Vitesse Energy (VTS) Stock Forecast & Price Target
VTS$18.31+0.03 +0.16%
$770.93M
Market Cap
-58.55
P/E
89.75
Forward P/E
53
Score
Vitesse Energy (VTS) Stock Forecast & Price Target
VTS price $18.31 +0.03 +0.16%
- Ticker
- VTS
- Price
- $18.31
- Change
- +0.03 +0.16%
- Market cap ?
- $770.93M
- P/E ?
- -58.55
- Forward P/E ?
- 89.75
- Dividend yield ?
- 10.27%
- Beta ?
- 0.64
- Sector
- Energy
- Industry
- Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
- Stocklytics score
- 53
- Value
- 52
- Quality
- 39
- Growth
- 67
Stocklytics score rationale: value 52, quality 39, growth 67.
Financials
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 171301000 | 97230000 | 185178000 | 281890000 | 233905000 | 241998000 | 273989000 |
Vitesse Energy, Inc. is an energy company primarily engaged in all aspects of oil and gas property management, from initial acquisition and ownership through exploration, development, operation, production, and eventual divestiture of assets. The firm predominantly secures non-operated working and royalty interests, with a significant focus on the core Bakken Field spanning North Dakota and Montana. Additionally, it…
Fair value
VTS fair value $24.62. Price $18.31. Price is 26% below fair value.
Below fair value, and cheaper than usual. A larger discount than on 83% of days in the past 5 years.
Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.
Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 66.48M. Growth 12.48%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 8.70% (beta 0.8). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 42.10M. Net debt 127.97M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.
Earnings
| Date | EPS actual | EPS estimate | Revenue | Revenue estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | — | 0.01 | — | 76.97M |
| 2026-08-03 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 91.00M | 77.33M |
| 2026-05-04 | -0.00 | 0.01 | 67.41M | 66.71M |
| 2026-03-02 | -0.02 | 0.10 | 58.63M | 67.73M |
| 2025-11-03 | -0.03 | 0.10 | 67.44M | 67.10M |
| 2025-08-04 | 0.60 | 0.07 | 81.75M | 64.61M |
| 2025-05-05 | 0.23 | 0.09 | 66.17M | 69.78M |
| 2025-03-11 | 0.18 | 0.26 | 55.93M | 65.06M |
| 2024-11-04 | 0.24 | 0.41 | 58.28M | 60.69M |
| 2024-08-05 | 0.35 | 0.37 | 66.60M | 62.77M |
| 2024-05-06 | 0.34 | 0.32 | 61.19M | 59.95M |
| 2024-02-26 | 0.52 | 0.43 | 69.30M | 60.87M |
| 2023-11-01 | 0.38 | 0.39 | 55.05M | 54.45M |
| 2023-07-31 | 0.34 | 0.53 | 51.59M | 58.90M |
| 2023-05-08 | -1.67 | -0.60 | 57.96M | 60.65M |
| 2023-02-16 | 0.14 | — | 55.54M | — |
| 2023-02-13 | 0.53 | — | 64.45M | — |
| 2022-06-30 | 0.04 | — | 78.80M | — |
| 2022-03-31 | -0.02 | — | 64.98M | — |
| 2021-11-30 | 0.06 | — | 60.70M | — |
| 2021-08-31 | 0.02 | — | 55.14M | — |
| 2021-05-31 | -0.02 | — | 34.67M | — |
| 2021-02-28 | -0.02 | — | 34.67M | — |
Dividends
Yield 10.24%. Payout ratio 364.49%. Frequency Quarterly.
Safety score 22/100 · At risk. Payout ratio is 364% of earnings, above what earnings cover. Dividends are larger than free cash flow. Dividends were paid in 4 separate years. Yield is 10.2%, high enough that the payout may be hard to keep.
| Ex-date | Dividend | Record | Payment | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | $0.44 | 2026-09-15 | 2026-09-30 | Quarterly |
| 2026-06-15 | $0.44 | 2026-06-15 | 2026-06-30 | Semi-Annual |
| 2026-03-16 | $0.44 | 2026-03-16 | 2026-03-31 | Special |
| 2025-12-15 | $0.56 | 2025-12-15 | 2025-12-31 | Quarterly |
| 2025-09-15 | $0.56 | 2025-09-15 | 2025-09-30 | Quarterly |
| 2025-06-16 | $0.56 | 2025-06-16 | 2025-06-30 | Quarterly |
| 2025-03-21 | $0.56 | 2025-03-21 | 2025-03-31 | Quarterly |
| 2024-12-16 | $0.53 | 2024-12-16 | 2024-12-31 | Quarterly |
| 2024-09-16 | $0.53 | 2024-09-16 | 2024-09-30 | Quarterly |
| 2024-06-14 | $0.53 | 2024-06-14 | 2024-06-28 | Quarterly |
| 2024-03-14 | $0.50 | 2024-03-15 | 2024-03-29 | Quarterly |
| 2023-12-14 | $0.50 | 2023-12-15 | 2023-12-29 | Quarterly |
| 2023-09-14 | $0.50 | 2023-09-15 | 2023-09-29 | Quarterly |
| 2023-06-14 | $0.50 | 2023-06-15 | 2023-06-30 | Quarterly |
| 2023-03-14 | $0.50 | 2023-03-15 | 2023-03-31 | Quarterly |
Insider trades
| Date | Insider | Action | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | FRIEDMAN BRIAN P | Sell | 59.62K | — | — |
| 2026-06-15 | STEINBERG JOSEPH S | Buy | 40.88K | $16.16 | 660.53K |
| 2026-06-05 | O Leary Dan | Buy | 7.07K | — | — |
| 2026-06-05 | STEIN RANDY I | Buy | 7.07K | — | — |
| 2026-06-05 | Osborn Cathleen M | Buy | 7.07K | — | — |
| 2026-06-05 | Adamany Linda | Buy | 7.07K | — | — |
| 2026-06-05 | STEINBERG JOSEPH S | Buy | 7.07K | — | — |
| 2026-06-05 | FRIEDMAN BRIAN P | Buy | 7.07K | — | — |
| 2026-05-28 | STEINBERG JOSEPH S | Buy | 59.12K | $17.00 | 1.01M |
| 2026-05-01 | Henderson James P | Buy | 26.27K | — | — |
| 2026-05-01 | BENARD JAMIE BRETT | Buy | 87.58K | — | — |
| 2026-05-01 | BENARD JAMIE BRETT | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-31 | O Leary Dan | Buy | 10.00K | $18.56 | 185.60K |
| 2026-03-31 | Cree Brian | Sell | 50.00K | $18.51 | 925.50K |
| 2026-03-31 | Henderson James P | Buy | 5.00K | $18.67 | 93.35K |
| 2026-03-30 | Cree Brian | Sell | 70.14K | $18.65 | 1.31M |
| 2026-03-30 | Henderson James P | Buy | 5.00K | $18.71 | 93.55K |
| 2026-03-26 | Cree Brian | Buy | 54.17K | — | — |
| 2026-02-24 | Henderson James P | Sell | 2.37K | $22.31 | 52.79K |
| 2026-02-24 | Cree Brian | Sell | 5.28K | $22.33 | 117.94K |
| 2026-02-24 | Gerrity Robert W | Sell | 9.95K | $22.35 | 222.40K |
| 2026-01-21 | Gerrity Robert W | Sell | 36.78K | $19.66 | 723.38K |
| 2026-01-21 | Cree Brian | Sell | 1.44K | $19.69 | 28.36K |
| 2026-01-20 | Gerrity Robert W | Sell | 45.46K | $19.29 | 877.12K |
| 2026-01-20 | Cree Brian | Sell | 18.00K | $19.33 | 347.89K |
| 2026-01-16 | Gerrity Robert W | Sell | 31.46K | $19.39 | 610.01K |
| 2026-01-16 | Cree Brian | Sell | 19.82K | $19.37 | 384.05K |
| 2026-01-15 | Gerrity Robert W | Sell | 28.99K | $19.83 | 574.92K |
| 2026-01-15 | Cree Brian | Sell | 16.19K | $19.82 | 320.90K |
| 2026-01-14 | Gerrity Robert W | Sell | 90.74K | $20.14 | 1.83M |
| 2026-01-14 | Cree Brian | Sell | 43.22K | $20.12 | 869.33K |
| 2026-01-14 | SABOL MICHAEL | Sell | 4.50K | $20.14 | 90.56K |
| 2026-01-14 | Morella Mike | Sell | 5.20K | $20.13 | 104.71K |
| 2026-01-13 | Morella Mike | Buy | 6.00K | — | — |
| 2026-01-13 | SABOL MICHAEL | Buy | 6.00K | — | — |
| 2025-09-02 | Henderson James P | Sell | 23.52K | $26.44 | 621.67K |
| 2025-06-09 | Gerrity Robert W | Buy | 10.00K | $23.29 | 232.90K |
| 2025-05-01 | STEINBERG JOSEPH S | Buy | 5.95K | — | — |
| 2025-05-01 | STEIN RANDY I | Buy | 5.95K | — | — |
| 2025-05-01 | Osborn Cathleen M | Buy | 5.95K | — | — |
| 2025-05-01 | O Leary Dan | Buy | 5.95K | — | — |
| 2025-05-01 | FRIEDMAN BRIAN P | Buy | 5.95K | — | — |
| 2025-05-01 | Chernoff Michael Bruce | Buy | 5.95K | — | — |
| 2025-05-01 | Adamany Linda | Buy | 5.95K | — | — |
| 2025-03-18 | Gerrity Robert W | Buy | 321.86K | — | — |
| 2025-03-18 | Gerrity Robert W | Sell | 321.86K | — | — |
| 2025-03-10 | Chernoff Michael Bruce | Buy | 760 | — | — |
| 2025-03-07 | Chernoff Michael Bruce | Buy | 1.49M | $0.01 | 14.88K |
| 2025-03-07 | Chernoff Michael Bruce | Buy | 211.69K | $0.01 | 2.12K |
| 2025-03-07 | Chernoff Michael Bruce | Buy | 2.52K | $0.01 | 25 |
| 2025-03-07 | Chernoff Michael Bruce | Buy | 409 | $0.01 | 4 |
| 2025-03-07 | Chernoff Michael Bruce | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-03-07 | Reaves Gary Duane | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-03-05 | Regan Michael Scott | Buy | 3.76K | — | — |
| 2025-03-05 | Henderson James P | Buy | 11.28K | — | — |
| 2025-03-05 | Gerrity Robert W | Buy | 30.08K | — | — |
| 2025-03-05 | Cree Brian | Buy | 18.05K | — | — |
| 2025-02-23 | Cree Brian | Sell | 2.63K | $26.32 | 69.35K |
| 2025-02-23 | Henderson James P | Sell | 1.28K | $26.32 | 33.58K |
| 2025-02-23 | Gerrity Robert W | Sell | 5.55K | $26.32 | 146.00K |
| 2025-01-14 | SABOL MICHAEL | Sell | 6.71K | $26.70 | 179.23K |
| 2025-01-14 | Morella Mike | Sell | 8.14K | $26.69 | 217.37K |
| 2025-01-13 | SABOL MICHAEL | Buy | 6.00K | — | — |
| 2025-01-13 | Morella Mike | Buy | 6.00K | — | — |
| 2025-01-13 | Cree Brian | Sell | 100.53K | $26.53 | 2.67M |
| 2025-01-13 | Gerrity Robert W | Sell | 235.27K | $26.53 | 6.24M |
| 2024-12-17 | FRIEDMAN BRIAN P | Sell | 3.40K | — | — |
| 2024-09-13 | Gerrity Robert W | Buy | 10.00K | $24.73 | 247.30K |
| 2024-09-03 | Henderson James P | Sell | 21.23K | $25.86 | 548.98K |
| 2024-08-19 | Regan Michael Scott | Buy | 50.00K | — | — |
| 2024-08-01 | Regan Michael Scott | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2024-05-02 | STEINBERG JOSEPH S | Buy | 5.50K | — | — |
| 2024-05-02 | STEIN RANDY I | Buy | 5.50K | — | — |
| 2024-05-02 | Osborn Cathleen M | Buy | 5.50K | — | — |
| 2024-05-02 | O Leary Dan | Buy | 5.50K | — | — |
| 2024-05-02 | FRIEDMAN BRIAN P | Buy | 5.50K | — | — |
| 2024-05-02 | Adamany Linda | Buy | 5.50K | — | — |
| 2024-04-29 | Morella Mike | Buy | 7.00K | — | — |
| 2024-04-29 | SABOL MICHAEL | Buy | 7.00K | — | — |
| 2024-03-14 | Gerrity Robert W | Sell | 316.21K | — | — |
| 2024-02-23 | Henderson James P | Buy | 13.31K | — | — |
| 2024-02-23 | Cree Brian | Buy | 18.06K | — | — |
| 2024-02-23 | Gerrity Robert W | Buy | 38.03K | — | — |
| 2024-01-17 | FRIEDMAN BRIAN P | Sell | 64.73K | — | — |
| 2024-01-16 | Cree Brian | Sell | 99.05K | $20.85 | 2.07M |
| 2024-01-16 | Gerrity Robert W | Sell | 233.79K | $20.85 | 4.87M |
| 2023-12-31 | Gerrity Robert W | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2023-12-31 | Gerrity Robert W | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2023-09-14 | Henderson James P | Buy | 10.00K | $22.99 | 229.90K |
| 2023-09-11 | Gerrity Robert W | Buy | 5.00K | $23.56 | 117.80K |
| 2023-09-05 | Gerrity Robert W | Buy | 5.00K | $23.60 | 118.00K |
| 2023-09-01 | Henderson James P | Buy | 180.00K | — | — |
| 2023-09-01 | Henderson James P | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2023-08-28 | Gerrity Robert W | Buy | 5.00K | $23.08 | 115.40K |
| 2023-08-21 | O Leary Dan | Buy | 4.00K | $23.46 | 93.85K |
| 2023-05-23 | FRIEDMAN BRIAN P | Buy | 8.33K | — | — |
| 2023-05-23 | STEINBERG JOSEPH S | Buy | 8.33K | — | — |
| 2023-03-23 | STEINBERG JOSEPH S | Sell | 135.12K | — | — |
| 2023-03-22 | STEINBERG JOSEPH S | Buy | 158.00K | $16.99 | 2.68M |
| 2023-03-22 | Gerrity Robert W | Buy | 5.00K | $16.85 | 84.25K |
Institutional holders
Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.
Institutions holding: 240, holders +3 vs prior quarter. Ownership 70.19%.
| Holder | Shares | Change | Change % | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KIMMERIDGE ENERGY MANAGEMENT COMPANY, LLC | 1.94M | 1.94M | New | 50.53M |
| FIRST RESERVE GP XIII LTD | 2.91M | 0 | 0.00% | 45.91M |
| BLACKROCK, INC. | 2.60M | 320.23K | +14.05% | 40.99M |
| MIRAE ASSET GLOBAL ETFS HOLDINGS LTD. | 1.81M | 1.12M | +161.89% | 28.61M |
| STATE STREET CORP | 1.62M | 177.16K | +12.28% | 25.54M |
| PUNCH & ASSOCIATES INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, INC. | 1.59M | 253.20K | +18.98% | 25.03M |
| DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP | 1.41M | -3.11K | -0.22% | 22.22M |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 1.39M | 133.21K | +10.59% | 21.94M |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | 1.13M | -473.17K | -29.57% | 17.77M |
| AMERICAN CENTURY COMPANIES INC | 1.05M | 9.34K | +0.89% | 16.63M |
| ELGETHUN CAPITAL MANAGEMENT | 938.96K | 898.45K | +2217.63% | 14.81M |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 830.37K | 109.72K | +15.22% | 13.10M |
| GABELLI FUNDS LLC | 513.53K | 238.73K | +86.87% | 8.10M |
| GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC | 416.16K | 96.85K | +30.33% | 6.56M |
| FIRST TRUST ADVISORS LP | 366.66K | 28.77K | +8.52% | 5.78M |
| CANNELL CAPITAL LLC | 361.69K | 361.69K | New | 5.70M |
| MORGAN STANLEY | 349.51K | -33.50K | -8.75% | 5.51M |
| LEE DANNER & BASS INC | 337.47K | -9.00K | -2.60% | 5.32M |
| SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP | 310.50K | 249.90K | +412.38% | 4.90M |
| AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL INC | 302.30K | -179.24K | -37.22% | 4.77M |
| NORTHERN TRUST CORP | 283.17K | 42.66K | +17.74% | 4.47M |
| MARSHALL WACE, LLP | 263.15K | 187.54K | +248.02% | 4.15M |
| CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC | 260.65K | 27.05K | +11.58% | 4.11M |
| SIXTH STREET PARTNERS MANAGEMENT COMPANY, L.P. | 260.65K | 260.65K | New | 4.11M |
| JPMORGAN CHASE & CO | 202.26K | 4.30K | +2.17% | 3.22M |
Forecast
Consensus Buy from 5 analysts. Average price target $21.50, +17.4% versus the current price. Low $20.50. High $22.50.
Insights · Dividends · Forecast · Financials · Learn