Ocular Therapeutix (OCUL) Stock Insights
$1.61B
Market Cap
-4.56
P/E
366.75
Forward P/E
49
Score
OCUL price $7.33 +0.04 +0.62%
Stocklytics score rationale: value 58, quality 34, growth 54.
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1887000 | 1923000 | 1990000 | 4227000 | 17403000 | 43522000 | 51494000 | 58443000 | 63723000 | 51823000 |
Ocular Therapeutix, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company specializing in the creation, advancement, and commercialization of ophthalmic treatments. Their innovative approach leverages a proprietary bioresorbable hydrogel technology to address a range of eye diseases and conditions. The company currently offers two key products: ReSure Sealant, an ophthalmic device designed to prevent fluid leakage from corneal…
OCUL fair value $2.05. Price $7.33. Price is 257% above fair value.
Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.
Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 10.93M. Growth 1.83%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 9.76% (beta 1.0). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 219.62M. Net debt -657.28M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.
Model uncertainty high for this stock
| Date | EPS actual | EPS estimate | Revenue | Revenue estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-03 | — | -0.36 | — | 14.27M |
| 2026-08-03 | -0.35 | -0.40 | 13.47M | 13.20M |
| 2026-05-05 | -0.41 | -0.32 | 10.79M | 12.72M |
| 2026-02-05 | -0.29 | -0.33 | 13.25M | 16.13M |
| 2025-11-04 | -0.37 | -0.39 | 14.54M | 16.14M |
| 2025-08-05 | -0.39 | -0.35 | 13.46M | 14.57M |
| 2025-05-05 | -0.37 | -0.29 | 10.63M | 13.10M |
| 2025-03-03 | -0.29 | -0.24 | 17.08M | 17.11M |
| 2024-11-14 | -0.26 | -0.23 | 15.43M | 16.89M |
| 2024-08-07 | -0.24 | -0.22 | 16.44M | 15.82M |
| 2024-05-07 | -0.49 | -0.18 | 14.77M | 15.36M |
| 2024-03-11 | -0.28 | -0.28 | 14.80M | 15.71M |
| 2023-11-07 | -0.51 | -0.29 | 15.08M | 15.23M |
| 2023-08-07 | -0.27 | -0.29 | 15.19M | 14.65M |
| 2023-05-08 | -0.31 | -0.27 | 13.37M | 14.10M |
| 2023-03-06 | -0.24 | -0.25 | 14.08M | 13.53M |
| 2022-11-07 | -0.30 | -0.23 | 11.96M | 14.27M |
| 2022-08-08 | -0.28 | -0.23 | 12.27M | 14.25M |
| 2022-05-09 | -0.22 | -0.25 | 13.19M | 13.96M |
| 2022-02-28 | -0.23 | -0.23 | 12.31M | 13.94M |
| 2021-11-08 | -0.23 | -0.26 | 12.15M | 13.88M |
| 2021-08-09 | -0.25 | -0.20 | 11.72M | 11.72M |
| 2021-05-05 | -0.24 | -0.20 | 7.34M | 9.76M |
| 2021-03-11 | -0.23 | -0.18 | 7.35M | — |
| 2020-11-05 | -0.17 | -0.23 | 5.88M | 1.94M |
| 2020-08-07 | -0.34 | -0.32 | 1.57M | 1.27M |
| 2020-05-08 | -0.41 | -0.40 | 2.61M | 2.35M |
| 2020-03-12 | -0.47 | -0.42 | 2.26M | 1.92M |
| 2019-11-12 | -0.45 | -0.46 | 829.00K | 974.08K |
| 2019-08-07 | -0.57 | -0.42 | 650.00K | 547.37K |
| 2019-05-10 | -0.45 | -0.42 | 492.00K | 504.00K |
| 2019-03-07 | -0.42 | -0.37 | 504.00K | 456.00K |
| 2018-11-07 | -0.38 | -0.36 | 498.00K | 498.00K |
| 2018-08-07 | -0.37 | -0.37 | 648.00K | 648.00K |
| 2018-05-08 | -0.40 | -0.39 | 340.00K | 323.00K |
| 2018-03-08 | -0.44 | -0.58 | 487.00K | 575.55K |
| 2017-11-07 | -0.54 | -0.54 | 523.00K | 513.31K |
| 2017-08-08 | -0.64 | -0.59 | 438.00K | 383.25K |
| 2017-05-05 | -0.58 | -0.48 | 475.00K | 393.10K |
| 2017-03-10 | -0.45 | -0.47 | 511.00K | 442.21K |
Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency —.
Safety score 37/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. No dividend history was found. There is no dividend yield.
| Ex-date | Dividend | Record | Payment | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No data yet. | ||||
| Date | Insider | Action | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-08 | Anderman Todd | Sell | 11.98K | $7.29 | 87.36K |
| 2026-10-02 | Kaiser Peter | Sell | 9.99K | $7.05 | 70.43K |
| 2026-10-02 | Heier Jeffrey S. | Sell | 10.87K | $7.05 | 76.63K |
| 2026-08-31 | Notman Donald | Sell | 1.10K | $10.24 | 11.25K |
| 2026-08-25 | Dugel Pravin | Buy | 50.09K | — | — |
| 2026-08-25 | Dugel Pravin | Sell | 50.09K | — | — |
| 2026-08-24 | Kaiser Peter | Sell | 3.04K | $10.77 | 32.69K |
| 2026-08-24 | Nayak Sanjay | Sell | 1.90K | $10.78 | 20.45K |
| 2026-08-24 | Heier Jeffrey S. | Sell | 3.30K | $10.78 | 35.53K |
| 2026-08-24 | Dugel Pravin | Sell | 21.65K | $10.77 | 233.16K |
| 2026-06-16 | Dugel Pravin | Sell | 50.09K | — | — |
| 2026-06-16 | Dugel Pravin | Buy | 50.09K | — | — |
| 2026-06-10 | Warden Charles M | Buy | 14.00K | — | — |
| 2026-06-10 | Warden Charles M | Buy | 44.00K | $8.74 | 384.56K |
| 2026-06-10 | Graves Adrienne L | Buy | 14.00K | — | — |
| 2026-06-10 | Graves Adrienne L | Buy | 44.00K | $8.74 | 384.56K |
| 2026-06-10 | Robins Jason Shand | Buy | 15.44K | — | — |
| 2026-06-10 | Robins Jason Shand | Buy | 14.02K | $8.74 | 122.57K |
| 2026-06-10 | Hong Seung Suh | Buy | 14.00K | — | — |
| 2026-06-10 | Hong Seung Suh | Buy | 44.00K | $8.74 | 384.56K |
| 2026-06-10 | LINDSTROM RICHARD L MD | Buy | 14.00K | — | — |
| 2026-06-10 | LINDSTROM RICHARD L MD | Buy | 44.00K | $8.74 | 384.56K |
| 2026-06-10 | RAINES MERILEE | Buy | 14.00K | — | — |
| 2026-06-10 | RAINES MERILEE | Buy | 44.00K | $8.74 | 384.56K |
| 2026-06-10 | Williams Leslie J. | Buy | 14.00K | — | — |
| 2026-06-10 | Williams Leslie J. | Buy | 44.00K | $8.74 | 384.56K |
| 2026-06-03 | Waheed Nadia | Sell | 14.83K | $8.27 | 122.63K |
| 2026-05-28 | Dugel Pravin | Buy | 394.70K | — | — |
| 2026-05-28 | Dugel Pravin | Sell | 394.70K | — | — |
| 2026-05-26 | Dugel Pravin | Sell | 21.16K | $8.20 | 173.48K |
| 2026-05-26 | Kaiser Peter | Sell | 2.97K | $8.20 | 24.33K |
| 2026-05-26 | Heier Jeffrey S. | Sell | 3.02K | $8.20 | 24.75K |
| 2026-05-26 | Nayak Sanjay | Sell | 1.86K | $8.20 | 15.24K |
| 2026-04-09 | Dugel Pravin | Sell | 394.70K | — | — |
| 2026-04-09 | Dugel Pravin | Buy | 394.70K | — | — |
| 2026-02-23 | Dugel Pravin | Sell | 20.06K | $8.28 | 166.06K |
| 2026-02-23 | Kaiser Peter | Sell | 2.81K | $8.28 | 23.27K |
| 2026-02-23 | Heier Jeffrey S. | Sell | 3.06K | $8.28 | 25.31K |
| 2026-02-23 | Nayak Sanjay | Sell | 1.76K | $8.28 | 14.56K |
| 2026-02-20 | Waheed Nadia | Sell | 3.51K | $7.74 | 27.17K |
| 2026-02-20 | LINDSTROM RICHARD L MD | Buy | 60.23K | $7.66 | 461.35K |
| 2026-02-12 | Notman Donald | Sell | 11.45K | $9.04 | 103.47K |
| 2026-02-12 | Nayak Sanjay | Sell | 10.35K | $9.04 | 93.55K |
| 2026-02-12 | Dugel Pravin | Sell | 124.88K | $9.04 | 1.13M |
| 2026-02-12 | Waheed Nadia | Sell | 7.86K | $9.04 | 71.08K |
| 2026-02-04 | Notman Donald | Sell | 6.04K | $8.54 | 51.54K |
| 2026-02-02 | Notman Donald | Sell | 5.46K | $9.14 | 49.86K |
| 2026-01-21 | Robinson David Wayne | Buy | 416.00K | $11.42 | 4.75M |
| 2026-01-21 | Robinson David Wayne | Buy | 136.00K | — | — |
| 2026-01-21 | Robinson David Wayne | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-01-20 | Robins Jason Shand | Buy | 33.00K | $11.45 | 377.85K |
| 2026-01-20 | Robins Jason Shand | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-01-20 | Robins Jason Shand | Other | 68.19K | $11.82 | 806.06K |
| 2026-01-20 | Robins Jason Shand | Other | 110.60K | $8.12 | 898.07K |
| 2026-01-02 | Anderman Todd | Buy | 197.65K | $11.82 | 2.34M |
| 2026-01-02 | Anderman Todd | Buy | 64.90K | — | — |
| 2026-01-02 | Meyers Steve Lawrence | Buy | 64.90K | — | — |
| 2026-01-02 | Meyers Steve Lawrence | Buy | 197.65K | $11.82 | 2.34M |
| 2026-01-02 | Nayak Sanjay | Buy | 64.90K | — | — |
| 2026-01-02 | Nayak Sanjay | Buy | 197.65K | $11.82 | 2.34M |
| 2026-01-02 | Kaiser Peter | Buy | 79.11K | — | — |
| 2026-01-02 | Kaiser Peter | Buy | 240.93K | $11.82 | 2.85M |
| 2026-01-02 | Saroj Namrata | Buy | 79.11K | — | — |
| 2026-01-02 | Saroj Namrata | Buy | 240.93K | $11.82 | 2.85M |
| 2026-01-02 | Waheed Nadia | Buy | 79.11K | — | — |
| 2026-01-02 | Waheed Nadia | Buy | 240.93K | $11.82 | 2.85M |
| 2026-01-02 | Heier Jeffrey S. | Buy | 79.11K | — | — |
| 2026-01-02 | Heier Jeffrey S. | Buy | 240.93K | $11.82 | 2.85M |
| 2026-01-02 | Notman Donald | Buy | 79.11K | — | — |
| 2026-01-02 | Notman Donald | Buy | 240.93K | $11.82 | 2.85M |
| 2025-11-26 | Dugel Pravin | Buy | 49.75K | — | — |
| 2025-11-26 | Dugel Pravin | Sell | 49.75K | — | — |
| 2025-11-24 | Nayak Sanjay | Sell | 1.88K | $12.04 | 22.61K |
| 2025-11-24 | Dugel Pravin | Sell | 19.53K | $12.04 | 235.14K |
| 2025-11-24 | Kaiser Peter | Sell | 3.01K | $12.02 | 36.14K |
| 2025-11-24 | Heier Jeffrey S. | Sell | 3.47K | $12.04 | 41.77K |
| 2025-11-05 | Saroj Namrata | Sell | 25.86K | $10.74 | 277.79K |
| 2025-10-08 | Anderman Todd | Sell | 11.13K | $12.34 | 137.37K |
| 2025-10-02 | Kaiser Peter | Sell | 9.65K | $11.03 | 106.47K |
| 2025-10-02 | Heier Jeffrey S. | Sell | 10.50K | $11.04 | 115.94K |
| 2025-09-09 | Dugel Pravin | Sell | 49.75K | — | — |
| 2025-09-09 | Dugel Pravin | Buy | 49.75K | — | — |
| 2025-09-02 | Notman Donald | Sell | 1.07K | $12.43 | 13.25K |
| 2025-08-25 | Kaiser Peter | Sell | 3.01K | $12.04 | 36.25K |
| 2025-08-25 | Nayak Sanjay | Sell | 1.89K | $12.04 | 22.70K |
| 2025-08-25 | Heier Jeffrey S. | Sell | 3.06K | $12.04 | 36.88K |
| 2025-08-25 | Dugel Pravin | Sell | 21.49K | $12.04 | 258.79K |
| 2025-08-12 | Waheed Nadia | Buy | 40.36K | — | — |
| 2025-08-12 | Waheed Nadia | Buy | 122.92K | $12.48 | 1.53M |
| 2025-08-11 | Dugel Pravin | Buy | 250.36K | — | — |
| 2025-06-12 | Dugel Pravin | Sell | 50.03K | — | — |
| 2025-06-11 | Meyers Steve Lawrence | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-06-11 | Meyers Steve Lawrence | Other | 45.00K | $5.22 | 234.90K |
| 2025-06-11 | Meyers Steve Lawrence | Other | 222.00K | $7.44 | 1.65M |
| 2025-06-11 | Meyers Steve Lawrence | Other | 145.00K | $5.18 | 751.10K |
| 2025-06-11 | Meyers Steve Lawrence | Other | 100.00K | $3.88 | 388.00K |
| 2025-06-11 | Saroj Namrata | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-06-11 | Saroj Namrata | Other | 100.00K | $9.95 | 995.00K |
| 2025-06-11 | Saroj Namrata | Other | 316.00K | $10.27 | 3.25M |
| 2025-06-11 | Dugel Pravin | Buy | 2.75M | $7.44 | 20.46M |
Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.
Institutions holding: 277, holders -11 vs prior quarter. Ownership 93.14%.
| Holder | Shares | Change | Change % | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FMR LLC | 32.84M | 190.28K | +0.58% | 322.53M |
| DEEP TRACK CAPITAL, LP | 19.69M | 0 | 0.00% | 193.32M |
| BLACKROCK, INC. | 19.38M | 3.24M | +20.11% | 190.28M |
| AVORO CAPITAL ADVISORS LLC | 12.54M | 225.00K | +1.83% | 123.14M |
| SUMMER ROAD LLC | 12.21M | 328.47K | +2.76% | 119.89M |
| VENROCK ADVISER, LLC | 10.35M | 0 | 0.00% | 101.61M |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 8.83M | 113.56K | +1.30% | 86.74M |
| PRICE T ROWE ASSOCIATES INC /MD/ | 7.62M | 1.73M | +29.27% | 74.86M |
| LOGOS GLOBAL MANAGEMENT LP | 5.30M | 1.45M | +37.66% | 52.05M |
| STATE STREET CORP | 5.23M | 524.86K | +11.15% | 51.39M |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 5.02M | 491.91K | +10.86% | 49.32M |
| POINT72 ASSET MANAGEMENT, L.P. | 3.29M | -2.24M | -40.52% | 32.33M |
| DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP | 2.78M | 2.13M | +328.37% | 27.33M |
| DELTEC ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC | 2.48M | 135.58K | +5.79% | 24.32M |
| BALYASNY ASSET MANAGEMENT L.P. | 2.27M | -421.92K | -15.67% | 22.30M |
| OCTAGON CAPITAL ADVISORS LP | 2.08M | -1.09M | -34.47% | 20.38M |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | 1.97M | 378.46K | +23.73% | 19.38M |
| NORTHERN TRUST CORP | 1.80M | 273.80K | +17.95% | 17.67M |
| GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC | 1.76M | 651.39K | +58.66% | 17.30M |
| NUVEEN, LLC | 1.70M | 1.29M | +312.88% | 16.67M |
| WOODLINE PARTNERS LP | 1.67M | 0 | 0.00% | 16.38M |
| TCG CROSSOVER MANAGEMENT, LLC | 1.65M | 0 | 0.00% | 16.18M |
| UBS GROUP AG | 1.55M | 30.37K | +2.00% | 15.23M |
| ADAGE CAPITAL PARTNERS GP, L.L.C. | 1.55M | 1.55M | New | 15.22M |
| SIXTH STREET PARTNERS MANAGEMENT COMPANY, L.P. | 1.53M | 1.53M | New | 15.06M |
Insights · Dividends · Forecast · Financials · Learn
$1.61B
Market Cap
-4.56
P/E
366.75
Forward P/E
49
Score