Talen Energy (TLN) Stock Insights
$16.45B
Market Cap
-83.61
P/E
17.82
Forward P/E
49
Score
TLN price $347.75 +2.02 +0.58%
Stocklytics score rationale: value 31, quality 21, growth 94.
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1775000000 | 2412000000 | 2439000000 | 2073000000 | 2626000000 |
Talen Energy Corporation functions as an independent power producer and infrastructure enterprise, providing electricity, capacity, and essential ancillary services to wholesale energy markets across the United States. The company's diverse generation assets include nuclear, fossil fuel, solar, and coal-powered facilities. Additionally, it is currently engaged in the development of battery energy storage projects…
TLN fair value $420.62. Price $347.75. Price is 17% below fair value.
Above fair value, around its usual premium.
Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.
Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 326.33M. Growth 14.04%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 12.00% (beta 1.6). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 47.30M. Net debt 6.07B. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.
| Date | EPS actual | EPS estimate | Revenue | Revenue estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-03 | — | 8.28 | — | 1.29B |
| 2026-08-05 | -2.00 | 3.21 | 747.00M | 832.81M |
| 2026-05-05 | 1.33 | 5.01 | 1.13B | 1.05B |
| 2026-02-26 | -7.60 | 2.62 | 749.00M | 663.98M |
| 2025-11-05 | 4.25 | 3.18 | 812.00M | 745.48M |
| 2025-08-07 | 1.50 | -1.04 | 630.00M | 391.98M |
| 2025-05-08 | -2.94 | 1.03 | 390.00M | 491.97M |
| 2025-02-27 | 2.07 | 0.77 | 467.00M | 430.62M |
| 2024-11-14 | 3.16 | 0.60 | 650.00M | 522.09M |
| 2024-08-13 | 7.60 | -1.13 | 489.00M | 437.50M |
| 2024-05-13 | 4.84 | 0.83 | 509.00M | 597.00M |
| 2024-03-14 | 3.08 | -0.19 | 527.00M | 507.00M |
| 2023-11-14 | -1.30 | -0.19 | 516.00M | 507.00M |
| 2023-08-14 | 8.61 | — | 650.00M | — |
| 2016-11-10 | 0.68 | 0.62 | — | — |
| 2016-08-04 | -0.02 | -0.27 | — | — |
| 2016-05-10 | 1.17 | 0.36 | — | — |
| 2016-02-25 | -0.17 | 0.06 | — | — |
| 2015-11-05 | -0.22 | 0.38 | — | — |
| 2015-08-11 | 0.25 | -0.09 | — | — |
Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency —.
Safety score 37/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. No dividend history was found. There is no dividend yield.
| Ex-date | Dividend | Record | Payment | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No data yet. | ||||
| Date | Insider | Action | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | Nutt Terry L | Buy | 8.31K | $0.00 | 8 |
| 2026-07-15 | Nutt Terry L | Sell | 3.27K | $385.80 | 1.26M |
| 2026-07-15 | Nutt Terry L | Sell | 20.78K | — | — |
| 2026-06-15 | ABBAS GIZMAN I | Sell | 2.60K | $380.00 | 988.00K |
| 2026-06-08 | McFarland Mark Allen | Buy | 260.33K | — | — |
| 2026-06-08 | McFarland Mark Allen | Sell | 260.33K | — | — |
| 2026-05-22 | McFarland Mark Allen | Buy | 325.11K | — | — |
| 2026-05-22 | McFarland Mark Allen | Sell | 139.64K | $324.21 | 45.27M |
| 2026-05-22 | McFarland Mark Allen | Buy | 29.75K | $0.00 | 30 |
| 2026-05-22 | McFarland Mark Allen | Sell | 74.38K | — | — |
| 2026-05-22 | McFarland Mark Allen | Sell | 812.78K | — | — |
| 2026-05-22 | Berryman Brad | Buy | 90.83K | — | — |
| 2026-05-22 | Berryman Brad | Sell | 43.05K | $324.21 | 13.96M |
| 2026-05-22 | Berryman Brad | Buy | 8.31K | $0.00 | 8 |
| 2026-05-22 | Berryman Brad | Sell | 20.78K | — | — |
| 2026-05-22 | Berryman Brad | Sell | 227.06K | — | — |
| 2026-05-22 | Wright Andrew M | Buy | 87.52K | — | — |
| 2026-05-22 | Wright Andrew M | Sell | 37.59K | $324.21 | 12.19M |
| 2026-05-22 | Wright Andrew M | Buy | 8.01K | $0.00 | 8 |
| 2026-05-22 | Wright Andrew M | Sell | 20.02K | — | — |
| 2026-05-22 | Wright Andrew M | Sell | 218.81K | — | — |
| 2026-05-22 | Lebsack Dale E Jr. | Buy | 78.44K | — | — |
| 2026-05-22 | Lebsack Dale E Jr. | Sell | 33.69K | $324.21 | 10.92M |
| 2026-05-22 | Lebsack Dale E Jr. | Buy | 7.18K | $0.00 | 7 |
| 2026-05-22 | Lebsack Dale E Jr. | Sell | 17.95K | — | — |
| 2026-05-22 | Lebsack Dale E Jr. | Sell | 196.10K | — | — |
| 2026-05-22 | Muller Cole | Buy | 57.59K | — | — |
| 2026-05-22 | Muller Cole | Sell | 27.34K | $324.21 | 8.86M |
| 2026-05-22 | Muller Cole | Buy | 5.27K | $0.00 | 5 |
| 2026-05-22 | Muller Cole | Sell | 13.18K | — | — |
| 2026-05-22 | Muller Cole | Sell | 143.98K | — | — |
| 2026-05-22 | Morice Christopher E | Buy | 61.41K | — | — |
| 2026-05-22 | Morice Christopher E | Sell | 26.38K | $324.21 | 8.55M |
| 2026-05-22 | Morice Christopher E | Buy | 5.62K | $0.00 | 6 |
| 2026-05-22 | Morice Christopher E | Sell | 153.53K | — | — |
| 2026-05-22 | Morice Christopher E | Sell | 14.05K | — | — |
| 2026-05-22 | Casulli Edward T. | Buy | 3.83K | — | — |
| 2026-05-22 | Casulli Edward T. | Sell | 2.77K | $324.21 | 899.36K |
| 2026-05-22 | Casulli Edward T. | Buy | 2.55K | $0.00 | 3 |
| 2026-05-22 | Casulli Edward T. | Sell | 6.38K | — | — |
| 2026-05-22 | Casulli Edward T. | Sell | 9.56K | — | — |
| 2026-05-22 | Plagens Anthony J | Buy | 3.40K | — | — |
| 2026-05-22 | Plagens Anthony J | Sell | 2.23K | $324.21 | 723.31K |
| 2026-05-22 | Plagens Anthony J | Buy | 2.27K | $0.00 | 2 |
| 2026-05-22 | Plagens Anthony J | Sell | 5.67K | — | — |
| 2026-05-22 | Plagens Anthony J | Sell | 8.50K | — | — |
| 2026-05-22 | Nutt Terry L | Buy | 90.83K | — | — |
| 2026-05-22 | Nutt Terry L | Sell | 35.74K | $324.21 | 11.59M |
| 2026-05-22 | Nutt Terry L | Sell | 227.06K | — | — |
| 2026-05-22 | Olagues Darren J | Buy | 7.39K | $0.00 | 7 |
| 2026-05-22 | Olagues Darren J | Sell | 2.91K | $324.21 | 943.78K |
| 2026-05-22 | Olagues Darren J | Sell | 18.49K | — | — |
| 2026-05-22 | SCHAEFER STEPHEN | Buy | 18.35K | — | — |
| 2026-05-22 | SCHAEFER STEPHEN | Sell | 6.79K | $324.21 | 2.20M |
| 2026-05-22 | SCHAEFER STEPHEN | Buy | 4.13K | $0.00 | 4 |
| 2026-05-22 | SCHAEFER STEPHEN | Sell | 4.13K | — | — |
| 2026-05-22 | SCHAEFER STEPHEN | Sell | 45.87K | — | — |
| 2026-05-22 | ABBAS GIZMAN I | Buy | 4.13K | $0.00 | 4 |
| 2026-05-22 | ABBAS GIZMAN I | Sell | 1.53K | $324.21 | 496.04K |
| 2026-05-22 | ABBAS GIZMAN I | Sell | 4.13K | — | — |
| 2026-05-22 | Horton Anthony R | Buy | 4.13K | $0.00 | 4 |
| 2026-05-22 | Horton Anthony R | Sell | 4.13K | — | — |
| 2026-05-22 | Hyde Karen T | Buy | 4.13K | $0.00 | 4 |
| 2026-05-22 | Hyde Karen T | Sell | 1.53K | $324.21 | 496.04K |
| 2026-05-22 | Hyde Karen T | Sell | 4.13K | — | — |
| 2026-05-22 | Nigro Joseph | Buy | 4.13K | $0.00 | 4 |
| 2026-05-22 | Nigro Joseph | Sell | 1.53K | $324.21 | 496.04K |
| 2026-05-22 | Nigro Joseph | Sell | 4.13K | — | — |
| 2026-05-22 | Schwartzstein Christine Benson | Buy | 4.13K | $0.00 | 4 |
| 2026-05-22 | Schwartzstein Christine Benson | Sell | 4.13K | — | — |
| 2026-05-20 | Kelly Daniel Jude | Other | 2.52K | — | — |
| 2026-05-20 | Kelly Daniel Jude | Other | 5.88K | — | — |
| 2026-02-26 | Muller Cole | Buy | 25.93K | — | — |
| 2026-02-26 | Muller Cole | Buy | 5.56K | — | — |
| 2026-02-26 | Olagues Darren J | Buy | 16.10K | — | — |
| 2026-02-26 | Olagues Darren J | Buy | 3.45K | — | — |
| 2026-02-26 | Morice Christopher E | Buy | 16.10K | — | — |
| 2026-02-26 | Morice Christopher E | Buy | 3.45K | — | — |
| 2026-02-26 | SCHAEFER STEPHEN | Buy | 1.12K | — | — |
| 2026-02-26 | McFarland Mark Allen | Buy | 58.42K | — | — |
| 2026-02-26 | McFarland Mark Allen | Buy | 12.52K | — | — |
| 2026-02-26 | Wright Andrew M | Buy | 16.10K | — | — |
| 2026-02-26 | Wright Andrew M | Buy | 3.45K | — | — |
| 2026-02-26 | Lebsack Dale E Jr. | Buy | 16.10K | — | — |
| 2026-02-26 | Lebsack Dale E Jr. | Buy | 3.45K | — | — |
| 2026-02-26 | Hyde Karen T | Buy | 448 | — | — |
| 2026-02-26 | Plagens Anthony J | Buy | 4.40K | — | — |
| 2026-02-26 | Plagens Anthony J | Buy | 1.47K | — | — |
| 2026-02-26 | Casulli Edward T. | Buy | 10.73K | — | — |
| 2026-02-26 | Casulli Edward T. | Buy | 3.58K | — | — |
| 2026-02-26 | Schwartzstein Christine Benson | Buy | 448 | — | — |
| 2026-02-26 | Berryman Brad | Buy | 16.10K | — | — |
| 2026-02-26 | Berryman Brad | Buy | 3.45K | — | — |
| 2026-02-26 | ABBAS GIZMAN I | Buy | 448 | — | — |
| 2026-02-26 | Horton Anthony R | Buy | 448 | — | — |
| 2026-02-26 | Nigro Joseph | Buy | 448 | — | — |
| 2026-02-26 | Nutt Terry L | Buy | 33.09K | — | — |
| 2026-02-26 | Nutt Terry L | Buy | 7.09K | — | — |
| 2025-12-15 | Casulli Edward T. | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-12-15 | Casulli Edward T. | Other | 6.38K | — | — |
Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.
Institutions holding: 695, holders +71 vs prior quarter. Ownership 106.52%.
| Holder | Shares | Change | Change % | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BLACKROCK, INC. | 4.36M | 265.42K | +6.49% | 1.67B |
| RUBRIC CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LP | 3.60M | 0 | 0.00% | 1.38B |
| MFN PARTNERS MANAGEMENT, LP | 3.00M | 0 | 0.00% | 1.15B |
| ECP CONTROLCO, LLC | 2.40M | 2.40M | New | 922.22M |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | 2.17M | 70.78K | +3.38% | 832.68M |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 2.05M | 7.12K | +0.35% | 789.07M |
| FRED ALGER MANAGEMENT, LLC | 1.55M | 360.52K | +30.40% | 594.25M |
| REAVES W H & CO INC | 1.48M | -34.03K | -2.25% | 567.42M |
| STATE STREET CORP | 1.38M | 36.88K | +2.75% | 530.24M |
| SACHEM HEAD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LP | 1.37M | -177.50K | -11.47% | 526.44M |
| SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP | 1.31M | 1.14M | +661.73% | 504.30M |
| JANE STREET GROUP, LLC | 1.19M | 956.10K | +416.78% | 455.54M |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 953.57K | 43.66K | +4.80% | 366.53M |
| SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP | 903.60K | 731.31K | +424.46% | 347.22M |
| CARRONADE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LP | 795.51K | 151.03K | +23.43% | 305.68M |
| MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC | 781.46K | -5.70K | -0.72% | 300.28M |
| CAPITAL WORLD INVESTORS | 758.00K | -17.00K | -2.19% | 291.27M |
| JANE STREET GROUP, LLC | 624.90K | 395.50K | +172.41% | 240.12M |
| CITADEL ADVISORS LLC | 595.00K | 464.68K | +356.56% | 228.63M |
| INVESCO LTD. | 588.57K | -375.00K | -38.92% | 226.17M |
| ATTESTOR CAPITAL LTD | 587.47K | 107.53K | +22.41% | 225.74M |
| NORGES BANK | 579.88K | 579.88K | New | 222.83M |
| CITADEL ADVISORS LLC | 562.60K | 432.28K | +331.70% | 216.18M |
| TWO SEAS CAPITAL LP | 507.21K | -71.92K | -12.42% | 194.90M |
| WILLIAM BLAIR INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, LLC | 497.66K | -27.55K | -5.25% | 191.23M |
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| FY2024 | Commodity Contracts, Unrealized Gain (Loss): 541000000.0, Electricity Sales And Ancillary Services: 1144000000.0, Operating Revenue, Capacity: 192000000.0, Physical Electricity Sales, Bilateral Contracts, Other: 147000000.0, Product and Service, Other: 91000000.0 |
| FY2025 | Commodity Contracts, Unrealized Gain (Loss): 57000000.0, Electricity Sales And Ancillary Services: 1940000000.0, Operating Revenue, Capacity: 485000000.0, Physical Electricity Sales, Bilateral Contracts, Other: 93000000.0 |
Insights · Dividends · Forecast · Financials · Learn
$16.45B
Market Cap
-83.61
P/E
17.82
Forward P/E
49
Score