Red Cat (RCAT) Stock Insights
RCAT$4.91+0.04 +0.82%
$749.83M
Market Cap
-5.12
P/E
44.64
Forward P/E
69
Score
Red Cat (RCAT) Stock Insights
RCAT price $4.91 +0.04 +0.82%
- Ticker
- RCAT
- Price
- $4.91
- Change
- +0.04 +0.82%
- Market cap ?
- $749.83M
- P/E ?
- -5.12
- Forward P/E ?
- 44.64
- Dividend yield ?
- 0.00%
- Beta ?
- 1.35
- Sector
- Industrials
- Industry
- Aerospace & Defense
- Stocklytics score
- 69
- Value
- 59
- Quality
- 48
- Growth
- 100
Stocklytics score rationale: value 59, quality 48, growth 100.
Financials
| 2015 | 2016 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 203640 | 933 | 105129 | 403940 | 4999517 | 6428963 | 4620834 | 17836382 | 7275456 | 40729000 |
Red Cat Holdings, Inc. (RCAT) operates as a multifaceted provider within the drone industry, offering a comprehensive suite of products, services, and innovative solutions. The company develops and supplies unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) technology tailored for both commercial and government sectors, addressing critical applications such as reconnaissance, public safety, and detailed inspection. Its product portfolio…
Fair value
RCAT fair value $2.30. Price $4.91. Price is 113% above fair value.
Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.
Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 3.52M. Growth 20.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 11.75% (beta 1.4). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 152.71M. Net debt -149.43M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.
Model uncertainty high for this stock
Earnings
| Date | EPS actual | EPS estimate | Revenue | Revenue estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | -0.26 | -0.20 | 20.19M | 22.65M |
| 2026-05-07 | -0.22 | -0.14 | 15.47M | 22.58M |
| 2026-03-30 | -0.22 | -0.16 | 1.63M | 50.99M |
| 2026-03-18 | -0.17 | -0.14 | 9.65M | 23.66M |
| 2025-11-13 | -0.16 | -0.07 | 3.22M | 7.72M |
| 2025-08-14 | -0.15 | -0.10 | 1.63M | 7.72M |
| 2025-05-14 | -0.27 | -0.10 | 1.63M | 2.40M |
| 2025-03-31 | -0.09 | -0.09 | 7.49M | 7.49M |
| 2024-12-16 | -0.18 | -0.08 | 1.53M | 4.13M |
| 2024-09-23 | -0.17 | -0.05 | 6.65M | 3.85M |
| 2024-08-08 | -0.09 | -0.05 | 6.65M | 6.64M |
| 2024-03-18 | -0.08 | -0.04 | 5.85M | 5.80M |
| 2023-12-15 | -0.09 | -0.07 | 3.93M | 3.00M |
| 2023-09-19 | -0.11 | -0.11 | 1.75M | 3.90M |
| 2023-07-27 | -0.21 | -0.06 | 2.21M | 4.20M |
| 2023-03-07 | -0.10 | -0.09 | 3.11M | 2.65M |
| 2022-12-15 | -0.12 | -0.04 | 1.53M | 3.60M |
| 2022-09-12 | -0.07 | -0.03 | 3.07M | 2.65M |
| 2022-07-27 | -0.09 | -0.10 | 1.31M | 3.40M |
| 2022-03-17 | -0.05 | 0.01 | 1.86M | 5.94M |
| 2021-12-20 | -0.03 | -0.02 | 1.86M | 1.80M |
| 2021-09-20 | -0.04 | — | 1.40M | — |
| 2021-08-12 | -0.11 | -0.01 | 1.88M | 1.80M |
| 2021-04-30 | -0.34 | — | 2.15M | — |
| 2020-12-21 | -0.04 | — | 427.81K | — |
| 2020-09-21 | -0.02 | — | 548.28K | — |
| 2020-08-13 | -0.04 | — | 369.40K | — |
| 2020-03-23 | -0.02 | — | 34.54K | — |
| 2019-12-23 | -0.01 | — | — | — |
| 2019-09-23 | -0.89 | — | — | — |
| 2019-05-15 | -1.47 | — | 4.81K | — |
| 2019-04-01 | -6.13 | — | 37.83K | — |
| 2018-11-19 | -2.62 | — | 58.38K | — |
| 2018-08-14 | -2.85 | — | 8.92K | — |
| 2018-05-21 | -4.75 | — | 58.38K | — |
| 2017-12-31 | -4.53 | — | 105 | — |
| 2017-11-15 | -8.34 | — | 340 | — |
| 2017-08-21 | 11.90 | — | 488 | — |
| 2017-05-15 | 36.01 | — | 488 | — |
| 2017-04-07 | -1.00 | — | 189.48K | — |
Dividends
Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency —.
Safety score 37/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. No dividend history was found. There is no dividend yield.
| Ex-date | Dividend | Record | Payment | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No data yet. | ||||
Insider trades
| Date | Insider | Action | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | Thompson Jeffrey M | Sell | 150.00K | $4.51 | 676.50K |
| 2026-10-02 | Funk Paul II | Buy | 868 | — | — |
| 2026-10-02 | Funk Paul II | Sell | 868 | — | — |
| 2026-09-15 | Thompson Jeffrey M | Sell | 750.00K | $9.14 | 6.86M |
| 2026-09-15 | Thompson Jeffrey M | Sell | 150.00K | $7.74 | 1.16M |
| 2026-09-15 | Thompson Jeffrey M | Sell | 750.00K | — | — |
| 2026-08-28 | Liuzza Nicholas Reyland JR | Sell | 65.00K | $8.50 | 552.50K |
| 2026-08-17 | Thompson Jeffrey M | Sell | 150.00K | $10.45 | 1.57M |
| 2026-08-11 | Moe Christopher R. | Sell | 20.00K | $10.51 | 210.20K |
| 2026-08-11 | Liuzza Nicholas Reyland JR | Sell | 55.00K | $10.63 | 584.65K |
| 2026-07-15 | Thompson Jeffrey M | Sell | 150.00K | $8.51 | 1.28M |
| 2026-06-11 | Funk Paul II | Sell | 165.03K | $11.50 | 1.90M |
| 2026-04-30 | Funk Paul II | Buy | 7.43K | — | — |
| 2026-04-30 | Funk Paul II | Sell | 7.43K | — | — |
| 2026-04-30 | Liuzza Nicholas Reyland JR | Buy | 7.43K | — | — |
| 2026-04-30 | Liuzza Nicholas Reyland JR | Sell | 7.43K | — | — |
| 2026-04-30 | Freedman Joseph David | Buy | 7.43K | — | — |
| 2026-04-30 | Freedman Joseph David | Sell | 7.43K | — | — |
| 2026-04-30 | Moe Christopher R. | Buy | 7.43K | — | — |
| 2026-04-30 | Moe Christopher R. | Sell | 7.43K | — | — |
| 2026-04-06 | Thompson Jeffrey M | Buy | 5.29K | — | — |
| 2026-04-06 | Thompson Jeffrey M | Sell | 1.57K | $13.06 | 20.50K |
| 2026-04-06 | Thompson Jeffrey M | Buy | 1.04M | $13.06 | 13.58M |
| 2026-04-06 | Thompson Jeffrey M | Buy | 21.18K | — | — |
| 2026-04-06 | Thompson Jeffrey M | Sell | 5.29K | — | — |
| 2026-03-31 | Hitchcock Geoffrey Wayne | Buy | 2.17K | — | — |
| 2026-03-31 | Hitchcock Geoffrey Wayne | Sell | 645 | $13.09 | 8.44K |
| 2026-03-31 | Hitchcock Geoffrey Wayne | Buy | 8.70K | — | — |
| 2026-03-31 | Hitchcock Geoffrey Wayne | Sell | 2.17K | — | — |
| 2026-03-31 | Morrison Christian Spenst | Buy | 1.69K | — | — |
| 2026-03-31 | Morrison Christian Spenst | Sell | 422 | — | — |
| 2026-03-31 | Morrison Christian Spenst | Buy | 422 | — | — |
| 2026-03-31 | Morrison Christian Spenst | Sell | 145 | $13.09 | 1.90K |
| 2026-03-31 | Ericson Christian | Buy | 4.07K | — | — |
| 2026-03-31 | Ericson Christian | Sell | 1.18K | $13.09 | 15.39K |
| 2026-03-31 | Ericson Christian | Buy | 16.29K | — | — |
| 2026-03-31 | Ericson Christian | Sell | 4.07K | — | — |
| 2026-03-17 | Ericson Christian | Buy | 12.50K | — | — |
| 2026-03-17 | Ericson Christian | Sell | 3.61K | $15.54 | 56.05K |
| 2026-03-17 | Ericson Christian | Sell | 12.50K | — | — |
| 2026-03-11 | Ericson Christian | Buy | 25.00K | — | — |
| 2026-03-11 | Ericson Christian | Sell | 25.00K | — | — |
| 2026-03-11 | Ericson Christian | Sell | 7.87K | $14.67 | 115.45K |
| 2026-01-14 | Thompson Jeffrey M | Buy | 1.50M | — | — |
| 2025-12-31 | Evans Allan Thomas | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-12-29 | Thompson Jeffrey M | Sell | 4.75K | — | — |
| 2025-12-29 | Thompson Jeffrey M | Sell | 4.75K | — | — |
| 2025-12-29 | Thompson Jeffrey M | Buy | 4.75K | — | — |
| 2025-12-02 | Morrison Christian Spenst | Buy | 30.15K | — | — |
| 2025-12-02 | Morrison Christian Spenst | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-12-02 | Ericson Christian | Buy | 25.00K | — | — |
| 2025-10-02 | Funk Paul II | Buy | 868 | — | — |
| 2025-10-01 | Hitchcock Geoffrey Wayne | Buy | 262.50K | — | — |
| 2025-10-01 | Hitchcock Geoffrey Wayne | Sell | 262.50K | — | — |
| 2025-10-01 | Hitchcock Geoffrey Wayne | Sell | 89.84K | $10.47 | 940.60K |
| 2025-09-29 | Moe Christopher R. | Sell | 10.00K | $10.91 | 109.10K |
| 2025-09-15 | Thompson Jeffrey M | Buy | 750.00K | — | — |
| 2025-09-12 | Moe Christopher R. | Sell | 10.00K | $10.96 | 109.60K |
| 2025-09-11 | Moe Christopher R. | Sell | 20.00K | $9.77 | 195.40K |
| 2025-09-11 | Moe Christopher R. | Sell | 10.00K | $10.79 | 107.90K |
| 2025-09-08 | Moe Christopher R. | Sell | 10.00K | $8.90 | 89.00K |
| 2025-08-25 | Moe Christopher R. | Sell | 10.00K | $10.04 | 100.40K |
| 2025-08-21 | Moe Christopher R. | Sell | 16.83K | $9.58 | 161.26K |
| 2025-08-20 | Moe Christopher R. | Sell | 10.00K | $8.93 | 89.30K |
| 2025-07-18 | Thompson Jeffrey M | Buy | 416.67K | $1.06 | 441.67K |
| 2025-07-18 | Thompson Jeffrey M | Buy | 25.32K | $3.95 | 100.00K |
| 2025-07-18 | Thompson Jeffrey M | Sell | 8.55K | $11.70 | 100.00K |
| 2025-07-18 | Thompson Jeffrey M | Sell | 37.75K | $11.70 | 441.68K |
| 2025-07-18 | Thompson Jeffrey M | Sell | 416.67K | $1.06 | 441.67K |
| 2025-07-18 | Thompson Jeffrey M | Sell | 25.32K | $3.95 | 100.00K |
| 2025-06-30 | Freedman Joseph David | Buy | 150.00K | $2.51 | 376.50K |
| 2025-06-30 | Freedman Joseph David | Sell | 150.00K | $7.37 | 1.11M |
| 2025-06-30 | Freedman Joseph David | Sell | 150.00K | $2.51 | 376.50K |
| 2025-06-10 | Liuzza Nicholas Reyland JR | Sell | 100.00K | $8.58 | 858.00K |
| 2025-06-09 | Liuzza Nicholas Reyland JR | Buy | 100.00K | $1.50 | 150.00K |
| 2025-06-09 | Liuzza Nicholas Reyland JR | Sell | 100.00K | $1.50 | 150.00K |
| 2025-05-22 | Thompson Jeffrey M | Buy | 1.00M | $6.73 | 6.73M |
| 2025-05-22 | Moe Christopher R. | Buy | 7.43K | — | — |
| 2025-05-22 | Liuzza Nicholas Reyland JR | Buy | 7.43K | — | — |
| 2025-05-22 | Funk Paul II | Buy | 7.43K | — | — |
| 2025-05-22 | Freedman Joseph David | Buy | 7.43K | — | — |
| 2025-05-21 | Liuzza Nicholas Reyland JR | Sell | 100.31K | $6.70 | 671.77K |
| 2025-05-20 | Liuzza Nicholas Reyland JR | Buy | 100.00K | $1.50 | 150.00K |
| 2025-05-20 | Liuzza Nicholas Reyland JR | Sell | 100.00K | $1.50 | 150.00K |
| 2025-03-31 | Ericson Christian | Other | 50.00K | — | — |
| 2025-01-03 | Lunger Leah | Buy | 7.08K | $1.27 | 9.00K |
| 2025-01-03 | Lunger Leah | Sell | 677 | $13.30 | 9.00K |
| 2025-01-03 | Lunger Leah | Sell | 7.08K | $1.27 | 9.00K |
| 2024-12-30 | Freedman Joseph David | Sell | 15.00K | $14.24 | 213.60K |
| 2024-12-30 | Liuzza Nicholas Reyland JR | Sell | 80.00K | $13.46 | 1.08M |
| 2024-12-27 | Freedman Joseph David | Sell | 10.00K | $12.25 | 122.50K |
| 2024-12-26 | Freedman Joseph David | Sell | 25.00K | $13.61 | 340.25K |
| 2024-12-26 | Matus George Michael | Sell | 219.37K | $14.10 | 3.09M |
| 2024-12-26 | Matus George Michael | Sell | 90.12K | $14.67 | 1.32M |
| 2024-12-26 | Liuzza Nicholas Reyland JR | Sell | 20.00K | $13.92 | 278.40K |
| 2024-12-26 | Thompson Jeffrey M | Sell | 28.76K | $13.97 | 401.72K |
| 2024-12-24 | Matus George Michael | Sell | 72.09K | $12.10 | 872.33K |
| 2024-12-24 | Thompson Jeffrey M | Sell | 78.69K | $11.22 | 883.22K |
| 2024-12-23 | Liuzza Nicholas Reyland JR | Sell | 200.00K | $10.80 | 2.16M |
| 2024-12-23 | Thompson Jeffrey M | Sell | 392.55K | $11.34 | 4.45M |
Institutional holders
Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.
Institutions holding: 317, holders +21 vs prior quarter. Ownership 61.54%.
| Holder | Shares | Change | Change % | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| STATE STREET CORP | 12.09M | 4.93M | +68.81% | 128.77M |
| BLACKROCK, INC. | 11.23M | -446.00K | -3.82% | 119.61M |
| HOOD RIVER CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 10.58M | 7.55M | +248.77% | 112.66M |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 5.86M | 1.33M | +29.31% | 62.42M |
| SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP | 4.34M | 4.05M | +1397.80% | 46.21M |
| CITADEL ADVISORS LLC | 3.44M | 3.28M | +1970.88% | 36.65M |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 3.13M | 535.72K | +20.63% | 33.37M |
| VAN ECK ASSOCIATES CORP | 2.55M | 2.55M | New | 27.19M |
| MORGAN STANLEY | 2.39M | 582.11K | +32.28% | 25.41M |
| JANE STREET GROUP, LLC | 1.94M | 926.30K | +91.23% | 20.68M |
| SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP | 1.84M | 1.55M | +535.97% | 19.62M |
| JANE STREET GROUP, LLC | 1.64M | 623.10K | +61.36% | 17.45M |
| MIRAE ASSET GLOBAL ETFS HOLDINGS LTD. | 1.59M | 83.82K | +5.56% | 16.95M |
| UBS GROUP AG | 1.47M | -36.57K | -2.43% | 15.64M |
| CITADEL ADVISORS LLC | 1.46M | 1.29M | +776.48% | 15.51M |
| CITADEL ADVISORS LLC | 1.25M | 1.09M | +652.89% | 13.33M |
| CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC | 1.05M | 189.20K | +21.94% | 11.20M |
| SIXTH STREET PARTNERS MANAGEMENT COMPANY, L.P. | 1.05M | 1.05M | New | 11.20M |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | 1.04M | 173.97K | +20.00% | 11.11M |
| DORSAL CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LP | 1.00M | 1.00M | New | 10.65M |
| NORTHERN TRUST CORP | 977.62K | 148.66K | +17.93% | 10.41M |
| VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST CO | 925.97K | 194.51K | +26.59% | 9.86M |
| AWM INVESTMENT COMPANY, INC. | 874.46K | 500.00K | +133.53% | 9.31M |
| BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/ | 864.91K | 661.54K | +325.30% | 9.21M |
| FIRST TRUST ADVISORS LP | 813.67K | 813.67K | New | 8.67M |
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