Vanda Pharmaceuticals (VNDA) Stock Insights
$236.11M
Market Cap
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P/E
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Forward P/E
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Score
VNDA price $3.90 -0.09 -2.13%
VNDA fair value $16.91. Price $3.90. Price is 77% below fair value.
Below fair value, and cheaper than usual. A larger discount than on more than 99% of days in the past 5 years.
Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.
Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 42.74M. Growth 15.16%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 8.70% (beta 0.8). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 60.46M. Net debt -72.23M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.
Model uncertainty high for this stock
| Date | EPS actual | EPS estimate | Revenue | Revenue estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 | — | -0.68 | — | 69.20M |
| 2026-08-05 | -1.04 | -0.58 | 50.53M | 61.92M |
| 2026-05-06 | -0.82 | -0.53 | 51.72M | 54.98M |
| 2026-02-11 | -2.39 | -2.18 | 57.22M | 59.27M |
| 2025-10-29 | -0.38 | -0.31 | 56.26M | 59.27M |
| 2025-07-31 | -0.46 | -0.34 | 52.59M | 58.73M |
| 2025-05-07 | -0.50 | -0.55 | 50.04M | 45.13M |
| 2025-02-13 | -0.08 | -0.14 | 53.19M | 52.25M |
| 2024-11-06 | -0.09 | -0.17 | 47.65M | 49.15M |
| 2024-07-31 | -0.08 | -0.21 | 50.47M | 50.73M |
| 2024-05-08 | -0.07 | 0.05 | 47.46M | 48.50M |
| 2024-02-07 | -0.04 | -0.09 | 45.27M | 37.00M |
| 2023-11-08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 38.81M | 44.50M |
| 2023-07-27 | 0.03 | -0.13 | 46.06M | 50.50M |
| 2023-05-03 | 0.06 | — | 62.50M | — |
| 2023-02-08 | 0.12 | 0.08 | 64.48M | 67.60M |
| 2022-11-02 | 0.06 | 0.09 | 65.32M | 71.00M |
| 2022-08-03 | 0.05 | 0.11 | 64.39M | 67.00M |
| 2022-05-05 | -0.11 | -0.01 | 60.19M | 58.00M |
| 2022-02-23 | 0.12 | 0.09 | 68.02M | 70.04M |
| 2021-11-03 | 0.14 | 0.18 | 70.09M | 75.00M |
| 2021-07-28 | 0.17 | 0.14 | 67.90M | 75.00M |
| 2021-05-05 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 62.67M | 68.50M |
| 2021-02-10 | 0.15 | 0.14 | 67.65M | 62.82M |
| 2020-10-28 | 0.11 | 0.10 | 60.31M | 163.43M |
| 2020-08-05 | 0.16 | 0.04 | 62.21M | 15.55M |
| 2020-05-06 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 58.00M | — |
| 2020-02-25 | 0.08 | 0.11 | 60.93M | 83.78M |
| 2019-11-06 | 1.84 | 0.07 | 59.48M | 2.26M |
| 2019-07-31 | 0.21 | 0.00 | 59.06M | — |
| 2019-05-01 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 47.71M | 333.99M |
| 2019-02-13 | 0.19 | 0.13 | 53.04M | 2.79M |
| 2018-11-07 | 0.20 | 0.03 | 49.13M | 11.34M |
| 2018-08-01 | 0.14 | 0.06 | 47.35M | 94.70M |
| 2018-05-02 | 0.14 | -0.05 | 43.59M | 123.51M |
| 2018-02-14 | -0.04 | -0.12 | 44.28M | 132.83M |
| 2017-11-07 | -0.10 | -0.10 | 41.34M | 45.47M |
| 2017-08-02 | -0.03 | -0.21 | 42.06M | 392.52M |
| 2017-05-02 | -0.17 | -0.13 | 37.41M | 41.82M |
| 2017-02-15 | -0.01 | -0.09 | 38.24M | 344.20M |
Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency —.
Safety score 37/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. No dividend history was found. There is no dividend yield.
| Ex-date | Dividend | Record | Payment | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No data yet. | ||||
| Date | Insider | Action | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-04 | McGuire Daniel Patrick | Buy | 80.00K | — | — |
| 2026-06-04 | Chrousos Phaedra | Buy | 41.60K | — | — |
| 2026-06-04 | Duncan Charles Cliff | Buy | 41.60K | — | — |
| 2026-06-04 | DUGAN RICHARD W | Buy | 41.60K | — | — |
| 2026-06-04 | Ward Anne Sempowski | Buy | 41.60K | — | — |
| 2026-06-04 | Honore Tage | Buy | 41.60K | — | — |
| 2026-06-04 | Mitchell Stephen Ray | Buy | 41.60K | — | — |
| 2026-06-04 | McGuire Daniel Patrick | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-04 | McGuire Daniel Patrick | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-04 | McGuire Daniel Patrick | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-04 | McGuire Daniel Patrick | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-05-18 | Mitchell Stephen Ray | Sell | 25.84K | — | — |
| 2026-04-22 | Duncan Charles Cliff | Buy | 57.10K | — | — |
| 2026-04-22 | Duncan Charles Cliff | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-04-01 | Polymeropoulos Christos Vasilios Mihael | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-04-01 | Polymeropoulos Christos Vasilios Mihael | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-04-01 | Polymeropoulos Christos Vasilios Mihael | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-04-01 | Polymeropoulos Christos Vasilios Mihael | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-04-01 | Polymeropoulos Christos Vasilios Mihael | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-04-01 | Polymeropoulos Christos Vasilios Mihael | Other | 61.20K | $7.05 | 431.46K |
| 2026-04-01 | Howell Scott Laverne | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-04-01 | Howell Scott Laverne | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-04-01 | Howell Scott Laverne | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-04-01 | Howell Scott Laverne | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-04-01 | Howell Scott Laverne | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-04-01 | Howell Scott Laverne | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-04-01 | Howell Scott Laverne | Other | 77.50K | $7.05 | 546.38K |
| 2026-04-01 | Howell Scott Laverne | Other | 61.20K | $11.36 | 695.23K |
| 2026-04-01 | Howell Scott Laverne | Other | 28.60K | $20.28 | 580.01K |
| 2026-04-01 | Howell Scott Laverne | Other | 25.00K | $11.32 | 283.00K |
| 2026-03-02 | Williams Timothy | Sell | 42.43K | $8.27 | 350.76K |
| 2026-03-02 | Moran Kevin Patrick | Sell | 42.44K | $8.27 | 350.82K |
| 2026-03-02 | Wijkstrom Joakim | Sell | 30.80K | $8.27 | 254.59K |
| 2026-03-02 | Polymeropoulos Mihael Hristos | Sell | 156.24K | $8.17 | 1.28M |
| 2026-03-02 | Birznieks Gunther | Sell | 42.43K | $8.27 | 350.73K |
| 2026-02-23 | Honore Tage | Sell | 30.00K | $8.03 | 240.90K |
| 2026-02-18 | Wijkstrom Joakim | Buy | 125.00K | — | — |
| 2026-02-18 | Birznieks Gunther | Buy | 125.00K | — | — |
| 2026-02-18 | Williams Timothy | Buy | 125.00K | — | — |
| 2026-02-18 | Moran Kevin Patrick | Buy | 125.00K | — | — |
| 2026-02-18 | Polymeropoulos Mihael Hristos | Buy | 525.00K | — | — |
| 2025-08-07 | Polymeropoulos Mihael Hristos | Buy | 10.00K | $4.15 | 41.50K |
| 2025-06-13 | Mitchell Stephen Ray | Sell | 7.00K | $4.59 | 32.13K |
| 2025-06-05 | Mitchell Stephen Ray | Buy | 59.23K | — | — |
| 2025-06-05 | Chrousos Phaedra | Buy | 59.23K | — | — |
| 2025-06-05 | DUGAN RICHARD W | Buy | 59.23K | — | — |
| 2025-06-05 | Honore Tage | Buy | 59.23K | — | — |
| 2025-06-05 | Ward Anne Sempowski | Buy | 59.23K | — | — |
| 2025-05-21 | Polymeropoulos Mihael Hristos | Buy | 481 | $4.39 | 2.11K |
| 2025-05-21 | Polymeropoulos Mihael Hristos | Buy | 9.52K | $4.40 | 41.88K |
| 2025-05-16 | Polymeropoulos Mihael Hristos | Buy | 20.00K | $4.22 | 84.47K |
| 2025-03-06 | Polymeropoulos Mihael Hristos | Buy | 5.00K | $5.01 | 25.05K |
| 2025-03-06 | Polymeropoulos Mihael Hristos | Buy | 5.00K | $5.02 | 25.10K |
| 2025-03-05 | Polymeropoulos Mihael Hristos | Buy | 5.00K | $5.03 | 25.15K |
| 2025-03-05 | Polymeropoulos Mihael Hristos | Buy | 5.00K | $5.01 | 25.05K |
| 2025-03-03 | Polymeropoulos Mihael Hristos | Buy | 10.00K | $4.71 | 47.05K |
| 2025-03-01 | Wijkstrom Joakim | Sell | 15.52K | $4.76 | 73.88K |
| 2025-03-01 | Birznieks Gunther | Sell | 26.94K | $4.76 | 128.24K |
| 2025-03-01 | Polymeropoulos Mihael Hristos | Sell | 96.00K | $4.76 | 456.96K |
| 2025-03-01 | Moran Kevin Patrick | Sell | 26.94K | $4.76 | 128.24K |
| 2025-03-01 | Williams Timothy | Sell | 26.94K | $4.76 | 128.24K |
| 2025-02-28 | Polymeropoulos Mihael Hristos | Buy | 10.00K | $4.76 | 47.60K |
| 2025-02-27 | Polymeropoulos Mihael Hristos | Buy | 10.00K | $4.76 | 47.60K |
| 2025-02-26 | Polymeropoulos Mihael Hristos | Buy | 5.00K | $4.78 | 23.90K |
| 2025-02-26 | Polymeropoulos Mihael Hristos | Buy | 5.00K | $4.75 | 23.75K |
| 2025-02-25 | Polymeropoulos Mihael Hristos | Buy | 10.00K | $4.46 | 44.64K |
| 2025-02-21 | Moran Kevin Patrick | Buy | 2.00K | $4.39 | 8.78K |
| 2025-02-18 | Wijkstrom Joakim | Buy | 125.00K | — | — |
| 2025-02-18 | Polymeropoulos Mihael Hristos | Buy | 450.00K | — | — |
| 2025-02-18 | Moran Kevin Patrick | Buy | 125.00K | — | — |
| 2025-02-18 | Birznieks Gunther | Buy | 125.00K | — | — |
| 2025-02-18 | Williams Timothy | Buy | 125.00K | — | — |
| 2024-11-14 | Mitchell Stephen Ray | Sell | 5.00K | $5.17 | 25.86K |
| 2024-07-29 | Moran Kevin Patrick | Sell | 2.25K | $5.92 | 13.33K |
| 2024-05-22 | Chrousos Phaedra | Buy | 21.89K | — | — |
| 2024-05-22 | Chrousos Phaedra | Buy | 40.20K | $5.14 | 206.64K |
| 2024-05-17 | Honore Tage | Buy | 20.53K | — | — |
| 2024-05-17 | Honore Tage | Buy | 37.58K | $5.48 | 205.93K |
| 2024-05-17 | DUGAN RICHARD W | Buy | 20.53K | — | — |
| 2024-05-17 | DUGAN RICHARD W | Buy | 37.58K | $5.48 | 205.93K |
| 2024-05-17 | Mitchell Stephen Ray | Buy | 20.53K | — | — |
| 2024-05-17 | Mitchell Stephen Ray | Buy | 37.58K | $5.48 | 205.93K |
| 2024-05-17 | Ward Anne Sempowski | Buy | 20.53K | — | — |
| 2024-05-17 | Ward Anne Sempowski | Buy | 37.58K | $5.48 | 205.93K |
| 2024-03-05 | Williams Timothy | Sell | 8.94K | $4.18 | 37.40K |
| 2024-03-05 | Wijkstrom Joakim | Sell | 9.23K | $4.21 | 38.83K |
| 2024-03-05 | Polymeropoulos Mihael Hristos | Sell | 24.29K | $4.13 | 100.27K |
| 2024-03-05 | Moran Kevin Patrick | Sell | 8.90K | $4.20 | 37.41K |
| 2024-03-05 | Birznieks Gunther | Sell | 8.68K | $4.13 | 35.88K |
| 2024-03-04 | Williams Timothy | Sell | 8.15K | $4.41 | 35.92K |
| 2024-03-04 | Wijkstrom Joakim | Sell | 7.50K | $4.41 | 33.09K |
| 2024-03-04 | Polymeropoulos Mihael Hristos | Sell | 30.88K | $4.24 | 131.07K |
| 2024-03-04 | Moran Kevin Patrick | Sell | 5.80K | $4.48 | 25.98K |
| 2024-03-04 | Birznieks Gunther | Sell | 8.73K | $4.30 | 37.49K |
| 2024-02-16 | Williams Timothy | Buy | 125.00K | — | — |
| 2024-02-16 | Wijkstrom Joakim | Buy | 32.70K | — | — |
| 2024-02-16 | Moran Kevin Patrick | Buy | 125.00K | — | — |
| 2024-02-16 | Polymeropoulos Mihael Hristos | Buy | 450.00K | — | — |
| 2024-02-16 | Birznieks Gunther | Buy | 125.00K | — | — |
| 2023-08-21 | Wijkstrom Joakim | Sell | 3.72K | $5.84 | 21.75K |
Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.
Institutions holding: 177, holders +2 vs prior quarter. Ownership 83.57%.
| Holder | Shares | Change | Change % | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BLACKROCK, INC. | 7.65M | 377.75K | +5.19% | 46.84M |
| STATE STREET CORP | 3.52M | 500.84K | +16.61% | 21.52M |
| AQR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 3.50M | 1.89M | +118.12% | 21.41M |
| RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC | 3.44M | -318.20K | -8.46% | 21.06M |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 2.52M | 42.55K | +1.71% | 15.45M |
| AIGH CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 2.04M | -705.83K | -25.67% | 12.51M |
| ACADIAN ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC | 1.92M | 122.47K | +6.82% | 11.73M |
| DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP | 1.73M | -44.24K | -2.50% | 10.57M |
| MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC | 1.60M | -278.19K | -14.79% | 9.81M |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 1.48M | 40.82K | +2.83% | 9.08M |
| TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP | 1.35M | -49.13K | -3.51% | 8.26M |
| MARSHALL WACE, LLP | 1.23M | 629.99K | +105.70% | 7.50M |
| JACOBS LEVY EQUITY MANAGEMENT, INC | 1.21M | 44.65K | +3.82% | 7.43M |
| KRENSAVAGE ASSET MANAGEMENT, LLC | 1.18M | 0 | 0.00% | 7.22M |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | 1.13M | 116.51K | +11.48% | 6.92M |
| GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC | 1.04M | 198.03K | +23.62% | 6.34M |
| CITADEL ADVISORS LLC | 758.30K | 697.80K | +1153.39% | 4.64M |
| QUBE RESEARCH & TECHNOLOGIES LTD | 729.21K | 729.21K | New | 4.46M |
| FEDERATED HERMES, INC. | 714.28K | 138.89K | +24.14% | 4.37M |
| SIXTH STREET PARTNERS MANAGEMENT COMPANY, L.P. | 646.26K | 646.26K | New | 3.96M |
| CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC | 646.26K | 94.49K | +17.12% | 3.96M |
| NORTHERN TRUST CORP | 600.62K | 149.64K | +33.18% | 3.68M |
| MORGAN STANLEY | 477.97K | 37.18K | +8.43% | 2.93M |
| LIONHUNTER CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 400.25K | 400.25K | New | 2.45M |
| VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST CO | 399.82K | 11.85K | +3.06% | 2.45M |
Insights · Dividends · Forecast · Financials · Learn
$236.11M
Market Cap
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P/E
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Forward P/E
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Score