Rio Tinto Group (RIO) Stock Insights
RIO$85.93+0.19 +0.22%
$139.76B
Market Cap
11.21
P/E
10.45
Forward P/E
55
Score
Rio Tinto Group (RIO) Stock Insights
RIO price $85.93 +0.19 +0.22%
- Ticker
- RIO
- Price
- $85.93
- Change
- +0.19 +0.22%
- Market cap ?
- $139.76B
- P/E ?
- 11.21
- Forward P/E ?
- 10.45
- Dividend yield ?
- 5.58%
- Sector
- Basic Materials
- Industry
- Industrial Materials
- Stocklytics score
- 55
- Value
- 64
- Quality
- 55
- Growth
- 47
Stocklytics score rationale: value 64, quality 55, growth 47.
Financials
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33781000000 | 40030000000 | 40522000000 | 43165000000 | 44611000000 | 63495000000 | 55554000000 | 54041000000 | 53658000000 | 57772693000 |
Rio Tinto Group engages in exploring, mining, and processing mineral resources worldwide. The company operates through Iron Ore; Aluminium and lithium; and Copper segments. The Iron Ore segment engages in the iron ore mining, and salt and gypsum production in Western Australia. The Aluminum and lithium segment is involved in bauxite mining; alumina refining; and aluminium smelting, and recycling, as well as mining…
Fair value
RIO fair value $149.64. Price $85.93. Price is 43% below fair value.
Below fair value, but more expensive than usual. A smaller discount than on 91% of days in the past 5 years.
Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.
Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 10.97B. Growth 0.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 8.70% (beta 0.8). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 1.63B. Net debt 14.64B. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.
Earnings
| Date | EPS actual | EPS estimate | Revenue | Revenue estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-02-24 | — | 3.80 | — | 31.91B |
| 2026-07-28 | 4.21 | 4.09 | 31.03B | 31.62B |
| 2026-02-19 | 3.73 | 3.71 | 30.77B | 30.19B |
| 2025-07-29 | 2.23 | 2.35 | 19.72B | 19.78B |
| 2025-02-19 | 2.49 | 2.56 | 21.46B | 21.64B |
| 2024-07-31 | 2.76 | 2.73 | 21.17B | 21.11B |
| 2024-02-21 | 2.92 | 2.96 | 21.50B | 21.90B |
| 2023-07-26 | 3.53 | 3.59 | 26.67B | 26.54B |
| 2023-02-22 | 2.85 | 2.97 | 25.67B | 24.84B |
| 2022-07-27 | 4.38 | 4.11 | 24.46B | 24.00B |
| 2022-02-23 | 5.69 | 5.84 | 30.41B | 30.03B |
| 2021-07-28 | 7.52 | 7.48 | 33.08B | 33.28B |
| 2021-02-17 | 4.76 | 4.56 | 25.25B | 25.31B |
| 2020-07-29 | 2.94 | 2.42 | 19.36B | 19.29B |
| 2020-02-26 | 3.35 | 3.27 | 23.56B | 22.90B |
| 2019-06-30 | 1.95 | — | 16.35B | — |
| 2018-12-31 | 4.03 | — | 15.34B | — |
| 2018-06-30 | 1.90 | — | 15.16B | — |
| 2017-12-31 | 2.30 | — | 15.61B | — |
| 2017-06-30 | 1.41 | — | 14.92B | — |
| 2016-12-31 | 1.31 | — | 14.89B | — |
| 2016-06-30 | 0.71 | — | 11.63B | — |
| 2015-12-31 | -0.62 | — | 11.40B | — |
| 2015-06-30 | 0.28 | — | 11.51B | — |
| 2014-12-31 | 0.71 | — | 14.53B | — |
| 2014-06-30 | 1.38 | — | 14.18B | — |
| 2013-12-31 | 0.64 | — | 16.40B | — |
| 2013-06-30 | 0.61 | — | 16.03B | — |
| 2012-12-31 | -0.52 | — | 16.30B | — |
| 2012-06-30 | -0.52 | — | 16.33B | — |
| 2011-12-31 | 0.97 | — | 19.52B | — |
| 2011-06-30 | 0.94 | — | 18.85B | — |
| 2010-12-31 | 2.35 | — | 18.28B | — |
| 2010-06-30 | 2.40 | — | 18.70B | — |
| 2009-12-31 | 0.86 | — | 13.50B | — |
| 2009-06-30 | 0.84 | — | 13.26B | — |
| 2008-12-31 | 0.63 | — | 15.58B | — |
| 2008-06-30 | 0.56 | — | 13.66B | — |
| 2007-12-31 | 1.12 | — | 7.61B | — |
| 2007-06-30 | 1.09 | — | 7.40B | — |
Dividends
Yield 5.41%. Payout ratio 53.40%. Frequency Semi-Annual.
Safety score 88/100 · Safe. Payout ratio is 53% of earnings. Dividends use a moderate share of free cash flow. Dividends were paid in 37 separate years. Yield is 5.4%, in a range that is usually sustainable.
| Ex-date | Dividend | Record | Payment | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | $2.11 | 2026-08-14 | 2026-09-24 | Semi-Annual |
| 2026-03-06 | $2.54 | 2026-03-06 | 2026-04-16 | Semi-Annual |
| 2025-08-15 | $1.48 | 2025-08-15 | 2025-09-25 | Semi-Annual |
| 2025-03-07 | $2.25 | 2025-03-07 | 2025-04-17 | Semi-Annual |
| 2024-08-16 | $1.77 | 2024-08-16 | 2024-09-26 | Semi-Annual |
| 2024-03-07 | $2.58 | 2024-03-08 | 2024-04-18 | Semi-Annual |
| 2023-08-10 | $1.76 | 2023-08-11 | 2023-09-21 | Semi-Annual |
| 2023-03-09 | $2.25 | 2023-03-10 | 2023-04-20 | Semi-Annual |
| 2022-08-11 | $2.67 | 2022-08-12 | 2022-09-22 | Semi-Annual |
| 2022-03-10 | $4.79 | 2022-03-11 | 2022-04-21 | Special |
| 2021-08-12 | $5.61 | 2021-08-13 | 2021-09-23 | Special |
| 2021-03-04 | $4.02 | 2021-03-05 | 2021-04-15 | Special |
| 2020-08-06 | $1.55 | 2020-08-07 | 2020-09-17 | Semi-Annual |
| 2020-03-06 | $2.31 | 2020-03-09 | 2020-04-16 | Semi-Annual |
| 2019-08-08 | $2.12 | 2019-08-09 | 2019-09-19 | Semi-Annual |
| 2019-03-07 | $4.23 | 2019-03-08 | 2019-04-18 | Semi-Annual |
| 2018-08-09 | $1.27 | 2018-08-10 | 2018-09-20 | Semi-Annual |
| 2018-03-01 | $1.79 | 2018-03-02 | 2018-04-12 | Semi-Annual |
| 2017-08-09 | $1.11 | 2017-08-11 | 2017-09-21 | Semi-Annual |
| 2017-02-22 | $1.26 | 2017-02-24 | 2017-04-06 | Semi-Annual |
| 2016-08-10 | $0.45 | 2016-08-12 | 2016-09-22 | Semi-Annual |
| 2016-02-24 | $1.07 | 2016-02-26 | 2016-04-07 | Semi-Annual |
| 2015-08-12 | $1.07 | — | 2015-09-10 | Semi-Annual |
| 2015-03-04 | $1.20 | 2015-03-06 | 2015-04-09 | Semi-Annual |
| 2014-08-13 | $0.96 | 2014-08-15 | 2014-09-11 | Semi-Annual |
| 2014-03-05 | $1.10 | 2014-03-07 | 2014-04-10 | Semi-Annual |
| 2013-08-14 | $0.84 | — | 2013-09-12 | Semi-Annual |
| 2013-03-06 | $0.93 | 2013-03-08 | 2013-04-11 | Semi-Annual |
| 2012-08-15 | $0.73 | — | 2012-09-13 | Semi-Annual |
| 2012-02-29 | $0.91 | — | 2012-04-12 | Semi-Annual |
| 2011-08-10 | $0.54 | — | 2011-09-09 | Semi-Annual |
| 2011-03-02 | $0.63 | — | 2011-03-31 | Semi-Annual |
| 2010-08-11 | $0.45 | — | 2010-09-10 | Semi-Annual |
| 2010-02-24 | $0.45 | — | — | Semi-Annual |
| 2009-07-08 | $5.71 | — | — | Semi-Annual |
| 2009-02-18 | $0.68 | — | — | Semi-Annual |
| 2008-09-03 | $0.68 | — | — | Semi-Annual |
| 2008-02-20 | $0.84 | — | — | Semi-Annual |
| 2007-08-08 | $0.52 | — | — | Semi-Annual |
| 2007-03-07 | $0.64 | — | — | Semi-Annual |
| 2006-08-09 | $1.60 | — | — | Semi-Annual |
| 2006-02-22 | $1.51 | — | — | Semi-Annual |
| 2005-08-10 | $0.39 | — | — | Semi-Annual |
| 2005-02-23 | $0.45 | — | — | Semi-Annual |
| 2004-08-11 | $0.32 | — | — | Semi-Annual |
| 2004-03-10 | $0.34 | — | — | Semi-Annual |
| 2003-08-13 | $0.45 | — | — | Semi-Annual |
| 2003-03-05 | $0.34 | — | — | Semi-Annual |
| 2002-08-14 | $0.33 | — | — | Semi-Annual |
| 2002-03-06 | $0.31 | — | — | Semi-Annual |
| 2001-08-15 | $0.22 | — | — | Semi-Annual |
| 2001-03-07 | $0.43 | — | — | Semi-Annual |
| 2000-08-16 | $0.21 | — | — | Semi-Annual |
| 2000-03-08 | $0.43 | — | — | Semi-Annual |
| 1999-08-11 | $0.17 | — | — | Semi-Annual |
| 1999-03-11 | $0.26 | — | — | Semi-Annual |
| 1998-09-23 | $0.16 | — | — | Semi-Annual |
| 1998-03-18 | $0.35 | — | — | Semi-Annual |
| 1997-09-24 | $0.17 | — | — | Semi-Annual |
| 1997-03-19 | $0.37 | — | — | Semi-Annual |
| 1996-09-27 | $0.26 | — | — | Semi-Annual |
| 1996-02-23 | $0.22 | — | — | Special |
| 1995-10-20 | $0.23 | — | — | Semi-Annual |
| 1995-03-31 | $0.12 | — | — | Semi-Annual |
| 1994-10-06 | $0.13 | — | — | Semi-Annual |
| 1994-03-18 | $0.13 | — | — | Special |
| 1993-06-11 | $0.26 | — | — | Quarterly |
| 1993-03-19 | $0.26 | — | — | Semi-Annual |
| 1992-09-25 | $0.16 | — | — | Semi-Annual |
| 1992-03-27 | $0.31 | — | — | Semi-Annual |
| 1991-09-26 | $0.12 | — | — | Semi-Annual |
| 1991-04-05 | $0.27 | — | — | Semi-Annual |
| 1990-09-28 | $0.13 | — | — | Semi-Annual |
Insider trades
| Date | Insider | Action | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No data yet. | |||||
Institutional holders
Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.
Institutions holding: 1.02K, holders +21 vs prior quarter. Ownership 7.90%.
| Holder | Shares | Change | Change % | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FISHER ASSET MANAGEMENT, LLC | 20.68M | 540.00K | +2.68% | 1.96B |
| STATE FARM MUTUAL AUTOMOBILE INSURANCE CO | 10.93M | 0 | 0.00% | 1.04B |
| GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC | 9.49M | 676.55K | +7.68% | 900.94M |
| MORGAN STANLEY | 4.85M | -36.15K | -0.74% | 460.72M |
| MIRAE ASSET GLOBAL ETFS HOLDINGS LTD. | 4.07M | -162.90K | -3.84% | 386.83M |
| BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/ | 3.37M | -250.13K | -6.90% | 320.21M |
| QUBE RESEARCH & TECHNOLOGIES LTD | 2.80M | 418.68K | +17.61% | 265.42M |
| JPMORGAN CHASE & CO | 2.55M | 602.80K | +30.92% | 240.68M |
| BLACKROCK, INC. | 2.47M | 366.56K | +17.39% | 234.94M |
| NEUBERGER BERMAN GROUP LLC | 2.39M | -64.99K | -2.65% | 226.87M |
| FMR LLC | 2.32M | 136.19K | +6.25% | 219.89M |
| BANK OF MONTREAL /CAN/ | 2.18M | 122.63K | +5.96% | 206.85M |
| SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP | 2.09M | 180.70K | +9.46% | 198.49M |
| HARDING LOEVNER LP | 1.94M | -29.90K | -1.52% | 186.12M |
| BNP PARIBAS FINANCIAL MARKETS | 1.90M | 458.78K | +31.94% | 179.90M |
| NATIXIS ADVISORS, LLC | 1.88M | 126.84K | +7.25% | 178.07M |
| JONES FINANCIAL COMPANIES LLLP | 1.87M | 141.32K | +8.19% | 175.02M |
| NORTHERN TRUST CORP | 1.84M | 1.16K | +0.06% | 174.74M |
| GRANTHAM, MAYO, VAN OTTERLOO & CO. LLC | 1.84M | -165.70K | -8.27% | 174.59M |
| ARROWSTREET CAPITAL, LIMITED PARTNERSHIP | 1.72M | -2.00M | -53.78% | 162.81M |
| SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP | 1.69M | -216.40K | -11.33% | 160.79M |
| DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP | 1.55M | -136.70K | -8.12% | 146.77M |
| EARNEST PARTNERS LLC | 1.45M | 2.26K | +0.16% | 137.20M |
| ALTSHULER SHAHAM LTD | 1.34M | 200.00K | +17.48% | 127.59M |
| WELLS FARGO & COMPANY/MN | 1.22M | -81.84K | -6.28% | 115.85M |
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