Toast (TOST) Stock Insights

TOST price $31.94 +0.17 +0.54%

Ticker
TOST
Price
$31.94
Change
+0.17 +0.54%
Market cap ?
$16.48B
P/E ?
38.48
Forward P/E ?
23.24
Dividend yield ?
0.00%
Beta ?
1.74
Sector
Technology
Industry
Software - Infrastructure
Stocklytics score
68
Value
52
Quality
68
Growth
85

Stocklytics score rationale: value 52, quality 68, growth 85.

Financials

2019202020212022202320242025
66500000082300000017050000002731000000386500000049600000006153000000

Toast, Inc. delivers a comprehensive cloud-based digital technology platform tailored specifically for the restaurant sector, serving businesses across the United States and Ireland. Its extensive product suite features an array of hardware solutions, including the foundational Toast Point of Sale (POS) system. Toast Flex offers versatile functionality, adaptable as an on-counter order and payment terminal, a server…

Fair value

TOST fair value $49.72. Price $31.94. Price is 36% below fair value.

Below fair value, and cheaper than usual. A larger discount than on 90% of days in the past 5 years.

Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.

Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 335.67M. Growth 20.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 12.00% (beta 1.7). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 516.00M. Net debt -1.31B. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.

Compare TOST

Earnings

DateEPS actualEPS estimateRevenueRevenue estimate
2026-11-03—0.36—1.97B
2026-08-040.340.321.91B1.87B
2026-05-070.290.271.63B1.63B
2026-02-120.230.241.63B1.62B
2025-11-040.250.241.63B1.59B
2025-08-050.240.231.55B1.52B
2025-05-080.200.181.34B1.34B
2025-02-190.050.051.34B1.31B
2024-11-070.070.021.30B1.29B
2024-08-060.02-0.021.24B1.22B
2024-05-07-0.15-0.141.07B1.04B
2024-02-15-0.07-0.111.04B1.02B
2023-11-07-0.09-0.111.03B1.03B
2023-08-08-0.19-0.14978.00M943.06M
2023-05-09-0.15-0.17819.00M763.95M
2023-02-16-0.19-0.14769.00M752.73M
2022-11-10-0.04-0.08752.00M720.35M
2022-08-11-0.08-0.12675.00M651.28M
2022-05-12-0.20-0.12535.00M488.00M
2022-02-15-0.46-0.19512.00M487.57M
2021-11-09-0.22-0.25486.00M544.74M
2021-09-22-0.27-0.27426.00M433.62M
2020-12-31-0.13—242.53M—
2020-09-30-0.14—236.76M—
2020-06-30-0.12—145.19M—
2020-03-31-0.14—171.92M—

Dividends

Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency —.

Safety score 37/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. No dividend history was found. There is no dividend yield.

Ex-dateDividendRecordPaymentFrequency
No data yet.

Insider trades

DateInsiderActionSharesPriceValue
2026-10-24BHARADWAJ ANUTTHARASell3.57K——
2026-10-24BHARADWAJ ANUTTHARABuy3.57K——
2026-10-05Vassil JonathanSell7.62K$2.2116.85K
2026-10-05Vassil JonathanBuy7.62K$2.2116.85K
2026-10-05Vassil JonathanSell7.62K$30.19230.17K
2026-10-02Gomez ElenaSell11.89K$29.35348.90K
2026-10-02Fredette StephenSell9.37K$29.35274.99K
2026-10-02Narang AmanSell14.71K$29.35431.89K
2026-10-02Elworthy Brian RSell6.51K$29.35191.01K
2026-10-02Vassil JonathanSell6.66K$2.2114.71K
2026-10-02Vassil JonathanBuy6.66K$2.2114.71K
2026-10-02Vassil JonathanSell6.81K$29.35199.84K
2026-10-02Vassil JonathanSell6.66K$30.03199.92K
2026-10-01Gomez ElenaBuy6.33K——
2026-10-01Gomez ElenaBuy4.72K——
2026-10-01Gomez ElenaBuy6.32K——
2026-10-01Gomez ElenaBuy6.33K——
2026-10-01Gomez ElenaSell6.33K——
2026-10-01Gomez ElenaSell4.72K——
2026-10-01Gomez ElenaSell6.32K——
2026-10-01Gomez ElenaSell6.33K——
2026-10-01Fredette StephenBuy4.40K——
2026-10-01Fredette StephenBuy3.86K——
2026-10-01Fredette StephenBuy5.65K——
2026-10-01Fredette StephenBuy5.70K——
2026-10-01Fredette StephenSell4.40K——
2026-10-01Fredette StephenSell3.86K——
2026-10-01Fredette StephenSell5.65K——
2026-10-01Fredette StephenSell5.70K——
2026-10-01Narang AmanBuy3.30K——
2026-10-01Narang AmanBuy8.57K——
2026-10-01Narang AmanBuy12.60K——
2026-10-01Narang AmanSell8.57K——
2026-10-01Narang AmanBuy6.33K——
2026-10-01Narang AmanSell12.60K——
2026-10-01Narang AmanSell3.30K——
2026-10-01Narang AmanSell6.33K——
2026-10-01Elworthy Brian RBuy3.58K——
2026-10-01Elworthy Brian RBuy2.57K——
2026-10-01Elworthy Brian RBuy3.99K——
2026-10-01Elworthy Brian RBuy3.48K——
2026-10-01Elworthy Brian RSell3.58K——
2026-10-01Elworthy Brian RSell2.57K——
2026-10-01Elworthy Brian RSell3.99K——
2026-10-01Elworthy Brian RSell3.48K——
2026-10-01Vassil JonathanBuy1.10K——
2026-10-01Vassil JonathanBuy3.43K——
2026-10-01Vassil JonathanBuy4.99K——
2026-10-01Vassil JonathanBuy4.75K——
2026-10-01Vassil JonathanSell3.43K——
2026-10-01Vassil JonathanSell4.99K——
2026-10-01Vassil JonathanSell1.10K——
2026-10-01Vassil JonathanSell4.75K——
2026-09-02Vassil JonathanSell14.28K$2.2131.56K
2026-09-02Vassil JonathanBuy14.28K$2.2131.56K
2026-09-02Vassil JonathanSell5.10K$33.54171.06K
2026-09-02Vassil JonathanSell9.18K$34.09312.99K
2026-08-21Vassil JonathanSell47.67K$17.38828.56K
2026-08-21Vassil JonathanSell37.61K$17.33651.73K
2026-08-21Vassil JonathanBuy37.61K$17.33651.73K
2026-08-21Vassil JonathanBuy47.67K$17.38828.56K
2026-08-21Vassil JonathanSell85.28K$36.343.10M
2026-08-19Vassil JonathanSell7.40K$17.38128.59K
2026-08-19Vassil JonathanSell6.53K$17.33113.20K
2026-08-19Vassil JonathanBuy6.53K$17.33113.20K
2026-08-19Vassil JonathanBuy7.40K$17.38128.59K
2026-08-19Vassil JonathanSell13.93K$36.01501.70K
2026-08-11Vassil JonathanSell7.65K$17.38132.97K
2026-08-11Vassil JonathanSell6.15K$17.33106.51K
2026-08-11Vassil JonathanBuy6.15K$17.33106.51K
2026-08-11Vassil JonathanBuy7.65K$17.38132.97K
2026-08-11Vassil JonathanSell13.80K$36.01496.86K
2026-08-10Narang AmanSell119.84K$35.384.24M
2026-08-10Gomez ElenaSell5.76K$35.37203.77K
2026-08-07Narang AmanSell42.10K$35.131.48M
2026-08-07Gomez ElenaSell2.16K$35.1075.93K
2026-08-06Narang AmanSell13.51K$35.02473.13K
2026-08-06Gomez ElenaSell900$35.0231.52K
2026-08-05Narang AmanSell124.46K$35.294.39M
2026-08-05Narang AmanSell84$36.113.03K
2026-08-05Vassil JonathanSell2.00K$17.3834.76K
2026-08-05Vassil JonathanSell2.70K$17.3346.79K
2026-08-05Vassil JonathanBuy2.70K$17.3346.79K
2026-08-05Vassil JonathanBuy2.00K$17.3834.76K
2026-08-05Vassil JonathanSell4.70K$36.02169.31K
2026-08-05Gomez ElenaSell15.98K$35.28563.68K
2026-08-05Gomez ElenaSell200$36.117.22K
2026-08-04Niola RossanaSell2.30K$33.4576.86K
2026-08-03Vassil JonathanSell14.28K$2.2131.56K
2026-08-03Vassil JonathanBuy14.28K$2.2131.56K
2026-08-03Vassil JonathanSell14.28K$32.89469.63K
2026-08-01Niola RossanaSell6.60K——
2026-08-01Niola RossanaBuy6.60K——
2026-07-14Vassil JonathanSell2.00K$2.214.42K
2026-07-14Vassil JonathanBuy2.00K$2.214.42K
2026-07-14Vassil JonathanSell2.00K$30.0260.04K
2026-07-13Vassil JonathanSell9.17K$2.2120.27K
2026-07-13Vassil JonathanBuy9.17K$2.2120.27K
2026-07-13Vassil JonathanSell9.17K$30.19276.87K
2026-07-07Vassil JonathanSell3.15K$2.216.96K

Institutional holders

Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.

Institutions holding: 825, holders +20 vs prior quarter. Ownership 83.37%.

HolderSharesChangeChange %Value
BLACKROCK, INC.48.75M21.58M+79.44%1.36B
FMR LLC33.53M1.80M+5.66%932.75M
CAPITAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTORS26.74M-3.86M-12.61%744.04M
VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC22.09M1.83M+9.02%614.41M
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC21.91M-157.58K-0.71%609.41M
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO16.84M59.62K+0.36%474.99M
STATE STREET CORP16.89M6.74M+66.44%469.84M
PRINCIPAL FINANCIAL GROUP INC15.16M7.19M+90.09%421.86M
VALUEACT HOLDINGS, L.P.14.13M1.24M+9.60%393.21M
MORGAN STANLEY11.39M-266.93K-2.29%316.93M
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC9.75M768.68K+8.55%289.84M
ALLIANCEBERNSTEIN L.P.10.90M-7.28M-40.05%288.84M
BALYASNY ASSET MANAGEMENT L.P.7.13M4.91M+220.79%198.27M
CITADEL ADVISORS LLC6.87M5.46M+388.54%191.02M
SUMITOMO MITSUI TRUST GROUP, INC.6.86M2.01K+0.03%190.89M
PRICE T ROWE ASSOCIATES INC /MD/6.35M1.84M+40.77%176.62M
UBS GROUP AG5.82M-767.48K-11.66%161.80M
NORGES BANK5.77M5.77MNew160.38M
SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP5.35M4.44M+488.85%148.71M
BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/5.11M245.49K+5.04%142.21M
BNP PARIBAS ASSET MANAGEMENT HOLDING S.A.4.74M96.43K+2.07%132.00M
JANE STREET GROUP, LLC4.44M1.45M+48.62%123.42M
XN LP4.39M-2.12M-32.58%122.11M
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC4.34M1.90M+77.78%120.82M
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC4.23M1.79M+73.31%117.78M

Insights

Revenue by product
PeriodValue
FY2021License: 169000000.0, Product: 112000000.0, Professional Services: 18000000.0, Technology Service: 1406000000.0
FY2022License: 324000000.0, Product: 113000000.0, Professional Services: 26000000.0, Technology Service: 2268000000.0
FY2023License: 500000000.0, Technology Service: 3189000000.0
FY2024License: 706000000.0, Technology Service: 4053000000.0
FY2025License: 936000000.0, Technology Service: 5037000000.0

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Toast (TOST) Stock Insights

TOST$31.94+0.17 +0.54%

$16.48B

Market Cap

38.48

P/E

23.24

Forward P/E

68

Score

Price History