Sensata Technologies (ST) Stock Forecast & Price Target
$6.03B
Market Cap
16.86
P/E
11.01
Forward P/E
65
Score
ST price $41.44 +0.56 +1.37%
Stocklytics score rationale: value 80, quality 62, growth 53.
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3184568000 | 3307649000 | 3503555000 | 3424451000 | 3034793000 | 3811525000 | 4075445000 | 4071203000 | 3935060000 | 3704500000 |
Sensata Technologies Holding plc is a global enterprise specializing in the design, production, and distribution of sensing devices, integrated sensor solutions, control systems, and associated technologies. Its market reach extends across the Americas, Europe, Asia, and other international territories. The company's operations are strategically divided into two principal business units: Performance Sensing and…
ST fair value $84.30. Price $41.44. Price is 51% below fair value.
Below fair value, and cheaper than usual. A larger discount than on more than 99% of days in the past 5 years.
Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.
Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 641.22M. Growth 4.35%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 11.13% (beta 1.2). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 145.54M. Net debt 2.35B. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.
| Date | EPS actual | EPS estimate | Revenue | Revenue estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-02-18 | — | 0.96 | — | 964.50M |
| 2026-10-27 | 1.13 | 0.96 | 1.00B | 972.97M |
| 2026-07-29 | 0.98 | 0.93 | 990.60M | 970.39M |
| 2026-04-28 | 0.86 | 0.84 | 934.80M | 928.85M |
| 2026-02-19 | 0.88 | 0.86 | 917.90M | 911.92M |
| 2025-10-28 | 0.89 | 0.85 | 931.98M | 921.07M |
| 2025-07-29 | 0.87 | 0.84 | 942.62M | 918.83M |
| 2025-05-08 | 0.78 | 0.72 | 916.28M | 908.21M |
| 2025-02-11 | 0.76 | 0.76 | 907.69M | 889.20M |
| 2024-11-04 | 0.86 | 0.86 | 983.03M | 983.86M |
| 2024-07-29 | 0.93 | 0.93 | 1.04B | 1.04B |
| 2024-04-29 | 0.89 | 0.85 | 1.01B | 986.51M |
| 2024-02-06 | 0.81 | 0.86 | 992.49M | 977.13M |
| 2023-10-31 | 0.91 | 0.90 | 1.00B | 1.00B |
| 2023-07-25 | 0.97 | 0.95 | 1.06B | 1.03B |
| 2023-04-25 | 0.92 | 0.88 | 998.17M | 985.99M |
| 2023-01-31 | 0.96 | 0.87 | 1.01B | 1.00B |
| 2022-10-25 | 0.85 | 0.85 | 1.02B | 1.00B |
| 2022-07-26 | 0.83 | 0.83 | 1.02B | 1.00B |
| 2022-04-26 | 0.78 | 0.76 | 975.77M | 959.54M |
| 2022-02-01 | 0.87 | 0.80 | 934.60M | 917.98M |
| 2021-10-26 | 0.87 | 0.85 | 951.02M | 932.96M |
| 2021-07-27 | 0.95 | 0.89 | 992.66M | 933.21M |
| 2021-04-27 | 0.86 | 0.74 | 942.53M | 894.50M |
| 2021-02-02 | 0.85 | 0.78 | 906.49M | 825.14M |
| 2020-10-27 | 0.66 | 0.54 | 788.31M | 656.93M |
| 2020-07-28 | 0.18 | 0.16 | 576.50M | 448.39M |
| 2020-04-29 | 0.53 | 0.59 | 774.27M | 818.10M |
| 2020-02-11 | 0.89 | 0.87 | 846.69M | 827.66M |
| 2019-10-30 | 0.90 | 0.90 | 849.72M | 849.72M |
| 2019-07-30 | 0.93 | 0.94 | 883.73M | 893.23M |
| 2019-05-01 | 0.85 | 0.85 | 870.50M | 870.50M |
| 2019-02-06 | 0.95 | 0.99 | 847.92M | 883.62M |
| 2018-10-30 | 0.91 | 0.90 | 873.55M | 873.60M |
| 2018-07-24 | 0.93 | 0.93 | 913.86M | 913.90M |
| 2018-04-24 | 0.85 | 0.84 | 886.29M | 875.87M |
| 2018-02-01 | 0.87 | 0.85 | 840.53M | 821.18M |
| 2017-10-24 | 0.81 | 0.80 | 819.05M | 808.99M |
| 2017-07-25 | 0.81 | 0.78 | 839.87M | 808.79M |
| 2017-04-25 | 0.71 | 0.68 | 807.27M | 773.19M |
Yield 1.16%. Payout ratio 19.06%. Frequency Quarterly.
Safety score 84/100 · Safe. Payout ratio is 19% of earnings. Dividends use less than 40% of free cash flow. Dividends were paid in 5 separate years. Yield is 1.2%, which is modest.
| Ex-date | Dividend | Record | Payment | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-10 | $0.12 | 2026-11-11 | 2026-11-25 | Quarterly |
| 2026-08-12 | $0.12 | 2026-08-12 | 2026-08-26 | Quarterly |
| 2026-05-13 | $0.12 | 2026-05-13 | 2026-05-27 | Quarterly |
| 2026-02-11 | $0.12 | 2026-02-11 | 2026-02-25 | Quarterly |
| 2025-11-12 | $0.12 | 2025-11-12 | 2025-11-26 | Quarterly |
| 2025-08-13 | $0.12 | 2025-08-13 | 2025-08-27 | Quarterly |
| 2025-05-14 | $0.12 | 2025-05-14 | 2025-05-28 | Quarterly |
| 2025-02-12 | $0.12 | 2025-02-12 | 2025-02-26 | Quarterly |
| 2024-11-13 | $0.12 | 2024-11-13 | 2024-11-27 | Quarterly |
| 2024-08-14 | $0.12 | 2024-08-14 | 2024-08-28 | Quarterly |
| 2024-05-07 | $0.12 | 2024-05-08 | 2024-05-22 | Quarterly |
| 2024-02-13 | $0.12 | 2024-02-14 | 2024-02-28 | Quarterly |
| 2023-11-07 | $0.12 | 2023-11-08 | 2023-11-22 | Quarterly |
| 2023-08-08 | $0.12 | 2023-08-09 | 2023-08-23 | Quarterly |
| 2023-05-09 | $0.12 | 2023-05-10 | 2023-05-24 | Quarterly |
| 2023-02-07 | $0.11 | 2023-02-08 | 2023-02-22 | Quarterly |
| 2022-11-08 | $0.11 | 2022-11-09 | 2022-11-23 | Quarterly |
| 2022-08-09 | $0.11 | 2022-08-10 | 2022-08-24 | Quarterly |
| 2022-05-10 | $0.11 | 2022-05-11 | 2022-05-25 | Quarterly |
| Date | Insider | Action | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | McIntosh Alice Martins | Sell | 214 | $42.35 | 9.06K |
| 2026-09-02 | Hertzke Patrick Norton | Sell | 3.07K | $42.04 | 129.23K |
| 2026-07-21 | Lynch Andrew Charles | Sell | 1.39K | $46.51 | 64.56K |
| 2026-07-01 | Lynch Andrew Charles | Buy | 1.36K | — | — |
| 2026-07-01 | Lynch Andrew Charles | Sell | 903 | $46.55 | 42.03K |
| 2026-06-12 | Caljouw Lynne J | Sell | 2.72K | $50.35 | 137.10K |
| 2026-06-09 | ZIDE STEPHEN M | Buy | 3.83K | — | — |
| 2026-06-09 | ZIDE STEPHEN M | Sell | 285 | $49.65 | 14.15K |
| 2026-06-09 | Mirshekari Ali John | Sell | 439 | $49.65 | 21.80K |
| 2026-06-09 | Sonnenberg Steven Alan | Sell | 433 | $49.65 | 21.50K |
| 2026-06-09 | Absmeier John P | Buy | 3.83K | — | — |
| 2026-06-09 | Absmeier John P | Sell | 547 | $49.65 | 27.16K |
| 2026-06-09 | Vijayvargiya Jugal K. | Buy | 3.83K | — | — |
| 2026-06-09 | Vijayvargiya Jugal K. | Sell | 249 | $49.65 | 12.36K |
| 2026-06-09 | TEICH ANDREW C | Buy | 3.83K | — | — |
| 2026-06-09 | TEICH ANDREW C | Sell | 506 | $49.65 | 25.12K |
| 2026-06-09 | Sullivan Martha N. | Buy | 3.83K | — | — |
| 2026-06-09 | Sullivan Martha N. | Sell | 508 | $49.65 | 25.22K |
| 2026-06-09 | Skidmore Constance Ellen | Buy | 3.83K | — | — |
| 2026-06-09 | Skidmore Constance Ellen | Sell | 418 | $49.65 | 20.75K |
| 2026-06-09 | Eyler Phillip | Buy | 3.83K | — | — |
| 2026-06-09 | Eyler Phillip | Sell | 547 | $49.65 | 27.16K |
| 2026-06-09 | Bolsinger Lorraine A | Buy | 3.83K | — | — |
| 2026-06-09 | Bolsinger Lorraine A | Sell | 495 | $49.65 | 24.58K |
| 2026-06-09 | Black Daniel | Buy | 3.83K | — | — |
| 2026-06-09 | Black Daniel | Sell | 208 | $49.65 | 10.33K |
| 2026-06-09 | Schupmann Laurie | Buy | 3.83K | — | — |
| 2026-06-09 | Schupmann Laurie | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-05-20 | Stott David K | Sell | 6.33K | $47.40 | 300.25K |
| 2026-05-06 | Caljouw Lynne J | Buy | 3.23K | $43.67 | 140.88K |
| 2026-05-06 | Caljouw Lynne J | Sell | 3.23K | $45.00 | 145.17K |
| 2026-05-06 | Caljouw Lynne J | Sell | 3.71K | $44.23 | 164.27K |
| 2026-05-06 | Caljouw Lynne J | Sell | 3.23K | $43.67 | 140.88K |
| 2026-04-07 | Caljouw Lynne J | Sell | 2.91K | $34.71 | 101.10K |
| 2026-04-01 | Caljouw Lynne J | Buy | 7.36K | — | — |
| 2026-04-01 | Caljouw Lynne J | Buy | 16.63K | — | — |
| 2026-04-01 | Caljouw Lynne J | Sell | 9.79K | $35.18 | 344.52K |
| 2026-04-01 | Stott David K | Buy | 4.91K | — | — |
| 2026-04-01 | Stott David K | Buy | 12.79K | — | — |
| 2026-04-01 | Stott David K | Sell | 5.12K | $35.18 | 180.12K |
| 2026-04-01 | SIEDEL RICHARD W. JR. | Buy | 7.04K | — | — |
| 2026-04-01 | SIEDEL RICHARD W. JR. | Sell | 709 | $35.18 | 24.94K |
| 2026-04-01 | Lynch Andrew Charles | Buy | 2.45K | — | — |
| 2026-04-01 | Lynch Andrew Charles | Buy | 19.19K | — | — |
| 2026-04-01 | Lynch Andrew Charles | Sell | 3.34K | $35.18 | 117.54K |
| 2026-04-01 | McIntosh Alice Martins | Buy | 2.45K | — | — |
| 2026-04-01 | McIntosh Alice Martins | Sell | 2.02K | $35.18 | 71.20K |
| 2026-04-01 | McIntosh Alice Martins | Buy | 12.15K | — | — |
| 2026-04-01 | Wilkie Brian John | Buy | 4.91K | — | — |
| 2026-04-01 | Wilkie Brian John | Buy | 14.07K | — | — |
| 2026-04-01 | Wilkie Brian John | Sell | 8.17K | $35.18 | 287.39K |
| 2026-04-01 | Chen Jackie | Buy | 9.59K | — | — |
| 2026-04-01 | Chen Jackie | Sell | 1.41K | $35.18 | 49.53K |
| 2026-04-01 | von Schuckmann Stephan | Buy | 111.28K | — | — |
| 2026-04-01 | Hertzke Patrick Norton | Buy | 11.51K | — | — |
| 2026-04-01 | Bardot Nicolas | Buy | 11.51K | — | — |
| 2026-04-01 | Schwabe Markus | Buy | 11.51K | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | Caljouw Lynne J | Sell | 2.48K | $34.50 | 85.56K |
| 2026-03-06 | von Schuckmann Stephan | Buy | 15.15K | $33.11 | 501.67K |
| 2026-02-12 | Caljouw Lynne J | Sell | 2.50K | $37.53 | 93.67K |
| 2026-02-01 | Schwabe Markus | Buy | 21.68K | — | — |
| 2026-02-01 | Chen Jackie | Sell | 478 | $34.59 | 16.53K |
| 2026-01-05 | Schwabe Markus | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-01-02 | McIntosh Alice Martins | Sell | 95 | $34.89 | 3.31K |
| 2026-01-02 | Lynch Andrew Charles | Sell | 154 | $34.89 | 5.37K |
| 2026-01-01 | Chen Jackie | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-01-01 | von Schuckmann Stephan | Sell | 19.39K | $33.29 | 645.43K |
| 2025-12-31 | Verras George | Buy | 7.42K | — | — |
| 2025-12-31 | Verras George | Sell | 9.34K | $33.29 | 310.90K |
| 2025-12-31 | Verras George | Sell | 17.73K | — | — |
| 2025-11-21 | Mirshekari Ali John | Sell | 33.93K | $29.53 | 1.00M |
| 2025-11-20 | Mirshekari Ali John | Sell | 108.44K | $28.75 | 3.12M |
| 2025-11-19 | Mirshekari Ali John | Sell | 125.94K | $28.83 | 3.63M |
| 2025-11-13 | Stott David K | Sell | 2.00K | — | — |
| 2025-11-11 | Stott David K | Sell | 839 | $30.80 | 25.84K |
| 2025-11-01 | Bardot Nicolas | Buy | 15.71K | — | — |
| 2025-11-01 | Bardot Nicolas | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-10-30 | Caljouw Lynne J | Sell | 3.21K | $32.45 | 104.07K |
| 2025-10-29 | Verras George | Sell | 7.44K | $32.64 | 242.91K |
| 2025-10-29 | Wilkie Brian John | Sell | 7.44K | $32.64 | 242.91K |
| 2025-10-29 | Stott David K | Sell | 3.69K | $32.64 | 120.57K |
| 2025-10-29 | Caljouw Lynne J | Sell | 7.44K | $32.64 | 242.91K |
| 2025-10-01 | McIntosh Alice Martins | Sell | 189 | $30.60 | 5.78K |
| 2025-09-09 | Caljouw Lynne J | Sell | 2.58K | $31.98 | 82.38K |
| 2025-09-02 | Hertzke Patrick Norton | Buy | 31.42K | — | — |
| 2025-09-02 | Hertzke Patrick Norton | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-09-01 | McIntosh Alice Martins | Buy | 619 | — | — |
| 2025-09-01 | McIntosh Alice Martins | Sell | 266 | $32.54 | 8.66K |
| 2025-08-01 | McIntosh Alice Martins | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-07-21 | Lynch Andrew Charles | Buy | 8.61K | $31.38 | 270.02K |
| 2025-07-01 | Lynch Andrew Charles | Sell | 222 | $31.08 | 6.90K |
| 2025-06-10 | Absmeier John P | Buy | 6.18K | — | — |
| 2025-06-10 | Absmeier John P | Sell | 325 | $28.33 | 9.21K |
| 2025-06-10 | Bolsinger Lorraine A | Buy | 6.18K | — | — |
| 2025-06-10 | Bolsinger Lorraine A | Sell | 304 | $28.33 | 8.61K |
| 2025-06-10 | Sullivan Martha N. | Buy | 6.18K | — | — |
| 2025-06-10 | Skidmore Constance Ellen | Buy | 6.18K | — | — |
| 2025-06-10 | Skidmore Constance Ellen | Sell | 138 | $28.33 | 3.91K |
| 2025-06-10 | TEICH ANDREW C | Buy | 6.18K | — | — |
| 2025-06-10 | TEICH ANDREW C | Sell | 397 | $28.33 | 11.25K |
Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.
Institutions holding: 486, holders +47 vs prior quarter. Ownership 107.45%.
| Holder | Shares | Change | Change % | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BLACKROCK, INC. | 13.60M | 149.84K | +1.11% | 649.42M |
| JUPITER TOPCO LLC | 10.93M | 10.93M | New | 521.57M |
| PRICE T ROWE ASSOCIATES INC /MD/ | 9.53M | 883.01K | +10.22% | 454.73M |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | 7.70M | -43.45K | -0.56% | 367.71M |
| DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP | 7.48M | 92.01K | +1.24% | 357.24M |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 6.56M | 15.04K | +0.23% | 312.98M |
| FULLER & THALER ASSET MANAGEMENT, INC. | 5.72M | -1.14M | -16.58% | 273.29M |
| STATE STREET CORP | 4.76M | 3.58K | +0.08% | 227.15M |
| BARROW HANLEY MEWHINNEY & STRAUSS LLC | 3.79M | -357.48K | -8.61% | 181.05M |
| WOODLINE PARTNERS LP | 3.45M | -439.34K | -11.29% | 164.77M |
| FMR LLC | 3.13M | 2.16M | +222.82% | 149.57M |
| BOSTON PARTNERS | 2.89M | 303.47K | +11.75% | 137.13M |
| BANK OF NEW YORK MELLON CORP | 2.82M | 1.47M | +108.26% | 134.83M |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 2.79M | 8.31K | +0.30% | 133.42M |
| AMERICAN CENTURY COMPANIES INC | 2.78M | -563.93K | -16.88% | 132.57M |
| QUANTINNO CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LP | 2.70M | 297.06K | +12.37% | 128.86M |
| PZENA INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LLC | 2.25M | -1.23M | -35.33% | 107.51M |
| ALLIANZ ASSET MANAGEMENT GMBH | 1.89M | -2.26K | -0.12% | 90.16M |
| BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/ | 1.80M | 31.69K | +1.79% | 85.84M |
| NORGES BANK | 1.77M | 1.77M | New | 84.64M |
| VICTORY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC | 1.70M | 5.89K | +0.35% | 81.17M |
| JANE STREET GROUP, LLC | 1.67M | 1.67M | New | 79.82M |
| NORTHERN TRUST CORP | 1.64M | 7.76K | +0.48% | 78.17M |
| SIXTH STREET PARTNERS MANAGEMENT COMPANY, L.P. | 1.61M | 1.61M | New | 76.92M |
| CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC | 1.61M | -32.69K | -1.99% | 76.92M |
Consensus Buy from 11 analysts. Average price target $53.63, +29.4% versus the current price. Low $48.00. High $60.00.
Insights · Dividends · Forecast · Financials · Learn
Analysts have an average 12-month price target of $53.63 for Sensata Technologies Holding (ST), 29.4% above the current price of $41.44. Of 11 analysts covering the stock, 6 rate it Buy or Strong Buy, 5 Hold, and 0 Sell or Strong Sell, giving a consensus of Buy.
Forecasts are third-party estimates and often wrong. They are not investment advice.
| Low | $48.00 |
|---|---|
| Average | $53.63 |
| High | $60.00 |
The average is 29.4% above the current price of $41.44.
Of 11 analysts, 6 rate Sensata Technologies Holding Buy or Strong Buy, 5 Hold, and 0 Sell or Strong Sell. The consensus label is Buy. That split is not a recommendation.
Analyst averages on file: 2026, EPS $3.76, revenue $3.87 billion. 2027, EPS $4.08, revenue $4.04 billion.
The Stocklytics Score for ST is 65 out of 100. It averages value, quality, and growth against a large-cap US universe. It is not a price target and not a buy or sell rating. Fair value is a separate estimate on the fair value tab.
$53.63 average, with a published range of $48.00 to $60.00.
The consensus is Buy from 11 analysts. This is not a recommendation.
Analysts' average EPS estimate for 2026 on file is $3.76. The average revenue estimate is $3.87 billion.
No reliable forecast exists that far out.
The next earnings date is shown on the stock page when a future report is on the calendar. This forecast does not invent a date.
Related: Sensata Technologies Holding · Financials · Dividends · Compare · AI stocks
Capital is at risk. Stocklytics is operated by Stocklytics Inc., a Marshall Islands company. It is not regulated by the FCA and does not give investment advice.
$6.03B
Market Cap
16.86
P/E
11.01
Forward P/E
65
Score