Warby Parker (WRBY) Stock Price & Analysis
$3.06B
Market Cap
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P/E
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Forward P/E
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Score
WRBY price $24.76 +0.33 +1.35%
WRBY fair value $12.26. Price $24.76. Price is 102% above fair value.
Above fair value, and more expensive than usual. A larger premium than on 62% of days in the past 5 years.
Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.
Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 28.59M. Growth 20.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 12.00% (beta 1.9). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 123.61M. Net debt -53.21M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.
Model uncertainty high for this stock
| Date | EPS actual | EPS estimate | Revenue | Revenue estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-05 | — | 0.09 | — | 245.06M |
| 2026-08-06 | 0.13 | 0.10 | 235.51M | 237.98M |
| 2026-05-07 | 0.12 | 0.11 | 242.45M | 239.44M |
| 2026-02-26 | 0.02 | 0.05 | 211.97M | 213.03M |
| 2025-11-06 | 0.11 | 0.09 | 221.68M | 224.07M |
| 2025-08-07 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 214.47M | 213.12M |
| 2025-05-08 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 223.78M | 225.34M |
| 2025-02-27 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 190.64M | 187.63M |
| 2024-11-07 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 192.45M | 190.14M |
| 2024-08-08 | 0.06 | 0.05 | 188.22M | 187.03M |
| 2024-05-09 | 0.08 | 0.07 | 200.00M | 196.41M |
| 2024-02-28 | -0.01 | 0.01 | 161.85M | 160.85M |
| 2023-11-08 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 169.85M | 164.70M |
| 2023-08-09 | 0.04 | 0.02 | 166.09M | 162.56M |
| 2023-05-09 | 0.06 | 0.05 | 171.97M | 166.75M |
| 2023-02-28 | -0.18 | -0.00 | 146.49M | 142.56M |
| 2022-11-10 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 148.78M | 144.68M |
| 2022-08-11 | -0.01 | -0.02 | 149.60M | 149.50M |
| 2022-05-16 | -0.30 | 0.02 | 153.22M | 154.08M |
| 2022-03-17 | -0.08 | -0.09 | 132.89M | 133.35M |
| 2021-11-12 | 0.03 | -0.36 | 137.37M | 133.03M |
| 2021-09-29 | -0.14 | -0.52 | 138.97M | 133.03M |
| 2020-12-31 | -0.39 | — | 112.84M | — |
| 2020-09-30 | -3.73 | — | 104.09M | — |
| 2020-06-30 | -0.10 | — | 88.39M | — |
| 2020-03-31 | -0.10 | — | 88.39M | — |
Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency —.
Safety score 37/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. No dividend history was found. There is no dividend yield.
| Ex-date | Dividend | Record | Payment | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No data yet. | ||||
| Date | Insider | Action | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | Raider Jeffrey Jacob | Sell | 15.00K | $27.70 | 415.50K |
| 2026-10-01 | Blumenthal Neil Harris | Sell | 95.61K | — | — |
| 2026-10-01 | Blumenthal Neil Harris | Buy | 95.61K | — | — |
| 2026-10-01 | Blumenthal Neil Harris | Sell | 100.00K | $27.69 | 2.77M |
| 2026-09-02 | Blumenthal Neil Harris | Buy | 44.64K | — | — |
| 2026-09-02 | Blumenthal Neil Harris | Sell | 23.64K | $24.19 | 571.78K |
| 2026-09-02 | Blumenthal Neil Harris | Sell | 44.64K | — | — |
| 2026-09-02 | Blumenthal Neil Harris | Sell | 10.98K | — | — |
| 2026-09-02 | Blumenthal Neil Harris | Sell | 9.81K | — | — |
| 2026-09-02 | Blumenthal Neil Harris | Buy | 10.98K | — | — |
| 2026-09-02 | Blumenthal Neil Harris | Buy | 9.81K | — | — |
| 2026-09-02 | Blumenthal Neil Harris | Sell | 11.50K | $24.19 | 278.28K |
| 2026-09-02 | Gilboa David Abraham | Buy | 44.64K | — | — |
| 2026-09-02 | Gilboa David Abraham | Sell | 23.64K | $24.19 | 571.78K |
| 2026-09-02 | Gilboa David Abraham | Sell | 44.64K | — | — |
| 2026-09-02 | Gilboa David Abraham | Sell | 10.98K | — | — |
| 2026-09-02 | Gilboa David Abraham | Sell | 9.81K | — | — |
| 2026-09-02 | Gilboa David Abraham | Buy | 10.98K | — | — |
| 2026-09-02 | Gilboa David Abraham | Buy | 9.81K | — | — |
| 2026-09-02 | Gilboa David Abraham | Sell | 11.50K | $24.19 | 278.28K |
| 2026-08-12 | Blumenthal Neil Harris | Buy | 200.00K | $3.83 | 766.00K |
| 2026-08-12 | Blumenthal Neil Harris | Sell | 200.00K | $3.83 | 766.00K |
| 2026-07-06 | Blumenthal Neil Harris | Sell | 9.20K | $29.99 | 275.91K |
| 2026-07-06 | Blumenthal Neil Harris | Buy | 9.20K | $29.99 | 275.91K |
| 2026-07-06 | Blumenthal Neil Harris | Sell | 9.20K | $29.99 | 275.91K |
| 2026-07-06 | Gilboa David Abraham | Buy | 54.35K | $3.83 | 208.15K |
| 2026-07-06 | Gilboa David Abraham | Sell | 54.35K | $3.83 | 208.15K |
| 2026-07-06 | Gilboa David Abraham | Sell | 54.35K | $3.83 | 208.15K |
| 2026-07-06 | Gilboa David Abraham | Buy | 54.35K | $3.83 | 208.15K |
| 2026-07-06 | Gilboa David Abraham | Sell | 54.35K | $29.84 | 1.62M |
| 2026-07-01 | Blumenthal Neil Harris | Sell | 189.32K | — | — |
| 2026-07-01 | Blumenthal Neil Harris | Buy | 189.32K | — | — |
| 2026-07-01 | Blumenthal Neil Harris | Sell | 217.67K | $29.61 | 6.45M |
| 2026-07-01 | Gilboa David Abraham | Buy | 117.22K | $3.83 | 448.96K |
| 2026-07-01 | Gilboa David Abraham | Sell | 213.75K | — | — |
| 2026-07-01 | Gilboa David Abraham | Sell | 117.22K | $3.83 | 448.96K |
| 2026-07-01 | Gilboa David Abraham | Buy | 213.75K | — | — |
| 2026-07-01 | Gilboa David Abraham | Sell | 242.22K | $29.69 | 7.19M |
| 2026-07-01 | Raider Jeffrey Jacob | Sell | 22.50K | $29.72 | 668.70K |
| 2026-06-29 | Blumenthal Neil Harris | Sell | 36.30K | — | — |
| 2026-06-29 | Blumenthal Neil Harris | Buy | 36.30K | — | — |
| 2026-06-29 | Blumenthal Neil Harris | Sell | 36.30K | $30.04 | 1.09M |
| 2026-06-18 | Blumenthal Neil Harris | Buy | 200.00K | — | — |
| 2026-06-18 | Blumenthal Neil Harris | Sell | 200.00K | $3.83 | 766.00K |
| 2026-06-16 | Briggs Teresa | Sell | 3.09K | $25.41 | 78.57K |
| 2026-06-16 | Briggs Teresa | Sell | 1.91K | $26.79 | 51.12K |
| 2026-06-12 | Moon Youngme E | Sell | 10.00K | $26.53 | 265.30K |
| 2026-06-08 | WILLIAMS RONALD A | Buy | 13.01K | — | — |
| 2026-06-08 | SINGER BRADLEY E | Buy | 9.00K | — | — |
| 2026-06-08 | Raider Jeffrey Jacob | Buy | 9.00K | — | — |
| 2026-06-08 | Hunt Andrew | Buy | 12.01K | — | — |
| 2026-06-08 | Moon Youngme E | Buy | 9.00K | — | — |
| 2026-06-08 | Briggs Teresa | Buy | 9.00K | — | — |
| 2026-06-02 | Gilboa David Abraham | Buy | 44.64K | — | — |
| 2026-06-02 | Gilboa David Abraham | Sell | 23.64K | — | — |
| 2026-06-02 | Gilboa David Abraham | Sell | 44.64K | — | — |
| 2026-06-02 | Gilboa David Abraham | Sell | 10.98K | — | — |
| 2026-06-02 | Gilboa David Abraham | Buy | 10.98K | — | — |
| 2026-06-02 | Gilboa David Abraham | Sell | 9.82K | — | — |
| 2026-06-02 | Gilboa David Abraham | Buy | 9.82K | — | — |
| 2026-06-02 | Gilboa David Abraham | Sell | 11.51K | $24.38 | 280.49K |
| 2026-06-02 | Blumenthal Neil Harris | Buy | 44.64K | — | — |
| 2026-06-02 | Blumenthal Neil Harris | Sell | 23.64K | — | — |
| 2026-06-02 | Blumenthal Neil Harris | Sell | 44.64K | — | — |
| 2026-06-02 | Blumenthal Neil Harris | Sell | 10.98K | — | — |
| 2026-06-02 | Blumenthal Neil Harris | Buy | 10.98K | — | — |
| 2026-06-02 | Blumenthal Neil Harris | Sell | 9.82K | — | — |
| 2026-06-02 | Blumenthal Neil Harris | Buy | 9.82K | — | — |
| 2026-06-02 | Blumenthal Neil Harris | Sell | 11.51K | $24.38 | 280.49K |
| 2026-05-19 | Blumenthal Neil Harris | Sell | 63.04K | — | — |
| 2026-05-19 | Blumenthal Neil Harris | Buy | 63.04K | — | — |
| 2026-05-19 | Blumenthal Neil Harris | Sell | 63.04K | $30.03 | 1.89M |
| 2026-05-14 | SINGER BRADLEY E | Sell | 4.83K | $29.01 | 140.21K |
| 2026-05-13 | SINGER BRADLEY E | Sell | 20.17K | $28.51 | 574.96K |
| 2026-04-20 | Blumenthal Neil Harris | Sell | 22.44K | — | — |
| 2026-04-20 | Blumenthal Neil Harris | Buy | 22.44K | — | — |
| 2026-04-20 | Blumenthal Neil Harris | Sell | 22.44K | $25.09 | 563.07K |
| 2026-04-17 | Blumenthal Neil Harris | Sell | 75.21K | — | — |
| 2026-04-17 | Blumenthal Neil Harris | Buy | 47.66K | — | — |
| 2026-04-17 | Blumenthal Neil Harris | Buy | 27.56K | — | — |
| 2026-04-17 | Blumenthal Neil Harris | Sell | 47.66K | $24.29 | 1.16M |
| 2026-04-17 | Blumenthal Neil Harris | Sell | 27.56K | $25.04 | 690.05K |
| 2026-04-16 | Blumenthal Neil Harris | Sell | 2.35K | — | — |
| 2026-04-16 | Blumenthal Neil Harris | Buy | 2.35K | — | — |
| 2026-04-16 | Blumenthal Neil Harris | Sell | 2.35K | $24.08 | 56.47K |
| 2026-03-11 | Raider Jeffrey Jacob | Sell | 25.00K | $25.43 | 635.75K |
| 2026-03-05 | Blumenthal Neil Harris | Buy | 44.64K | — | — |
| 2026-03-05 | Blumenthal Neil Harris | Sell | 23.64K | — | — |
| 2026-03-05 | Blumenthal Neil Harris | Sell | 44.64K | — | — |
| 2026-03-05 | Blumenthal Neil Harris | Sell | 3.66K | — | — |
| 2026-03-05 | Blumenthal Neil Harris | Sell | 9.81K | — | — |
| 2026-03-05 | Blumenthal Neil Harris | Buy | 13.47K | — | — |
| 2026-03-05 | Blumenthal Neil Harris | Sell | 7.45K | $27.36 | 203.91K |
| 2026-03-05 | Gilboa David Abraham | Buy | 44.64K | — | — |
| 2026-03-05 | Gilboa David Abraham | Sell | 23.64K | — | — |
| 2026-03-05 | Gilboa David Abraham | Sell | 44.64K | — | — |
| 2026-03-05 | Gilboa David Abraham | Sell | 3.66K | — | — |
| 2026-03-05 | Gilboa David Abraham | Sell | 9.81K | — | — |
| 2026-03-05 | Gilboa David Abraham | Buy | 13.47K | — | — |
| 2026-03-05 | Gilboa David Abraham | Sell | 7.45K | $27.36 | 203.91K |
Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.
Institutions holding: 330, holders +8 vs prior quarter. Ownership 102.00%.
| Holder | Shares | Change | Change % | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FMR LLC | 15.58M | 51.07K | +0.33% | 472.62M |
| BLACKROCK, INC. | 15.31M | 8.05M | +110.90% | 464.49M |
| JPMORGAN CHASE & CO | 11.11M | 1.02M | +10.14% | 334.67M |
| DURABLE CAPITAL PARTNERS LP | 6.40M | 0 | 0.00% | 194.07M |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | 5.98M | 651.77K | +12.22% | 181.53M |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 4.49M | 83.83K | +1.90% | 136.15M |
| STATE STREET CORP | 4.18M | 1.76M | +72.67% | 126.96M |
| VAUGHAN NELSON INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, L.P. | 3.11M | 78.92K | +2.61% | 94.27M |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 2.57M | 197.00K | +8.30% | 78.03M |
| FULLER & THALER ASSET MANAGEMENT, INC. | 2.40M | 84.19K | +3.64% | 72.73M |
| BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/ | 1.92M | 546.46K | +39.67% | 58.38M |
| NOMURA ASSET MANAGEMENT INTERNATIONAL INC. | 1.79M | 181.01K | +11.22% | 54.44M |
| DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP | 1.77M | 50.20K | +2.91% | 53.78M |
| J. GOLDMAN & CO LP | 1.73M | 643.54K | +59.51% | 52.34M |
| GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC | 1.66M | 1.51M | +951.05% | 50.51M |
| WOODLINE PARTNERS LP | 1.56M | 476.80K | +43.89% | 47.42M |
| MORGAN STANLEY | 1.55M | -211.94K | -12.06% | 46.90M |
| CAPITAL WORLD INVESTORS | 1.46M | 99.63K | +7.30% | 44.41M |
| JENNISON ASSOCIATES LLC | 1.46M | 502.69K | +52.35% | 44.39M |
| SRS INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, LLC | 1.45M | 14.12K | +0.98% | 44.10M |
| ARTISAN PARTNERS LIMITED PARTNERSHIP | 1.43M | 85.94K | +6.40% | 43.32M |
| PRICE T ROWE ASSOCIATES INC /MD/ | 1.36M | -127.72K | -8.58% | 41.31M |
| RAYMOND JAMES FINANCIAL INC | 1.34M | 200.99K | +17.62% | 40.70M |
| UBS GROUP AG | 1.17M | 400.52K | +51.90% | 35.57M |
| KINGDON CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | 1.13M | 73.00K | +6.93% | 34.18M |
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$3.06B
Market Cap
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P/E
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Forward P/E
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Score