Target Hospitality (TH) Stock Insights

TH price $14.11 -0.12 -0.84%

Ticker
TH
Price
$14.11
Change
-0.12 -0.84%
Market cap ?
$1.41B
Beta ?
1.49
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Specialty Business Services

Fair value

TH fair value $16.64. Price $14.11. Price is 15% below fair value.

Below fair value, around its usual discount.

Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.

Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 89.01M. Growth 20.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 12.00% (beta 1.5). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 99.62M. Net debt 2.35M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.

Compare TH

Earnings

DateEPS actualEPS estimateRevenueRevenue estimate
2026-11-05—-0.00—118.35M
2026-08-10-0.09-0.1185.45M79.30M
2026-05-11-0.13-0.1172.78M73.20M
2026-03-11-0.15-0.1089.78M85.83M
2025-11-06-0.01-0.0499.36M85.20M
2025-08-07-0.15-0.1161.61M85.30M
2025-05-19-0.05-0.0269.90M65.37M
2025-03-260.120.0683.69M73.00M
2024-11-120.200.1295.19M80.10M
2024-08-070.180.17100.72M100.63M
2024-05-080.200.15106.67M101.97M
2024-03-130.290.24126.22M118.00M
2023-11-080.430.43145.94M124.30M
2023-08-090.440.37143.63M136.13M
2023-05-090.380.39147.82M137.63M
2023-03-100.310.39152.44M148.27M
2022-11-090.200.55159.56M158.20M
2022-08-090.240.17109.65M104.60M
2022-05-100.010.0180.33M79.77M
2022-03-100.030.0081.69M75.40M
2021-11-120.070.0289.17M75.35M
2021-08-11-0.01-0.0074.99M72.03M
2021-05-24-0.14-0.0945.49M40.93M
2021-03-30-0.10-0.1151.61M—
2020-11-09-0.08-0.1148.26M64.35M
2020-08-10-0.15-0.1253.62M39.32M
2020-05-280.050.0671.66M85.99M
2020-03-110.070.0876.11M86.99M
2019-11-120.110.1581.64M111.33M
2019-08-130.130.1581.36M93.87M
2019-05-070.21—81.98M—
2019-04-120.02—96.15M—
2018-11-050.05—60.33M—
2018-08-130.05—45.48M—
2018-05-150.03—38.65M—
2017-12-31-0.00—39.12M—
2017-09-30-0.00—36.55M—
2017-06-300.09—29.28M—
2017-03-310.09—29.28M—

Dividends

Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency —.

Safety score 37/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. No dividend history was found. There is no dividend yield.

Ex-dateDividendRecordPaymentFrequency
No data yet.

Insider trades

DateInsiderActionSharesPriceValue
2026-10-22TDR Capital II Investments LPSell1.92M——
2026-10-22Robertson StephenBuy246.10K$0.0025
2026-10-22Robertson StephenBuy189.56K$0.0019
2026-10-22Robertson StephenBuy178.36K$0.0018
2026-10-22Robertson StephenBuy56.27K$0.006
2026-10-01TDR Capital II Investments LPSell11.00M$18.40202.40M
2026-09-25Robertson StephenBuy465.11K$0.0047
2026-09-25Robertson StephenBuy146.74K$0.0015
2026-09-25Robertson StephenBuy247.70K$0.0025
2026-09-25Robertson StephenBuy78.15K$0.008
2026-09-25TDR Capital II Investments LPSell2.65M——
2026-09-18Schrenk Troy C.Buy5.91K$21.16124.99K
2026-09-15Archer James BradleyBuy13.38K$18.69250.17K
2026-09-10TDR Capital II Investments LPSell16.10M$17.71285.13M
2026-08-04Smyth Margaret MaryBuy6.96K——
2026-08-04Sanchack ErichBuy6.96K——
2026-08-04Smyth Margaret MaryOther0——
2026-08-04Sanchack ErichOther0——
2026-06-18Robertson StephenBuy244.52K$0.0024
2026-06-18Robertson StephenBuy77.15K$0.008
2026-06-18Robertson StephenBuy41.52K$0.004
2026-06-18Robertson StephenBuy13.10K$0.001
2026-06-18TDR Capital II Investments LPSell1.34M——
2026-06-17Robertson StephenBuy348.48K$0.0035
2026-06-17Robertson StephenBuy31.67K$0.003
2026-05-29TDR Capital II Investments LPSell8.05M$16.36131.70M
2026-05-28Robertson StephenBuy225.46K——
2026-05-28Robertson StephenBuy71.13K——
2026-05-28Robertson StephenBuy233.53K$0.0023
2026-05-28Robertson StephenBuy58.82K$0.006
2026-05-28Robertson StephenBuy73.68K$0.007
2026-05-28Robertson StephenBuy18.56K$0.002
2026-05-28TDR Capital II Investments LPSell1.20M——
2026-05-21HERNANDEZ ALEJANDROBuy16.06K$0.002
2026-05-21HERNANDEZ ALEJANDROBuy7.60K——
2026-05-21HERNANDEZ ALEJANDROSell16.06K——
2026-05-21PATENAUDE PAMELA H.Buy16.06K$0.002
2026-05-21PATENAUDE PAMELA H.Buy7.60K——
2026-05-21PATENAUDE PAMELA H.Sell16.06K——
2026-05-21Hohnsbeen PaulBuy7.60K——
2026-05-21Hohnsbeen PaulBuy347$0.000
2026-05-21Hohnsbeen PaulSell347——
2026-05-21Medler Linda RBuy16.06K$0.002
2026-05-21Medler Linda RBuy7.60K——
2026-05-21Medler Linda RSell16.06K——
2026-05-21Jimmerson Martin L.Buy16.06K$0.002
2026-05-21Jimmerson Martin L.Buy7.60K——
2026-05-21Jimmerson Martin L.Sell16.06K——
2026-05-21Robertson StephenBuy20.95K$0.002
2026-05-21Robertson StephenBuy9.57K——
2026-05-21Robertson StephenSell20.95K——
2026-05-05Hohnsbeen PaulBuy347——
2026-05-05Hohnsbeen PaulOther0——
2026-04-23TDR Capital II Investments LPSell8.05M$13.27106.78M
2026-03-01Vlacich Jason PaulBuy9.89K$0.001
2026-03-01Vlacich Jason PaulBuy1.92K$0.000
2026-03-01Vlacich Jason PaulSell468$7.793.65K
2026-03-01Vlacich Jason PaulSell2.41K$7.7918.75K
2026-03-01Vlacich Jason PaulSell9.89K——
2026-03-01Vlacich Jason PaulSell1.92K——
2026-03-01Schuck MarkBuy1.15K$0.000
2026-03-01Schuck MarkSell281$7.792.19K
2026-03-01Schuck MarkBuy1.58K$0.000
2026-03-01Schuck MarkSell385$7.793.00K
2026-03-01Schuck MarkSell1.58K——
2026-03-01Schuck MarkSell1.15K——
2026-03-01Schrenk Troy C.Buy3.85K$0.000
2026-03-01Schrenk Troy C.Sell936$7.797.29K
2026-03-01Schrenk Troy C.Buy7.25K$0.001
2026-03-01Schrenk Troy C.Sell1.76K$7.7913.75K
2026-03-01Schrenk Troy C.Sell7.25K——
2026-03-01Schrenk Troy C.Sell3.85K——
2026-03-01Lewis Heidi DianeBuy1.92K$0.000
2026-03-01Lewis Heidi DianeSell468$7.793.65K
2026-03-01Lewis Heidi DianeBuy4.62K$0.000
2026-03-01Lewis Heidi DianeSell1.12K$7.798.75K
2026-03-01Lewis Heidi DianeSell4.62K——
2026-03-01Lewis Heidi DianeSell1.92K——
2026-03-01Archer James BradleyBuy14.42K$0.001
2026-03-01Archer James BradleyBuy25.05K$0.003
2026-03-01Archer James BradleySell5.67K$7.7944.21K
2026-03-01Archer James BradleySell9.86K$7.7976.79K
2026-03-01Archer James BradleySell25.05K——
2026-03-01Archer James BradleySell14.42K——
2026-02-27Vlacich Jason PaulBuy13.39K$0.001
2026-02-27Vlacich Jason PaulSell3.26K$7.7925.40K
2026-02-27Vlacich Jason PaulSell13.39K——
2026-02-27Dowhaniuk BrendanSell7.81K——
2026-02-27Dowhaniuk BrendanBuy7.81K$0.001
2026-02-27Schuck MarkBuy2.68K$0.000
2026-02-27Schuck MarkSell652$7.795.08K
2026-02-27Schuck MarkSell2.68K——
2026-02-27Schrenk Troy C.Buy12.28K$0.001
2026-02-27Schrenk Troy C.Sell2.99K$7.7923.28K
2026-02-27Schrenk Troy C.Sell12.28K——
2026-02-27Lewis Heidi DianeBuy8.93K$0.001
2026-02-27Lewis Heidi DianeSell2.17K$7.7916.94K
2026-02-27Lewis Heidi DianeSell8.93K——
2026-02-27Archer James BradleyBuy42.41K$0.004
2026-02-27Archer James BradleySell16.69K$7.79130.00K

Institutional holders

Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.

Institutions holding: 184, holders +42 vs prior quarter. Ownership 51.07%.

HolderSharesChangeChange %Value
PRIVATE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC3.26M-1.40M-30.03%66.40M
BLACKROCK, INC.3.16M675.00K+27.18%64.31M
OPHIR ASSET MANAGEMENT PTY LTD2.69M2.69MNew54.78M
RUBRIC CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LP2.59M396.93K+18.13%52.66M
WESTFIELD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT CO LP2.10M2.10MNew42.83M
COOPER CREEK PARTNERS MANAGEMENT LLC2.05M1.33M+183.64%41.79M
HIGHTOWER ADVISORS, LLC1.84M238.28K+14.86%37.51M
ARROWSTREET CAPITAL, LIMITED PARTNERSHIP1.84M760.81K+70.37%37.50M
DRIEHAUS CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC1.68M1.68MNew34.20M
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC1.53M120.34K+8.56%31.07M
SENATOR INVESTMENT GROUP LP1.40M1.40MNew28.49M
AMERICAN CENTURY COMPANIES INC1.36M191.98K+16.42%27.71M
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP1.34M-93.32K-6.53%27.19M
POINT72 ASSET MANAGEMENT, L.P.1.19M1.19MNew24.24M
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC1.03M181.54K+21.49%20.90M
JENNISON ASSOCIATES LLC938.27K938.27KNew19.10M
71 WEST CAPITAL PARTNERS907.32K00.00%18.47M
RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC885.04K-66.26K-6.96%18.02M
STATE STREET CORP867.73K100.05K+13.03%17.67M
MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC795.64K567.32K+248.47%16.20M
TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP726.83K633.39K+677.84%14.80M
QUBE RESEARCH & TECHNOLOGIES LTD699.71K699.71KNew14.25M
UBS GROUP AG680.22K619.00K+1011.08%13.85M
HOOD RIVER CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC673.85K673.85KNew13.72M
KR CAPITAL LP556.09K418.40K+303.87%11.32M

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Target Hospitality (TH) Stock Insights

TH$14.11-0.12 -0.84%

$1.41B

Market Cap

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P/E

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Forward P/E

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Score

Price History