Fair value

AUGO fair value $203.91. Price $79.38. Price is 61% below fair value.

Below fair value, around its usual discount.

Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.

Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 186.98M. Growth 20.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 8.70% (beta 0.8). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 83.79M. Net debt 125.11M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, kept between 8 and 40. Fewer than five years of history uses the sector's typical P/E. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.

Model uncertainty high for this stock

Free cash flow adds back growth capex above depreciation.

Compare AUGO

Earnings

Dividends

Yield 3.33%. Payout ratio 62.80%. Frequency Quarterly.

Safety score 59/100 · Moderate. Payout ratio is 63% of earnings. Dividends are larger than free cash flow. Dividends were paid in 7 separate years. Yield is 3.3%, in a range that is usually sustainable.

Insider trades

Institutional holders

Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.

Institutions holding: 216, holders +50 vs prior quarter. Ownership 31.61%.