Star Bulk Carriers (SBLK) Stock Forecast & Price Target
SBLK$28.79-0.03 -0.10%
$3.22B
Market Cap
11.26
P/E
6.05
Forward P/E
62
Score
Star Bulk Carriers (SBLK) Stock Forecast & Price Target
SBLK price $28.79 -0.03 -0.10%
- Ticker
- SBLK
- Price
- $28.79
- Change
- -0.03 -0.10%
- Market cap ?
- $3.22B
- P/E ?
- 11.26
- Forward P/E ?
- 6.05
- Dividend yield ?
- 6.52%
- Beta ?
- 0.76
- Sector
- Industrials
- Industry
- Marine Shipping
- Stocklytics score
- 62
- Value
- 65
- Quality
- 58
- Growth
- 62
Stocklytics score rationale: value 65, quality 58, growth 62.
Financials
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 222106000 | 331976000 | 651561000 | 821365000 | 693241000 | 1427423000 | 1437156000 | 949269000 | 1265458000 | 1042499000 |
Star Bulk Carriers Corp., a shipping company, engages in the ocean transportation of dry bulk cargoes through the ownership and operation of dry bulk carrier vessels worldwide. Its vessels transport a range of bulk commodities, including iron ores, minerals and grains, bauxite, fertilizers, and steel products. As of December 31, 2025, the company owned a fleet of 136 dry bulk vessels consisting of Newcastlemax…
Fair value
SBLK fair value $72.69. Price $28.79. Price is 60% below fair value.
Below fair value, but more expensive than usual. A smaller discount than on 90% of days in the past 5 years.
Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.
Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 286.08M. Growth 0.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 8.70% (beta 0.8). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 111.98M. Net debt 728.97M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.
Model uncertainty high for this stock
Earnings
| Date | EPS actual | EPS estimate | Revenue | Revenue estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-18 | — | 1.34 | — | 322.99M |
| 2026-08-05 | 1.21 | 0.95 | 284.60M | 284.29M |
| 2026-05-20 | 0.56 | 0.47 | 214.12M | 225.93M |
| 2026-02-25 | 0.65 | 0.60 | 230.79M | 260.85M |
| 2025-11-18 | 0.28 | 0.33 | 202.32M | 230.32M |
| 2025-08-06 | 0.11 | 0.03 | 176.09M | 196.82M |
| 2025-05-14 | -0.07 | -0.23 | 159.28M | 173.26M |
| 2025-02-18 | 0.34 | 0.42 | 216.75M | 237.38M |
| 2024-11-19 | 0.71 | 0.70 | 256.94M | 284.75M |
| 2024-08-07 | 0.78 | 0.79 | 262.16M | 268.22M |
| 2024-05-22 | 0.87 | 0.79 | 195.66M | 204.31M |
| 2024-02-13 | 0.73 | 0.63 | 191.93M | 202.99M |
| 2023-11-13 | 0.34 | 0.29 | 162.50M | 163.14M |
| 2023-08-04 | 0.47 | 0.50 | 238.69M | 188.45M |
| 2023-05-17 | 0.36 | 0.28 | 156.10M | 168.90M |
| 2023-02-16 | 0.90 | 0.82 | 294.80M | 234.18M |
| 2022-11-16 | 1.33 | 1.42 | 266.72M | 286.14M |
| 2022-08-04 | 2.00 | 1.75 | 417.33M | 333.81M |
| 2022-05-24 | 1.72 | 1.47 | 304.90M | 288.49M |
| 2022-02-16 | 2.96 | 2.52 | 428.00M | 399.88M |
| 2021-11-16 | 2.19 | 2.16 | 415.69M | 368.00M |
| 2021-08-05 | 1.26 | 1.44 | 311.41M | 311.41M |
| 2021-05-19 | 0.36 | 0.42 | 200.47M | 233.10M |
| 2021-02-17 | 0.30 | 0.23 | 186.02M | 148.44M |
| 2020-11-16 | 0.28 | 0.30 | 200.22M | 200.22M |
| 2020-08-05 | -0.19 | -0.32 | 146.13M | 101.70M |
| 2020-05-26 | -0.23 | -0.04 | 160.86M | 27.98M |
| 2020-02-19 | 0.36 | 0.21 | 248.64M | 179.00M |
| 2019-11-20 | 0.18 | 0.24 | 248.44M | 827.27M |
| 2019-08-07 | -0.22 | -0.26 | 157.79M | 164.65M |
| 2019-05-22 | -0.09 | -0.07 | 166.49M | 599.36M |
| 2019-02-11 | 0.33 | 0.25 | 209.43M | 242.16M |
| 2018-11-20 | 0.35 | 0.37 | 188.47M | 295.26M |
| 2018-09-19 | 0.17 | 0.19 | 132.60M | 140.40M |
| 2018-08-07 | 0.17 | 0.18 | 121.06M | 140.40M |
| 2018-02-27 | 0.34 | 0.22 | 107.71M | 95.21M |
| 2017-11-19 | -0.08 | -0.10 | 80.80M | 33.67M |
| 2017-08-08 | -0.12 | -0.11 | 78.61M | 63.86M |
| 2017-05-24 | -0.26 | -0.22 | 64.87M | 62.27M |
| 2017-02-22 | -0.29 | -0.27 | 63.24M | 61.02M |
Dividends
Yield 6.53%. Payout ratio 40.24%. Frequency Quarterly.
Safety score 71/100 · Moderate. Payout ratio is 40% of earnings. Dividends use most of free cash flow. Dividends were paid in 13 separate years. Yield is 6.5%, which is on the high side.
| Ex-date | Dividend | Record | Payment | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | $0.90 | 2026-08-21 | 2026-09-03 | Quarterly |
| 2026-06-12 | $0.50 | 2026-06-12 | 2026-06-22 | Quarterly |
| 2026-03-09 | $0.37 | 2026-03-09 | 2026-03-19 | Quarterly |
| 2025-12-05 | $0.11 | 2025-12-05 | 2025-12-18 | Quarterly |
| 2025-08-28 | $0.05 | 2025-08-28 | 2025-09-10 | Quarterly |
| 2025-06-06 | $0.05 | 2025-06-06 | 2025-06-20 | Quarterly |
| 2025-03-04 | $0.09 | 2025-03-04 | 2025-03-18 | Quarterly |
| 2024-12-05 | $0.60 | 2024-12-05 | 2024-12-18 | Quarterly |
| 2024-08-27 | $0.70 | 2024-08-27 | 2024-09-06 | Quarterly |
| 2024-06-06 | $0.75 | 2024-06-06 | 2024-06-20 | Quarterly |
| 2024-03-11 | $0.45 | 2024-03-12 | 2024-03-28 | Quarterly |
| 2023-12-04 | $0.22 | 2023-12-05 | 2023-12-18 | Quarterly |
| 2023-08-21 | $0.40 | 2023-08-22 | 2023-09-07 | Quarterly |
| 2023-06-06 | $0.35 | 2023-06-07 | 2023-06-27 | Quarterly |
| 2023-02-27 | $0.60 | 2023-02-28 | 2023-03-14 | Quarterly |
| 2022-11-29 | $1.20 | 2022-11-30 | 2022-12-12 | Quarterly |
| 2022-08-24 | $1.65 | 2022-08-25 | 2022-09-08 | Quarterly |
| 2022-06-02 | $1.65 | 2022-06-03 | 2022-06-16 | Quarterly |
| 2022-03-01 | $2.00 | 2022-03-02 | 2022-03-15 | Quarterly |
| 2021-12-09 | $1.25 | 2021-12-10 | 2021-12-22 | Quarterly |
| 2021-08-20 | $0.70 | 2021-08-23 | 2021-09-08 | Quarterly |
| 2021-05-27 | $0.30 | 2021-05-31 | 2021-06-14 | Quarterly |
| 2020-02-28 | $0.05 | 2020-03-02 | 2020-03-12 | Quarterly |
| 2019-11-29 | $0.05 | 2019-12-02 | 2019-12-16 | Irregular |
| 2012-09-06 | $1.12 | 2012-09-10 | 2012-09-18 | Quarterly |
| 2012-06-11 | $1.12 | 2012-06-13 | 2012-06-20 | Quarterly |
| 2012-02-24 | $1.12 | 2012-02-28 | 2012-03-06 | Quarterly |
| 2011-11-25 | $3.75 | 2011-11-29 | 2011-12-06 | Quarterly |
| 2011-08-23 | $3.75 | 2011-08-25 | 2011-08-31 | Quarterly |
| 2011-05-19 | $3.75 | 2011-05-23 | 2011-06-01 | Quarterly |
| 2011-03-02 | $3.75 | 2011-03-04 | 2011-03-10 | Quarterly |
| 2010-11-26 | $3.75 | 2010-11-30 | 2010-12-06 | Quarterly |
| 2010-08-23 | $3.75 | 2010-08-25 | 2010-08-30 | Quarterly |
| 2010-05-26 | $3.75 | 2010-05-31 | 2010-06-04 | Quarterly |
| 2010-03-04 | $3.75 | 2010-03-08 | 2010-03-11 | Quarterly |
| 2009-11-24 | $3.75 | 2009-11-27 | 2009-12-04 | Monthly |
| 2009-07-02 | $3.75 | 2009-07-07 | 2009-07-14 | Semi-Annual |
| 2008-11-25 | $13.12 | 2008-11-28 | 2008-12-05 | Semi-Annual |
| 2008-08-06 | $25.58 | 2008-08-08 | 2008-08-18 | Quarterly |
| 2008-05-14 | $25.58 | 2008-05-16 | 2008-05-26 | Quarterly |
| 2008-02-21 | $7.31 | 2008-02-25 | 2008-02-29 | Quarterly |
Insider trades
| Date | Insider | Action | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | Zagari Raffaele | Buy | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-10-13 | Zagari Raffaele | Sell | 7.58K | $30.00 | 227.40K |
| 2026-10-13 | Zagari Raffaele | Buy | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-10-13 | Zagari Raffaele | Buy | 7.58K | $30.00 | 227.40K |
| 2026-10-05 | Erhardt Koert | Sell | 6.00K | $30.39 | 182.34K |
| 2026-09-21 | Vrettou Eleni | Sell | 3.50K | $32.12 | 112.42K |
| 2026-09-18 | Balakrishnan Mahesh | Sell | 10.00K | $32.34 | 323.40K |
| 2026-09-15 | Zagari Raffaele | Buy | 50.00K | $28.27 | 1.41M |
| 2026-09-15 | Zagari Raffaele | Buy | 10.00K | $28.27 | 282.70K |
| 2026-09-15 | Plakantonaki Charis | Buy | 3.00K | $28.27 | 84.81K |
| 2026-09-15 | Pappa Milena Maria | Buy | 74.40K | $28.27 | 2.10M |
| 2026-09-15 | Pappas Alexandros | Buy | 74.40K | $28.27 | 2.10M |
| 2026-09-15 | Reskos Nikolaos | Buy | 10.00K | $28.27 | 282.70K |
| 2026-09-15 | Spyrou Symeon | Buy | 15.00K | $28.27 | 424.05K |
| 2026-09-15 | Karellis Nikolaos | Buy | 2.00K | $28.27 | 56.54K |
| 2026-09-15 | Erhardt Koert | Buy | 6.00K | $28.27 | 169.62K |
| 2026-08-25 | Zagari Raffaele | Sell | 50.00K | $31.20 | 1.56M |
| 2026-08-24 | Zagari Raffaele | Buy | 50.00K | $30.70 | 1.53M |
| 2026-08-17 | Plakantonaki Charis | Sell | 10.82K | $29.82 | 322.80K |
| 2026-08-14 | Plakantonaki Charis | Sell | 10.82K | $28.95 | 313.42K |
| 2026-08-06 | Capralos Spyridon | Sell | 118.72K | — | — |
| 2026-08-06 | Reskos Nikolaos | Sell | 5.00K | $29.50 | 147.50K |
| 2026-07-30 | Reskos Nikolaos | Sell | 5.00K | $28.99 | 144.95K |
| 2026-06-12 | Blystad Arne | Buy | 7.58K | — | — |
| 2026-06-12 | Plakantonaki Charis | Buy | 17.20K | — | — |
| 2026-06-12 | Weum Mikkel Storm | Buy | 1.76K | — | — |
| 2026-06-12 | Begleris Christos | Buy | 26.20K | — | — |
| 2026-06-12 | Spyrou Symeon | Buy | 26.20K | — | — |
| 2026-06-12 | Blystad Arne | Buy | 7.58K | — | — |
| 2026-06-12 | Weston Gary | Buy | 7.58K | — | — |
| 2026-06-12 | Vrettou Eleni | Buy | 7.58K | — | — |
| 2026-06-12 | Balakrishnan Mahesh | Buy | 7.58K | — | — |
| 2026-06-12 | Reskos Nikolaos | Buy | 48.10K | — | — |
| 2026-06-12 | Karellis Nikolaos | Buy | 7.58K | — | — |
| 2026-06-12 | Zagari Raffaele | Buy | 7.58K | — | — |
| 2026-06-12 | Pappa Milena Maria | Buy | 7.58K | — | — |
| 2026-06-12 | Capralos Spyridon | Buy | 19.50K | — | — |
| 2026-06-12 | Erhardt Koert | Buy | 7.58K | — | — |
| 2026-06-12 | Norton Hamish | Buy | 35.80K | — | — |
| 2026-06-11 | Karellis Nikolaos | Sell | 20.00K | $26.96 | 539.20K |
| 2026-06-01 | Reskos Nikolaos | Sell | 5.00K | $28.49 | 142.45K |
| 2026-05-21 | Reskos Nikolaos | Sell | 30.00K | $27.29 | 818.70K |
| 2026-05-20 | Reskos Nikolaos | Sell | 9.91K | $26.55 | 263.22K |
| 2026-05-19 | Reskos Nikolaos | Sell | 86 | $26.49 | 2.28K |
| 2026-05-18 | Reskos Nikolaos | Sell | 33.10K | $26.28 | 869.88K |
| 2026-04-15 | Reskos Nikolaos | Sell | 8.41K | $25.05 | 210.57K |
| 2026-04-14 | Reskos Nikolaos | Sell | 1.59K | $25.00 | 39.85K |
| 2026-04-08 | Plakantonaki Charis | Sell | 16.50K | $24.56 | 405.18K |
| 2026-04-08 | Plakantonaki Charis | Buy | 16.50K | $24.56 | 405.18K |
| 2026-03-31 | Zagari Raffaele | Buy | 11.50K | $22.75 | 261.67K |
| 2026-03-31 | Zagari Raffaele | Buy | 11.50K | $227,538.00 | 2.62B |
| 2026-03-31 | Zagari Raffaele | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | Norton Hamish | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | Norton Hamish | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | Pappas Petros | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-17 | Zagari Raffaele | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-17 | Zagari Raffaele | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-17 | Pappas Alexandros | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-17 | Pappas Alexandros | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-17 | Pappa Milena Maria | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-17 | Pappa Milena Maria | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-16 | Weston Gary | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-16 | Weston Gary | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-16 | Reskos Nikolaos | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-16 | Plakantonaki Charis | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-16 | Begleris Christos | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-16 | Begleris Christos | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-16 | Capralos Spyridon | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-16 | Capralos Spyridon | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-16 | Karellis Nikolaos | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-16 | Spyrou Symeon | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-16 | Spyrou Symeon | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-16 | Erhardt Koert | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-16 | Blystad Arne | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-16 | Vrettou Eleni | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-13 | Balakrishnan Mahesh | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2008-04-21 | RAMIUS CAPITAL GROUP LLC | Buy | 35.00K | $8.00 | 280.00K |
| 2008-04-21 | RAMIUS CAPITAL GROUP LLC | Buy | 35.00K | $8.00 | 280.00K |
| 2008-04-21 | RAMIUS CAPITAL GROUP LLC | Sell | 35.00K | $8.00 | 280.00K |
| 2008-04-21 | RAMIUS CAPITAL GROUP LLC | Sell | 35.00K | $8.00 | 280.00K |
| 2008-04-21 | C4S & CO LLC | Buy | 35.00K | $8.00 | 280.00K |
| 2008-04-21 | C4S & CO LLC | Buy | 35.00K | $8.00 | 280.00K |
| 2008-04-21 | C4S & CO LLC | Sell | 35.00K | $8.00 | 280.00K |
| 2008-04-21 | C4S & CO LLC | Sell | 35.00K | $8.00 | 280.00K |
| 2008-04-18 | RAMIUS CAPITAL GROUP LLC | Sell | 15.00K | $12.50 | 187.50K |
| 2008-04-18 | RAMIUS CAPITAL GROUP LLC | Sell | 20.00K | $12.59 | 251.84K |
| 2008-04-18 | RAMIUS CAPITAL GROUP LLC | Sell | 15.00K | $12.50 | 187.50K |
| 2008-04-18 | RAMIUS CAPITAL GROUP LLC | Sell | 20.00K | $12.59 | 251.84K |
| 2008-04-18 | C4S & CO LLC | Sell | 15.00K | $12.50 | 187.50K |
| 2008-04-18 | C4S & CO LLC | Sell | 20.00K | $12.59 | 251.84K |
| 2008-04-18 | C4S & CO LLC | Sell | 15.00K | $12.50 | 187.50K |
| 2008-04-18 | C4S & CO LLC | Sell | 20.00K | $12.59 | 251.84K |
| 2008-04-17 | RAMIUS CAPITAL GROUP LLC | Sell | 60.00K | $8.00 | 480.00K |
| 2008-04-17 | RAMIUS CAPITAL GROUP LLC | Sell | 50.00K | $8.00 | 400.00K |
| 2008-04-17 | C4S & CO LLC | Sell | 60.00K | $8.00 | 480.00K |
| 2008-04-17 | C4S & CO LLC | Sell | 50.00K | $8.00 | 400.00K |
| 2008-04-14 | C4S & CO LLC | Sell | 5.00K | $12.29 | 61.45K |
| 2008-04-14 | RAMIUS CAPITAL GROUP LLC | Sell | 5.00K | $12.29 | 61.45K |
| 2008-02-14 | RAMIUS CAPITAL GROUP LLC | Sell | 25.00K | $12.24 | 306.00K |
| 2008-02-14 | C4S & CO LLC | Sell | 25.00K | $12.24 | 306.00K |
Institutional holders
Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.
Institutions holding: 218, holders +17 vs prior quarter. Ownership 36.13%.
| Holder | Shares | Change | Change % | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP | 3.53M | 517.06K | +17.16% | 88.14M |
| BLACKROCK, INC. | 2.82M | 2.22M | +369.16% | 70.35M |
| RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC | 2.10M | 32.00K | +1.55% | 52.43M |
| VICTORY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC | 2.03M | 107.13K | +5.58% | 50.62M |
| GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC | 2.01M | 276.44K | +15.91% | 50.30M |
| PHILOSOPHY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 1.75M | -121.75K | -6.50% | 43.76M |
| SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP | 1.62M | 1.33M | +468.44% | 40.39M |
| FOCUS PARTNERS WEALTH | 1.26M | 123.84K | +10.86% | 31.55M |
| JANE STREET GROUP, LLC | 1.26M | 1.18M | +1504.97% | 31.46M |
| QUBE RESEARCH & TECHNOLOGIES LTD | 1.16M | 69.78K | +6.42% | 28.88M |
| MORGAN STANLEY | 1.04M | -494.46K | -32.22% | 25.98M |
| FEARNLEY ASSET MANAGEMENT AS | 1.00M | 53.00K | +5.57% | 25.08M |
| ENCOMPASS CAPITAL ADVISORS LLC | 962.50K | 962.50K | New | 24.03M |
| ARROWSTREET CAPITAL, LIMITED PARTNERSHIP | 926.38K | 168.95K | +22.31% | 23.13M |
| ALLIANZ ASSET MANAGEMENT GMBH | 892.55K | 93.11K | +11.65% | 22.29M |
| BOSTON PARTNERS | 788.20K | -838.24K | -51.54% | 19.69M |
| ACADIAN ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC | 788.10K | 788.10K | New | 19.66M |
| MARSHALL WACE, LLP | 786.67K | -430.27K | -35.36% | 19.64M |
| ARTEMIS INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LLP | 761.69K | 685.91K | +905.22% | 19.02M |
| MAREX GROUP LTD | 728.02K | 602.00K | +477.69% | 18.18M |
| BRIDGEWATER ASSOCIATES, LP | 718.06K | 166.73K | +30.24% | 17.93M |
| JPMORGAN CHASE & CO | 675.65K | 23.10K | +3.54% | 16.65M |
| CITADEL ADVISORS LLC | 594.25K | 467.15K | +367.54% | 14.84M |
| D. E. SHAW & CO., INC. | 591.31K | -582.56K | -49.63% | 14.77M |
| DNB ASSET MANAGEMENT AS | 585.93K | -157.85K | -21.22% | 14.63M |
Forecast
Consensus Buy from 5 analysts. Average price target $31.50, +9.4% versus the current price. Low $31.00. High $32.00.
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