SAIA Stock Insights

SAIA price $323.59 -17.27 -5.07%

Ticker
SAIA
Price
$323.59
Change
-17.27 -5.07%
Market cap ?
$8.63B
P/E ?
32.81
Forward P/E ?
28.43
Dividend yield ?
0.00%
Beta ?
2.19
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Trucking
Stocklytics score
47
Value
47
Quality
43
Growth
52

Stocklytics score rationale: value 47, quality 43, growth 52.

Financials

2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
1250391000140470300016538490001786735000182236600022887040002792057000288143300032090740003234286000

Saia, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a transportation company in North America. The company provides less-than-truckload services for shipments between 100 and 10,000 pounds. It also offers other value-added services, including brokered truckload, expedited transportation, and other logistics services. The company was formerly known as SCS Transportation, Inc. and changed its name to Saia, Inc. in…

Fair value

SAIA fair value $266.28. Price $323.59. Price is 22% above fair value.

Above fair value, around its usual premium.

Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.

Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 346.40M. Growth 20.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 12.00% (beta 2.0). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 26.67M. Net debt 398.39M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.

Free cash flow adds back growth capex above depreciation.

Compare SAIA

Earnings

DateEPS actualEPS estimateRevenueRevenue estimate
2026-10-29—3.30—966.98M
2026-07-303.513.38956.49M956.20M
2026-04-301.861.82806.23M789.08M
2026-02-101.771.90789.95M773.82M
2025-10-302.812.52839.64M826.19M
2025-07-252.672.39817.12M819.76M
2025-04-251.862.77787.58M833.00M
2025-02-032.842.87788.95M780.35M
2024-10-253.463.53842.10M839.82M
2024-07-263.834.00823.24M826.55M
2024-04-263.383.44754.77M772.36M
2024-02-023.333.20751.13M744.99M
2023-10-273.673.62775.14M745.98M
2023-07-283.423.27694.62M702.61M
2023-04-282.852.69660.53M667.16M
2023-02-032.652.83655.73M655.38M
2022-10-313.673.70729.56M722.64M
2022-07-274.103.55745.55M729.28M
2022-05-022.982.71661.22M631.89M
2022-02-022.762.57617.08M600.77M
2021-10-282.982.35616.22M574.03M
2021-07-292.342.04571.33M552.21M
2021-04-281.401.38484.07M482.46M
2021-02-081.511.30476.48M399.51M
2020-10-291.561.31481.37M404.23M
2020-07-291.070.90418.11M351.68M
2020-04-291.060.82446.40M345.33M
2020-02-030.810.85443.06M464.94M
2019-10-301.251.29468.89M483.90M
2019-07-311.401.33464.19M440.99M
2019-05-010.850.89410.58M429.91M
2019-02-040.970.88406.75M369.01M
2018-10-311.071.04425.56M413.67M
2018-08-011.151.11428.73M413.79M
2018-04-270.770.72392.81M353.52M
2018-02-020.530.53353.25M360.20M
2017-10-270.550.55357.01M357.00M
2017-07-280.680.63364.40M337.61M
2017-04-280.440.41323.09M301.07M
2017-02-030.400.42300.22M348.70M

Dividends

Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency —.

Safety score 37/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. No dividend history was found. There is no dividend yield.

Ex-dateDividendRecordPaymentFrequency
No data yet.

Insider trades

DateInsiderActionSharesPriceValue
2026-05-20Norwood Anthony RSell292$468.77136.88K
2026-05-13HOLZGREFE FREDERICK J IIIBuy10.00K$431.424.31M
2026-05-13HOLZGREFE FREDERICK J IIISell10.00K$431.424.31M
2026-05-11HOLZGREFE FREDERICK J IIISell10.00K——
2026-05-11HOLZGREFE FREDERICK J IIIBuy10.00K——
2026-05-04WARD JEFFREY CBuy642——
2026-05-04Melville Randolph WBuy395——
2026-05-04HENRY KEVIN ABuy623——
2026-05-04GAINOR JOHN P JRBuy395——
2026-05-04EPPS DONNA EBuy395——
2026-05-04Ward Susan FBuy395——
2026-05-04ODELL RICHARD DBuy395——
2026-05-04James Donald RBuy395——
2026-05-04EISNOR DI-ANNBuy660——
2026-03-09SUGAR PATRICK DSell204$368.7875.23K
2026-02-17EISNOR DI-ANNSell500$389.88194.94K
2026-02-13HOLZGREFE FREDERICK J IIISell4.78K$388.801.86M
2026-02-13HOLZGREFE FREDERICK J IIIBuy105——
2026-02-13Batteh Matthew JSell766$388.94297.93K
2026-02-13Batteh Matthew JSell150$389.5058.43K
2026-02-13Benton Kelly WSell800$389.00311.20K
2026-02-13SUGAR PATRICK DSell2.71K$386.741.05M
2026-02-13RAMU RAYMOND RSell3.71K$387.731.44M
2026-02-13RAMU RAYMOND RSell1.52K$388.48589.32K
2026-02-12HOLZGREFE FREDERICK J IIIBuy6.59K——
2026-02-12Batteh Matthew JBuy1.11K$100.20111.22K
2026-02-12Batteh Matthew JBuy1.66K——
2026-02-12Batteh Matthew JSell1.11K$375.71417.04K
2026-02-12Batteh Matthew JSell1.11K$100.20111.22K
2026-02-12Patel TarakBuy425——
2026-02-12Benton Kelly WBuy498——
2026-02-12SUGAR PATRICK DBuy2.08K——
2026-02-12Norwood Anthony RBuy1.01K——
2026-02-12RAMU RAYMOND RBuy2.30K——
2026-02-09SUGAR PATRICK DBuy3.10K——
2026-02-09SUGAR PATRICK DSell167$409.6068.40K
2026-02-09SUGAR PATRICK DSell1.23K$409.60505.04K
2026-02-09RAMU RAYMOND RBuy3.60K——
2026-02-09RAMU RAYMOND RSell1.49K$409.60609.89K
2026-02-09RAMU RAYMOND RSell194$409.6079.46K
2026-02-09Norwood Anthony RBuy898——
2026-02-09Norwood Anthony RSell49$409.6020.07K
2026-02-09Norwood Anthony RSell256$409.60104.86K
2026-02-09Benton Kelly WBuy689——
2026-02-09Benton Kelly WSell44$409.6018.02K
2026-02-09Benton Kelly WSell204$409.6083.56K
2026-02-09Batteh Matthew JBuy757——
2026-02-09Batteh Matthew JSell224$409.6091.75K
2026-02-09Batteh Matthew JSell41$409.6016.79K
2026-02-09HOLZGREFE FREDERICK J IIIBuy8.61K——
2026-02-09HOLZGREFE FREDERICK J IIISell698$409.60285.90K
2026-02-09HOLZGREFE FREDERICK J IIISell3.84K$409.601.57M
2026-02-06SUGAR PATRICK DSell95$415.4639.47K
2026-02-06RAMU RAYMOND RSell111$415.4646.12K
2026-02-06Norwood Anthony RSell36$415.4614.96K
2026-02-06Benton Kelly WSell35$415.4614.54K
2026-02-06Batteh Matthew JSell25$415.4610.39K
2026-02-06HOLZGREFE FREDERICK J IIISell358$415.46148.73K
2026-02-05RAMU RAYMOND RSell152$404.7561.52K
2026-02-05HOLZGREFE FREDERICK J IIISell440$404.75178.09K
2026-02-05Batteh Matthew JSell91$404.7536.83K
2026-02-05SUGAR PATRICK DSell137$404.7555.45K
2026-02-05Benton Kelly WSell38$404.7515.38K
2026-02-05Norwood Anthony RSell61$404.7524.69K
2025-12-08EISNOR DI-ANNSell297$336.73100.01K
2025-12-02Benton Kelly WSell1.00K$314.43314.43K
2025-11-26EPPS DONNA EBuy422$277.60117.15K
2025-11-26EPPS DONNA ESell422$277.43117.08K
2025-11-18RAMU RAYMOND RBuy434——
2025-11-18RAMU RAYMOND RSell1.00K$266.57266.57K
2025-11-03Patel TarakBuy1.41K——
2025-11-02Norwood Anthony RSell155$292.5045.34K
2025-11-02Benton Kelly WSell196$292.5057.33K
2025-10-22Patel TarakOther0——
2025-06-16SUGAR PATRICK DBuy799——
2025-05-01Melville Randolph WBuy318——
2025-05-01ODELL RICHARD DBuy318——
2025-05-01WARD JEFFREY CBuy734——
2025-05-01Ward Susan FBuy318——
2025-05-01James Donald RBuy318——
2025-05-01HENRY KEVIN ABuy703——
2025-05-01GAINOR JOHN P JRBuy693——
2025-05-01EPPS DONNA EBuy318——
2025-05-01EISNOR DI-ANNBuy766——
2025-03-10SUGAR PATRICK DSell103$366.6037.76K
2025-03-03Norwood Anthony RBuy888——
2025-03-03Norwood Anthony RSell64$390.3424.98K
2025-03-03Norwood Anthony RSell255$390.3499.54K
2025-02-24RAMU RAYMOND RBuy700$200.81140.57K
2025-02-24RAMU RAYMOND RBuy1.28K$277.86355.66K
2025-02-24RAMU RAYMOND RSell700$415.80291.06K
2025-02-24RAMU RAYMOND RSell1.28K$415.80532.23K
2025-02-24RAMU RAYMOND RSell1.28K$277.86355.66K
2025-02-24RAMU RAYMOND RSell700$200.81140.57K
2025-02-18Batteh Matthew JSell700$500.09350.06K
2025-02-18Benton Kelly WBuy460$277.86127.82K
2025-02-18Benton Kelly WSell460$500.00230.00K
2025-02-18Benton Kelly WSell460$277.86127.82K
2025-02-11EPPS DONNA ESell350$496.24173.68K
2025-02-11HOLZGREFE FREDERICK J IIIBuy447——

Institutional holders

Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.

Institutions holding: 533, holders +65 vs prior quarter. Ownership 106.77%.

HolderSharesChangeChange %Value
BLACKROCK, INC.2.55M156.63K+6.56%1.07B
PRICE T ROWE ASSOCIATES INC /MD/2.14M-183.65K-7.91%900.03M
ALLIANCEBERNSTEIN L.P.2.23M-272.51K-10.90%782.24M
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC1.20M8.17K+0.68%507.02M
VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC1.11M8.85K+0.81%465.83M
FIRST TRUST ADVISORS LP1.02M219.05K+27.24%430.99M
STATE STREET CORP854.40K28.40K+3.44%359.86M
KAYNE ANDERSON RUDNICK INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LLC813.96K-172.86K-17.52%342.81M
INVESCO LTD.802.61K112.89K+16.37%338.03M
MORGAN STANLEY669.14K-138.59K-17.16%281.82M
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC518.24K4.85K+0.95%218.32M
CAPITAL WORLD INVESTORS501.42K-53.93K-9.71%211.18M
CAPITAL RESEARCH GLOBAL INVESTORS490.91K328.27K+201.83%206.75M
VOYA INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LLC475.86K88.36K+22.80%199.98M
BESSEMER GROUP INC441.63K1.79K+0.41%186.00M
NORGES BANK412.61K412.61KNew173.77M
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP393.97K-61.01K-13.41%165.94M
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC357.23K178.84K+100.25%150.45M
T. ROWE PRICE INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, INC.350.14K-97.52K-21.78%147.47M
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO342.08K-148.32K-30.24%146.15M
WASATCH ADVISORS LP342.77K-366.11K-51.65%144.36M
JUPITER TOPCO LLC334.75K334.75KNew140.98M
QUBE RESEARCH & TECHNOLOGIES LTD326.95K275.00K+529.27%137.70M
SIXTH STREET PARTNERS MANAGEMENT COMPANY, L.P.294.85K294.85KNew124.18M
CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC294.85K6.00K+2.08%124.18M

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SAIA Stock Insights

SAIA$323.59-17.27 -5.07%

$8.63B

Market Cap

32.81

P/E

28.43

Forward P/E

47

Score

Price History