Blue Owl Capital (OWL) Stock Forecast & Price Target
OWL$10.30+0.63 +6.51%
$16.10B
Market Cap
81.33
P/E
11.73
Forward P/E
61
Score
Blue Owl Capital (OWL) Stock Forecast & Price Target
OWL price $10.30 +0.63 +6.51%
- Ticker
- OWL
- Price
- $10.30
- Change
- +0.63 +6.51%
- Market cap ?
- $16.10B
- P/E ?
- 81.33
- Forward P/E ?
- 11.73
- Dividend yield ?
- 9.41%
- Beta ?
- 1.21
- Sector
- Financial Services
- Industry
- Asset Management
- Stocklytics score
- 61
- Value
- 72
- Quality
- 38
- Growth
- 73
Stocklytics score rationale: value 72, quality 38, growth 73.
Financials
| 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 121249000 | 190850000 | 249815000 | 823878000 | 1369722000 | 1731608000 | 2295427000 | 2870178000 |
Blue Owl Capital Inc., an asset management firm based in New York City, leverages a robust and permanent capital base to deliver a comprehensive suite of financial solutions. It serves a diverse clientele, including mid-sized businesses, leading alternative asset managers, and corporate real estate owners and tenants. The company's offerings encompass direct lending products, providing private credit options such as…
Fair value
OWL fair value $15.26. Price $10.30. Price is 33% below fair value.
Above fair value, and more expensive than usual. A larger premium than on 83% of days in the past 5 years.
Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.
Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 1.32B. Growth 11.77%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 10.94% (beta 1.2). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 1.56B. Net debt 3.67B. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.
Earnings
| Date | EPS actual | EPS estimate | Revenue | Revenue estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 | — | 0.23 | — | 698.10M |
| 2026-07-30 | 0.22 | 0.22 | 753.05M | 693.15M |
| 2026-04-30 | 0.19 | 0.19 | 699.88M | 687.23M |
| 2026-02-05 | 0.24 | 0.22 | 701.47M | 711.77M |
| 2025-10-30 | 0.22 | 0.22 | 727.99M | 674.73M |
| 2025-07-31 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 703.11M | 598.81M |
| 2025-05-01 | 0.17 | 0.18 | 683.49M | 622.90M |
| 2025-02-06 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 631.36M | 620.19M |
| 2024-10-31 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 600.88M | 567.68M |
| 2024-08-01 | 0.19 | 0.19 | 549.85M | 505.07M |
| 2024-05-02 | 0.17 | 0.16 | 513.34M | 475.83M |
| 2024-02-09 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 494.04M | 468.81M |
| 2023-11-02 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 429.65M | 407.96M |
| 2023-08-01 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 416.94M | 416.72M |
| 2023-05-04 | 0.15 | 0.16 | 390.99M | 394.98M |
| 2023-02-13 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 395.51M | 388.60M |
| 2022-11-04 | 0.14 | 0.13 | 370.99M | 339.69M |
| 2022-08-04 | 0.13 | 0.11 | 327.25M | 307.17M |
| 2022-05-05 | 0.11 | 0.13 | 275.98M | 286.09M |
| 2022-02-17 | 0.12 | 0.11 | 288.52M | 265.58M |
| 2021-11-09 | 0.11 | 0.08 | 247.88M | 226.10M |
| 2021-08-10 | -1.13 | 0.06 | 179.26M | 211.43M |
| 2021-05-17 | 1.43 | — | 108.22M | — |
| 2021-02-24 | -1.45 | — | 106.01M | — |
| 2020-12-07 | -0.25 | — | 54.04M | — |
| 2020-06-30 | -0.36 | — | 40.50M | — |
| 2020-03-31 | -0.02 | — | 49.27M | — |
Dividends
Yield 8.83%. Payout ratio 7.44%. Frequency Quarterly.
Safety score 53/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 7% of earnings. Dividends are larger than free cash flow. Dividends were paid in 6 separate years. Yield is 8.8%, high enough that the payout may be hard to keep.
| Ex-date | Dividend | Record | Payment | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | $0.23 | 2026-08-13 | 2026-08-27 | Quarterly |
| 2026-05-13 | $0.23 | 2026-05-13 | 2026-05-27 | Quarterly |
| 2026-02-20 | $0.23 | 2026-02-20 | 2026-03-02 | Quarterly |
| 2025-11-10 | $0.23 | 2025-11-10 | 2025-11-24 | Quarterly |
| 2025-08-14 | $0.23 | 2025-08-14 | 2025-08-28 | Quarterly |
| 2025-05-14 | $0.23 | 2025-05-14 | 2025-05-28 | Quarterly |
| 2025-02-19 | $0.18 | 2025-02-19 | 2025-02-28 | Quarterly |
| 2024-11-08 | $0.18 | 2024-11-11 | 2024-11-22 | Quarterly |
| 2024-08-21 | $0.18 | 2024-08-21 | 2024-08-30 | Quarterly |
| 2024-05-20 | $0.18 | 2024-05-21 | 2024-05-30 | Quarterly |
| 2024-02-22 | $0.14 | 2024-02-23 | 2024-03-05 | Quarterly |
| 2023-11-17 | $0.14 | 2023-11-20 | 2023-11-30 | Quarterly |
| 2023-08-18 | $0.14 | 2023-08-21 | 2023-08-31 | Quarterly |
| 2023-05-18 | $0.14 | 2023-05-19 | 2023-05-31 | Quarterly |
| 2023-02-23 | $0.13 | 2023-02-24 | 2023-03-06 | Quarterly |
| 2022-11-18 | $0.12 | 2022-11-21 | 2022-11-30 | Quarterly |
| 2022-08-19 | $0.11 | 2022-08-22 | 2022-08-29 | Quarterly |
| 2022-05-19 | $0.10 | 2022-05-20 | 2022-05-27 | Quarterly |
| 2022-02-25 | $0.10 | 2022-02-28 | 2022-03-07 | Quarterly |
| 2021-11-19 | $0.09 | 2021-11-22 | 2021-11-30 | Quarterly |
| 2021-08-23 | $0.04 | 2021-08-24 | 2021-09-08 | Quarterly |
Insider trades
| Date | Insider | Action | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Zahr Marc | Sell | 4.55M | — | — |
| 2026-09-14 | Zahr Marc | Sell | 4.55M | — | — |
| 2026-09-14 | Zahr Marc | Sell | 1 | — | — |
| 2026-09-11 | LIPSCHULTZ MARC S | Sell | 1.00M | — | — |
| 2026-09-11 | LIPSCHULTZ MARC S | Sell | 1.00M | — | — |
| 2026-09-11 | Owl Rock Capital Feeder LLC | Sell | 1.01M | — | — |
| 2026-09-11 | Owl Rock Capital Feeder LLC | Sell | 1.01M | — | — |
| 2026-09-11 | Dyal Capital SLP LP | Sell | 350.00K | — | — |
| 2026-09-11 | Dyal Capital SLP LP | Sell | 350.00K | — | — |
| 2026-09-11 | Kirshenbaum Alan | Sell | 10.00K | — | — |
| 2026-09-11 | Kirshenbaum Alan | Sell | 10.00K | — | — |
| 2026-09-11 | Rees Michael Douglass | Sell | 300.00K | — | — |
| 2026-09-11 | Rees Michael Douglass | Sell | 300.00K | — | — |
| 2026-09-01 | Dyal Capital SLP LP | Sell | 500.00K | — | — |
| 2026-09-01 | Dyal Capital SLP LP | Sell | 500.00K | — | — |
| 2026-08-06 | Packer Craig | Buy | 681.23K | — | — |
| 2026-08-06 | Packer Craig | Buy | 681.23K | — | — |
| 2026-08-06 | Rees Michael Douglass | Buy | 1.01M | — | — |
| 2026-08-06 | Rees Michael Douglass | Buy | 1.01M | — | — |
| 2026-08-06 | Ostrover Douglas I | Buy | 736.46K | — | — |
| 2026-08-06 | Ostrover Douglas I | Buy | 736.46K | — | — |
| 2026-08-06 | Zahr Marc | Buy | 736.46K | — | — |
| 2026-08-06 | Zahr Marc | Buy | 736.46K | — | — |
| 2026-08-06 | LIPSCHULTZ MARC S | Buy | 736.46K | — | — |
| 2026-08-06 | LIPSCHULTZ MARC S | Buy | 736.46K | — | — |
| 2026-06-01 | Dyal Capital SLP LP | Sell | 1.15M | — | — |
| 2026-06-01 | Dyal Capital SLP LP | Sell | 1.15M | — | — |
| 2026-05-07 | Packer Craig | Buy | 729.72K | — | — |
| 2026-05-07 | Packer Craig | Buy | 729.72K | — | — |
| 2026-05-07 | LIPSCHULTZ MARC S | Buy | 788.88K | — | — |
| 2026-05-07 | LIPSCHULTZ MARC S | Buy | 788.88K | — | — |
| 2026-05-07 | Ugwonali Dana Weeks | Buy | 20.43K | — | — |
| 2026-05-07 | Rees Michael Douglass | Buy | 1.07M | — | — |
| 2026-05-07 | Rees Michael Douglass | Buy | 1.07M | — | — |
| 2026-05-07 | Bash-Polley Stacy Ellen | Buy | 20.43K | — | — |
| 2026-05-07 | Zahr Marc | Buy | 788.88K | — | — |
| 2026-05-07 | Zahr Marc | Buy | 788.88K | — | — |
| 2026-05-07 | Holz Claudia A | Buy | 20.43K | — | — |
| 2026-05-07 | Ostrover Douglas I | Buy | 788.88K | — | — |
| 2026-05-07 | Ostrover Douglas I | Buy | 788.88K | — | — |
| 2026-03-17 | Rees Michael Douglass | Sell | 30.00M | — | — |
| 2026-03-17 | Rees Michael Douglass | Sell | 30.00M | — | — |
| 2026-03-02 | Dyal Capital SLP LP | Sell | 150.00K | — | — |
| 2026-03-02 | Dyal Capital SLP LP | Sell | 150.00K | — | — |
| 2026-02-15 | Brouse Jennifer | Sell | 7.01K | $12.30 | 86.20K |
| 2026-02-15 | Reddy Neena | Sell | 20.78K | $12.30 | 255.58K |
| 2026-02-15 | Polland Andrew Robert | Sell | 38.98K | $12.30 | 479.44K |
| 2026-02-12 | LIPSCHULTZ MARC S | Buy | 878.71K | — | — |
| 2026-02-12 | LIPSCHULTZ MARC S | Buy | 878.71K | — | — |
| 2026-02-12 | Packer Craig | Buy | 813.48K | — | — |
| 2026-02-12 | Packer Craig | Buy | 813.48K | — | — |
| 2026-02-12 | Ostrover Douglas I | Buy | 878.71K | — | — |
| 2026-02-12 | Ostrover Douglas I | Buy | 878.71K | — | — |
| 2026-02-12 | Zahr Marc | Buy | 878.71K | — | — |
| 2026-02-12 | Zahr Marc | Buy | 878.71K | — | — |
| 2026-02-12 | Rees Michael Douglass | Buy | 305.79K | — | — |
| 2026-02-12 | Rees Michael Douglass | Buy | 305.79K | — | — |
| 2025-12-10 | Zahr Marc | Sell | 40.96M | — | — |
| 2025-12-10 | Zahr Marc | Sell | 40.96M | — | — |
| 2025-12-09 | Brouse Jennifer | Buy | 29.65K | — | — |
| 2025-12-09 | Brouse Jennifer | Buy | 29.65K | — | — |
| 2025-12-09 | Brouse Jennifer | Buy | 146.62K | — | — |
| 2025-12-09 | Polland Andrew Robert | Buy | 192.79K | — | — |
| 2025-12-09 | Reddy Neena | Buy | 145.77K | — | — |
| 2025-12-02 | Ostrover Douglas I | Buy | 139.33K | $15.06 | 2.10M |
| 2025-12-02 | LIPSCHULTZ MARC S | Buy | 69.66K | $15.06 | 1.05M |
| 2025-12-02 | Packer Craig | Buy | 82.89K | $15.06 | 1.25M |
| 2025-12-02 | Packer Craig | Buy | 27.34K | $15.06 | 411.69K |
| 2025-12-01 | Kirshenbaum Alan | Buy | 33.67K | $14.87 | 500.81K |
| 2025-12-01 | Ostrover Douglas I | Buy | 18.67K | $15.06 | 281.14K |
| 2025-12-01 | LIPSCHULTZ MARC S | Buy | 9.34K | $15.06 | 140.58K |
| 2025-12-01 | Packer Craig | Buy | 11.11K | $15.06 | 167.25K |
| 2025-12-01 | Packer Craig | Buy | 3.66K | $15.06 | 55.16K |
| 2025-12-01 | Dyal Capital SLP LP | Sell | 250.00K | — | — |
| 2025-12-01 | Dyal Capital SLP LP | Sell | 250.00K | — | — |
| 2025-11-06 | LIPSCHULTZ MARC S | Buy | 470.74K | — | — |
| 2025-11-06 | LIPSCHULTZ MARC S | Buy | 470.74K | — | — |
| 2025-11-06 | Zahr Marc | Buy | 470.74K | — | — |
| 2025-11-06 | Zahr Marc | Buy | 470.74K | — | — |
| 2025-11-06 | Packer Craig | Buy | 435.43K | — | — |
| 2025-11-06 | Packer Craig | Buy | 435.43K | — | — |
| 2025-11-06 | Rees Michael Douglass | Buy | 570.28K | — | — |
| 2025-11-06 | Rees Michael Douglass | Buy | 570.28K | — | — |
| 2025-11-06 | Ostrover Douglas I | Buy | 470.74K | — | — |
| 2025-11-06 | Ostrover Douglas I | Buy | 470.74K | — | — |
| 2025-09-12 | Rees Michael Douglass | Sell | 1.50M | — | — |
| 2025-09-12 | Rees Michael Douglass | Sell | 1.50M | — | — |
| 2025-09-12 | Packer Craig | Sell | 100.00K | — | — |
| 2025-09-12 | Packer Craig | Sell | 100.00K | — | — |
| 2025-09-12 | Owl Rock Capital Feeder LLC | Sell | 120.00K | — | — |
| 2025-09-12 | Owl Rock Capital Feeder LLC | Sell | 120.00K | — | — |
| 2025-09-12 | Dyal Capital SLP LP | Sell | 1.75M | — | — |
| 2025-09-12 | Dyal Capital SLP LP | Sell | 1.75M | — | — |
| 2025-09-12 | Kirshenbaum Alan | Sell | 20.00K | — | — |
| 2025-09-12 | Kirshenbaum Alan | Sell | 20.00K | — | — |
| 2025-09-02 | Owl Rock Capital Feeder LLC | Sell | 500.00K | — | — |
| 2025-09-02 | Owl Rock Capital Feeder LLC | Sell | 500.00K | — | — |
| 2025-09-02 | Dyal Capital SLP LP | Sell | 950.00K | — | — |
| 2025-09-02 | Dyal Capital SLP LP | Sell | 950.00K | — | — |
| 2025-08-07 | LIPSCHULTZ MARC S | Buy | 369.02K | — | — |
Institutional holders
Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.
Institutions holding: 635, holders +18 vs prior quarter. Ownership 95.56%.
| Holder | Shares | Change | Change % | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FMR LLC | 67.70M | -18.02M | -21.02% | 592.41M |
| CAPITAL WORLD INVESTORS | 53.87M | -2.89M | -5.09% | 471.34M |
| CAPITAL RESEARCH GLOBAL INVESTORS | 43.20M | -14.88M | -25.62% | 377.97M |
| ICONIQ CAPITAL, LLC | 34.35M | 0 | 0.00% | 300.60M |
| BLACKROCK, INC. | 31.60M | -1.78M | -5.34% | 276.52M |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 28.96M | -510.13K | -1.73% | 253.36M |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | 27.63M | -8.65M | -23.85% | 241.75M |
| CAPTION MANAGEMENT, LLC | 23.91M | 8.80M | +58.19% | 209.26M |
| BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/ | 22.60M | 5.61M | +33.06% | 197.72M |
| LIND VALUE II APS | 16.72M | 1.46M | +9.58% | 146.29M |
| CAPTION MANAGEMENT, LLC | 16.00M | 877.95K | +5.81% | 139.96M |
| MORGAN STANLEY | 14.43M | 1.21M | +9.13% | 126.30M |
| HIGHTOWER ADVISORS, LLC | 12.72M | 1.91M | +17.70% | 111.31M |
| STATE STREET CORP | 12.20M | 593.00K | +5.11% | 106.72M |
| AQR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 11.26M | 1.64M | +17.03% | 97.37M |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 11.08M | -954.57K | -7.93% | 97.00M |
| UBS GROUP AG | 9.36M | -405.52K | -4.15% | 81.87M |
| SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP | 8.61M | 4.65M | +117.34% | 75.36M |
| SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP | 8.40M | 4.43M | +111.86% | 73.46M |
| SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP | 7.58M | 3.62M | +91.27% | 66.32M |
| OCO CAPITAL PARTNERS, L.P. | 7.38M | 5.17M | +235.23% | 64.53M |
| GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC | 6.77M | 5.57M | +463.91% | 59.21M |
| NORGES BANK | 6.60M | 6.60M | New | 57.78M |
| CRESSET ASSET MANAGEMENT, LLC | 6.41M | 78.33K | +1.24% | 56.07M |
| BANK OF NEW YORK MELLON CORP | 6.27M | 439.56K | +7.54% | 54.88M |
Forecast
Consensus Buy from 19 analysts. Average price target $11.01, +6.9% versus the current price. Low $9.00. High $17.00.
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