Space Exploration Technologies (SPCX) Stock Insights
SPCX$143.12-5.46 -3.67%
$1.98T
Market Cap
-110.45
P/E
1100.96
Forward P/E
55
Score
Space Exploration Technologies (SPCX) Stock Insights
SPCX price $143.12 -5.46 -3.67%
- Ticker
- SPCX
- Price
- $143.12
- Change
- -5.46 -3.67%
- Market cap ?
- $1.98T
- P/E ?
- -110.45
- Forward P/E ?
- 1100.96
- Dividend yield ?
- 0.00%
- Sector
- Industrials
- Industry
- Aerospace & Defense
- Stocklytics score
- 55
- Value
- 36
- Quality
- 32
- Growth
- 98
Stocklytics score rationale: value 36, quality 32, growth 98.
Financials
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|
| 10387000000 | 14015000000 | 18674000000 |
Space Exploration Technologies Corp. designs, manufactures, and launches rockets and spacecraft, and provides satellite-based broadband services in the United States, Ireland, and Canada. The company offers launch services for satellites, cargo, and crew to destinations such as low Earth orbit, the International Space Station, the Moon, and Mars, using vehicles, including Falcon 9, Falcon Heavy, and Starship. It…
Fair value
SPCX fair value $57.77. Price $143.12. Price is 148% above fair value.
Above fair value, but less expensive than usual. A smaller premium than on 60% of days in the past 5 years.
Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.
Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 4.56B. Growth 20.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 10.00%. Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 8.09B. Net debt -1.85B. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, kept between 8 and 40. Fewer than five years of history uses the sector's typical P/E. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.
Model uncertainty high for this stock
Earnings
| Date | EPS actual | EPS estimate | Revenue | Revenue estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-02-25 | — | 0.40 | — | 22.69B |
| 2026-10-20 | 0.35 | 0.13 | 14.57B | 12.87B |
| 2026-08-04 | -0.09 | -0.23 | 7.81B | 6.83B |
| 2026-05-20 | -1.19 | — | 4.69B | — |
Dividends
Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency —.
Safety score 37/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. No dividend history was found. There is no dividend yield.
| Ex-date | Dividend | Record | Payment | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No data yet. | ||||
Insider trades
| Date | Insider | Action | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | Shotwell Gwynne | Buy | 128.87K | $19.40 | 2.50M |
| 2026-09-22 | Shotwell Gwynne | Sell | 12.50K | $151.15 | 1.89M |
| 2026-09-22 | Shotwell Gwynne | Sell | 7.60K | $151.93 | 1.15M |
| 2026-09-22 | Shotwell Gwynne | Buy | 74.41K | $11.20 | 833.34K |
| 2026-09-22 | Shotwell Gwynne | Sell | 145.81K | $153.27 | 22.35M |
| 2026-09-22 | Shotwell Gwynne | Buy | 138.90K | $8.40 | 1.17M |
| 2026-09-22 | Shotwell Gwynne | Sell | 151.84K | $153.95 | 23.38M |
| 2026-09-22 | Shotwell Gwynne | Sell | 24.42K | $154.72 | 3.78M |
| 2026-09-22 | Shotwell Gwynne | Sell | 128.87K | $19.40 | 2.50M |
| 2026-09-22 | Shotwell Gwynne | Sell | 138.90K | $8.40 | 1.17M |
| 2026-09-22 | Shotwell Gwynne | Sell | 74.41K | $11.20 | 833.34K |
| 2026-09-11 | Gracias Antonio J. | Sell | 42.79M | — | — |
| 2026-09-11 | Gracias Antonio J. | Sell | 42.79M | — | — |
| 2026-06-16 | BOTHA ROELOF | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-15 | Musk Elon | Buy | 250.12M | — | — |
| 2026-06-15 | Musk Elon | Buy | 2.87B | — | — |
| 2026-06-15 | Musk Elon | Buy | 14.79M | — | — |
| 2026-06-15 | Musk Elon | Buy | 18.52M | — | — |
| 2026-06-15 | Musk Elon | Buy | 282.61M | — | — |
| 2026-06-15 | Musk Elon | Buy | 127.43M | — | — |
| 2026-06-15 | Musk Elon | Sell | 295.86K | — | — |
| 2026-06-15 | Musk Elon | Sell | 2.55M | — | — |
| 2026-06-15 | Musk Elon | Sell | 5.00M | — | — |
| 2026-06-15 | Musk Elon | Sell | 5.65M | — | — |
| 2026-06-15 | Musk Elon | Sell | 370.37K | — | — |
| 2026-06-11 | Nosek Luke | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-11 | Nosek Luke | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-11 | Jurvetson Stephen T | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-11 | Harrison Donald Stewart | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-11 | Gracias Antonio J. | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-11 | Glein Randall | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-11 | Ehrenpreis Ira Matthew | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-11 | Ehrenpreis Ira Matthew | Other | 564.65K | — | — |
| 2026-06-11 | Johnsen Bret W | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-11 | Johnsen Bret W | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-11 | Johnsen Bret W | Other | 71.44K | — | — |
| 2026-06-11 | Johnsen Bret W | Other | 586.85K | $4.40 | 2.58M |
| 2026-06-11 | Johnsen Bret W | Other | 1.50M | $8.40 | 12.60M |
| 2026-06-11 | Johnsen Bret W | Other | 535.72K | $11.20 | 6.00M |
| 2026-06-11 | Johnsen Bret W | Other | 514.29K | $15.40 | 7.92M |
| 2026-06-11 | Johnsen Bret W | Other | 371.13K | $19.40 | 7.20M |
| 2026-06-11 | Johnsen Bret W | Other | 324.32K | $37.00 | 12.00M |
| 2026-06-11 | Johnsen Bret W | Other | 141.51K | $42.40 | 6.00M |
| 2026-06-11 | Johnsen Bret W | Other | 356.30K | $105.32 | 37.52M |
| 2026-06-11 | Shotwell Gwynne | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-11 | Shotwell Gwynne | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-11 | Shotwell Gwynne | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-11 | Shotwell Gwynne | Other | 7.11M | — | — |
| 2026-06-11 | Shotwell Gwynne | Other | 194.45K | $8.40 | 1.63M |
| 2026-06-11 | Shotwell Gwynne | Other | 104.17K | $11.20 | 1.17M |
| 2026-06-11 | Shotwell Gwynne | Other | 618.56K | $19.40 | 12.00M |
| 2026-06-11 | Shotwell Gwynne | Other | 324.32K | $37.00 | 12.00M |
| 2026-06-11 | Shotwell Gwynne | Other | 3.54M | $42.40 | 150.00M |
| 2026-06-11 | Musk Elon | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-11 | Musk Elon | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-11 | Musk Elon | Other | 900.50K | — | — |
| 2026-06-11 | Musk Elon | Other | 2.55M | — | — |
| 2026-06-11 | Musk Elon | Other | 5.00M | — | — |
| 2026-06-11 | Musk Elon | Other | 5.65M | — | — |
| 2026-06-11 | Musk Elon | Other | 370.37K | — | — |
| 2026-06-11 | Musk Elon | Other | 295.86K | — | — |
| 2026-06-11 | Musk Elon | Other | 350.00M | $8.40 | 2.94B |
| 2026-04-18 | Shotwell Gwynne | Buy | 74.41K | $11.20 | 833.39K |
| 2026-04-18 | Shotwell Gwynne | Buy | 138.90K | $8.40 | 1.17M |
| 2026-04-18 | Shotwell Gwynne | Sell | 138.90K | $8.40 | 1.17M |
| 2026-04-18 | Shotwell Gwynne | Sell | 74.41K | $11.20 | 833.39K |
| 2026-04-02 | Musk Elon | Sell | 11.39K | $105.32 | 1.20M |
| 2026-04-02 | Musk Elon | Sell | 480 | — | — |
| 2026-04-02 | Musk Elon | Sell | 186.54K | — | — |
| 2026-03-23 | Musk Elon | Sell | 25.17M | — | — |
| 2026-02-02 | Musk Elon | Buy | 532.69M | — | — |
| 2026-02-02 | Musk Elon | Buy | 511.29M | — | — |
| 2026-02-02 | Musk Elon | Buy | 78.39K | — | — |
Institutional holders
Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.
Institutions holding: 1.94K. Ownership 94.74%.
| Holder | Shares | Change | Change % | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALPHABET INC. | 551.19M | New | New | 94.18B |
| VALOR MANAGEMENT LLC | 503.41M | New | New | 86.01B |
| FMR LLC | 302.56M | New | New | 51.66B |
| VY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT CO. LTD. | 271.81M | New | New | 46.44B |
| GIGAFUND MANAGEMENT COMPANY, LLC | 171.83M | New | New | 29.36B |
| PUBLIC INVESTMENT FUND | 154.15M | New | New | 26.34B |
| BAMCO INC /NY/ | 145.78M | New | New | 24.91B |
| D1 CAPITAL PARTNERS L.P. | 126.04M | New | New | 21.54B |
| NVIDIA CORP | 122.76M | New | New | 20.98B |
| SC US (TTGP), LTD. | 122.52M | New | New | 20.93B |
| CAPRICORN INVESTMENT GROUP LLC | 120.80M | New | New | 20.64B |
| DARSANA CAPITAL PARTNERS LP | 101.46M | New | New | 17.34B |
| A16Z CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | 74.86M | New | New | 12.79B |
| BAILLIE GIFFORD & CO | 51.40M | New | New | 8.78B |
| BLACKROCK, INC. | 51.04M | New | New | 8.72B |
| ONTARIO TEACHERS PENSION PLAN BOARD | 50.68M | New | New | 8.66B |
| K5 GLOBAL ADVISOR LLC | 38.60M | New | New | 6.59B |
| JANE STREET GROUP, LLC | 36.52M | New | New | 6.24B |
| ALPHA WAVE GLOBAL, LP | 31.25M | New | New | 5.34B |
| ATREIDES MANAGEMENT, LP | 27.33M | New | New | 4.67B |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 26.56M | New | New | 4.54B |
| MIRAE ASSET GLOBAL INVESTMENTS CO., LTD. | 26.06M | New | New | 4.45B |
| FOUNDERS FUND GROWTH II MANAGEMENT, LP | 22.84M | New | New | 3.90B |
| JANE STREET GROUP, LLC | 19.67M | New | New | 3.36B |
| BROOKFIELD CORP /ON/ | 19.17M | New | New | 3.27B |
Insights
- Revenue by product
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | Advertising: 367000000.0, AI Solutions & Infrastructure: 2194000000.0, Consumer: 2485000000.0, Enterprise & Government: 1806000000.0, Launch & Development: 314000000.0, Launch Services: 648000000.0 |
| Q3 2026 | Connectivity: 5248000000.0, Space: 1767000000.0 |
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