Vivid Seats (SEAT) Stock Insights

SEAT price $2.32 +0.14 +6.42%

Ticker
SEAT
Price
$2.32
Change
+0.14 +6.42%
Market cap ?
$26.08M
P/E ?
-0.06
Dividend yield ?
0.00%
Beta ?
1.19
Sector
Communication Services
Industry
Internet Content & Information

Financials

2019202020212022202320242025
46892500035077000443038000600274000712879000775586000570776000

Vivid Seats Inc. operates an online platform for the secondary market of tickets, serving customers throughout the United States and Canada. The company's business model is divided into two main divisions: Marketplace and Resale. The Marketplace segment functions as an intermediary, linking individuals who wish to purchase event tickets with those selling them. It processes ticket transactions via its dedicated…

Fair value

SEAT fair value $48.44. Price $2.32. Price is 95% below fair value.

Below fair value, and cheaper than usual. A larger discount than on more than 99% of days in the past 5 years.

Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.

Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 107.72M. Growth 0.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 10.86% (beta 1.2). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 11.24M. Net debt 301.11M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.

Model uncertainty high for this stock

Compare SEAT

Earnings

DateEPS actualEPS estimateRevenueRevenue estimate
2026-11-05—-1.11—127.31M
2026-08-04-1.30-1.02129.86M122.11M
2026-05-05-1.35-1.05125.78M124.55M
2026-03-12-31.83-1.66126.81M137.14M
2025-11-06-1.91-1.68136.37M131.41M
2025-08-05-21.40-0.69143.57M152.05M
2025-05-06-1.00-0.29164.02M165.92M
2025-03-12-0.030.06199.81M194.15M
2024-11-070.800.60186.60M184.19M
2024-08-06-0.200.07198.32M194.63M
2024-05-070.801.00190.85M182.35M
2024-03-050.090.05198.30M185.00M
2023-11-071.400.80188.13M153.88M
2023-08-084.000.07165.38M148.20M
2023-05-093.000.09161.06M139.86M
2023-03-070.140.10164.99M154.49M
2022-11-080.090.11156.82M129.69M
2022-08-090.131.20147.69M125.49M
2022-05-100.040.02130.77M113.78M
2022-03-100.440.02163.89M150.11M
2021-11-15-8.81-0.00139.54M98.10M
2021-08-060.69-0.50115.50M90.75M
2021-05-24-5.20—24.11M—
2021-03-31-8.60—1.40M—
2020-09-30-0.52—-7.08M—
2020-06-30-8.60—-28.90M—
2020-03-31-0.50—69.66M—

Dividends

Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency Special.

Safety score 43/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. Dividend history is short. There is no dividend yield.

Ex-dateDividendRecordPaymentFrequency
2021-10-28$4.602021-10-292021-11-02Special

Insider trades

DateInsiderActionSharesPriceValue
2026-10-19Masino Julie D.Buy245——
2026-10-19Masino Julie D.Sell245——
2026-10-19Boehly Todd LBuy245——
2026-10-19Boehly Todd LSell245——
2026-10-19ANDERSON MARK M.Buy245——
2026-10-19ANDERSON MARK M.Sell245——
2026-10-19Dixon Craig A.Buy245——
2026-10-19Dixon Craig A.Sell245——
2026-10-19DeFlorio Jane E.Buy245——
2026-10-19DeFlorio Jane E.Sell245——
2026-10-19Donnini DavidBuy245——
2026-10-19Donnini DavidSell245——
2026-09-14Arnett AustinSell64$4.86311
2026-09-11Thomas Joseph D. Jr.Sell19.11K——
2026-09-11Thomas Joseph D. Jr.Buy19.11K——
2026-09-11Thomas Joseph D. Jr.Sell6.95K$4.9534.39K
2026-09-11Pickus EdwardSell8.60K——
2026-09-11Pickus EdwardBuy10.89K——
2026-09-11Pickus EdwardSell4.17K$4.9520.64K
2026-09-11Pickus EdwardSell1.48K——
2026-09-11Pickus EdwardSell808——
2026-09-11Langenbacher StefanoSell38.23K——
2026-09-11Langenbacher StefanoBuy44.49K——
2026-09-11Langenbacher StefanoSell19.26K$4.9595.35K
2026-09-11Langenbacher StefanoSell4.45K——
2026-09-11Langenbacher StefanoSell1.82K——
2026-09-11Fey LawrenceSell76.45K——
2026-09-11Fey LawrenceBuy87.90K——
2026-09-11Fey LawrenceSell7.41K——
2026-09-11Fey LawrenceSell4.04K——
2026-09-11Arnett AustinSell3.35K——
2026-09-11Arnett AustinBuy3.54K——
2026-09-11Arnett AustinSell1.25K$4.956.17K
2026-09-11Arnett AustinSell130——
2026-09-11Arnett AustinSell68——
2026-08-13Arnett AustinSell11$7.2279
2026-08-12Arnett AustinBuy31——
2026-08-12Arnett AustinSell31——
2026-08-12Langenbacher StefanoBuy592——
2026-08-12Langenbacher StefanoSell221$7.261.60K
2026-08-12Langenbacher StefanoSell592——
2026-08-12Fey LawrenceBuy1.85K——
2026-08-12Fey LawrenceSell1.85K——
2026-06-12Arnett AustinSell62$8.36518
2026-06-11Langenbacher StefanoSell38.23K——
2026-06-11Langenbacher StefanoBuy44.49K——
2026-06-11Langenbacher StefanoSell19.71K$8.53168.11K
2026-06-11Langenbacher StefanoSell4.45K——
2026-06-11Arnett AustinSell3.35K——
2026-06-11Arnett AustinBuy3.54K——
2026-06-11Langenbacher StefanoSell1.82K——
2026-06-11Arnett AustinSell1.31K$8.5311.21K
2026-06-11Arnett AustinSell129——
2026-06-11Arnett AustinSell68——
2026-06-11Fey LawrenceSell76.45K——
2026-06-11Fey LawrenceBuy87.91K——
2026-06-11Thomas Joseph D. Jr.Sell19.11K——
2026-06-11Fey LawrenceSell7.41K——
2026-06-11Thomas Joseph D. Jr.Buy19.11K——
2026-06-11Thomas Joseph D. Jr.Sell4.65K$8.5339.70K
2026-06-11Fey LawrenceSell4.04K——
2026-06-11Pickus EdwardSell8.60K——
2026-06-11Pickus EdwardBuy10.89K——
2026-06-11Pickus EdwardSell4.50K$8.5338.36K
2026-06-11Pickus EdwardSell1.48K——
2026-06-11Pickus EdwardSell808——
2026-06-09DeFlorio Jane E.Buy19.49K——
2026-06-09Boehly Todd LBuy19.49K——
2026-06-09ANDERSON MARK M.Buy19.49K——
2026-06-09Dixon Craig A.Buy19.49K——
2026-06-09Stewart AdamBuy19.49K——
2026-06-09Masino Julie D.Buy19.49K——
2026-06-09Donnini DavidBuy19.49K——
2026-06-03Boehly Todd LBuy6.58K——
2026-06-03Boehly Todd LSell6.58K——
2026-06-03DeFlorio Jane E.Buy6.58K——
2026-06-03DeFlorio Jane E.Sell6.58K——
2026-06-03Masino Julie D.Buy6.58K——
2026-06-03Masino Julie D.Sell6.58K——
2026-06-03Stewart AdamBuy6.58K——
2026-06-03Stewart AdamSell6.58K——
2026-06-03Donnini DavidBuy6.58K——
2026-06-03Donnini DavidSell6.58K——
2026-06-03Dixon Craig A.Buy6.58K——
2026-06-03Dixon Craig A.Sell6.58K——
2026-06-03ANDERSON MARK M.Buy6.58K——
2026-06-03ANDERSON MARK M.Sell6.58K——
2026-05-13Arnett AustinSell10$8.5385
2026-05-12Langenbacher StefanoBuy592——
2026-05-12Langenbacher StefanoSell256$8.682.22K
2026-05-12Langenbacher StefanoSell592——
2026-05-12Arnett AustinBuy30——
2026-05-12Arnett AustinSell30——
2026-05-12Fey LawrenceBuy1.85K——
2026-05-12Fey LawrenceSell1.85K——
2026-03-13Thomas Joseph D. Jr.Buy152.91K——
2026-03-13Thomas Joseph D. Jr.Sell19.11K——
2026-03-13Thomas Joseph D. Jr.Buy19.11K——
2026-03-13Thomas Joseph D. Jr.Sell7.96K$5.9046.96K
2026-03-12Arnett AustinSell247$5.081.25K

Institutional holders

Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.

Institutions holding: 76, holders -2 vs prior quarter. Ownership 81.66%.

HolderSharesChangeChange %Value
GTCR LLC3.77M00.00%24.57M
SECURITY BENEFIT LIFE INSURANCE CO /KS/2.19M00.00%14.29M
BLACKBARN CAPITAL PARTNERS LP500.00K00.00%3.26M
SUN LIFE FINANCIAL INC415.53K00.00%2.71M
EMETH VALUE CAPITAL, LLC244.19K-502.35K-67.29%1.59M
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC233.24K2.92K+1.27%1.52M
MARSHALL WACE, LLP201.30K201.30KNew1.31M
QUANTINNO CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LP191.19K62.79K+48.90%1.25M
AQR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC188.51K149.36K+381.49%1.23M
BLACKROCK, INC.99.94K-208.49K-67.60%651.61K
BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/90.29K-4.20K-4.44%588.70K
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC86.90K-79.30K-47.71%566.77K
GSA CAPITAL PARTNERS LLP83.30K41.38K+98.70%543.00K
VERADACE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC70.34K00.00%458.62K
SILVER ROCK FINANCIAL LP56.94K00.00%371.27K
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC53.64K-11.89K-18.15%349.73K
MARINER, LLC49.66K4.50K+9.96%323.75K
JANE STREET GROUP, LLC46.95K-6.36K-11.92%306.10K
VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST CO41.88K-3.81K-8.35%273.04K
UBS GROUP AG36.22K-9.56K-20.88%236.18K
MORGAN STANLEY32.84K-2.25K-6.43%214.10K
MERCER GLOBAL ADVISORS INC /ADV29.29K11.14K+61.38%190.96K
CORIENT PRIVATE WEALTH LP27.74K-984-3.43%180.86K
STATE STREET CORP26.84K-58.32K-68.49%174.98K
CONVERIUM CAPITAL INC.24.25K24.25KNew158.08K

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Vivid Seats (SEAT) Stock Insights

SEAT$2.32+0.14 +6.42%

$26.08M

Market Cap

-0.06

P/E

—

Forward P/E

—

Score

Price History