TherapeuticsMD (TXMD) Stock Insights

TXMD price $1.79 +0.01 +0.56%

Ticker
TXMD
Price
$1.79
Change
+0.01 +0.56%
Market cap ?
$20.72M
Beta ?
0.65
Sector
Healthcare
Industry
Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

Fair value

TXMD fair value $4.80. Price $1.79. Price is 63% below fair value.

Below fair value, and cheaper than usual. A larger discount than on more than 99% of days in the past 5 years.

Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.

Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 699.23K. Growth 20.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 8.70% (beta 0.8). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 11.57M. Net debt -1.39M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.

Model uncertainty high for this stock

Compare TXMD

Earnings

DateEPS actualEPS estimateRevenueRevenue estimate
2026-11-17—-6.12—19.77M
2026-08-110.01-6.12869.00K19.77M
2026-05-120.01-6.12724.00K19.77M
2026-03-30-0.050.04893.00K2.30M
2025-11-120.01—784.00K—
2025-08-120.05—952.00K—
2025-05-13-0.06—393.00K—
2025-03-270.020.04667.00K2.30M
2024-11-12-0.050.04547.00K2.30M
2024-08-12-0.090.03234.00K500.00K
2024-05-10-0.070.03313.00K500.00K
2024-03-29-0.08-0.13502.00K500.00K
2023-11-14-0.13-0.15-53.00K500.00K
2023-08-14-0.24-0.07437.00K500.00K
2023-05-15-0.240.06416.00K1.70M
2023-03-27-3.55-1.111.15M23.80M
2022-11-14-3.13-2.0420.92M26.80M
2022-08-1512.39-3.0428.50M23.20M
2022-05-16-4.72-3.5019.33M17.95M
2022-03-10-4.50-3.0018.68M29.39M
2021-11-11-5.50-5.0025.41M25.87M
2021-08-04-5.50-5.5023.00M23.00M
2021-05-06-5.50-5.0019.87M21.52M
2021-03-02-7.50-5.0022.58M—
2020-11-09-5.00-7.0019.34M22.11M
2020-08-06-8.50-7.5010.70M9.57M
2020-05-06-10.50-9.5012.25M11.08M
2020-02-20-9.50-10.0015.90M15.90M
2019-11-06-6.50-9.5023.72M34.67M
2019-08-06-9.50-9.006.08M4.49M
2019-05-06-8.00-8.503.95M4.19M
2019-02-21-8.50-8.505.09M5.09M
2018-11-07-8.00-11.003.47M4.56M
2018-07-30-7.50-6.003.76M3.01M
2018-05-03-5.50-5.003.77M3.43M
2018-02-20-5.00-4.504.12M3.30M
2017-11-06-3.50-4.504.42M6.95M
2017-08-03-5.00-5.004.25M4.67M
2017-05-02-5.50-5.503.99M3.99M
2017-02-23-6.00-6.004.49M4.49M

Dividends

Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency —.

Safety score 37/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. No dividend history was found. There is no dividend yield.

Ex-dateDividendRecordPaymentFrequency
No data yet.

Insider trades

DateInsiderActionSharesPriceValue
2025-12-23Thompson Tommy GBuy8.40K$1.6714.03K
2025-11-03Thompson Tommy GBuy8.50K——
2025-11-03Naughton Gail KBuy8.50K——
2025-11-03Collins Cooper C.Buy8.50K——
2025-11-03Walker Marlan DBuy67.49K$1.1577.62K
2025-04-14Thompson Tommy GBuy325$1.00326
2025-04-14Walker Marlan DBuy490$1.00489
2025-04-10Walker Marlan DBuy1.17K$0.861.00K
2025-04-09Walker Marlan DBuy1.14K$0.87994
2025-02-18Collins Cooper C.Buy8.50K——
2025-02-18Collins Cooper C.Sell8.50K——
2025-02-18Naughton Gail KBuy8.50K——
2025-02-18Naughton Gail KSell8.50K——
2025-02-18Thompson Tommy GBuy8.50K——
2025-02-18Thompson Tommy GSell8.50K——
2025-02-18Walker Marlan DBuy1.73K——
2025-02-18Walker Marlan DBuy770——
2025-02-18Walker Marlan DBuy2.31K——
2025-02-18Walker Marlan DBuy3.47K——
2025-02-18Walker Marlan DSell1.73K——
2025-02-18Walker Marlan DSell770——
2025-02-18Walker Marlan DSell3.47K——
2024-08-22Collins Cooper C.Buy4.09K$1.737.10K
2024-08-21Collins Cooper C.Buy1.20K$1.702.04K
2023-12-07Walker Marlan DSell4.55K$2.2410.19K
2023-12-06Walker Marlan DSell14.50K$2.3133.50K
2023-12-05Walker Marlan DBuy70.00K——
2023-12-05Walker Marlan DSell70.00K——
2023-11-15Rubric Capital Management LPBuy877.19K$2.282.00M
2023-08-17ZIEGLER JOSEPHBuy7.50K——
2023-08-17ZIEGLER JOSEPHOther0——
2023-07-17Thompson Tommy GBuy8.50K——
2023-07-17Naughton Gail KBuy8.50K——
2023-07-17Collins Cooper C.Buy8.50K——
2023-06-28Rubric Capital Management LPBuy312.52K$3.681.15M
2023-04-26Walker Marlan DBuy1.01K——
2023-04-26Walker Marlan DBuy1.73K——
2023-04-26Walker Marlan DSell692$3.642.52K
2023-04-26Walker Marlan DSell1.73K——
2023-04-26Walker Marlan DSell1.01K——
2023-04-12Walker Marlan DBuy1.73K——
2023-04-12Walker Marlan DSell1.17K$3.654.28K
2023-04-12Walker Marlan DBuy1.73K——
2023-04-12Walker Marlan DBuy1.01K——
2023-04-12Walker Marlan DBuy3.03K——
2023-04-12Walker Marlan DSell1.73K——
2023-04-12Walker Marlan DSell1.73K——
2023-04-12Walker Marlan DSell1.01K——
2023-04-12Walker Marlan DSell3.03K——
2023-04-12Donegan Michael CBuy50.00K——
2023-04-12Donegan Michael CSell50.00K——
2023-02-21Walker Marlan DBuy70.00K——
2023-02-21Donegan Michael CBuy50.00K——
2023-01-27Donegan Michael CSell49$5.09249
2023-01-26Donegan Michael CBuy1.14K——
2023-01-26Donegan Michael CBuy2.40K——
2023-01-26Donegan Michael CSell1.65K$5.088.37K
2023-01-26Donegan Michael CBuy2.40K——
2023-01-26Donegan Michael CSell1.14K——
2023-01-24Donegan Michael CSell7$5.3137
2023-01-23Donegan Michael CBuy2.40K——
2023-01-23Donegan Michael CSell1.30K$5.346.95K
2023-01-23Donegan Michael CBuy519——
2023-01-23Donegan Michael CBuy1.07K——
2023-01-23Donegan Michael CBuy380——
2023-01-23Donegan Michael CSell2.40K——
2022-12-31Walker Marlan DOther0——
2022-12-30Rubric Capital Management LPSell29.00K$1,333.0038.66M
2022-12-30Rubric Capital Management LPSell29.00K$1,333.0038.66M
2022-12-09Rubric Capital Management LPBuy14.82K$6.0990.28K
2022-12-09Bernick BrianSell320$6.312.02K
2022-12-08Walker Marlan DSell716——
2022-12-08Rubric Capital Management LPBuy300$5.831.75K
2022-12-07Rubric Capital Management LPBuy20.11K$5.66113.89K
2022-12-07Naughton Gail KSell3.92K$5.2620.64K
2022-12-06Bernick BrianSell3.17K——
2022-12-06Bernick BrianBuy3.17K——
2022-12-06Bernick BrianSell935$4.924.60K
2022-12-06Walker Marlan DBuy388——
2022-12-06Walker Marlan DBuy1.16K——
2022-12-06Walker Marlan DSell1.05K$4.955.18K
2022-12-06Walker Marlan DBuy1.01K——
2022-12-06Walker Marlan DSell1.16K——
2022-12-06Walker Marlan DSell1.01K——
2022-12-06Walker Marlan DSell388——
2022-12-06Glickman Mark ASell1.73K——
2022-12-06Glickman Mark ABuy1.73K——
2022-12-06Glickman Mark ASell440$4.922.17K
2022-12-06Donegan Michael CBuy262——
2022-12-06Donegan Michael CBuy534——
2022-12-06Donegan Michael CBuy380——
2022-12-06Donegan Michael CSell910$4.784.35K
2022-12-06Donegan Michael CBuy2.30K——
2022-12-06Donegan Michael CSell534——
2022-12-06Donegan Michael CSell262——
2022-12-06Donegan Michael CSell380——
2022-12-06Donegan Michael CSell2.30K——
2022-10-28Rubric Capital Management LPBuy7.00K$1,000.007.00M
2022-09-30Rosen David EfraimBuy7.00K$1,000.007.00M
2022-09-30Rubric Capital Management LPBuy7.00K$1,000.007.00M

Institutional holders

Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.

Institutions holding: 47, holders -2 vs prior quarter. Ownership 31.68%.

HolderSharesChangeChange %Value
RUBRIC CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LP1.19M00.00%2.63M
CLEARLINE CAPITAL LP635.22K00.00%1.40M
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC353.70K00.00%781.67K
TEJARA CAPITAL LTD344.48K-1.37K-0.40%761.30K
ADAR1 CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC342.45K133.24K+63.69%756.81K
RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC146.60K399+0.27%323.98K
MORGAN STANLEY129.22K00.00%285.57K
BLACKROCK, INC.115.14K00.00%254.47K
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC105.85K-3.97K-3.61%233.99K
CITADEL ADVISORS LLC86.09K59.30K+221.25%190.27K
VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST CO63.83K00.00%141.07K
STATE STREET CORP30.10K00.00%66.52K
XTX TOPCO LTD21.25K-6.24K-22.71%46.95K
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP19.72K9.01K+84.19%43.58K
NORTHERN TRUST CORP18.56K2.46K+15.30%41.01K
BRIDGEWAY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC17.00K00.00%37.57K
OSAIC HOLDINGS, INC.15.20K15.04K+9833.33%33.59K
HRT FINANCIAL LP14.73K14.73KNew32.00K
SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP13.10K13.10KNew28.95K
JANE STREET GROUP, LLC12.50K200+1.63%27.62K
VANGUARD GLOBAL ADVISERS, LLC4.94K00.00%10.91K
UBS GROUP AG4.66K4.33K+1307.85%10.30K
TOWER RESEARCH CAPITAL LLC (TRC)1.58K73+4.84%3.50K
SBI SECURITIES CO., LTD.1.26K996+373.03%2.79K
SMARTLEAF ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC60100.00%1.35K

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TherapeuticsMD (TXMD) Stock Insights

TXMD$1.79+0.01 +0.56%

$20.72M

Market Cap

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P/E

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Forward P/E

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Score

Price History