Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares (ARM) Stock Price & Analysis
ARM$232.16+5.56 +2.46%
$247.95B
Market Cap
230.26
P/E
105.23
Forward P/E
60
Score
Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares (ARM) Stock Price & Analysis
ARM price $232.16 +5.56 +2.46%
- Ticker
- ARM
- Price
- $232.16
- Change
- +5.56 +2.46%
- Market cap ?
- $247.95B
- P/E ?
- 230.26
- Forward P/E ?
- 105.23
- Dividend yield ?
- 0.00%
- Sector
- Technology
- Industry
- Semiconductors
- Stocklytics score
- 60
- Value
- 33
- Quality
- 69
- Growth
- 77
Stocklytics score rationale: value 33, quality 69, growth 77.
Financials
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027000000 | 2703000000 | 2679000000 | 3233000000 | 4007000000 | 4920000000 |
Arm Holdings plc is a leading technology firm that conceptualizes, engineers, and licenses core processing unit (CPU) designs and complementary technologies. These foundational innovations are crucial for semiconductor manufacturers and original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) to develop their own products. The company's diverse portfolio encompasses microprocessors, comprehensive system intellectual property (IP)…
Fair value
ARM fair value $109.14. Price $232.16. Price is 113% above fair value.
Above fair value, but less expensive than usual. A smaller premium than on 99% of days in the past 5 years.
Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.
Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 1.47B. Growth 20.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 12.00% (beta 2.0). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 1.07B. Net debt -2.29B. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, kept between 8 and 40. Fewer than five years of history uses the sector's typical P/E. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.
Model uncertainty high for this stock
Earnings
| Date | EPS actual | EPS estimate | Revenue | Revenue estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-04 | — | 0.48 | — | 1.38B |
| 2026-07-29 | 0.45 | 0.40 | 1.29B | 1.26B |
| 2026-05-06 | 0.60 | 0.58 | 1.49B | 1.47B |
| 2026-02-04 | 0.43 | 0.41 | 1.24B | 1.23B |
| 2025-11-05 | 0.39 | 0.33 | 1.14B | 1.06B |
| 2025-07-30 | 0.35 | 0.34 | 1.05B | 1.05B |
| 2025-05-07 | 0.55 | 0.52 | 1.24B | 1.23B |
| 2025-02-05 | 0.40 | 0.34 | 983.00M | 949.27M |
| 2024-11-06 | 0.10 | 0.25 | 844.00M | 808.37M |
| 2024-07-31 | 0.40 | 0.34 | 939.00M | 905.53M |
| 2024-05-08 | 0.36 | 0.30 | 928.00M | 865.94M |
| 2024-02-07 | 0.29 | 0.25 | 824.00M | 762.50M |
| 2023-11-08 | 0.36 | 0.26 | 806.00M | 739.71M |
| 2023-09-14 | 0.24 | — | 675.00M | — |
| 2023-03-31 | 0.00 | — | 633.00M | — |
| 2022-12-31 | 0.18 | — | 724.00M | — |
| 2022-09-30 | 0.11 | — | 630.00M | — |
| 2022-06-30 | 0.22 | — | 692.00M | — |
Dividends
Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency —.
Safety score 37/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. No dividend history was found. There is no dividend yield.
| Ex-date | Dividend | Record | Payment | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No data yet. | ||||
Insider trades
| Date | Insider | Action | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Child Jason | Sell | 10.40K | $300.00 | 3.12M |
| 2026-09-14 | Abbey William | Buy | 17.29K | — | — |
| 2026-09-09 | Haas Rene A. | Buy | 425.00K | — | — |
| 2026-08-31 | Haas Rene A. | Buy | 64 | $108.33 | 6.93K |
| 2026-08-27 | Child Jason | Sell | 10.40K | $255.33 | 2.66M |
| 2026-08-17 | Bartels Laura Kathleen | Sell | 862 | — | — |
| 2026-08-17 | Bartels Laura Kathleen | Sell | 819 | — | — |
| 2026-08-17 | Bartels Laura Kathleen | Buy | 819 | — | — |
| 2026-08-17 | Bartels Laura Kathleen | Buy | 862 | — | — |
| 2026-08-17 | Bartels Laura Kathleen | Sell | 856 | $271.43 | 232.34K |
| 2026-08-07 | Sine Jeffrey | Sell | 9.57K | — | — |
| 2026-06-02 | Bartels Laura Kathleen | Sell | 11.31K | $392.70 | 4.44M |
| 2026-05-28 | Abbey William | Sell | 4.20K | $343.81 | 1.44M |
| 2026-05-22 | Abbey William | Sell | 2.30K | $305.82 | 703.39K |
| 2026-05-21 | Abbey William | Sell | 4.66K | $287.03 | 1.34M |
| 2026-05-21 | Eaton Charlotte Claire | Sell | 2.81K | $288.10 | 808.12K |
| 2026-05-21 | Eaton Charlotte Claire | Sell | 5.00K | $291.08 | 1.46M |
| 2026-05-21 | Eaton Charlotte Claire | Sell | 4.00K | $282.77 | 1.13M |
| 2026-05-20 | Abbey William | Sell | 5.07K | $257.18 | 1.30M |
| 2026-05-20 | Child Jason | Sell | 31.92K | $226.54 | 7.23M |
| 2026-05-20 | Eaton Charlotte Claire | Sell | 3.10K | $252.25 | 781.98K |
| 2026-05-19 | Collins Spencer | Sell | 40.94K | $215.00 | 8.80M |
| 2026-05-19 | Abbey William | Sell | 10.89K | $224.14 | 2.44M |
| 2026-05-18 | Grisenthwaite Richard Roy | Sell | 24.34K | $209.15 | 5.09M |
| 2026-05-15 | Bartels Laura Kathleen | Buy | 69.57K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Bartels Laura Kathleen | Sell | 3.59K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Bartels Laura Kathleen | Sell | 862 | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Bartels Laura Kathleen | Sell | 2.31K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Bartels Laura Kathleen | Buy | 16.64K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Bartels Laura Kathleen | Buy | 2.31K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Bartels Laura Kathleen | Buy | 862 | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Bartels Laura Kathleen | Buy | 3.59K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Bartels Laura Kathleen | Sell | 3.38K | $209.16 | 707.59K |
| 2026-05-15 | Abbey William | Buy | 4.71K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Abbey William | Buy | 14.40K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Abbey William | Sell | 15.32K | $209.16 | 3.20M |
| 2026-05-15 | Abbey William | Buy | 1.74K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Abbey William | Buy | 4.44K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Abbey William | Sell | 7.00K | $212.55 | 1.49M |
| 2026-05-15 | Abbey William | Buy | 5.57K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Abbey William | Sell | 1.75K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Abbey William | Buy | 1.75K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Abbey William | Sell | 1.74K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Abbey William | Buy | 4.47K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Abbey William | Sell | 4.71K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Grisenthwaite Richard Roy | Buy | 34.78K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Grisenthwaite Richard Roy | Sell | 2.05K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Grisenthwaite Richard Roy | Sell | 14.60K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Grisenthwaite Richard Roy | Sell | 1.63K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Grisenthwaite Richard Roy | Sell | 4.35K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Grisenthwaite Richard Roy | Buy | 6.65K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Grisenthwaite Richard Roy | Buy | 4.35K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Grisenthwaite Richard Roy | Buy | 13.31K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Grisenthwaite Richard Roy | Buy | 1.63K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Grisenthwaite Richard Roy | Buy | 4.16K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Grisenthwaite Richard Roy | Sell | 21.30K | $209.16 | 4.46M |
| 2026-05-15 | Grisenthwaite Richard Roy | Buy | 14.60K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Grisenthwaite Richard Roy | Buy | 2.05K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Grisenthwaite Richard Roy | Buy | 5.22K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Collins Spencer | Buy | 15.72K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Collins Spencer | Sell | 4.18K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Collins Spencer | Sell | 3.95K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Collins Spencer | Buy | 48.38K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Collins Spencer | Sell | 36.31K | $209.16 | 7.59M |
| 2026-05-15 | Collins Spencer | Buy | 10.07K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Collins Spencer | Buy | 3.95K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Collins Spencer | Buy | 4.18K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Collins Spencer | Buy | 10.67K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Eaton Charlotte Claire | Buy | 8.04K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Eaton Charlotte Claire | Sell | 2.20K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Eaton Charlotte Claire | Buy | 2.20K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Eaton Charlotte Claire | Buy | 5.61K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Eaton Charlotte Claire | Sell | 3.67K | $209.16 | 768.04K |
| 2026-05-15 | Haas Rene A. | Buy | 162.00K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Haas Rene A. | Sell | 143.32K | $209.16 | 29.98M |
| 2026-05-15 | Haas Rene A. | Buy | 51.69K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Haas Rene A. | Buy | 51.95K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Child Jason | Buy | 57.60K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Child Jason | Sell | 37.95K | $209.16 | 7.94M |
| 2026-05-15 | Child Jason | Buy | 4.65K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Child Jason | Buy | 11.85K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Child Jason | Buy | 4.67K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Child Jason | Buy | 11.91K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Child Jason | Buy | 14.84K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Child Jason | Sell | 4.67K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Child Jason | Sell | 4.65K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | JACOBS PAUL E | Buy | 2.14K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | JACOBS PAUL E | Buy | 1.53K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | JACOBS PAUL E | Sell | 2.14K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | FISHER RONALD D | Buy | 1.53K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Sine Jeffrey | Buy | 2.14K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Sine Jeffrey | Buy | 1.53K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Sine Jeffrey | Sell | 2.14K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | DYKSTRA KAREN E | Buy | 1.53K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Schooler Rosemary | Buy | 2.14K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Schooler Rosemary | Buy | 1.53K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Schooler Rosemary | Sell | 2.14K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | SOHN YOUNG | Buy | 2.14K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | SOHN YOUNG | Sell | 429 | $209.16 | 89.73K |
| 2026-05-15 | SOHN YOUNG | Buy | 1.53K | — | — |
Institutional holders
Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.
Institutions holding: 1.06K, holders +234 vs prior quarter. Ownership 9.32%.
| Holder | Shares | Change | Change % | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| INVESCO LTD. | 12.82M | 9.89M | +337.29% | 4.54B |
| SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP | 9.10M | 8.32M | +1065.66% | 3.23B |
| SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP | 8.45M | 7.66M | +981.86% | 2.99B |
| JANE STREET GROUP, LLC | 7.08M | 6.76M | +2143.74% | 2.51B |
| DZ BANK AG DEUTSCHE ZENTRAL GENOSSENSCHAFTS BANK, FRANKFURT AM MAIN | 6.50M | 6.05M | +1345.37% | 2.31B |
| CITADEL ADVISORS LLC | 5.35M | 5.06M | +1750.67% | 1.90B |
| CAPITAL WORLD INVESTORS | 4.33M | 4.33M | New | 1.54B |
| JANE STREET GROUP, LLC | 4.31M | 4.00M | +1266.54% | 1.53B |
| ARROWSTREET CAPITAL, LIMITED PARTNERSHIP | 4.09M | 3.15M | +333.23% | 1.45B |
| FMR LLC | 4.06M | 1.61M | +65.90% | 1.44B |
| CITADEL ADVISORS LLC | 3.32M | 3.03M | +1049.47% | 1.18B |
| BARCLAYS PLC | 2.97M | 2.50M | +529.71% | 1.05B |
| GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC | 2.92M | 1.87M | +177.47% | 1.04B |
| VAN ECK ASSOCIATES CORP | 2.60M | 387.71K | +17.52% | 922.09M |
| CAPITAL RESEARCH GLOBAL INVESTORS | 2.40M | -1.82M | -43.08% | 851.37M |
| ALKEON CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 2.21M | 2.21M | New | 784.27M |
| MORGAN STANLEY | 2.16M | -2.31M | -51.65% | 765.31M |
| CAPITAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTORS | 2.05M | 884.71K | +75.91% | 726.78M |
| BLACKROCK, INC. | 2.04M | 793.29K | +63.84% | 721.90M |
| FRANKLIN TEMPLETON INC | 2.02M | 472.95K | +30.49% | 717.65M |
| ALPHABET INC. | 1.96M | 0 | 0.00% | 695.24M |
| SCHRODER INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT GROUP | 1.87M | -1.95M | -51.02% | 664.22M |
| UBS GROUP AG | 1.65M | 1.36M | +462.54% | 584.62M |
| ALTIMETER CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LP | 1.64M | -73.47K | -4.28% | 582.19M |
| SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP | 1.63M | 846.50K | +108.44% | 576.93M |
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