Pan American Silver (PAAS) Stock Insights

PAAS price $41.10 -0.85 -2.03%

Ticker
PAAS
Price
$41.10
Change
-0.85 -2.03%
Market cap ?
$17.04B
P/E ?
12.59
Forward P/E ?
12.33
Dividend yield ?
1.64%
Beta ?
1.58
Sector
Basic Materials
Industry
Gold
Stocklytics score
81
Value
76
Quality
90
Growth
76

Stocklytics score rationale: value 76, quality 90, growth 76.

Financials

2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
7747750008168280007844950001350759000133881200016327500001494700000231610000028189000003682352526

Pan American Silver Corp. is a mining enterprise dedicated to the full spectrum of metal operations, from discovery and site development to extraction, refinement, and environmental reclamation. The company focuses on precious and base metals including silver, gold, zinc, lead, and copper. Its extensive operations are situated across several countries, specifically Canada, Mexico, Peru, Argentina, and Bolivia, where…

Fair value

PAAS fair value $106.96. Price $41.10. Price is 62% below fair value.

Below fair value, and cheaper than usual. A larger discount than on more than 99% of days in the past 5 years.

Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.

Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 1.54B. Growth 20.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 12.00% (beta 1.6). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 414.62M. Net debt -277.49M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.

Model uncertainty high for this stock

Compare PAAS

Earnings

DateEPS actualEPS estimateRevenueRevenue estimate
2026-11-04—0.66—1.07B
2026-08-120.730.841.10B1.13B
2026-05-051.091.061.13B1.20B
2026-02-181.110.901.17B1.11B
2025-11-120.480.49854.60M1.16B
2025-08-060.430.40811.90M860.77M
2025-05-070.420.19773.20M699.70M
2025-02-190.350.37815.10M783.28M
2024-11-050.320.21716.10M814.00M
2024-08-070.110.15686.16M987.09M
2024-05-080.01-0.06601.40M591.66M
2024-02-21-0.040.08669.60M665.54M
2023-11-070.010.07616.30M678.67M
2023-08-090.040.08639.90M630.32M
2023-05-100.100.02390.30M339.99M
2023-02-22-0.02-0.01375.47M389.45M
2022-11-09-0.01-0.06326.61M336.00M
2022-08-10-0.030.14336.93M419.36M
2022-05-110.150.22439.90M475.97M
2022-02-230.190.25422.17M475.97M
2021-11-090.180.35460.35M479.29M
2021-08-100.220.33382.13M448.88M
2021-05-120.180.31368.10M523.90M
2021-02-170.570.39430.46M303.28M
2020-11-040.340.34300.41M332.04M
2020-08-050.280.13249.51M53.47M
2020-05-06-0.040.12358.43M1.16B
2020-02-190.330.25404.38M269.59M
2019-11-060.350.10352.19M110.69M
2019-08-070.040.05282.95M255.37M
2019-05-080.050.02232.64M101.48M
2019-02-20-0.01-0.00173.36M693.43M
2018-11-06-0.030.07187.72M312.86M
2018-08-080.230.14216.46M191.34M
2018-05-090.200.18206.96M165.60M
2018-02-200.130.19226.03M312.92M
2017-11-080.150.13190.79M165.36M
2017-08-090.150.09201.32M166.09M
2017-05-090.060.08198.69M298.05M
2017-02-150.120.12190.60M148.24M

Dividends

Yield 1.66%. Payout ratio 18.37%. Frequency Quarterly.

Safety score 100/100 · Safe. Payout ratio is 18% of earnings. Dividends use less than 40% of free cash flow. Dividends were paid in 17 separate years. Yield is 1.7%, in a range that is usually sustainable.

Ex-dateDividendRecordPaymentFrequency
2026-08-24$0.182026-08-242026-09-04Quarterly
2026-05-19$0.182026-05-192026-06-01Quarterly
2026-03-02$0.182026-03-022026-03-13Quarterly
2025-11-24$0.142025-11-242025-12-05Quarterly
2025-08-18$0.122025-08-182025-08-29Quarterly
2025-05-20$0.102025-05-202025-06-02Quarterly
2025-03-03$0.102025-03-032025-03-14Quarterly
2024-11-18$0.102024-11-182024-11-29Quarterly
2024-08-19$0.102024-08-192024-08-30Quarterly
2024-05-17$0.102024-05-212024-06-03Quarterly
2024-03-01$0.102024-03-042024-03-15Quarterly
2023-11-17$0.102023-11-202023-12-01Quarterly
2023-08-18$0.102023-08-212023-09-01Quarterly
2023-04-13$0.102023-04-142023-05-12Quarterly
2023-03-03$0.102023-03-062023-03-17Quarterly
2022-11-18$0.102022-11-212022-12-02Semi-Annual
2022-08-19$0.112022-08-222022-09-02Special
2022-05-20$0.122022-05-242022-06-03Quarterly
2022-03-04$0.122022-03-072022-03-21Quarterly
2021-11-19$0.102021-11-222021-12-03Quarterly
2021-08-20$0.102021-08-232021-09-03Quarterly
2021-05-21$0.072021-05-252021-06-07Quarterly
2021-02-26$0.072021-03-012021-03-11Quarterly
2020-11-13$0.072020-11-162020-11-27Quarterly
2020-08-14$0.052020-08-172020-08-27Quarterly
2020-05-15$0.052020-05-192020-05-29Quarterly
2020-02-28$0.052020-03-022020-03-12Quarterly
2019-11-15$0.042019-11-182019-11-29Quarterly
2019-08-16$0.042019-08-192019-08-30Quarterly
2019-05-17$0.042019-05-212019-06-03Quarterly
2019-03-01$0.042019-03-042019-03-15Quarterly
2018-11-16$0.042018-11-192018-11-30Quarterly
2018-08-17$0.042018-08-202018-08-31Quarterly
2018-05-18$0.042018-05-222018-06-04Quarterly
2018-03-02$0.042018-03-052018-03-16Quarterly
2017-11-17$0.032017-11-202017-12-01Quarterly
2017-08-17$0.032017-08-212017-09-01Quarterly
2017-05-18$0.032017-05-232017-06-05Quarterly
2017-02-23$0.032017-02-272017-03-10Quarterly
2016-11-23$0.012016-11-252016-12-06Quarterly
2016-08-19$0.012016-08-232016-09-06Quarterly
2016-05-20$0.012016-05-242016-06-06Quarterly
2016-02-25$0.012016-02-292016-03-11Quarterly
2015-11-19$0.052015-11-232015-12-04Quarterly
2015-08-21$0.052015-08-252015-09-08Quarterly
2015-05-20$0.052015-05-222015-06-02Quarterly
2015-02-26$0.122015-03-022015-03-13Quarterly
2014-11-21$0.122014-11-252014-12-08Quarterly
2014-08-21$0.122014-08-252014-09-05Quarterly
2014-05-16$0.122014-05-212014-06-03Quarterly
2014-02-27$0.122014-03-032014-03-17Quarterly
2013-11-21$0.122013-11-252013-12-09Quarterly
2013-08-22$0.122013-08-262013-09-09Quarterly
2013-05-22$0.122013-05-242013-06-05Quarterly
2013-02-28$0.122013-03-042013-03-18Quarterly
2012-11-15$0.052012-11-192012-12-03Quarterly
2012-08-23$0.052012-08-272012-09-10Quarterly
2012-05-23$0.042012-05-282012-06-11Quarterly
2012-03-01$0.04—2012-03-19Quarterly
2011-11-17$0.032011-11-212011-12-05Quarterly
2011-08-18$0.032011-08-222011-09-06Quarterly
2011-05-26$0.032011-05-312011-06-15Quarterly
2011-02-24$0.032011-02-282011-03-14Quarterly
2010-11-17$0.032010-11-192010-12-01Quarterly
2010-08-19$0.032010-08-232010-09-07Semi-Annual
2010-02-24$0.032010-02-262010-03-12Irregular

Insider trades

DateInsiderActionSharesPriceValue
No data yet.

Institutional holders

Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.

Institutions holding: 648, holders -25 vs prior quarter. Ownership 51.63%.

HolderSharesChangeChange %Value
VAN ECK ASSOCIATES CORP19.07M-2.46M-11.43%854.04M
MIRAE ASSET GLOBAL ETFS HOLDINGS LTD.15.59M228.92K+1.49%698.18M
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC11.52M84.36K+0.74%516.60M
BLACKROCK, INC.8.39M-393.00K-4.47%375.95M
CAPITAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTORS6.24M538.60K+9.45%279.34M
NORGES BANK5.58M5.58MNew250.00M
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC4.93M523.60K+11.88%229.97M
MORGAN STANLEY4.79M1.71M+55.58%214.64M
BANK OF MONTREAL /CAN/4.21M1.51M+56.20%188.32M
MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC3.82M215.90K+6.00%170.94M
VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST CO3.66M10.60K+0.29%164.19M
ROYAL BANK OF CANADA3.56M-365.30K-9.29%159.67M
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP3.51M35+0.00%157.17M
JANE STREET GROUP, LLC3.29M2.04M+161.65%147.54M
MANUFACTURERS LIFE INSURANCE COMPANY, THE3.25M397.98K+13.97%145.31M
SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP3.17M2.42M+320.49%142.05M
MACKENZIE FINANCIAL CORP2.23M-21.88K-0.97%141.48M
CANADA PENSION PLAN INVESTMENT BOARD3.09M421.66K+15.82%138.28M
CONNOR, CLARK & LUNN INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LTD.2.92M-199.48K-6.40%130.64M
TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP2.88M1.32M+84.58%128.87M
AMUNDI2.75M127.71K+4.86%123.34M
INVESCO LTD.2.75M-1.76M-38.99%123.13M
TD ASSET MANAGEMENT INC2.72M137.00K+5.31%121.78M
CIBC ASSET MANAGEMENT INC2.44M633.26K+35.01%109.25M
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO2.44M373.67K+18.06%109.14M

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Pan American Silver (PAAS) Stock Insights

PAAS$41.10-0.85 -2.03%

$17.04B

Market Cap

12.59

P/E

12.33

Forward P/E

81

Score

Price History