Arm Holdings plc American Depositary (ARM) Stock Forecast & Price Target

ARM price $232.16 +5.56 +2.46%

Ticker
ARM
Price
$232.16
Change
+5.56 +2.46%
Market cap ?
$247.95B
P/E ?
230.26
Forward P/E ?
105.23
Dividend yield ?
0.00%
Sector
Technology
Industry
Semiconductors
Stocklytics score
60
Value
33
Quality
69
Growth
77

Stocklytics score rationale: value 33, quality 69, growth 77.

Financials

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Arm Holdings plc is a leading technology firm that conceptualizes, engineers, and licenses core processing unit (CPU) designs and complementary technologies. These foundational innovations are crucial for semiconductor manufacturers and original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) to develop their own products. The company's diverse portfolio encompasses microprocessors, comprehensive system intellectual property (IP)…

Fair value

ARM fair value $109.14. Price $232.16. Price is 113% above fair value.

Above fair value, but less expensive than usual. A smaller premium than on 99% of days in the past 5 years.

Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.

Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 1.47B. Growth 20.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 12.00% (beta 2.0). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 1.07B. Net debt -2.29B. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, kept between 8 and 40. Fewer than five years of history uses the sector's typical P/E. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.

Model uncertainty high for this stock

Compare ARM

Earnings

DateEPS actualEPS estimateRevenueRevenue estimate
2026-11-04—0.48—1.38B
2026-07-290.450.401.29B1.26B
2026-05-060.600.581.49B1.47B
2026-02-040.430.411.24B1.23B
2025-11-050.390.331.14B1.06B
2025-07-300.350.341.05B1.05B
2025-05-070.550.521.24B1.23B
2025-02-050.400.34983.00M949.27M
2024-11-060.100.25844.00M808.37M
2024-07-310.400.34939.00M905.53M
2024-05-080.360.30928.00M865.94M
2024-02-070.290.25824.00M762.50M
2023-11-080.360.26806.00M739.71M
2023-09-140.24—675.00M—
2023-03-310.00—633.00M—
2022-12-310.18—724.00M—
2022-09-300.11—630.00M—
2022-06-300.22—692.00M—

Dividends

Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency —.

Safety score 37/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. No dividend history was found. There is no dividend yield.

Ex-dateDividendRecordPaymentFrequency
No data yet.

Insider trades

DateInsiderActionSharesPriceValue
2026-09-21Child JasonSell10.40K$300.003.12M
2026-09-14Abbey WilliamBuy17.29K——
2026-09-09Haas Rene A.Buy425.00K——
2026-08-31Haas Rene A.Buy64$108.336.93K
2026-08-27Child JasonSell10.40K$255.332.66M
2026-08-17Bartels Laura KathleenSell862——
2026-08-17Bartels Laura KathleenSell819——
2026-08-17Bartels Laura KathleenBuy819——
2026-08-17Bartels Laura KathleenBuy862——
2026-08-17Bartels Laura KathleenSell856$271.43232.34K
2026-08-07Sine JeffreySell9.57K——
2026-06-02Bartels Laura KathleenSell11.31K$392.704.44M
2026-05-28Abbey WilliamSell4.20K$343.811.44M
2026-05-22Abbey WilliamSell2.30K$305.82703.39K
2026-05-21Abbey WilliamSell4.66K$287.031.34M
2026-05-21Eaton Charlotte ClaireSell2.81K$288.10808.12K
2026-05-21Eaton Charlotte ClaireSell5.00K$291.081.46M
2026-05-21Eaton Charlotte ClaireSell4.00K$282.771.13M
2026-05-20Abbey WilliamSell5.07K$257.181.30M
2026-05-20Child JasonSell31.92K$226.547.23M
2026-05-20Eaton Charlotte ClaireSell3.10K$252.25781.98K
2026-05-19Collins SpencerSell40.94K$215.008.80M
2026-05-19Abbey WilliamSell10.89K$224.142.44M
2026-05-18Grisenthwaite Richard RoySell24.34K$209.155.09M
2026-05-15Bartels Laura KathleenBuy69.57K——
2026-05-15Bartels Laura KathleenSell3.59K——
2026-05-15Bartels Laura KathleenSell862——
2026-05-15Bartels Laura KathleenSell2.31K——
2026-05-15Bartels Laura KathleenBuy16.64K——
2026-05-15Bartels Laura KathleenBuy2.31K——
2026-05-15Bartels Laura KathleenBuy862——
2026-05-15Bartels Laura KathleenBuy3.59K——
2026-05-15Bartels Laura KathleenSell3.38K$209.16707.59K
2026-05-15Abbey WilliamBuy4.71K——
2026-05-15Abbey WilliamBuy14.40K——
2026-05-15Abbey WilliamSell15.32K$209.163.20M
2026-05-15Abbey WilliamBuy1.74K——
2026-05-15Abbey WilliamBuy4.44K——
2026-05-15Abbey WilliamSell7.00K$212.551.49M
2026-05-15Abbey WilliamBuy5.57K——
2026-05-15Abbey WilliamSell1.75K——
2026-05-15Abbey WilliamBuy1.75K——
2026-05-15Abbey WilliamSell1.74K——
2026-05-15Abbey WilliamBuy4.47K——
2026-05-15Abbey WilliamSell4.71K——
2026-05-15Grisenthwaite Richard RoyBuy34.78K——
2026-05-15Grisenthwaite Richard RoySell2.05K——
2026-05-15Grisenthwaite Richard RoySell14.60K——
2026-05-15Grisenthwaite Richard RoySell1.63K——
2026-05-15Grisenthwaite Richard RoySell4.35K——
2026-05-15Grisenthwaite Richard RoyBuy6.65K——
2026-05-15Grisenthwaite Richard RoyBuy4.35K——
2026-05-15Grisenthwaite Richard RoyBuy13.31K——
2026-05-15Grisenthwaite Richard RoyBuy1.63K——
2026-05-15Grisenthwaite Richard RoyBuy4.16K——
2026-05-15Grisenthwaite Richard RoySell21.30K$209.164.46M
2026-05-15Grisenthwaite Richard RoyBuy14.60K——
2026-05-15Grisenthwaite Richard RoyBuy2.05K——
2026-05-15Grisenthwaite Richard RoyBuy5.22K——
2026-05-15Collins SpencerBuy15.72K——
2026-05-15Collins SpencerSell4.18K——
2026-05-15Collins SpencerSell3.95K——
2026-05-15Collins SpencerBuy48.38K——
2026-05-15Collins SpencerSell36.31K$209.167.59M
2026-05-15Collins SpencerBuy10.07K——
2026-05-15Collins SpencerBuy3.95K——
2026-05-15Collins SpencerBuy4.18K——
2026-05-15Collins SpencerBuy10.67K——
2026-05-15Eaton Charlotte ClaireBuy8.04K——
2026-05-15Eaton Charlotte ClaireSell2.20K——
2026-05-15Eaton Charlotte ClaireBuy2.20K——
2026-05-15Eaton Charlotte ClaireBuy5.61K——
2026-05-15Eaton Charlotte ClaireSell3.67K$209.16768.04K
2026-05-15Haas Rene A.Buy162.00K——
2026-05-15Haas Rene A.Sell143.32K$209.1629.98M
2026-05-15Haas Rene A.Buy51.69K——
2026-05-15Haas Rene A.Buy51.95K——
2026-05-15Child JasonBuy57.60K——
2026-05-15Child JasonSell37.95K$209.167.94M
2026-05-15Child JasonBuy4.65K——
2026-05-15Child JasonBuy11.85K——
2026-05-15Child JasonBuy4.67K——
2026-05-15Child JasonBuy11.91K——
2026-05-15Child JasonBuy14.84K——
2026-05-15Child JasonSell4.67K——
2026-05-15Child JasonSell4.65K——
2026-05-15JACOBS PAUL EBuy2.14K——
2026-05-15JACOBS PAUL EBuy1.53K——
2026-05-15JACOBS PAUL ESell2.14K——
2026-05-15FISHER RONALD DBuy1.53K——
2026-05-15Sine JeffreyBuy2.14K——
2026-05-15Sine JeffreyBuy1.53K——
2026-05-15Sine JeffreySell2.14K——
2026-05-15DYKSTRA KAREN EBuy1.53K——
2026-05-15Schooler RosemaryBuy2.14K——
2026-05-15Schooler RosemaryBuy1.53K——
2026-05-15Schooler RosemarySell2.14K——
2026-05-15SOHN YOUNGBuy2.14K——
2026-05-15SOHN YOUNGSell429$209.1689.73K
2026-05-15SOHN YOUNGBuy1.53K——

Institutional holders

Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.

Institutions holding: 1.06K, holders +234 vs prior quarter. Ownership 9.32%.

HolderSharesChangeChange %Value
INVESCO LTD.12.82M9.89M+337.29%4.54B
SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP9.10M8.32M+1065.66%3.23B
SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP8.45M7.66M+981.86%2.99B
JANE STREET GROUP, LLC7.08M6.76M+2143.74%2.51B
DZ BANK AG DEUTSCHE ZENTRAL GENOSSENSCHAFTS BANK, FRANKFURT AM MAIN6.50M6.05M+1345.37%2.31B
CITADEL ADVISORS LLC5.35M5.06M+1750.67%1.90B
CAPITAL WORLD INVESTORS4.33M4.33MNew1.54B
JANE STREET GROUP, LLC4.31M4.00M+1266.54%1.53B
ARROWSTREET CAPITAL, LIMITED PARTNERSHIP4.09M3.15M+333.23%1.45B
FMR LLC4.06M1.61M+65.90%1.44B
CITADEL ADVISORS LLC3.32M3.03M+1049.47%1.18B
BARCLAYS PLC2.97M2.50M+529.71%1.05B
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC2.92M1.87M+177.47%1.04B
VAN ECK ASSOCIATES CORP2.60M387.71K+17.52%922.09M
CAPITAL RESEARCH GLOBAL INVESTORS2.40M-1.82M-43.08%851.37M
ALKEON CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC2.21M2.21MNew784.27M
MORGAN STANLEY2.16M-2.31M-51.65%765.31M
CAPITAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTORS2.05M884.71K+75.91%726.78M
BLACKROCK, INC.2.04M793.29K+63.84%721.90M
FRANKLIN TEMPLETON INC2.02M472.95K+30.49%717.65M
ALPHABET INC.1.96M00.00%695.24M
SCHRODER INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT GROUP1.87M-1.95M-51.02%664.22M
UBS GROUP AG1.65M1.36M+462.54%584.62M
ALTIMETER CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LP1.64M-73.47K-4.28%582.19M
SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP1.63M846.50K+108.44%576.93M

Forecast

Consensus Buy from 45 analysts. Average price target $375.92, +61.9% versus the current price. Low $250.00. High $641.00.

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Analysts have an average 12-month price target of $375.92 for Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares (ARM), 61.7% above the current price of $232.52. Of 45 analysts covering the stock, 29 rate it Buy or Strong Buy, 13 Hold, and 3 Sell or Strong Sell, giving a consensus of Buy.

Forecasts are third-party estimates and often wrong. They are not investment advice.

ARM price target

12-month price target
Low$250.00
Average$375.92
High$641.00

The average is 61.7% above the current price of $232.52.

Is Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares a buy or sell?

Of 45 analysts, 29 rate Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares Buy or Strong Buy, 13 Hold, and 3 Sell or Strong Sell. The consensus label is Buy. That split is not a recommendation.

Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares earnings and revenue forecast

Analyst averages on file: 2026, EPS $1.75, revenue $4.90 billion. 2027, EPS $2.21, revenue $6.09 billion.

ARM score and fair value

The Stocklytics Score for ARM is 60 out of 100. It averages value, quality, and growth against a large-cap US universe. It is not a price target and not a buy or sell rating. Fair value is a separate estimate on the fair value tab.

ARM forecast FAQs

What is the ARM price target?

$375.92 average, with a published range of $250.00 to $641.00.

Is Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares a buy or sell?

The consensus is Buy from 45 analysts. This is not a recommendation.

What is the Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares stock forecast for 2026?

Analysts' average EPS estimate for 2026 on file is $1.75. The average revenue estimate is $4.90 billion.

What will ARM be worth in 2030?

No reliable forecast exists that far out.

When is Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares's next earnings report?

The next earnings date is shown on the stock page when a future report is on the calendar. This forecast does not invent a date.

Related: Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares · Financials · Dividends · Compare · AI stocks

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Arm Holdings plc American Depositary (ARM) Stock Forecast & Price Target

ARM$232.16+5.56 +2.46%

$247.95B

Market Cap

230.26

P/E

105.23

Forward P/E

60

Score

Price History