Union Pacific (UNP) Stock Insights

UNP price $298.76 -1.12 -0.37%

Ticker
UNP
Price
$298.76
Change
-1.12 -0.37%
Market cap ?
$177.49B
P/E ?
23.38
Forward P/E ?
22.69
Dividend yield ?
1.85%
Beta ?
0.95
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Railroads
Stocklytics score
42
Value
28
Quality
59
Growth
40

Stocklytics score rationale: value 28, quality 59, growth 40.

Financials

2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
19941000000212400000002283200000021708000000195330000002180400000024875000000241190000002425000000024510000000

Union Pacific Corporation, a prominent American railway enterprise, conducts its primary operations through its subsidiary, Union Pacific Railroad Company. The company provides extensive freight transportation services for a wide array of commodities. Its diverse cargo includes agricultural products like grain, fertilizers, and refrigerated foods; energy resources such as coal, renewables, petroleum, and liquid…

Fair value

UNP fair value $232.71. Price $298.76. Price is 28% above fair value.

Above fair value, but less expensive than usual. A smaller premium than on 73% of days in the past 5 years.

Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.

Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 6.69B. Growth 9.35%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 9.55% (beta 1.0). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 594.08M. Net debt 30.54B. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.

Compare UNP

Earnings

DateEPS actualEPS estimateRevenueRevenue estimate
2027-01-26—3.31—7.13B
2026-10-223.533.477.20B7.16B
2026-07-233.413.266.86B6.72B
2026-04-232.932.866.22B6.23B
2026-01-272.862.866.08B6.11B
2025-10-233.082.996.24B6.25B
2025-07-243.032.916.15B6.16B
2025-04-242.702.746.03B6.07B
2025-01-232.912.766.12B6.15B
2024-10-242.752.786.09B6.14B
2024-07-252.742.716.01B6.05B
2024-04-252.692.516.03B5.97B
2024-01-252.712.576.16B6.05B
2023-10-192.512.445.94B5.99B
2023-07-262.572.755.96B6.12B
2023-04-202.672.586.06B6.08B
2023-01-242.672.786.18B6.28B
2022-10-203.193.066.57B6.43B
2022-07-212.932.866.27B6.12B
2022-04-212.572.565.86B5.73B
2022-01-202.662.615.73B5.57B
2021-10-212.572.495.57B5.55B
2021-07-222.722.525.50B5.55B
2021-04-222.002.065.00B5.12B
2021-01-212.362.305.14B5.01B
2020-10-222.012.064.92B5.04B
2020-07-231.671.554.24B3.94B
2020-04-232.151.905.23B4.62B
2020-01-232.022.045.21B5.26B
2019-10-172.222.305.52B5.71B
2019-07-182.222.145.60B5.39B
2019-04-181.931.895.38B5.27B
2019-01-242.122.065.76B5.59B
2018-10-252.152.105.93B5.79B
2018-07-191.981.955.67B5.59B
2018-04-261.681.665.47B5.41B
2018-01-251.531.545.45B5.49B
2017-10-261.501.495.41B5.37B
2017-07-201.451.395.25B5.03B
2017-04-271.321.235.13B4.78B

Dividends

Yield 1.86%. Payout ratio 43.34%. Frequency Quarterly.

Safety score 88/100 · Safe. Payout ratio is 43% of earnings. Dividends use a moderate share of free cash flow. Dividends were paid in 47 separate years. Yield is 1.9%, in a range that is usually sustainable.

Ex-dateDividendRecordPaymentFrequency
2026-08-31$1.422026-08-312026-09-30Quarterly
2026-05-29$1.382026-05-292026-06-30Quarterly
2026-02-27$1.382026-02-272026-03-31Quarterly
2025-12-05$1.382025-12-052025-12-30Quarterly
2025-08-29$1.382025-08-292025-09-30Quarterly
2025-05-30$1.342025-05-302025-06-30Quarterly
2025-02-28$1.342025-02-282025-03-31Quarterly
2024-12-09$1.342024-12-092024-12-30Quarterly
2024-08-30$1.342024-08-302024-09-30Quarterly
2024-05-31$1.302024-05-312024-06-28Quarterly
2024-02-28$1.302024-02-292024-03-29Quarterly
2023-12-07$1.302023-12-082023-12-28Quarterly
2023-08-30$1.302023-08-312023-09-29Quarterly
2023-05-30$1.302023-05-312023-06-30Quarterly
2023-02-27$1.302023-02-282023-03-31Quarterly
2022-12-16$1.302022-12-192022-12-29Quarterly
2022-08-30$1.302022-08-312022-09-30Quarterly
2022-05-27$1.302022-05-312022-06-30Quarterly
2022-02-25$1.182022-02-282022-03-31Quarterly
2021-12-17$1.182021-12-202021-12-30Quarterly
2021-08-30$1.072021-08-312021-09-30Quarterly
2021-05-27$1.072021-05-282021-06-30Quarterly
2021-02-25$0.972021-02-262021-03-31Quarterly
2020-11-27$0.972020-11-302020-12-30Quarterly
2020-08-28$0.972020-08-312020-09-30Quarterly
2020-05-28$0.972020-05-292020-06-30Quarterly
2020-02-27$0.972020-02-282020-03-31Quarterly
2019-11-27$0.972019-11-292019-12-30Quarterly
2019-08-29$0.972019-08-302019-09-30Quarterly
2019-05-30$0.882019-05-312019-06-28Quarterly
2019-02-27$0.882019-02-282019-03-29Quarterly
2018-11-29$0.802018-11-302018-12-28Quarterly
2018-08-30$0.802018-08-312018-09-28Quarterly
2018-05-30$0.732018-05-312018-06-29Quarterly
2018-02-27$0.732018-02-282018-03-30Quarterly
2017-11-29$0.672017-11-302017-12-28Quarterly
2017-08-29$0.602017-08-312017-09-29Quarterly
2017-05-26$0.602017-05-312017-06-30Quarterly
2017-02-24$0.602017-02-282017-03-31Quarterly
2016-11-28$0.602016-11-302016-12-29Quarterly
2016-08-29$0.552016-08-312016-09-30Quarterly
2016-05-26$0.552016-05-312016-06-30Quarterly
2016-02-25$0.552016-02-292016-03-31Quarterly
2015-11-25$0.552015-11-302015-12-30Quarterly
2015-08-27$0.552015-08-312015-09-30Quarterly
2015-05-27$0.552015-05-292015-06-30Quarterly
2015-02-25$0.552015-02-272015-03-30Quarterly
2014-11-28$0.502014-12-022015-01-02Quarterly
2014-08-27$0.502014-08-292014-10-01Quarterly
2014-06-12$0.462014-06-162014-07-01Quarterly
2014-02-26$0.462014-02-282014-04-01Quarterly
2013-11-29$0.402013-12-032014-01-02Quarterly
2013-08-28$0.402013-08-302013-10-01Quarterly
2013-05-29$0.342013-05-312013-07-01Quarterly
2013-02-26$0.342013-02-282013-04-01Quarterly
2012-11-28$0.342012-11-302013-01-02Quarterly
2012-08-29$0.302012-08-312012-10-01Quarterly
2012-05-29$0.302012-05-312012-07-02Quarterly
2012-02-27$0.302012-02-292012-04-02Quarterly
2011-11-28$0.302011-11-302012-01-02Quarterly
2011-08-29$0.242011-08-312011-10-03Quarterly
2011-05-26$0.242011-05-312011-07-01Quarterly
2011-02-24$0.192011-02-282011-04-01Quarterly
2010-11-26$0.192010-11-302011-01-03Quarterly
2010-08-27$0.172010-08-312010-10-01Quarterly
2010-05-26$0.172010-05-282010-07-01Quarterly
2010-02-24$0.142010-02-262010-04-01Quarterly
2009-11-25$0.142009-11-302010-01-04Quarterly
2009-08-27$0.142009-08-312009-10-01Quarterly
2009-05-27$0.142009-05-292009-07-01Quarterly
2009-02-25$0.142009-02-272009-04-01Quarterly
2008-11-26$0.142008-12-012009-01-02Quarterly
2008-08-27$0.142008-08-292008-10-01Quarterly
2008-06-04$0.112008-06-062008-07-01Quarterly
2008-03-10$0.112008-03-122008-04-01Quarterly
2007-11-27$0.112007-11-292008-01-02Quarterly
2007-08-28$0.092007-08-302007-10-01Quarterly
2007-05-25$0.092007-05-302007-07-02Quarterly
2007-02-26$0.092007-02-282007-04-02Quarterly
2006-11-28$0.072006-11-302007-01-02Quarterly

Insider trades

DateInsiderActionSharesPriceValue
2026-10-10Conlin Christina BBuy2$278.34635
2026-10-10Rocker Kenyatta GBuy3$278.34744
2026-10-10Powers Carrie JBuy6$278.341.58K
2026-10-01WILLIAMS CHRISTOPHER JBuy194$272.4252.85K
2026-10-01Will W AnthonyBuy162$272.4244.13K
2026-10-01WIEHOFF JOHNBuy172$272.4246.86K
2026-10-01Tien John K JrBuy171$272.4246.58K
2026-10-01Simons DoyleBuy312$272.4285.00K
2026-10-01MCCARTHY MICHAEL RBuy839$272.42228.56K
2026-10-01Lute Jane HBuy372$272.42101.34K
2026-10-01HOPKINS DEBORAH CBuy229$272.4262.38K
2026-10-01Finley TeresaBuy179——
2026-10-01Edison Sheri H.Buy179——
2026-09-10Powers Carrie JBuy6$285.781.58K
2026-09-10Conlin Christina BBuy2$285.78635
2026-09-10Rocker Kenyatta GBuy3$285.78744
2026-09-10Jalali RahulBuy5$285.781.46K
2026-09-10Hamann Jennifer LBuy7$285.782.11K
2026-09-04Rocker Kenyatta GSell431——
2026-08-10Conlin Christina BBuy2$292.24635
2026-08-10Rocker Kenyatta GBuy3$292.24744
2026-08-10Powers Carrie JBuy5$292.241.58K
2026-08-10Hamann Jennifer LBuy8$292.242.32K
2026-08-10Jalali RahulBuy8$292.242.40K
2026-07-10Rocker Kenyatta GBuy5$286.961.40K
2026-07-10Rocker Kenyatta GBuy3$286.96744
2026-07-10Powers Carrie JBuy6$286.961.58K
2026-07-10Jalali RahulBuy8$286.962.40K
2026-07-10Hamann Jennifer LBuy8$286.962.32K
2026-07-10Conlin Christina BBuy2$286.96635
2026-07-01WILLIAMS CHRISTOPHER JBuy189——
2026-07-01Will W AnthonyBuy159——
2026-07-01WIEHOFF JOHNBuy167——
2026-07-01Tien John K JrBuy166——
2026-07-01Simons DoyleBuy305——
2026-07-01MCCARTHY MICHAEL RBuy808——
2026-07-01Lute Jane HBuy362——
2026-07-01HOPKINS DEBORAH CBuy221——
2026-07-01Finley TeresaBuy174——
2026-07-01Edison Sheri H.Buy175——
2026-06-10Powers Carrie JBuy6$267.031.58K
2026-06-10Rocker Kenyatta GBuy13$267.033.50K
2026-06-10Rocker Kenyatta GBuy3$267.03744
2026-06-10Jalali RahulBuy9$267.032.40K
2026-06-10Hamann Jennifer LBuy9$267.032.33K
2026-06-10Gehringer Eric JBuy13$267.033.50K
2026-06-10Conlin Christina BBuy7$267.031.90K
2026-06-03Gehringer Eric JSell2.99K$263.96789.50K
2026-05-10Rocker Kenyatta GBuy13$264.653.50K
2026-05-10Rocker Kenyatta GBuy3$264.65744
2026-05-10Powers Carrie JBuy6$264.651.58K
2026-05-10Jalali RahulBuy9$264.652.40K
2026-05-10Hamann Jennifer LBuy9$264.652.33K
2026-05-10Gehringer Eric JBuy14$264.653.75K
2026-05-10Conlin Christina BBuy7$264.651.90K
2026-04-24Hamann Jennifer LSell2.00K$274.70549.40K
2026-04-24Rocker Kenyatta GBuy15.53K$186.112.89M
2026-04-24Rocker Kenyatta GBuy11.86K$161.571.92M
2026-04-24Rocker Kenyatta GSell11.86K$271.763.22M
2026-04-24Rocker Kenyatta GSell15.53K$186.112.89M
2026-04-24Rocker Kenyatta GSell11.86K$161.571.92M
2026-04-10Hamann Jennifer LBuy9$250.512.32K
2026-04-10Rocker Kenyatta GBuy14$250.513.50K
2026-04-10Rocker Kenyatta GBuy3$250.51744
2026-04-10Powers Carrie JBuy6$250.511.58K
2026-04-10Jalali RahulBuy10$250.512.40K
2026-04-10Gehringer Eric JBuy15$250.513.75K
2026-04-10Conlin Christina BBuy8$250.511.91K
2026-04-10Vena Vincenzo JBuy12$250.513.00K
2026-04-01WILLIAMS CHRISTOPHER JBuy213——
2026-04-01Will W AnthonyBuy179——
2026-04-01WIEHOFF JOHNBuy191——
2026-04-01Tien John K JrBuy189——
2026-04-01Simons DoyleBuy346——
2026-04-01MCCARTHY MICHAEL RBuy917——
2026-04-01Lute Jane HBuy411——
2026-04-01HOPKINS DEBORAH CBuy251——
2026-04-01Finley TeresaBuy198——
2026-04-01Edison Sheri H.Buy198——
2026-04-01DILLON DAVID BBuy256——
2026-03-20Gehringer Eric JSell2.00K$234.93469.63K
2026-03-10Vena Vincenzo JBuy30$250.217.50K
2026-03-10Rocker Kenyatta GBuy12$250.213.05K
2026-03-10Rocker Kenyatta GBuy3$250.21717
2026-03-10Powers Carrie JBuy6$250.211.53K
2026-03-10Jalali RahulBuy9$250.212.27K
2026-03-10Hamann Jennifer LBuy9$250.212.13K
2026-03-10Gehringer Eric JBuy14$250.213.50K
2026-03-10Conlin Christina BBuy7$250.211.72K
2026-02-12Hamann Jennifer LBuy4.24K$124.86529.78K
2026-02-12Hamann Jennifer LSell2.02K$262.81529.82K
2026-02-12Hamann Jennifer LSell902$262.81237.05K
2026-02-12Hamann Jennifer LSell4.24K$124.86529.78K
2026-02-12Gehringer Eric JBuy5.27K$161.57851.64K
2026-02-12Gehringer Eric JSell3.24K$262.81851.77K
2026-02-12Gehringer Eric JSell822$262.81216.03K
2026-02-12Gehringer Eric JSell5.27K$161.57851.64K
2026-02-10Gehringer Eric JBuy13$261.323.50K
2026-02-10Hamann Jennifer LBuy8$261.322.13K
2026-02-10Rocker Kenyatta GBuy12$261.323.05K

Institutional holders

Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.

Institutions holding: 2.98K, holders +114 vs prior quarter. Ownership 89.91%.

HolderSharesChangeChange %Value
BLACKROCK, INC.47.89M115.61K+0.24%13.03B
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC38.77M217.01K+0.56%10.55B
STATE STREET CORP27.89M1.30M+4.90%7.59B
CAPITAL WORLD INVESTORS27.14M69.39K+0.26%7.38B
CAPITAL RESEARCH GLOBAL INVESTORS17.11M206.01K+1.22%4.65B
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC16.12M260.10K+1.64%4.38B
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO15.67M-1.97M-11.16%4.27B
MORGAN STANLEY14.58M-305.66K-2.05%3.97B
BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/14.53M64.49K+0.45%3.95B
VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC14.28M-162.75K-1.13%3.88B
NORGES BANK7.55M7.55MNew2.05B
UBS GROUP AG6.64M893.74K+15.55%1.81B
FISHER ASSET MANAGEMENT, LLC6.58M74.69K+1.15%1.79B
NORTHERN TRUST CORP6.53M-144.72K-2.17%1.78B
INVESCO LTD.6.38M-892.42K-12.26%1.74B
MASSACHUSETTS FINANCIAL SERVICES CO /MA/6.27M-757.30K-10.77%1.74B
FRANKLIN TEMPLETON INC5.90M-159.16K-2.63%1.60B
DZ BANK AG DEUTSCHE ZENTRAL GENOSSENSCHAFTS BANK, FRANKFURT AM MAIN5.74M782.61K+15.79%1.56B
UBS AM, A DISTINCT BUSINESS UNIT OF UBS ASSET MANAGEMENT AMERICAS LLC5.06M-119.48K-2.31%1.38B
AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL INC4.63M-537.83K-10.40%1.26B
RAYMOND JAMES FINANCIAL INC4.57M169.42K+3.85%1.24B
ROYAL BANK OF CANADA4.46M-154.54K-3.35%1.21B
LEGAL & GENERAL GROUP PLC4.39M87.42K+2.03%1.19B
NUVEEN, LLC4.33M-284.38K-6.16%1.18B
CANADA PENSION PLAN INVESTMENT BOARD4.02M-2.06M-33.85%1.09B

Insights

Revenue by product
PeriodValue
FY2016Automotive: 2000000000.0, Chemicals: 3474000000.0, Coal: 2440000000.0, Industrial Products: 3348000000.0, Intermodal: 3714000000.0, Other: 1340000000.0
FY2017Automotive: 1998000000.0, Chemicals: 3596000000.0, Coal: 2645000000.0, Industrial Products: 4078000000.0, Intermodal: 3835000000.0, Other: 1403000000.0
FY2018Accessorial Revenues: 514000000.0, Bulk: 7069000000.0, Industrial: 7689000000.0, Other Miscellaneous Product and Service Revenues: 65000000.0, Other Subsidiary Revenues: 881000000.0, Premium: 6626000000.0
FY2019Accessorial Revenues: 514000000.0, Bulk: 6529000000.0, Industrial: 7472000000.0, Other Miscellaneous Product and Service Revenues: 71000000.0, Other Subsidiary Revenues: 880000000.0, Premium: 6242000000.0
FY2020Accessorial Revenues: 473000000.0, Bulk: 5960000000.0, Industrial: 6622000000.0, Other Miscellaneous Product and Service Revenues: 66000000.0, Other Subsidiary Revenues: 743000000.0, Premium: 5669000000.0
FY2021Accessorial Revenues: 752000000.0, Bulk: 6656000000.0, Industrial: 7323000000.0, Other Miscellaneous Product and Service Revenues: 67000000.0, Other Subsidiary Revenues: 741000000.0, Premium: 6265000000.0
FY2022Accessorial Revenues: 779000000.0, Bulk: 7537000000.0, Industrial: 8205000000.0, Other Miscellaneous Product and Service Revenues: 53000000.0, Other Subsidiary Revenues: 884000000.0, Premium: 7417000000.0
FY2023Accessorial Revenues: 584000000.0, Bulk: 7358000000.0, Industrial: 8238000000.0, Other Miscellaneous Product and Service Revenues: 92000000.0, Other Subsidiary Revenues: 872000000.0, Premium: 6975000000.0
FY2024Accessorial Revenues: 554000000.0, Bulk: 7207000000.0, Industrial: 8440000000.0, Other Miscellaneous Product and Service Revenues: 97000000.0, Other Subsidiary Revenues: 788000000.0, Premium: 7164000000.0
FY2025Accessorial Revenues: 475000000.0, Bulk: 7586000000.0, Industrial: 8604000000.0, Other Miscellaneous Product and Service Revenues: 97000000.0, Other Subsidiary Revenues: 718000000.0, Premium: 7030000000.0
Revenue by region
PeriodValue
FY2016Mexico: 2200000000.0, United States: 17741000000.0
FY2017Mexico: 2300000000.0, United States: 18940000000.0
FY2018Mexico: 2500000000.0, United States: 20332000000.0
FY2019Mexico: 2300000000.0, United States: 19408000000.0
FY2023Mexico: 2800000000.0, United States: 21319000000.0
FY2025M [X]: 2900000000.0

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Union Pacific (UNP) Stock Insights

UNP$298.76-1.12 -0.37%

$177.49B

Market Cap

23.38

P/E

22.69

Forward P/E

42

Score

Price History