Warby Parker (WRBY) Stock Price & Analysis

WRBY price $25.09 +0.66 +2.70%

Ticker
WRBY
Price
$25.09
Change
+0.66 +2.70%
Market cap ?
$3.10B
Beta ?
1.90
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Industry
Specialty Retail

Fair value

WRBY fair value $12.56. Price $25.09. Price is 100% above fair value.

Above fair value, and more expensive than usual. A larger premium than on 60% of days in the past 5 years.

Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.

Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 28.59M. Growth 20.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 12.00% (beta 1.9). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 123.61M. Net debt -53.21M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.

Model uncertainty high for this stock

Compare WRBY

Earnings

DateEPS actualEPS estimateRevenueRevenue estimate
2026-11-05—0.09—245.06M
2026-08-060.130.10235.51M237.98M
2026-05-070.120.11242.45M239.44M
2026-02-260.020.05211.97M213.03M
2025-11-060.110.09221.68M224.07M
2025-08-070.080.08214.47M213.12M
2025-05-080.120.12223.78M225.34M
2025-02-270.010.03190.64M187.63M
2024-11-070.050.05192.45M190.14M
2024-08-080.060.05188.22M187.03M
2024-05-090.080.07200.00M196.41M
2024-02-28-0.010.01161.85M160.85M
2023-11-080.010.01169.85M164.70M
2023-08-090.040.02166.09M162.56M
2023-05-090.060.05171.97M166.75M
2023-02-28-0.18-0.00146.49M142.56M
2022-11-100.010.01148.78M144.68M
2022-08-11-0.01-0.02149.60M149.50M
2022-05-16-0.300.02153.22M154.08M
2022-03-17-0.08-0.09132.89M133.35M
2021-11-120.03-0.36137.37M133.03M
2021-09-29-0.14-0.52138.97M133.03M
2020-12-31-0.39—112.84M—
2020-09-30-3.73—104.09M—
2020-06-30-0.10—88.39M—
2020-03-31-0.10—88.39M—

Dividends

Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency —.

Safety score 37/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. No dividend history was found. There is no dividend yield.

Ex-dateDividendRecordPaymentFrequency
No data yet.

Insider trades

DateInsiderActionSharesPriceValue
2026-10-01Raider Jeffrey JacobSell15.00K$27.70415.50K
2026-10-01Blumenthal Neil HarrisSell95.61K——
2026-10-01Blumenthal Neil HarrisBuy95.61K——
2026-10-01Blumenthal Neil HarrisSell100.00K$27.692.77M
2026-09-02Blumenthal Neil HarrisBuy44.64K——
2026-09-02Blumenthal Neil HarrisSell23.64K$24.19571.78K
2026-09-02Blumenthal Neil HarrisSell44.64K——
2026-09-02Blumenthal Neil HarrisSell10.98K——
2026-09-02Blumenthal Neil HarrisSell9.81K——
2026-09-02Blumenthal Neil HarrisBuy10.98K——
2026-09-02Blumenthal Neil HarrisBuy9.81K——
2026-09-02Blumenthal Neil HarrisSell11.50K$24.19278.28K
2026-09-02Gilboa David AbrahamBuy44.64K——
2026-09-02Gilboa David AbrahamSell23.64K$24.19571.78K
2026-09-02Gilboa David AbrahamSell44.64K——
2026-09-02Gilboa David AbrahamSell10.98K——
2026-09-02Gilboa David AbrahamSell9.81K——
2026-09-02Gilboa David AbrahamBuy10.98K——
2026-09-02Gilboa David AbrahamBuy9.81K——
2026-09-02Gilboa David AbrahamSell11.50K$24.19278.28K
2026-08-12Blumenthal Neil HarrisBuy200.00K$3.83766.00K
2026-08-12Blumenthal Neil HarrisSell200.00K$3.83766.00K
2026-07-06Blumenthal Neil HarrisSell9.20K$29.99275.91K
2026-07-06Blumenthal Neil HarrisBuy9.20K$29.99275.91K
2026-07-06Blumenthal Neil HarrisSell9.20K$29.99275.91K
2026-07-06Gilboa David AbrahamBuy54.35K$3.83208.15K
2026-07-06Gilboa David AbrahamSell54.35K$3.83208.15K
2026-07-06Gilboa David AbrahamSell54.35K$3.83208.15K
2026-07-06Gilboa David AbrahamBuy54.35K$3.83208.15K
2026-07-06Gilboa David AbrahamSell54.35K$29.841.62M
2026-07-01Blumenthal Neil HarrisSell189.32K——
2026-07-01Blumenthal Neil HarrisBuy189.32K——
2026-07-01Blumenthal Neil HarrisSell217.67K$29.616.45M
2026-07-01Gilboa David AbrahamBuy117.22K$3.83448.96K
2026-07-01Gilboa David AbrahamSell213.75K——
2026-07-01Gilboa David AbrahamSell117.22K$3.83448.96K
2026-07-01Gilboa David AbrahamBuy213.75K——
2026-07-01Gilboa David AbrahamSell242.22K$29.697.19M
2026-07-01Raider Jeffrey JacobSell22.50K$29.72668.70K
2026-06-29Blumenthal Neil HarrisSell36.30K——
2026-06-29Blumenthal Neil HarrisBuy36.30K——
2026-06-29Blumenthal Neil HarrisSell36.30K$30.041.09M
2026-06-18Blumenthal Neil HarrisBuy200.00K——
2026-06-18Blumenthal Neil HarrisSell200.00K$3.83766.00K
2026-06-16Briggs TeresaSell3.09K$25.4178.57K
2026-06-16Briggs TeresaSell1.91K$26.7951.12K
2026-06-12Moon Youngme ESell10.00K$26.53265.30K
2026-06-08WILLIAMS RONALD ABuy13.01K——
2026-06-08SINGER BRADLEY EBuy9.00K——
2026-06-08Raider Jeffrey JacobBuy9.00K——
2026-06-08Hunt AndrewBuy12.01K——
2026-06-08Moon Youngme EBuy9.00K——
2026-06-08Briggs TeresaBuy9.00K——
2026-06-02Gilboa David AbrahamBuy44.64K——
2026-06-02Gilboa David AbrahamSell23.64K——
2026-06-02Gilboa David AbrahamSell44.64K——
2026-06-02Gilboa David AbrahamSell10.98K——
2026-06-02Gilboa David AbrahamBuy10.98K——
2026-06-02Gilboa David AbrahamSell9.82K——
2026-06-02Gilboa David AbrahamBuy9.82K——
2026-06-02Gilboa David AbrahamSell11.51K$24.38280.49K
2026-06-02Blumenthal Neil HarrisBuy44.64K——
2026-06-02Blumenthal Neil HarrisSell23.64K——
2026-06-02Blumenthal Neil HarrisSell44.64K——
2026-06-02Blumenthal Neil HarrisSell10.98K——
2026-06-02Blumenthal Neil HarrisBuy10.98K——
2026-06-02Blumenthal Neil HarrisSell9.82K——
2026-06-02Blumenthal Neil HarrisBuy9.82K——
2026-06-02Blumenthal Neil HarrisSell11.51K$24.38280.49K
2026-05-19Blumenthal Neil HarrisSell63.04K——
2026-05-19Blumenthal Neil HarrisBuy63.04K——
2026-05-19Blumenthal Neil HarrisSell63.04K$30.031.89M
2026-05-14SINGER BRADLEY ESell4.83K$29.01140.21K
2026-05-13SINGER BRADLEY ESell20.17K$28.51574.96K
2026-04-20Blumenthal Neil HarrisSell22.44K——
2026-04-20Blumenthal Neil HarrisBuy22.44K——
2026-04-20Blumenthal Neil HarrisSell22.44K$25.09563.07K
2026-04-17Blumenthal Neil HarrisSell75.21K——
2026-04-17Blumenthal Neil HarrisBuy47.66K——
2026-04-17Blumenthal Neil HarrisBuy27.56K——
2026-04-17Blumenthal Neil HarrisSell47.66K$24.291.16M
2026-04-17Blumenthal Neil HarrisSell27.56K$25.04690.05K
2026-04-16Blumenthal Neil HarrisSell2.35K——
2026-04-16Blumenthal Neil HarrisBuy2.35K——
2026-04-16Blumenthal Neil HarrisSell2.35K$24.0856.47K
2026-03-11Raider Jeffrey JacobSell25.00K$25.43635.75K
2026-03-05Blumenthal Neil HarrisBuy44.64K——
2026-03-05Blumenthal Neil HarrisSell23.64K——
2026-03-05Blumenthal Neil HarrisSell44.64K——
2026-03-05Blumenthal Neil HarrisSell3.66K——
2026-03-05Blumenthal Neil HarrisSell9.81K——
2026-03-05Blumenthal Neil HarrisBuy13.47K——
2026-03-05Blumenthal Neil HarrisSell7.45K$27.36203.91K
2026-03-05Gilboa David AbrahamBuy44.64K——
2026-03-05Gilboa David AbrahamSell23.64K——
2026-03-05Gilboa David AbrahamSell44.64K——
2026-03-05Gilboa David AbrahamSell3.66K——
2026-03-05Gilboa David AbrahamSell9.81K——
2026-03-05Gilboa David AbrahamBuy13.47K——
2026-03-05Gilboa David AbrahamSell7.45K$27.36203.91K

Institutional holders

Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.

Institutions holding: 330, holders +8 vs prior quarter. Ownership 102.00%.

HolderSharesChangeChange %Value
FMR LLC15.58M51.07K+0.33%472.62M
BLACKROCK, INC.15.31M8.05M+110.90%464.49M
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO11.11M1.02M+10.14%334.67M
DURABLE CAPITAL PARTNERS LP6.40M00.00%194.07M
VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC5.98M651.77K+12.22%181.53M
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC4.49M83.83K+1.90%136.15M
STATE STREET CORP4.18M1.76M+72.67%126.96M
VAUGHAN NELSON INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, L.P.3.11M78.92K+2.61%94.27M
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC2.57M197.00K+8.30%78.03M
FULLER & THALER ASSET MANAGEMENT, INC.2.40M84.19K+3.64%72.73M
BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/1.92M546.46K+39.67%58.38M
NOMURA ASSET MANAGEMENT INTERNATIONAL INC.1.79M181.01K+11.22%54.44M
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP1.77M50.20K+2.91%53.78M
J. GOLDMAN & CO LP1.73M643.54K+59.51%52.34M
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC1.66M1.51M+951.05%50.51M
WOODLINE PARTNERS LP1.56M476.80K+43.89%47.42M
MORGAN STANLEY1.55M-211.94K-12.06%46.90M
CAPITAL WORLD INVESTORS1.46M99.63K+7.30%44.41M
JENNISON ASSOCIATES LLC1.46M502.69K+52.35%44.39M
SRS INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, LLC1.45M14.12K+0.98%44.10M
ARTISAN PARTNERS LIMITED PARTNERSHIP1.43M85.94K+6.40%43.32M
PRICE T ROWE ASSOCIATES INC /MD/1.36M-127.72K-8.58%41.31M
RAYMOND JAMES FINANCIAL INC1.34M200.99K+17.62%40.70M
UBS GROUP AG1.17M400.52K+51.90%35.57M
KINGDON CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C.1.13M73.00K+6.93%34.18M

Insights · Dividends · Forecast · Financials · Learn

Stocklytics home · Screener

Warby Parker (WRBY) Stock Price & Analysis

WRBY$25.09+0.66 +2.70%

$3.10B

Market Cap

—

P/E

—

Forward P/E

—

Score

Price History