Rambus (RMBS) Fair Value & DCF
Score
RMBS fair value $103.28. Price $86.57. Price is 16% below fair value.
Worked example
Cash-flow value. Starting free cash flow is $2.92 a share. Year 1 is the first earnings forecast, so it has no growth rate of its own. The forecast then reaches 26.05%, and that pace fades in a straight line to 3% terminal growth by year 10. The discount rate is 12.00% (beta 1.93, capped at 12%). It is beta-adjusted and capped at 12%. The cash-flow value is $94.31 a share.
Earnings value. Next-twelve-months earnings per share of $3.74 times 30.00 is $112.24. The peer group is Semiconductors, 29 companies worth at least $10 billion. Peer median 41.3. Own 10-year median 42.9. The multiple used is the average of the two, kept between 8 and 30, which is 30.00.
Fair value is the average of the two, $103.28. The price is $86.57, which is 16.2% below fair value.