Smithfield Foods (SFD) Stock Insights
$7.22B
Market Cap
6.81
P/E
8.69
Forward P/E
56
Score
SFD price $18.34 +0.01 +0.03%
Stocklytics score rationale: value 75, quality 52, growth 41.
| 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2014 | 2015 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12202700000 | 13094300000 | 13221100000 | 15031300000 | 14438400000 | 15009000000 | 16199000000 | 14640000000 | 14142000000 | 15531000000 |
Smithfield Foods, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, produces various packaged meats and fresh pork products in the United States and internationally. It operates through Packaged Meats, Fresh Pork, Hog Production, and Other segments. The Packaged Meats segment processes fresh meat into various packaged meats products, including bacon, sausage, hot dogs, deli and lunch meats, dry sausage products, ham products…
SFD fair value $24.01. Price $18.34. Price is 24% below fair value.
Below fair value, and cheaper than usual. A larger discount than on 97% of days in the past 5 years.
Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.
Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 927.00M. Growth 0.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 10.00%. Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 393.77M. Net debt 857.00M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.
| Date | EPS actual | EPS estimate | Revenue | Revenue estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-03-23 | — | 0.25 | — | 4.24B |
| 2027-03-23 | — | 0.45 | — | 4.24B |
| 2026-10-27 | 0.26 | 0.26 | 3.44B | 3.65B |
| 2026-08-11 | 0.62 | 0.60 | 3.70B | 3.65B |
| 2026-04-28 | 0.64 | 0.58 | 3.80B | 3.70B |
| 2026-03-24 | 0.83 | 0.68 | 4.23B | 4.15B |
| 2025-10-28 | 0.58 | 0.51 | 3.75B | 3.65B |
| 2025-08-12 | 0.48 | 0.55 | 3.79B | 3.79B |
| 2025-04-29 | 0.58 | 0.47 | 3.77B | 3.63B |
| 2025-03-25 | 0.52 | 0.53 | 3.95B | 3.92B |
| 2025-01-21 | 0.52 | 0.54 | 3.33B | 3.92B |
| 2024-06-30 | 0.77 | — | 3.41B | — |
| 2024-03-31 | 0.41 | — | 3.44B | — |
| 2023-12-31 | -0.25 | — | 4.00B | — |
| 2016-10-26 | 0.38 | — | 3.54B | — |
| 2016-08-16 | 0.36 | — | 3.49B | — |
| 2016-04-28 | 0.32 | — | 3.31B | — |
| 2016-03-29 | 0.44 | — | 3.93B | — |
| 2015-10-28 | 0.22 | — | 3.41B | — |
| 2015-08-12 | 0.27 | — | 3.49B | — |
| 2015-04-29 | 0.26 | — | 3.62B | — |
| 2015-03-25 | 0.40 | — | 4.09B | — |
| 2014-11-07 | 0.41 | — | 3.70B | — |
| 2014-08-11 | 0.38 | — | 3.81B | — |
| 2014-05-14 | 105,300.00 | — | 3.42B | — |
| 2013-12-31 | 34,700.00 | — | 3.89B | — |
| 2013-09-06 | 0.54 | — | 3.39B | — |
| 2013-06-18 | 0.21 | — | 3.32B | — |
| 2013-03-08 | 0.58 | — | 3.58B | — |
| 2012-12-06 | 0.07 | — | 3.23B | — |
| 2012-09-06 | 0.40 | — | 3.09B | — |
| 2012-06-15 | — | — | 3.21B | — |
| 2012-03-09 | 0.49 | — | 3.48B | — |
| 2011-12-09 | 0.74 | — | 3.31B | — |
| 2011-09-09 | 0.49 | — | 3.09B | — |
| 2011-06-17 | 0.59 | — | 3.12B | — |
| 2011-03-11 | 1.21 | — | 3.19B | — |
| 2010-10-31 | 0.86 | — | 3.00B | — |
| 2010-09-09 | 0.46 | — | 2.90B | — |
| 2010-06-18 | -0.03 | — | 2.91B | — |
Yield 6.48%. Payout ratio 53.73%. Frequency Quarterly.
Safety score 60/100 · Moderate. Payout ratio is 54% of earnings. Dividends use a moderate share of free cash flow. Dividend history is short. Yield is 6.5%, which is on the high side.
| Ex-date | Dividend | Record | Payment | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | $0.31 | 2026-08-13 | 2026-08-27 | Quarterly |
| 2026-05-14 | $0.31 | 2026-05-14 | 2026-05-28 | Monthly |
| 2026-04-07 | $0.31 | 2026-04-07 | 2026-04-21 | Semi-Annual |
| 2025-11-13 | $0.25 | 2025-11-13 | 2025-11-26 | Quarterly |
| 2025-08-14 | $0.25 | 2025-08-14 | 2025-08-28 | Quarterly |
| 2025-05-15 | $0.25 | 2025-05-15 | 2025-05-29 | Monthly |
| 2025-04-10 | $0.25 | 2025-04-10 | 2025-04-22 | Irregular |
| Date | Insider | Action | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-16 | France Steven | Sell | 82.83K | $26.82 | 2.22M |
| 2026-06-12 | Starling Raymond A | Sell | 3.96K | $26.77 | 106.03K |
| 2026-06-12 | France Steven | Buy | 82.83K | $23.76 | 1.97M |
| 2026-06-12 | France Steven | Sell | 82.83K | $23.76 | 1.97M |
| 2026-06-09 | Hall Mark L. | Sell | 78.58K | $20.00 | 1.57M |
| 2026-06-09 | Hall Mark L. | Buy | 78.58K | $20.00 | 1.57M |
| 2026-06-09 | Hall Mark L. | Sell | 78.58K | $26.36 | 2.07M |
| 2026-03-10 | Watts Keller D. | Sell | 10.68K | $23.76 | 253.85K |
| 2026-03-10 | Westerbeek Kraig A. | Buy | 34.32K | — | — |
| 2026-03-10 | Westerbeek Kraig A. | Sell | 5.00K | $23.76 | 118.80K |
| 2026-03-10 | Sutton Doug | Buy | 81.45K | — | — |
| 2026-03-10 | Sutton Doug | Sell | 10.68K | $23.76 | 253.85K |
| 2026-03-10 | Smith Charles Shane | Buy | 146.19K | — | — |
| 2026-03-10 | Smith Charles Shane | Sell | 21.98K | $23.76 | 522.20K |
| 2026-03-10 | Owens Donovan | Buy | 78.64K | — | — |
| 2026-03-10 | Owens Donovan | Sell | 10.31K | $23.76 | 245.08K |
| 2026-03-10 | He Hank Shenghua | Buy | 78.35K | — | — |
| 2026-03-10 | He Hank Shenghua | Sell | 11.78K | $23.76 | 279.89K |
| 2026-03-10 | France Steven | Buy | 93.31K | — | — |
| 2026-03-10 | France Steven | Sell | 14.03K | $23.76 | 333.31K |
| 2026-03-10 | Checkovich Tennille J. | Buy | 10.68K | — | — |
| 2026-03-10 | Checkovich Tennille J. | Sell | 1.07K | $23.76 | 25.47K |
| 2026-03-10 | Bennett Isham Jay | Buy | 14.67K | — | — |
| 2026-03-10 | Bennett Isham Jay | Sell | 1.63K | $23.76 | 38.78K |
| 2026-03-10 | Hall Mark L. | Buy | 78.35K | — | — |
| 2026-03-10 | Hall Mark L. | Sell | 11.78K | $23.76 | 279.89K |
| 2026-03-10 | Westerbeek Kraig A. | Buy | 91.39K | $23.76 | 2.17M |
| 2026-03-10 | Westerbeek Kraig A. | Buy | 34.32K | — | — |
| 2026-03-10 | Watts Keller D. | Buy | 216.89K | $23.76 | 5.15M |
| 2026-03-10 | Watts Keller D. | Buy | 81.45K | — | — |
| 2026-03-10 | Sutton Doug | Buy | 216.89K | $23.76 | 5.15M |
| 2026-03-10 | Sutton Doug | Buy | 81.45K | — | — |
| 2026-03-10 | Smith Charles Shane | Buy | 389.30K | $23.76 | 9.25M |
| 2026-03-10 | Smith Charles Shane | Buy | 146.19K | — | — |
| 2026-03-10 | Owens Donovan | Buy | 209.41K | $23.76 | 4.98M |
| 2026-03-10 | Owens Donovan | Buy | 78.64K | — | — |
| 2026-03-10 | He Hank Shenghua | Buy | 208.65K | $23.76 | 4.96M |
| 2026-03-10 | He Hank Shenghua | Buy | 78.35K | — | — |
| 2026-03-10 | Hall Mark L. | Buy | 208.65K | $23.76 | 4.96M |
| 2026-03-10 | Hall Mark L. | Buy | 78.35K | — | — |
| 2026-03-10 | France Steven | Buy | 248.47K | $23.76 | 5.90M |
| 2026-03-10 | France Steven | Buy | 93.31K | — | — |
| 2026-03-10 | Checkovich Tennille J. | Buy | 28.43K | $23.76 | 675.52K |
| 2026-03-10 | Checkovich Tennille J. | Buy | 10.68K | — | — |
| 2026-03-10 | Bennett Isham Jay | Buy | 39.07K | $23.76 | 928.33K |
| 2026-03-10 | Bennett Isham Jay | Buy | 14.67K | — | — |
| 2026-01-28 | France Steven | Sell | 3.85K | $23.65 | 91.01K |
| 2026-01-28 | Westerbeek Kraig A. | Sell | 1.22K | $23.65 | 28.95K |
| 2026-01-28 | Sutton Doug | Sell | 3.16K | $23.65 | 74.71K |
| 2026-01-28 | Smith Charles Shane | Sell | 5.57K | $23.65 | 131.71K |
| 2026-01-28 | Owens Donovan | Sell | 3.16K | $23.65 | 74.71K |
| 2026-01-28 | He Hank Shenghua | Sell | 3.85K | $23.65 | 91.03K |
| 2026-01-28 | Checkovich Tennille J. | Sell | 708 | $23.65 | 16.74K |
| 2026-01-28 | Bennett Isham Jay | Sell | 992 | $23.65 | 23.46K |
| 2026-01-28 | Brobst Robert Allen JR | Sell | 822 | $23.65 | 19.44K |
| 2026-01-28 | Hall Mark L. | Sell | 3.85K | $23.65 | 91.01K |
| 2025-09-08 | France Steven | Buy | 2.50K | $23.25 | 58.12K |
| 2025-09-08 | Hall Mark L. | Buy | 2.00K | $23.25 | 46.50K |
| 2025-09-08 | Wan Long | Buy | 1.80M | $23.25 | 41.85M |
| 2025-09-08 | Watts Keller D. | Buy | 3.83K | $23.25 | 89.12K |
| 2025-09-08 | He Hank Shenghua | Buy | 10.00K | $23.25 | 232.50K |
| 2025-09-08 | Sutton Doug | Buy | 3.92K | $23.25 | 91.14K |
| 2025-09-08 | Owens Donovan | Buy | 12.00K | $23.25 | 279.00K |
| 2025-09-08 | WH Group Ltd | Sell | 22.46M | $23.25 | 522.23M |
| 2025-06-12 | Watts Keller D. | Buy | 4.29K | $23.62 | 101.35K |
| 2025-04-08 | WH Group Ltd/ADR | Sell | 21.30K | — | — |
| 2025-02-20 | WH Group Ltd/ADR | Sell | 2.51M | $20.00 | 50.14M |
| 2025-01-29 | He Hank Shenghua | Buy | 392.90K | $20.00 | 7.86M |
| 2025-01-29 | He Hank Shenghua | Buy | 17.00K | $20.00 | 340.00K |
| 2025-01-29 | He Hank Shenghua | Buy | 60.00K | — | — |
| 2025-01-29 | Checkovich Tennille J. | Buy | 65.48K | $20.00 | 1.31M |
| 2025-01-29 | Checkovich Tennille J. | Buy | 2.00K | $20.00 | 40.00K |
| 2025-01-29 | Checkovich Tennille J. | Buy | 10.00K | — | — |
| 2025-01-29 | Brobst Robert Allen JR | Buy | 75.96K | $20.00 | 1.52M |
| 2025-01-29 | Brobst Robert Allen JR | Buy | 11.60K | — | — |
| 2025-01-29 | Sutton Doug | Buy | 392.90K | $20.00 | 7.86M |
| 2025-01-29 | Sutton Doug | Buy | 5.00K | $20.00 | 100.00K |
| 2025-01-29 | Sutton Doug | Buy | 60.00K | — | — |
| 2025-01-29 | Guo Lijun | Buy | 392.90K | $20.00 | 7.86M |
| 2025-01-29 | Guo Lijun | Buy | 60.00K | — | — |
| 2025-01-29 | Smith Charles Shane | Buy | 589.35K | $20.00 | 11.79M |
| 2025-01-29 | Smith Charles Shane | Buy | 30.00K | $20.00 | 600.00K |
| 2025-01-29 | Smith Charles Shane | Buy | 90.00K | — | — |
| 2025-01-29 | WH Group Ltd/ADR | Sell | 13.04M | $20.00 | 260.87M |
| 2025-01-29 | Starling Raymond A | Buy | 9.00K | $20.00 | 180.00K |
| 2025-01-29 | France Steven | Buy | 392.90K | $20.00 | 7.86M |
| 2025-01-29 | France Steven | Buy | 7.50K | $20.00 | 150.00K |
| 2025-01-29 | France Steven | Buy | 60.00K | — | — |
| 2025-01-29 | Westerbeek Kraig A. | Buy | 117.87K | $20.00 | 2.36M |
| 2025-01-29 | Westerbeek Kraig A. | Buy | 1.00K | $20.00 | 20.00K |
| 2025-01-29 | Westerbeek Kraig A. | Buy | 18.00K | — | — |
| 2025-01-29 | Wan Hongwei | Buy | 235.74K | $20.00 | 4.71M |
| 2025-01-29 | Wan Hongwei | Buy | 36.00K | — | — |
| 2025-01-29 | Bennett Isham Jay | Buy | 91.68K | $20.00 | 1.83M |
| 2025-01-29 | Bennett Isham Jay | Buy | 14.00K | — | — |
| 2025-01-29 | Watts Keller D. | Buy | 392.90K | $20.00 | 7.86M |
| 2025-01-29 | Watts Keller D. | Buy | 6.73K | $20.00 | 134.66K |
| 2025-01-29 | Watts Keller D. | Buy | 60.00K | — | — |
| 2025-01-29 | QUELCH JOHN | Buy | 9.00K | $20.00 | 180.00K |
| 2025-01-29 | Zhou Xiaoming | Buy | 353.61K | $20.00 | 7.07M |
Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.
Institutions holding: 288, holders +38 vs prior quarter. Ownership 13.73%.
| Holder | Shares | Change | Change % | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LSV ASSET MANAGEMENT | 7.11M | 4.83M | +211.12% | 172.59M |
| TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP | 4.24M | 21.93K | +0.52% | 102.83M |
| AQR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 4.11M | 3.00M | +268.44% | 99.78M |
| FMR LLC | 2.91M | -39.38K | -1.34% | 70.51M |
| GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC | 2.28M | 1.85M | +437.23% | 55.25M |
| DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP | 1.69M | 1.32M | +355.15% | 40.99M |
| BLACKROCK, INC. | 1.37M | -476.43K | -25.86% | 33.14M |
| QUBE RESEARCH & TECHNOLOGIES LTD | 1.24M | -67.65K | -5.16% | 30.17M |
| UBS GROUP AG | 1.17M | 148.94K | +14.54% | 28.46M |
| FOURTH SAIL CAPITAL LP | 1.07M | -48.59K | -4.35% | 25.90M |
| GOTHAM ASSET MANAGEMENT, LLC | 1.04M | 19.92K | +1.95% | 25.29M |
| MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC | 926.61K | -170.64K | -15.55% | 22.48M |
| JACOBS LEVY EQUITY MANAGEMENT, INC | 836.45K | -625.70K | -42.79% | 20.29M |
| COHEN & STEERS, INC. | 820.35K | 41.49K | +5.33% | 19.90M |
| BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/ | 818.43K | 11.32K | +1.40% | 19.86M |
| MORGAN STANLEY | 805.39K | -1.59M | -66.42% | 19.54M |
| ASSENAGON ASSET MANAGEMENT S.A. | 782.15K | 782.15K | New | 18.97M |
| STATE STREET CORP | 765.35K | 44.46K | +6.17% | 18.57M |
| RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC | 733.30K | 408.80K | +125.98% | 17.79M |
| BANK OF NEW YORK MELLON CORP | 677.84K | 398.31K | +142.50% | 16.44M |
| SYSTEMATIC FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT LP | 608.40K | -33.01K | -5.15% | 14.76M |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 587.97K | 12.61K | +2.19% | 14.26M |
| ALLIANZ ASSET MANAGEMENT GMBH | 580.58K | -55.31K | -8.70% | 14.08M |
| MACQUARIE GROUP LTD | 565.02K | 312.92K | +124.12% | 13.71M |
| NOMURA ASSET MANAGEMENT INTERNATIONAL INC. | 565.02K | 565.02K | New | 13.71M |
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| FY2012 | Fresh Pork Segment: 11093000000.0, Hog Production Segment: 3052600000.0, International Segment: 1466700000.0 |
| FY2013 | Fresh Pork Segment: 11076100000.0, Hog Production Segment: 3135100000.0, International Segment: 1468500000.0 |
| FY2024 | Fresh Pork Segment: 7873000000.0, Hog Production Segment: 3002000000.0, Intersegment Eliminations: -5524000000.0, Other Segment: 471000000.0, Packaged Meats Segment: 8319000000.0 |
| FY2025 | Fresh Pork Segment: 8344000000.0, Hog Production Segment: 3393000000.0, Intersegment Eliminations: -5492000000.0, Other Segment: 528000000.0, Packaged Meats Segment: 8757000000.0 |
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| FY2012 | International: 1430400000.0, United States of America: 11663900000.0 |
| FY2013 | International: 1431400000.0, United States of America: 11789700000.0 |
| FY2025 | MEXICO: 511000000.0 |
Insights · Dividends · Forecast · Financials · Learn
$7.22B
Market Cap
6.81
P/E
8.69
Forward P/E
56
Score