Suncor Energy (SU) Stock Insights
$91.56B
Market Cap
14.84
P/E
6.10
Forward P/E
66
Score
SU price $77.55 +1.32 +1.74%
Stocklytics score rationale: value 60, quality 57, growth 81.
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26807000000 | 31954000000 | 38542000000 | 38344000000 | 24662000000 | 39132000000 | 58336000000 | 49092000000 | 50689000000 | 48908000000 |
Suncor Energy Inc. operates as a fully integrated energy enterprise. Its primary focus involves the development of hydrocarbon resources, particularly within Canada's Athabasca oil sands region. Globally, the company undertakes the exploration, acquisition, development, production, transportation, refining, and marketing of crude oil. Domestically, it distributes petroleum and petrochemical products, predominantly…
SU fair value $178.72. Price $77.55. Price is 57% below fair value.
Below fair value, but more expensive than usual. A smaller discount than on 86% of days in the past 5 years.
Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.
Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 10.33B. Growth 0.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 8.70% (beta 0.8). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 1.18B. Net debt 14.72B. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, kept between 8 and 40. Fewer than five years of history uses the sector's typical P/E. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.
| Date | EPS actual | EPS estimate | Revenue | Revenue estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-03 | — | 2.35 | — | 11.93B |
| 2026-08-04 | 2.27 | 2.14 | 12.34B | 11.68B |
| 2026-05-05 | 1.41 | 1.45 | 10.41B | 9.22B |
| 2026-02-03 | 0.79 | 0.77 | 8.77B | 8.93B |
| 2025-11-04 | 1.07 | 0.85 | 9.00B | 8.78B |
| 2025-08-05 | 0.51 | 0.50 | 9.36B | 8.82B |
| 2025-05-06 | 0.91 | 0.86 | 8.65B | 9.58B |
| 2025-02-05 | 0.89 | 0.82 | 8.71B | 8.87B |
| 2024-11-12 | 1.08 | 0.88 | 9.50B | 9.30B |
| 2024-08-06 | 0.93 | 0.76 | 9.43B | 6.86B |
| 2024-05-07 | 1.05 | 0.90 | 9.12B | 6.93B |
| 2024-02-21 | 0.93 | 0.79 | 9.64B | 7.54B |
| 2023-11-08 | 1.13 | 0.88 | 9.34B | 9.82B |
| 2023-08-14 | 0.71 | 0.59 | 8.85B | 6.37B |
| 2023-05-08 | 1.01 | 0.93 | 8.80B | 6.54B |
| 2023-02-14 | 1.33 | 1.26 | 10.37B | 9.71B |
| 2022-11-02 | 1.44 | 1.40 | 10.91B | 9.44B |
| 2022-08-04 | 2.71 | 2.51 | 12.53B | 10.36B |
| 2022-05-09 | 1.92 | 1.57 | 10.67B | 9.45B |
| 2022-02-02 | 0.89 | 0.94 | 8.74B | 8.64B |
| 2021-10-27 | 0.56 | 0.58 | 8.00B | 7.54B |
| 2021-07-28 | 0.48 | 0.49 | 7.39B | 7.54B |
| 2021-05-03 | 0.49 | 0.29 | 6.91B | 6.67B |
| 2021-02-03 | -0.09 | -0.17 | 5.18B | 8.76B |
| 2020-10-28 | 0.15 | -0.07 | 4.83B | 4.34B |
| 2020-07-22 | -0.71 | -0.44 | 3.12B | 2.76B |
| 2020-05-05 | -0.15 | -0.19 | 5.23B | 5.91B |
| 2020-02-05 | 0.39 | 0.50 | 7.13B | 12.09B |
| 2019-10-30 | 0.55 | 0.54 | 7.36B | 9.80B |
| 2019-07-24 | 0.60 | 0.69 | 7.67B | 11.33B |
| 2019-05-01 | 0.58 | 0.39 | 6.71B | 6.18B |
| 2019-02-05 | 0.27 | 0.38 | 6.78B | 10.70B |
| 2018-10-31 | 0.73 | 0.71 | 8.36B | 11.30B |
| 2018-07-25 | 0.57 | 0.57 | 7.80B | 9.90B |
| 2018-05-01 | 0.48 | 0.45 | 6.83B | 7.78B |
| 2018-02-08 | 0.79 | 0.71 | 7.05B | 8.06B |
| 2017-10-25 | 0.52 | 0.35 | 6.40B | 5.36B |
| 2017-07-26 | 0.09 | 0.14 | 5.55B | 13.86B |
| 2017-04-26 | 0.37 | 0.23 | 5.86B | 4.93B |
| 2017-02-08 | 0.29 | 0.21 | 5.80B | 3.09B |
Yield 2.24%. Payout ratio 31.65%. Frequency Quarterly.
Safety score 100/100 · Safe. Payout ratio is 32% of earnings. Dividends use less than 40% of free cash flow. Dividends were paid in 36 separate years. Yield is 2.2%, in a range that is usually sustainable.
| Ex-date | Dividend | Record | Payment | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | $0.43 | 2026-09-04 | 2026-09-25 | Quarterly |
| 2026-06-04 | $0.43 | 2026-06-04 | 2026-06-25 | Quarterly |
| 2026-03-04 | $0.44 | 2026-03-04 | 2026-03-25 | Quarterly |
| 2025-12-03 | $0.43 | 2025-12-03 | 2025-12-24 | Quarterly |
| 2025-09-04 | $0.42 | 2025-09-04 | 2025-09-25 | Quarterly |
| 2025-06-04 | $0.41 | 2025-06-04 | 2025-06-25 | Quarterly |
| 2025-03-04 | $0.39 | 2025-03-04 | 2025-03-25 | Quarterly |
| 2024-12-03 | $0.41 | 2024-12-03 | 2024-12-24 | Quarterly |
| 2024-09-04 | $0.40 | 2024-09-04 | 2024-09-25 | Quarterly |
| 2024-06-04 | $0.40 | 2024-06-04 | 2024-06-25 | Quarterly |
| 2024-03-01 | $0.40 | 2024-03-04 | 2024-03-25 | Quarterly |
| 2023-11-30 | $0.40 | 2023-12-01 | 2023-12-22 | Quarterly |
| 2023-08-31 | $0.38 | 2023-09-01 | 2023-09-25 | Quarterly |
| 2023-06-02 | $0.39 | 2023-06-05 | 2023-06-26 | Quarterly |
| 2023-03-02 | $0.38 | 2023-03-03 | 2023-03-24 | Quarterly |
| 2022-12-01 | $0.39 | 2022-12-02 | 2022-12-23 | Quarterly |
| 2022-09-01 | $0.36 | 2022-09-02 | 2022-09-26 | Quarterly |
| 2022-06-02 | $0.37 | 2022-06-03 | 2022-06-24 | Quarterly |
| 2022-03-03 | $0.33 | 2022-03-04 | 2022-03-25 | Quarterly |
| 2021-12-02 | $0.33 | 2021-12-03 | 2021-12-24 | Quarterly |
| 2021-09-02 | $0.17 | 2021-09-03 | 2021-09-24 | Quarterly |
| 2021-06-03 | $0.17 | 2021-06-04 | 2021-06-25 | Quarterly |
| 2021-03-03 | $0.17 | 2021-03-04 | 2021-03-25 | Quarterly |
| 2020-12-02 | $0.16 | 2020-12-03 | 2020-12-24 | Quarterly |
| 2020-09-03 | $0.16 | 2020-09-04 | 2020-09-25 | Quarterly |
| 2020-06-03 | $0.15 | 2020-06-04 | 2020-06-25 | Quarterly |
| 2020-03-03 | $0.35 | 2020-03-04 | 2020-03-25 | Quarterly |
| 2019-12-02 | $0.32 | 2019-12-03 | 2019-12-24 | Quarterly |
| 2019-09-03 | $0.31 | 2019-09-04 | 2019-09-25 | Quarterly |
| 2019-06-03 | $0.31 | 2019-06-04 | 2019-06-25 | Quarterly |
| 2019-03-01 | $0.32 | 2019-03-04 | 2019-03-25 | Quarterly |
| 2018-11-30 | $0.27 | 2018-12-03 | 2018-12-24 | Quarterly |
| 2018-08-31 | $0.36 | 2018-09-04 | 2018-09-25 | Quarterly |
| 2018-06-01 | $0.28 | 2018-06-04 | 2018-06-25 | Quarterly |
| 2018-03-02 | $0.28 | 2018-03-05 | 2018-03-26 | Quarterly |
| 2017-11-30 | $0.25 | 2017-12-01 | 2017-12-22 | Quarterly |
| 2017-08-31 | $0.25 | 2017-09-05 | 2017-09-25 | Quarterly |
| 2017-06-01 | $0.24 | 2017-06-05 | 2017-06-26 | Quarterly |
| 2017-03-01 | $0.24 | 2017-03-03 | 2017-03-24 | Quarterly |
| 2016-11-30 | $0.29 | 2016-12-02 | 2016-12-23 | Quarterly |
| 2016-09-01 | $0.22 | 2016-09-06 | 2016-09-26 | Quarterly |
| 2016-06-01 | $0.22 | 2016-06-03 | 2016-06-24 | Quarterly |
| 2016-03-02 | $0.22 | 2016-03-04 | 2016-03-25 | Quarterly |
| 2015-11-30 | $0.22 | 2015-12-02 | 2015-12-24 | Quarterly |
| 2015-09-02 | $0.22 | 2015-09-04 | 2015-09-25 | Quarterly |
| 2015-06-02 | $0.22 | 2015-06-04 | 2015-06-25 | Quarterly |
| 2015-03-02 | $0.22 | 2015-03-04 | 2015-03-25 | Quarterly |
| 2014-12-01 | $0.24 | 2014-12-03 | 2014-12-24 | Quarterly |
| 2014-09-02 | $0.26 | 2014-09-04 | 2014-09-25 | Quarterly |
| 2014-06-02 | $0.21 | 2014-06-04 | 2014-06-25 | Quarterly |
| 2014-02-28 | $0.21 | 2014-03-04 | 2014-03-25 | Quarterly |
| 2013-11-29 | $0.19 | 2013-12-03 | 2013-12-24 | Quarterly |
| 2013-08-30 | $0.19 | 2013-09-04 | 2013-09-25 | Quarterly |
| 2013-05-31 | $0.19 | 2013-06-04 | 2013-06-25 | Quarterly |
| 2013-02-28 | $0.13 | 2013-03-04 | 2013-03-25 | Quarterly |
| 2012-11-29 | $0.13 | 2012-12-03 | 2012-12-24 | Quarterly |
| 2012-08-30 | $0.13 | 2012-09-04 | 2012-09-25 | Quarterly |
| 2012-05-31 | $0.13 | 2012-06-04 | 2012-06-25 | Quarterly |
| 2012-03-01 | $0.11 | 2012-03-05 | 2012-03-26 | Quarterly |
| 2011-11-30 | $0.11 | 2011-12-02 | 2011-12-23 | Quarterly |
| 2011-09-01 | $0.11 | 2011-09-06 | 2011-09-26 | Quarterly |
| 2011-06-01 | $0.12 | 2011-06-03 | 2011-06-24 | Quarterly |
| 2011-03-02 | $0.10 | 2011-03-04 | 2011-03-25 | Quarterly |
| 2010-12-01 | $0.10 | 2010-12-03 | 2010-12-24 | Quarterly |
| 2010-09-01 | $0.09 | 2010-09-03 | 2010-09-24 | Quarterly |
| 2010-06-02 | $0.10 | 2010-06-04 | 2010-06-25 | Quarterly |
| 2010-03-03 | $0.09 | 2010-03-05 | 2010-03-25 | Quarterly |
| 2009-11-30 | $0.09 | 2009-12-02 | 2009-12-23 | Quarterly |
| 2009-09-02 | $0.09 | 2009-09-04 | 2009-09-25 | Quarterly |
| 2009-06-02 | $0.05 | 2009-06-04 | 2009-06-25 | Quarterly |
| 2009-03-02 | $0.04 | 2009-03-04 | 2009-03-25 | Quarterly |
| 2008-12-01 | $0.04 | 2008-12-03 | 2008-12-24 | Quarterly |
| 2008-09-02 | $0.05 | 2008-09-04 | 2008-09-25 | Quarterly |
| 2008-06-02 | $0.05 | 2008-06-04 | 2008-06-25 | Quarterly |
| 2008-02-29 | $0.05 | 2008-03-04 | 2008-03-25 | Quarterly |
| 2007-11-29 | $0.05 | 2007-12-03 | 2007-12-24 | Quarterly |
| 2007-08-30 | $0.05 | 2007-09-04 | 2007-09-25 | Quarterly |
| 2007-05-31 | $0.05 | 2007-06-04 | 2007-06-25 | Quarterly |
| 2007-03-01 | $0.03 | 2007-03-05 | 2007-03-26 | Quarterly |
| 2006-11-29 | $0.04 | 2006-12-01 | 2006-12-22 | Quarterly |
| Date | Insider | Action | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No data yet. | |||||
Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.
Institutions holding: 821, holders +7 vs prior quarter. Ownership 67.31%.
| Holder | Shares | Change | Change % | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROYAL BANK OF CANADA | 66.55M | 59.44M | +835.95% | 3.57B |
| BANK OF MONTREAL /CAN/ | 42.58M | 6.11M | +16.75% | 2.29B |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 34.20M | -13.12K | -0.04% | 1.84B |
| ELLIOTT INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT L.P. | 29.45M | -23.22M | -44.08% | 1.58B |
| FIL LTD | 28.84M | -242.92K | -0.84% | 1.55B |
| ARROWSTREET CAPITAL, LIMITED PARTNERSHIP | 26.75M | 663.72K | +2.54% | 1.44B |
| DODGE & COX | 25.37M | -895.90K | -3.41% | 1.36B |
| FMR LLC | 22.78M | -4.39M | -16.15% | 1.23B |
| MACKENZIE FINANCIAL CORP | 14.11M | -51.07K | -0.36% | 1.08B |
| TD ASSET MANAGEMENT INC | 19.09M | -6.40M | -25.12% | 1.03B |
| 1832 ASSET MANAGEMENT L.P. | 17.15M | 960.80K | +5.93% | 920.77M |
| PRINCIPAL FINANCIAL GROUP INC | 15.92M | -1.76M | -9.93% | 856.44M |
| CONNOR, CLARK & LUNN INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LTD. | 15.20M | 676.00K | +4.66% | 816.55M |
| MANUFACTURERS LIFE INSURANCE COMPANY, THE | 14.73M | 286.76K | +1.99% | 790.95M |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 13.71M | 1.46M | +11.90% | 760.87M |
| DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP | 12.73M | 123.79K | +0.98% | 683.55M |
| INVESCO LTD. | 11.88M | -2.87M | -19.44% | 637.77M |
| TD WATERHOUSE CANADA INC. | 11.66M | 239.21K | +2.09% | 625.50M |
| BARCLAYS PLC | 11.56M | 3.73M | +47.61% | 620.59M |
| NATIONAL BANK OF CANADA /FI/ | 11.15M | 899.43K | +8.78% | 598.71M |
| CIBC WORLD MARKET INC. | 11.09M | -1.14M | -9.32% | 596.34M |
| FEDERATION DES CAISSES DESJARDINS DU QUEBEC | 11.03M | 2.47M | +28.82% | 590.99M |
| CIBC ASSET MANAGEMENT INC | 10.90M | -526.70K | -4.61% | 588.27M |
| ARTISAN PARTNERS LIMITED PARTNERSHIP | 10.86M | -6.41M | -37.11% | 584.06M |
| GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC | 10.86M | 2.14M | +24.51% | 582.90M |
Insights · Dividends · Forecast · Financials · Learn
$91.56B
Market Cap
14.84
P/E
6.10
Forward P/E
66
Score