XPEL Stock Insights
XPEL$42.80-0.11 -0.27%
$1.18B
Market Cap
21.67
P/E
19.45
Forward P/E
57
Score
XPEL Stock Insights
XPEL price $42.80 -0.11 -0.27%
- Ticker
- XPEL
- Price
- $42.80
- Change
- -0.11 -0.27%
- Market cap ?
- $1.18B
- P/E ?
- 21.67
- Forward P/E ?
- 19.45
- Dividend yield ?
- 0.00%
- Beta ?
- 1.18
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- Industry
- Auto - Parts
- Stocklytics score
- 57
- Value
- 46
- Quality
- 56
- Growth
- 68
Stocklytics score rationale: value 46, quality 56, growth 68.
Financials
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51759267 | 67297044 | 109920614 | 129932881 | 158924000 | 259263000 | 323993000 | 396293000 | 420400000 | 476200000 |
XPEL, Inc. is a company that develops, manufactures, distributes, and installs a comprehensive range of aftermarket products primarily aimed at protecting and enhancing automotive vehicles, with select offerings for architectural applications. Their core product portfolio features advanced protective films for vehicle paint and surfaces, headlight protection solutions, and a variety of window films for both cars and…
Fair value
XPEL fair value $61.74. Price $42.80. Price is 31% below fair value.
Below fair value, and cheaper than usual. A larger discount than on 74% of days in the past 5 years.
Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.
Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 62.93M. Growth 11.72%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 10.77% (beta 1.2). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 27.57M. Net debt -28.00M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, kept between 8 and 40. Fewer than five years of history uses the sector's typical P/E. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.
Earnings
| Date | EPS actual | EPS estimate | Revenue | Revenue estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-04 | — | 0.60 | — | 138.75M |
| 2026-08-05 | 0.68 | 0.60 | 143.05M | 135.09M |
| 2026-05-06 | 0.37 | 0.33 | 117.35M | 113.10M |
| 2026-02-25 | 0.48 | 0.43 | 122.27M | 125.02M |
| 2025-11-05 | 0.47 | 0.48 | 125.42M | 125.01M |
| 2025-08-06 | 0.59 | 0.52 | 124.71M | 118.37M |
| 2025-05-06 | 0.31 | 0.25 | 103.81M | 118.80M |
| 2025-02-26 | 0.35 | 0.41 | 107.53M | 106.98M |
| 2024-11-07 | 0.54 | 0.51 | 112.85M | 106.98M |
| 2024-08-08 | 0.54 | 0.46 | 109.92M | 105.68M |
| 2024-05-02 | 0.29 | 0.31 | 90.10M | 90.10M |
| 2024-02-22 | 0.43 | 0.48 | 105.54M | 96.63M |
| 2023-11-08 | 0.56 | 0.62 | 102.68M | 96.63M |
| 2023-08-09 | 0.57 | 0.57 | 102.24M | 101.48M |
| 2023-05-09 | 0.41 | 0.37 | 85.84M | 83.62M |
| 2023-02-28 | 0.30 | 0.44 | 78.48M | 84.15M |
| 2022-11-09 | 0.48 | 0.44 | 89.76M | 85.47M |
| 2022-08-09 | 0.43 | 0.34 | 83.89M | 78.55M |
| 2022-05-10 | 0.28 | 0.24 | 71.86M | 68.86M |
| 2022-02-28 | 0.22 | 0.30 | 70.13M | 69.21M |
| 2021-11-09 | 0.32 | 0.32 | 68.53M | 64.37M |
| 2021-08-09 | 0.37 | 0.26 | 68.74M | 68.74M |
| 2021-05-10 | 0.25 | 0.18 | 51.87M | 47.54M |
| 2021-03-11 | 0.22 | 0.20 | 48.61M | — |
| 2020-11-11 | 0.24 | 0.17 | 46.12M | 44.77M |
| 2020-08-12 | 0.14 | 0.05 | 35.81M | 12.79M |
| 2020-05-14 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 28.39M | 28.39M |
| 2020-03-16 | 0.17 | 0.10 | 39.50M | 23.23M |
| 2019-11-11 | 0.16 | 0.11 | 35.62M | 24.49M |
| 2019-08-21 | 0.11 | — | 30.09M | — |
| 2019-03-31 | 0.07 | — | 24.73M | — |
| 2018-12-31 | 0.07 | — | 26.56M | — |
| 2018-09-30 | 0.08 | — | 29.29M | — |
| 2018-06-30 | 0.09 | — | 28.86M | — |
| 2018-03-31 | 0.08 | — | 25.20M | — |
| 2017-12-31 | 0.00 | — | 20.24M | — |
| 2017-09-30 | 0.02 | — | 17.83M | — |
| 2017-06-30 | 0.03 | — | 17.05M | — |
| 2017-03-31 | -0.00 | — | 12.63M | — |
| 2016-12-31 | -0.00 | — | 13.25M | — |
Dividends
Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency —.
Safety score 37/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. No dividend history was found. There is no dividend yield.
| Ex-date | Dividend | Record | Payment | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No data yet. | ||||
Insider trades
| Date | Insider | Action | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | Crumly Richard K. | Buy | 441 | — | — |
| 2026-10-05 | Crumly Richard K. | Sell | 441 | — | — |
| 2026-10-05 | Klonne Mike | Buy | 441 | — | — |
| 2026-10-05 | Klonne Mike | Sell | 441 | — | — |
| 2026-09-10 | North John F | Buy | 441 | — | — |
| 2026-09-10 | North John F | Sell | 441 | — | — |
| 2026-09-10 | BOGART STACY L | Buy | 441 | — | — |
| 2026-09-10 | BOGART STACY L | Sell | 441 | — | — |
| 2026-07-30 | Thornton Mark Andrew | Sell | 1.76K | — | — |
| 2026-06-19 | Wood Barry | Buy | 968 | — | — |
| 2026-06-19 | Wood Barry | Sell | 235 | $45.45 | 10.68K |
| 2026-06-19 | Wood Barry | Buy | 637 | — | — |
| 2026-06-19 | Wood Barry | Sell | 156 | $45.45 | 7.09K |
| 2026-06-19 | Wood Barry | Sell | 637 | — | — |
| 2026-06-19 | Pape Ryan | Buy | 3.03K | — | — |
| 2026-06-19 | Pape Ryan | Sell | 737 | $45.45 | 33.50K |
| 2026-06-19 | Pape Ryan | Buy | 1.99K | — | — |
| 2026-06-19 | Pape Ryan | Sell | 485 | $45.45 | 22.04K |
| 2026-06-19 | Pape Ryan | Sell | 1.99K | — | — |
| 2026-06-16 | BOGART STACY L | Buy | 532 | — | — |
| 2026-06-16 | BOGART STACY L | Sell | 532 | — | — |
| 2026-06-16 | Crumly Richard K. | Buy | 532 | — | — |
| 2026-06-16 | Crumly Richard K. | Sell | 532 | — | — |
| 2026-06-16 | Klonne Mike | Buy | 532 | — | — |
| 2026-06-16 | Klonne Mike | Sell | 532 | — | — |
| 2026-06-16 | North John F | Buy | 532 | — | — |
| 2026-06-16 | North John F | Sell | 532 | — | — |
| 2026-06-10 | Thornton Mark Andrew | Buy | 1.76K | — | — |
| 2026-06-10 | Crumly Richard K. | Buy | 1.76K | — | — |
| 2026-06-10 | Klonne Mike | Buy | 1.76K | — | — |
| 2026-06-10 | BOGART STACY L | Buy | 1.76K | — | — |
| 2026-06-10 | North John F | Buy | 1.76K | — | — |
| 2026-04-23 | Thornton Mark Andrew | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-16 | Crumly Richard K. | Buy | 532 | — | — |
| 2026-03-16 | Crumly Richard K. | Sell | 532 | — | — |
| 2026-03-16 | North John F | Buy | 532 | — | — |
| 2026-03-16 | North John F | Sell | 532 | — | — |
| 2026-03-16 | Klonne Mike | Buy | 532 | — | — |
| 2026-03-16 | Klonne Mike | Sell | 532 | — | — |
| 2026-03-16 | BOGART STACY L | Buy | 532 | — | — |
| 2026-03-16 | BOGART STACY L | Sell | 532 | — | — |
| 2026-03-09 | Pape Ryan | Buy | 15.68K | — | — |
| 2026-03-09 | Wood Barry | Buy | 6.27K | — | — |
| 2026-03-01 | Pape Ryan | Buy | 9.17K | — | — |
| 2026-03-01 | Pape Ryan | Sell | 2.34K | $42.62 | 99.69K |
| 2026-03-01 | Pape Ryan | Sell | 5.61K | — | — |
| 2026-03-01 | Pape Ryan | Sell | 3.57K | — | — |
| 2026-03-01 | Wood Barry | Buy | 2.45K | — | — |
| 2026-03-01 | Wood Barry | Sell | 726 | $42.62 | 30.94K |
| 2026-03-01 | Wood Barry | Sell | 1.50K | — | — |
| 2026-03-01 | Wood Barry | Sell | 951 | — | — |
| 2025-12-16 | Crumly Richard K. | Buy | 532 | — | — |
| 2025-12-16 | Crumly Richard K. | Sell | 532 | — | — |
| 2025-12-16 | North John F | Buy | 532 | — | — |
| 2025-12-16 | North John F | Sell | 532 | — | — |
| 2025-12-16 | Klonne Mike | Buy | 532 | — | — |
| 2025-12-16 | Klonne Mike | Sell | 532 | — | — |
| 2025-12-16 | BOGART STACY L | Buy | 532 | — | — |
| 2025-12-16 | BOGART STACY L | Sell | 532 | — | — |
| 2025-09-16 | Crumly Richard K. | Buy | 532 | — | — |
| 2025-09-16 | Crumly Richard K. | Sell | 532 | — | — |
| 2025-09-16 | North John F | Buy | 532 | — | — |
| 2025-09-16 | North John F | Sell | 532 | — | — |
| 2025-09-16 | Klonne Mike | Buy | 532 | — | — |
| 2025-09-16 | Klonne Mike | Sell | 532 | — | — |
| 2025-09-16 | BOGART STACY L | Buy | 532 | — | — |
| 2025-09-16 | BOGART STACY L | Sell | 532 | — | — |
| 2025-09-07 | Wood Barry | Buy | 1.09K | — | — |
| 2025-09-07 | Wood Barry | Sell | 267 | $35.68 | 9.53K |
| 2025-09-07 | Wood Barry | Sell | 1.09K | — | — |
| 2025-09-07 | Pape Ryan | Buy | 2.74K | — | — |
| 2025-09-07 | Pape Ryan | Sell | 667 | $35.68 | 23.80K |
| 2025-09-07 | Pape Ryan | Sell | 2.74K | — | — |
| 2025-07-15 | Wood Barry | Buy | 743 | — | — |
| 2025-07-15 | Wood Barry | Sell | 181 | $35.05 | 6.34K |
| 2025-07-15 | Wood Barry | Sell | 743 | — | — |
| 2025-07-15 | Pape Ryan | Buy | 1.04K | — | — |
| 2025-07-15 | Pape Ryan | Sell | 254 | $35.05 | 8.90K |
| 2025-07-15 | Pape Ryan | Sell | 1.04K | — | — |
| 2025-06-19 | Pape Ryan | Buy | 1.99K | — | — |
| 2025-06-19 | Pape Ryan | Sell | 486 | $36.14 | 17.56K |
| 2025-06-19 | Pape Ryan | Sell | 1.99K | — | — |
| 2025-06-19 | Wood Barry | Buy | 637 | — | — |
| 2025-06-19 | Wood Barry | Sell | 156 | $36.14 | 5.64K |
| 2025-06-19 | Wood Barry | Sell | 637 | — | — |
| 2025-06-16 | BOGART STACY L | Buy | 2.13K | — | — |
| 2025-06-16 | Crumly Richard K. | Buy | 2.13K | — | — |
| 2025-06-16 | Klonne Mike | Buy | 2.13K | — | — |
| 2025-06-16 | North John F | Buy | 2.13K | — | — |
| 2025-06-14 | BOGART STACY L | Buy | 530 | — | — |
| 2025-06-14 | BOGART STACY L | Sell | 530 | — | — |
| 2025-06-14 | Crumly Richard K. | Buy | 530 | — | — |
| 2025-06-14 | Crumly Richard K. | Sell | 530 | — | — |
| 2025-06-14 | Klonne Mike | Buy | 530 | — | — |
| 2025-06-14 | Klonne Mike | Sell | 530 | — | — |
| 2025-06-14 | North John F | Buy | 530 | — | — |
| 2025-06-14 | North John F | Sell | 530 | — | — |
| 2025-05-16 | Klonne Mike | Sell | 5.00K | $37.46 | 187.30K |
| 2025-04-01 | North John F | Buy | 616 | $29.38 | 18.10K |
| 2025-03-14 | BOGART STACY L | Buy | 530 | — | — |
Institutional holders
Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.
Institutions holding: 220, holders +8 vs prior quarter. Ownership 86.17%.
| Holder | Shares | Change | Change % | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BLACKROCK, INC. | 3.83M | 134.29K | +3.63% | 190.14M |
| WASATCH ADVISORS LP | 3.65M | -194.09K | -5.05% | 181.06M |
| ALTA FOX CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 1.99M | 65.50K | +3.40% | 98.69M |
| SCS CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 1.24M | 0 | 0.00% | 61.58M |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 1.05M | 6.31K | +0.60% | 52.14M |
| STATE STREET CORP | 971.19K | 44.46K | +4.80% | 48.17M |
| SCHWARTZ INVESTMENT COUNSEL INC | 822.82K | -2.02K | -0.24% | 40.81M |
| WESTWOOD HOLDINGS GROUP INC | 810.91K | 5.36K | +0.67% | 40.22M |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 656.28K | 36.98K | +5.97% | 32.56M |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | 542.28K | 54.25K | +11.12% | 26.90M |
| DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP | 487.80K | 15.16K | +3.21% | 24.19M |
| DIVISADERO STREET CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LP | 328.67K | -391.76K | -54.38% | 16.30M |
| MAWER INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LTD. | 310.20K | 310.20K | New | 15.39M |
| WILLIAM BLAIR INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, LLC | 307.18K | 307.18K | New | 15.24M |
| MORGAN STANLEY | 286.39K | 35.03K | +13.94% | 14.20M |
| CRAWFORD FUND MANAGEMENT, LLC | 270.75K | -61.30K | -18.46% | 13.43M |
| NORTHERN TRUST CORP | 269.94K | 17.56K | +6.96% | 13.39M |
| SIXTH STREET PARTNERS MANAGEMENT COMPANY, L.P. | 239.66K | 239.66K | New | 11.89M |
| CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC | 239.66K | 6.98K | +3.00% | 11.89M |
| GRANTHAM, MAYO, VAN OTTERLOO & CO. LLC | 232.31K | 34.44K | +17.40% | 11.52M |
| POLAR ASSET MANAGEMENT PARTNERS INC. | 211.00K | 89.00K | +72.95% | 10.47M |
| LHM, INC. | 203.01K | 12.35K | +6.48% | 10.07M |
| VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST CO | 178.69K | 3.23K | +1.84% | 8.86M |
| FIRST TRUST ADVISORS LP | 176.26K | 176.26K | New | 8.74M |
| SEI INVESTMENTS CO | 175.05K | 14.55K | +9.07% | 8.68M |
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