 5.27 | 5.41 | 1.37B | 1.48B |
| 2024-08-08 | 3.54 | 4.17 | 1.27B | 1.30B |
| 2024-05-09 | 5.16 | 3.97 | 1.28B | 1.29B |
| 2024-02-28 | 3.32 | 4.15 | 1.30B | 1.31B |
| 2023-11-08 | 0.70 | 1.23 | 1.13B | 1.32B |
| 2023-08-08 | 2.64 | 2.35 | 1.24B | 1.24B |
| 2023-05-09 | 2.97 | 2.67 | 1.26B | 1.24B |
| 2023-02-28 | 8.04 | 7.57 | 1.49B | 1.49B |
| 2022-11-08 | 7.30 | 5.41 | 1.27B | 1.29B |
| 2022-08-04 | 5.56 | 5.06 | 1.25B | 1.23B |
| 2022-05-10 | 5.99 | 4.89 | 1.21B | 1.19B |
| 2022-02-22 | 6.19 | 4.96 | 1.25B | 1.23B |
| 2021-11-02 | 4.05 | 3.82 | 1.16B | 1.14B |
| 2021-08-04 | 4.33 | 3.70 | 1.13B | 1.12B |
| 2021-05-04 | 4.42 | 3.49 | 1.11B | 1.08B |
| 2021-02-23 | 7.97 | 7.11 | 1.38B | 1.21B |
| 2020-11-05 | 4.08 | 3.12 | 1.12B | 855.10M |
| 2020-08-05 | 1.96 | 1.52 | 914.63M | 652.70M |
| 2020-05-06 | 3.30 | 2.82 | 1.09B | 933.01M |
| 2020-02-26 | 2.36 | 3.06 | 1.10B | 1.43B |
| 2019-11-06 | 0.61 | 1.52 | 663.58M | 4.85B |
| 2019-08-07 | 1.42 | 1.41 | 649.01M | 644.44M |
| 2019-05-08 | 1.15 | 1.03 | 626.65M | 561.26M |
| 2019-02-26 | 3.22 | 3.40 | 798.02M | 842.63M |
| 2018-11-08 | 2.12 | 1.98 | 693.01M | 647.25M |
| 2018-08-08 | 1.86 | 1.70 | 660.32M | 603.50M |
| 2018-05-09 | 1.01 | 1.07 | 615.34M | 651.85M |
| 2018-02-27 | 1.61 | 1.42 | 653.66M | 617.88M |
| 2017-11-06 | 0.98 | 0.91 | 611.87M | 568.19M |
| 2017-08-08 | 0.91 | 0.82 | 626.12M | 564.18M |
| 2017-05-09 | 0.44 | -0.27 | 540.32M | 706.55M |
| 2017-02-28 | 1.46 | 1.36 | 309.88M | 668.22M |
Yield 4.51%. Payout ratio 120.21%. Frequency Quarterly.
Safety score 75/100 · Safe. Payout ratio is 120% of earnings, above what earnings cover. Dividends use less than 40% of free cash flow. Dividends were paid in 14 separate years. Yield is 4.5%, in a range that is usually sustainable.
| Ex-date | Dividend | Record | Payment | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | $1.86 | 2026-08-14 | 2026-08-28 | Quarterly |
| 2026-05-15 | $1.86 | 2026-05-15 | 2026-05-29 | Quarterly |
| 2026-02-13 | $1.86 | 2026-02-13 | 2026-02-27 | Quarterly |
| 2025-11-12 | $1.86 | 2025-11-12 | 2025-11-26 | Quarterly |
| 2025-08-15 | $1.86 | 2025-08-15 | 2025-08-29 | Quarterly |
| 2025-05-19 | $1.86 | 2025-05-19 | 2025-06-02 | Quarterly |
| 2025-02-12 | $1.86 | 2025-02-12 | 2025-02-26 | Quarterly |
| 2024-11-15 | $1.69 | 2024-11-15 | 2024-11-29 | Quarterly |
| 2024-08-09 | $1.69 | 2024-08-09 | 2024-08-23 | Quarterly |
| 2024-05-09 | $1.69 | 2024-05-10 | 2024-05-24 | Quarterly |
| 2024-02-08 | $1.69 | 2024-02-09 | 2024-02-23 | Quarterly |
| 2023-11-09 | $1.35 | 2023-11-10 | 2023-11-27 | Quarterly |
| 2023-08-09 | $1.35 | 2023-08-10 | 2023-08-24 | Quarterly |
| 2023-05-11 | $1.35 | 2023-05-12 | 2023-05-26 | Quarterly |
| 2023-02-09 | $1.35 | 2023-02-10 | 2023-02-24 | Quarterly |
| 2022-11-10 | $0.90 | 2022-11-14 | 2022-11-28 | Quarterly |
| 2022-08-10 | $0.90 | 2022-08-11 | 2022-08-25 | Quarterly |
| 2022-05-12 | $0.90 | 2022-05-13 | 2022-05-27 | Quarterly |
| 2022-02-10 | $0.90 | 2022-02-11 | 2022-02-28 | Quarterly |
| 2021-11-10 | $0.70 | 2021-11-12 | 2021-11-29 | Quarterly |
| 2021-08-12 | $0.70 | 2021-08-13 | 2021-08-27 | Quarterly |
| 2021-05-13 | $0.70 | 2021-05-14 | 2021-05-28 | Quarterly |
| 2021-02-11 | $0.70 | 2021-02-12 | 2021-02-26 | Quarterly |
| 2020-11-05 | $0.56 | 2020-11-06 | 2020-11-20 | Quarterly |
| 2020-08-06 | $0.56 | 2020-08-07 | 2020-08-21 | Quarterly |
| 2020-05-14 | $0.56 | 2020-05-15 | 2020-05-29 | Quarterly |
| 2020-02-13 | $0.56 | 2020-02-14 | 2020-02-28 | Quarterly |
| 2019-11-07 | $0.45 | 2019-11-08 | 2019-11-22 | Quarterly |
| 2019-08-08 | $0.45 | 2019-08-09 | 2019-08-23 | Quarterly |
| 2019-05-09 | $0.45 | 2019-05-10 | 2019-05-24 | Quarterly |
| 2019-02-07 | $0.45 | 2019-02-08 | 2019-02-22 | Quarterly |
| 2018-11-15 | $0.38 | 2018-11-16 | 2018-11-30 | Quarterly |
| 2018-08-09 | $0.38 | 2018-08-10 | 2018-08-24 | Quarterly |
| 2018-05-10 | $0.38 | 2018-05-11 | 2018-05-25 | Quarterly |
| 2018-02-15 | $0.38 | 2018-02-16 | 2018-03-02 | Quarterly |
| 2017-11-16 | $0.30 | 2017-11-17 | 2017-12-01 | Quarterly |
| 2017-08-09 | $0.30 | 2017-08-11 | 2017-08-25 | Quarterly |
| 2017-05-10 | $0.30 | 2017-05-12 | 2017-05-26 | Quarterly |
| 2017-02-08 | $0.30 | 2017-02-10 | 2017-02-24 | Quarterly |
| 2016-11-02 | $0.24 | 2016-11-04 | 2016-11-18 | Quarterly |
| 2016-08-10 | $0.24 | 2016-08-12 | 2016-08-26 | Quarterly |
| 2016-05-11 | $0.24 | 2016-05-13 | 2016-05-27 | Quarterly |
| 2016-02-10 | $0.24 | 2016-02-12 | 2016-02-26 | Quarterly |
| 2015-11-04 | $0.19 | 2015-11-06 | 2015-11-20 | Quarterly |
| 2015-08-12 | $0.19 | 2015-08-14 | 2015-08-28 | Quarterly |
| 2015-05-13 | $0.19 | 2015-05-15 | 2015-05-29 | Quarterly |
| 2015-02-11 | $0.19 | 2015-02-13 | 2015-02-27 | Quarterly |
| 2014-11-05 | $0.15 | 2014-11-07 | 2014-11-21 | Quarterly |
| 2014-08-13 | $0.15 | 2014-08-15 | 2014-08-29 | Quarterly |
| 2014-05-14 | $0.15 | 2014-05-16 | 2014-05-30 | Quarterly |
| 2014-02-12 | $0.15 | 2014-02-14 | 2014-02-28 | Quarterly |
| 2013-11-13 | $0.12 | 2013-11-15 | 2013-12-02 | Quarterly |
| 2013-08-14 | $0.12 | 2013-08-16 | 2013-08-30 | Quarterly |
| 2013-05-15 | $0.12 | 2013-05-17 | 2013-05-31 | Quarterly |
| 2013-02-13 | $0.12 | 2013-02-15 | 2013-03-01 | Quarterly |
| Date | Insider | Action | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | ALFORD ANDREW | Sell | 2.82K | $165.69 | 467.74K |
| 2026-08-24 | Aulestia Bernadette S. | Sell | 300 | $186.80 | 56.04K |
| 2026-08-24 | Biard Michael | Sell | 2.46K | $185.82 | 458.05K |
| 2026-08-21 | Biard Michael | Buy | 6.25K | — | — |
| 2026-08-21 | Biard Michael | Sell | 6.25K | — | — |
| 2026-08-14 | ZIMMER DANA | Sell | 4.01K | $187.46 | 751.35K |
| 2026-06-26 | SOOK PERRY A | Buy | 12.23K | $162.26 | 1.99M |
| 2026-06-16 | WEITMAN GARY | Sell | 261 | $170.81 | 44.58K |
| 2026-06-16 | Russell Blake | Sell | 261 | $170.81 | 44.58K |
| 2026-06-16 | Knapp Lindsey | Sell | 93 | $170.81 | 15.89K |
| 2026-06-16 | Jenkins Brett | Sell | 301 | $170.81 | 51.41K |
| 2026-06-16 | ZIMMER DANA | Sell | 876 | $170.81 | 149.63K |
| 2026-06-16 | COMPTON SEAN | Sell | 840 | $170.81 | 143.48K |
| 2026-06-16 | ALFORD ANDREW | Sell | 746 | $170.81 | 127.42K |
| 2026-06-16 | Gliha Lee Ann | Sell | 373 | $170.81 | 63.71K |
| 2026-06-14 | WEITMAN GARY | Buy | 656 | — | — |
| 2026-06-14 | WEITMAN GARY | Sell | 656 | — | — |
| 2026-06-14 | Russell Blake | Buy | 656 | — | — |
| 2026-06-14 | Russell Blake | Sell | 656 | — | — |
| 2026-06-14 | Knapp Lindsey | Buy | 375 | — | — |
| 2026-06-14 | Knapp Lindsey | Sell | 375 | — | — |
| 2026-06-14 | Jenkins Brett | Buy | 656 | — | — |
| 2026-06-14 | Jenkins Brett | Sell | 656 | — | — |
| 2026-06-14 | ZIMMER DANA | Buy | 938 | — | — |
| 2026-06-14 | ZIMMER DANA | Sell | 938 | — | — |
| 2026-06-14 | COMPTON SEAN | Buy | 938 | — | — |
| 2026-06-14 | COMPTON SEAN | Sell | 938 | — | — |
| 2026-06-14 | ALFORD ANDREW | Buy | 938 | — | — |
| 2026-06-14 | ALFORD ANDREW | Sell | 938 | — | — |
| 2026-06-14 | Gliha Lee Ann | Buy | 938 | — | — |
| 2026-06-14 | Gliha Lee Ann | Sell | 938 | — | — |
| 2026-06-12 | WEITMAN GARY | Sell | 194 | $174.21 | 33.80K |
| 2026-06-12 | Biard Michael | Sell | 1.23K | $174.21 | 213.75K |
| 2026-06-10 | Russell Blake | Sell | 239 | $176.42 | 42.16K |
| 2026-06-10 | Jenkins Brett | Sell | 284 | $176.42 | 50.10K |
| 2026-06-10 | Gliha Lee Ann | Sell | 752 | $176.42 | 132.67K |
| 2026-06-10 | ZIMMER DANA | Sell | 915 | $176.42 | 161.42K |
| 2026-06-10 | COMPTON SEAN | Sell | 875 | $176.42 | 154.36K |
| 2026-06-10 | ALFORD ANDREW | Sell | 778 | $176.42 | 137.25K |
| 2026-06-10 | WEITMAN GARY | Buy | 750 | — | — |
| 2026-06-10 | WEITMAN GARY | Sell | 750 | — | — |
| 2026-06-09 | McMillen Charles Thomas | Sell | 1.00K | $180.00 | 180.00K |
| 2026-06-08 | Biard Michael | Buy | 3.11K | — | — |
| 2026-06-08 | Biard Michael | Sell | 2.50K | — | — |
| 2026-06-08 | ZIMMER DANA | Buy | 938 | — | — |
| 2026-06-08 | ZIMMER DANA | Buy | 938 | — | — |
| 2026-06-08 | ZIMMER DANA | Buy | 1.00K | — | — |
| 2026-06-08 | ZIMMER DANA | Sell | 1.00K | — | — |
| 2026-06-08 | ZIMMER DANA | Sell | 938 | — | — |
| 2026-06-08 | ZIMMER DANA | Sell | 938 | — | — |
| 2026-06-08 | COMPTON SEAN | Buy | 938 | — | — |
| 2026-06-08 | COMPTON SEAN | Buy | 938 | — | — |
| 2026-06-08 | COMPTON SEAN | Buy | 1.00K | — | — |
| 2026-06-08 | COMPTON SEAN | Sell | 1.00K | — | — |
| 2026-06-08 | COMPTON SEAN | Sell | 938 | — | — |
| 2026-06-08 | COMPTON SEAN | Sell | 938 | — | — |
| 2026-06-08 | ALFORD ANDREW | Buy | 938 | — | — |
| 2026-06-08 | ALFORD ANDREW | Buy | 938 | — | — |
| 2026-06-08 | ALFORD ANDREW | Buy | 1.00K | — | — |
| 2026-06-08 | ALFORD ANDREW | Sell | 1.00K | — | — |
| 2026-06-08 | ALFORD ANDREW | Sell | 938 | — | — |
| 2026-06-08 | ALFORD ANDREW | Sell | 938 | — | — |
| 2026-06-06 | Russell Blake | Buy | 750 | — | — |
| 2026-06-06 | Russell Blake | Sell | 750 | — | — |
| 2026-06-06 | Jenkins Brett | Buy | 750 | — | — |
| 2026-06-06 | Jenkins Brett | Sell | 750 | — | — |
| 2026-06-06 | Gliha Lee Ann | Buy | 1.88K | — | — |
| 2026-06-06 | Gliha Lee Ann | Sell | 1.88K | — | — |
| 2026-06-04 | WEITMAN GARY | Sell | 319 | $182.42 | 58.19K |
| 2026-06-04 | Russell Blake | Sell | 319 | $182.42 | 58.19K |
| 2026-06-04 | Jenkins Brett | Sell | 397 | $182.42 | 72.42K |
| 2026-06-04 | ZIMMER DANA | Sell | 433 | $182.42 | 78.99K |
| 2026-06-04 | COMPTON SEAN | Sell | 414 | $182.42 | 75.52K |
| 2026-06-04 | ALFORD ANDREW | Sell | 368 | $182.42 | 67.13K |
| 2026-06-04 | Gliha Lee Ann | Sell | 258 | $182.42 | 47.06K |
| 2026-06-03 | WEITMAN GARY | Buy | 1.31K | — | — |
| 2026-06-03 | WEITMAN GARY | Sell | 1.31K | — | — |
| 2026-06-03 | Russell Blake | Buy | 1.31K | — | — |
| 2026-06-03 | Russell Blake | Sell | 1.31K | — | — |
| 2026-06-03 | Jenkins Brett | Buy | 1.31K | — | — |
| 2026-06-03 | Jenkins Brett | Sell | 1.31K | — | — |
| 2026-06-03 | ZIMMER DANA | Buy | 938 | — | — |
| 2026-06-03 | ZIMMER DANA | Sell | 938 | — | — |
| 2026-06-03 | COMPTON SEAN | Buy | 938 | — | — |
| 2026-06-03 | COMPTON SEAN | Sell | 938 | — | — |
| 2026-06-03 | ALFORD ANDREW | Buy | 938 | — | — |
| 2026-06-03 | ALFORD ANDREW | Sell | 938 | — | — |
| 2026-06-03 | Gliha Lee Ann | Buy | 657 | — | — |
| 2026-06-03 | Gliha Lee Ann | Sell | 657 | — | — |
| 2026-06-02 | Knapp Lindsey | Sell | 290 | $184.27 | 53.44K |
| 2026-06-01 | Paolini Patrick | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-05-28 | ALFORD ANDREW | Sell | 605 | $185.33 | 112.12K |
| 2026-05-27 | WEITMAN GARY | Sell | 184 | $187.32 | 34.47K |
| 2026-05-27 | Russell Blake | Sell | 185 | $187.32 | 34.65K |
| 2026-05-27 | Morgan Rachel | Sell | 185 | $187.32 | 34.65K |
| 2026-05-27 | Lanzano Dan | Sell | 247 | $187.32 | 46.27K |
| 2026-05-27 | Knapp Lindsey | Sell | 92 | $187.32 | 17.23K |
| 2026-05-27 | Jenkins Brett | Sell | 229 | $187.32 | 42.90K |
| 2026-05-27 | ZIMMER DANA | Sell | 465 | $187.32 | 87.10K |
| 2026-05-27 | COMPTON SEAN | Sell | 445 | $187.32 | 83.36K |
Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.
Institutions holding: 502, holders -23 vs prior quarter. Ownership 103.67%.
| Holder | Shares | Change | Change % | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BLACKROCK, INC. | 3.36M | 140.49K | +4.37% | 599.74M |
| DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP | 1.43M | 42.80K | +3.08% | 255.58M |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | 1.43M | -6.13K | -0.43% | 254.91M |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 1.30M | 16.30K | +1.27% | 232.53M |
| SIXTH STREET PARTNERS MANAGEMENT COMPANY, L.P. | 1.08M | 1.08M | New | 193.26M |
| CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC | 1.08M | 95.77K | +9.71% | 193.26M |
| STATE STREET CORP | 944.84K | 52.75K | +5.91% | 168.74M |
| LSV ASSET MANAGEMENT | 936.38K | -71.93K | -7.13% | 167.23M |
| FMR LLC | 935.09K | 237.02K | +33.95% | 167.00M |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 861.18K | 38.65K | +4.70% | 153.86M |
| MASSACHUSETTS FINANCIAL SERVICES CO /MA/ | 841.35K | 258.01K | +44.23% | 150.26M |
| NEUBERGER BERMAN GROUP LLC | 791.08K | -113.75K | -12.57% | 141.28M |
| JPMORGAN CHASE & CO | 753.74K | 217.92K | +40.67% | 128.90M |
| JUPITER TOPCO LLC | 643.93K | 643.93K | New | 115.00M |
| AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL INC | 542.67K | 150.39K | +38.34% | 96.92M |
| ALLIANZ ASSET MANAGEMENT GMBH | 527.07K | 72.95K | +16.06% | 94.13M |
| PRINCIPAL FINANCIAL GROUP INC | 516.78K | 28.04K | +5.74% | 92.30M |
| CHANNING CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 512.04K | 75.79K | +17.37% | 91.45M |
| UBS GROUP AG | 467.54K | -1.84K | -0.39% | 83.50M |
| AQR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 433.72K | 34.36K | +8.60% | 76.64M |
| NORTHERN TRUST CORP | 384.94K | -91.82K | -19.26% | 68.75M |
| MORGAN STANLEY | 352.47K | -145.89K | -29.27% | 62.95M |
| EPOCH INVESTMENT PARTNERS, INC. | 352.16K | 259.34K | +279.41% | 62.89M |
| FULLER & THALER ASSET MANAGEMENT, INC. | 336.99K | -525.26K | -60.92% | 60.18M |
| QUBE RESEARCH & TECHNOLOGIES LTD | 332.12K | 294.52K | +783.37% | 59.31M |
Insights · Dividends · Forecast · Financials · Learn
$5.08B
Market Cap
29.28
P/E
5.24
Forward P/E
53
Score