USA Rare Earth (USAR) Stock Insights
USAR$10.48+0.08 +0.77%
$1.39B
Market Cap
-3.88
P/E
21.83
Forward P/E
66
Score
USA Rare Earth (USAR) Stock Insights
USAR price $10.48 +0.08 +0.77%
- Ticker
- USAR
- Price
- $10.48
- Change
- +0.08 +0.77%
- Market cap ?
- $1.39B
- P/E ?
- -3.88
- Forward P/E ?
- 21.83
- Dividend yield ?
- 0.00%
- Beta ?
- 2.68
- Sector
- Basic Materials
- Industry
- Industrial Materials
- Stocklytics score
- 66
- Value
- 57
- Quality
- 40
- Growth
- 100
Stocklytics score rationale: value 57, quality 40, growth 100.
Financials
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16944000 | 0 | 0 | 849598000 | 971391000 | 968874000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1643000 |
USA Rare Earth Inc. specializes in the production of magnets. The company is actively developing an integrated facility that will manage the entire lifecycle of NdFeB magnet creation, from mineral sourcing and extraction to processing and final manufacturing. Within the United States, USA Rare Earth supplies its magnet products to a diverse range of sectors, including defense, automotive, aerospace, general…
Fair value
USAR fair value $7.66. Price $10.48. Price is 37% above fair value.
Below fair value, and cheaper than usual. A larger discount than on 80% of days in the past 5 years.
Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.
Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 113.47K. Growth 0.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 12.00% (beta 2.0). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 132.64M. Net debt -356.88M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.
Earnings
| Date | EPS actual | EPS estimate | Revenue | Revenue estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-05 | — | -0.10 | — | 12.86M |
| 2026-08-10 | -0.15 | -0.11 | 5.82M | 8.04M |
| 2026-05-13 | -0.12 | -0.13 | 5.70M | 4.23M |
| 2026-03-30 | -0.19 | -0.12 | 1.64M | 2.98M |
| 2025-11-06 | -1.64 | -0.10 | — | 312.49M |
| 2025-08-11 | -0.08 | -0.13 | — | — |
| 2025-05-14 | -0.19 | 0.32 | — | — |
| 2025-03-31 | -0.15 | — | — | — |
| 2025-02-18 | -0.02 | — | — | — |
| 2024-06-30 | -0.04 | — | — | — |
| 2024-03-31 | -0.08 | — | — | — |
| 2023-12-31 | -0.07 | — | — | — |
| 2023-09-30 | 0.09 | — | — | — |
Dividends
Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency —.
Safety score 37/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. No dividend history was found. There is no dividend yield.
| Ex-date | Dividend | Record | Payment | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No data yet. | ||||
Insider trades
| Date | Insider | Action | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Humpton Barbara | Sell | 88.39K | $13.75 | 1.22M |
| 2026-10-01 | Moraitis Thrasyvoulos | Buy | 362.32K | — | — |
| 2026-10-01 | Moraitis Thrasyvoulos | Buy | 108.70K | — | — |
| 2026-10-01 | Humpton Barbara | Buy | 31.33K | $13.80 | 432.40K |
| 2026-10-01 | Humpton Barbara | Sell | 104.44K | $13.80 | 1.44M |
| 2026-10-01 | Humpton Barbara | Buy | 104.44K | $13.80 | 1.44M |
| 2026-10-01 | Humpton Barbara | Sell | 83.55K | $13.80 | 1.15M |
| 2026-10-01 | Humpton Barbara | Buy | 83.55K | $13.80 | 1.15M |
| 2026-10-01 | Humpton Barbara | Sell | 31.33K | $13.80 | 432.40K |
| 2026-10-01 | Jacob Valerie | Buy | 14.49K | — | — |
| 2026-10-01 | Caulfield Thomas | Buy | 1.48K | — | — |
| 2026-09-03 | Denham Mining GP LLC | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-09-03 | Denham Mining GP LLC | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-09-03 | Davis Michael Lawrence | Buy | 6.96K | — | — |
| 2026-09-03 | Moraitis Thrasyvoulos | Buy | 226.37K | — | — |
| 2026-09-03 | Moraitis Thrasyvoulos | Buy | 216.54K | — | — |
| 2026-09-03 | Davis Michael Lawrence | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-09-03 | Moraitis Thrasyvoulos | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-08-19 | Trabuco Carolyn | Buy | 2.06K | — | — |
| 2026-07-19 | BLITZER MICHAEL | Buy | 133.35K | — | — |
| 2026-07-19 | BLITZER MICHAEL | Buy | 31.43K | — | — |
| 2026-07-07 | Caulfield Thomas | Buy | 271 | — | — |
| 2026-06-08 | Trabuco Carolyn | Sell | 13.00K | $22.77 | 295.98K |
| 2026-06-03 | Trabuco Carolyn | Buy | 6.44K | — | — |
| 2026-06-03 | Senft Michael F | Buy | 6.44K | — | — |
| 2026-06-03 | SCHWETHELM OTTO C | Buy | 6.44K | — | — |
| 2026-06-03 | Caulfield Thomas | Buy | 6.44K | — | — |
| 2026-06-03 | Caulfield Thomas | Buy | 2.55K | — | — |
| 2026-06-03 | Caulfield Thomas | Buy | 407 | — | — |
| 2026-06-03 | Caulfield Thomas | Sell | 2.55K | — | — |
| 2026-06-03 | BLITZER MICHAEL | Buy | 6.44K | — | — |
| 2026-05-21 | Steele William Robert Jr | Sell | 33.83K | $22.57 | 763.43K |
| 2026-05-20 | BLITZER MICHAEL | Buy | 18.20K | — | — |
| 2026-05-20 | BLITZER MICHAEL | Buy | 12.28K | — | — |
| 2026-05-20 | BLITZER MICHAEL | Sell | 18.20K | — | — |
| 2026-05-20 | Steele William Robert Jr | Buy | 30.33K | $22.57 | 684.57K |
| 2026-05-20 | Steele William Robert Jr | Sell | 30.33K | — | — |
| 2026-05-20 | Steele William Robert Jr | Buy | 45.50K | $22.57 | 1.03M |
| 2026-05-20 | Steele William Robert Jr | Sell | 45.50K | — | — |
| 2026-05-20 | Kern Paul J | Buy | 12.28K | $22.57 | 277.25K |
| 2026-05-20 | Kern Paul J | Buy | 18.20K | $22.57 | 410.75K |
| 2026-05-20 | Kern Paul J | Sell | 12.28K | — | — |
| 2026-05-20 | Senft Michael F | Buy | 12.28K | $22.57 | 277.25K |
| 2026-05-20 | Senft Michael F | Buy | 18.20K | $22.57 | 410.75K |
| 2026-05-20 | Senft Michael F | Sell | 12.28K | — | — |
| 2026-05-20 | Gutnick Mordechai Zev | Buy | 12.28K | $22.57 | 277.25K |
| 2026-05-20 | Gutnick Mordechai Zev | Buy | 18.20K | $22.57 | 410.75K |
| 2026-05-20 | Gutnick Mordechai Zev | Sell | 12.28K | — | — |
| 2026-05-20 | SCHWETHELM OTTO C | Buy | 12.28K | $22.57 | 277.25K |
| 2026-05-20 | SCHWETHELM OTTO C | Buy | 18.20K | $22.57 | 410.75K |
| 2026-05-20 | SCHWETHELM OTTO C | Sell | 12.28K | — | — |
| 2026-05-20 | Trabuco Carolyn | Buy | 12.28K | $22.57 | 277.25K |
| 2026-05-20 | Trabuco Carolyn | Buy | 18.20K | $22.57 | 410.75K |
| 2026-05-20 | Trabuco Carolyn | Sell | 12.28K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Kern Paul J | Buy | 11.21K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Kern Paul J | Sell | 11.21K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Gutnick Mordechai Zev | Buy | 939.62K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Gutnick Mordechai Zev | Sell | 939.62K | — | — |
| 2026-04-15 | Gutnick Mordechai Zev | Buy | 939.62K | — | — |
| 2026-04-15 | Gutnick Mordechai Zev | Sell | 939.62K | — | — |
| 2026-04-15 | Kern Paul J | Buy | 11.21K | — | — |
| 2026-04-15 | Kern Paul J | Sell | 11.21K | — | — |
| 2026-03-31 | Steele William Robert Jr | Buy | 63.49K | — | — |
| 2026-03-19 | Caulfield Thomas | Buy | 2.55K | — | — |
| 2026-03-17 | Jacob Valerie | Buy | 35.24K | — | — |
| 2026-03-09 | Caulfield Thomas | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-07 | Jacob Valerie | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-02-12 | Kronenfeld David Thomas | Buy | 6.98K | $21.50 | 150.00K |
| 2026-01-29 | Trabuco Carolyn | Buy | 1.30K | $22.60 | 29.38K |
| 2026-01-29 | BLITZER MICHAEL | Buy | 100.00K | $21.44 | 2.14M |
| 2026-01-01 | BLITZER MICHAEL | Sell | 562.50K | — | — |
| 2026-01-01 | BLITZER MICHAEL | Sell | 343.16K | $7.00 | 2.40M |
| 2025-12-19 | Kronenfeld David Thomas | Buy | 11.10K | — | — |
| 2025-10-01 | BLITZER MICHAEL | Buy | 5.05K | — | — |
| 2025-10-01 | Gutnick Mordechai Zev | Buy | 5.05K | — | — |
| 2025-10-01 | Senft Michael F | Buy | 5.05K | — | — |
| 2025-10-01 | Trabuco Carolyn | Buy | 5.05K | — | — |
| 2025-10-01 | Kern Paul J | Buy | 5.05K | — | — |
| 2025-10-01 | Smith Tready | Buy | 5.05K | — | — |
| 2025-10-01 | SCHWETHELM OTTO C | Buy | 5.05K | — | — |
| 2025-10-01 | Humpton Barbara | Buy | 313.33K | — | — |
| 2025-10-01 | Humpton Barbara | Buy | 250.66K | — | — |
| 2025-10-01 | Humpton Barbara | Buy | 62.67K | — | — |
| 2025-10-01 | Steele William Robert Jr | Buy | 62.67K | — | — |
| 2025-10-01 | Humpton Barbara | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-09-15 | Bayshore Capital Advisors, LLC | Sell | 5.90M | $0.00 | 590 |
| 2025-09-15 | Bayshore Capital Advisors, LLC | Sell | 1.81M | — | — |
| 2025-09-15 | BLITZER MICHAEL | Sell | 3.12M | $0.00 | 312 |
| 2025-08-14 | BLITZER MICHAEL | Sell | 3.81M | $11.50 | 43.85M |
| 2025-08-14 | BLITZER MICHAEL | Sell | 6.00M | $11.50 | 69.00M |
| 2025-08-13 | BLITZER MICHAEL | Buy | 2.09M | $0.00 | 209 |
| 2025-08-13 | BLITZER MICHAEL | Sell | 1.16M | $7.00 | 8.13M |
| 2025-08-13 | BLITZER MICHAEL | Buy | 18.20K | — | — |
| 2025-08-13 | BLITZER MICHAEL | Buy | 12.28K | — | — |
| 2025-08-13 | BLITZER MICHAEL | Sell | 2.09M | $15.75 | 32.95M |
| 2025-08-13 | Kronenfeld David Thomas | Buy | 40.95K | — | — |
| 2025-08-13 | Kronenfeld David Thomas | Buy | 27.30K | — | — |
| 2025-08-13 | Kronenfeld David Thomas | Buy | 18.20K | — | — |
| 2025-08-13 | Ballard Joshua | Buy | 181.98K | — | — |
| 2025-08-13 | Ballard Joshua | Buy | 90.99K | — | — |
Institutional holders
Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.
Institutions holding: 445, holders +89 vs prior quarter. Ownership 71.01%.
| Holder | Shares | Change | Change % | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BLACKROCK, INC. | 15.56M | 1.47M | +10.47% | 335.79M |
| STATE STREET CORP | 13.52M | 1.46M | +12.07% | 291.81M |
| ALYESKA INVESTMENT GROUP, L.P. | 11.29M | -5.28M | -31.87% | 243.65M |
| UBS GROUP AG | 8.91M | 5.03M | +129.51% | 192.36M |
| PRICE T ROWE ASSOCIATES INC /MD/ | 8.91M | 5.71M | +178.25% | 192.35M |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 8.24M | -121.39K | -1.45% | 177.83M |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | 5.50M | 4.09M | +290.44% | 118.59M |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 4.86M | 540.36K | +12.51% | 104.86M |
| JANE STREET GROUP, LLC | 4.78M | 3.30M | +223.13% | 103.25M |
| BAYSHORE CAPITAL ADVISORS, LLC | 4.44M | -4.30M | -49.23% | 95.79M |
| SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP | 4.25M | 4.04M | +1863.76% | 91.77M |
| RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC | 3.95M | 3.00M | +313.56% | 85.26M |
| HOOD RIVER CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 3.69M | -554.09K | -13.06% | 79.61M |
| JANE STREET GROUP, LLC | 3.61M | 2.13M | +144.13% | 78.01M |
| SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP | 2.96M | 2.74M | +1265.02% | 63.79M |
| CITADEL ADVISORS LLC | 2.15M | 1.22M | +129.97% | 46.41M |
| MAREX GROUP LTD | 2.14M | 697.14K | +48.24% | 46.23M |
| REAVES W H & CO INC | 2.00M | -320.00K | -13.79% | 43.16M |
| JPMORGAN CHASE & CO | 1.98M | 1.74M | +729.63% | 41.91M |
| CITADEL ADVISORS LLC | 1.75M | 819.48K | +87.63% | 37.87M |
| CITADEL ADVISORS LLC | 1.70M | 766.43K | +81.96% | 36.72M |
| NORTHERN TRUST CORP | 1.59M | 222.43K | +16.27% | 34.31M |
| CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC | 1.52M | 68.39K | +4.72% | 32.77M |
| SIXTH STREET PARTNERS MANAGEMENT COMPANY, L.P. | 1.52M | 1.52M | New | 32.77M |
| BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/ | 1.52M | 95.22K | +6.69% | 32.76M |
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