Bio-Techne (TECH) Fair Value & DCF
Score
TECH fair value $53.80. Price $72.82. Price is 35% above fair value.
Worked example
Cash-flow value. Starting free cash flow is $1.96 a share. Year 1 is the first earnings forecast, so it has no growth rate of its own. The forecast then reaches 14.11%, and that pace fades in a straight line to 3% terminal growth by year 10. The discount rate is 11.38% (beta 1.29). It is beta-adjusted and capped at 12%. The cash-flow value is $44.00 a share.
Earnings value. Next-twelve-months earnings per share of $2.12 times 30.00 is $63.60. The peer group is Biotechnology, 11 companies worth at least $10 billion. Peer median 24.5. Own 10-year median 58.4. The multiple used is the average of the two, kept between 8 and 30, which is 30.00.
Fair value is the average of the two, $53.80. The price is $72.82, which is 35.4% above fair value.