Aurora Innovation (AUR) Stock Insights

AUR price $5.04 -0.08 -1.50%

Ticker
AUR
Price
$5.04
Change
-0.08 -1.50%
Market cap ?
$10.11B
P/E ?
-10.36
Forward P/E ?
60.04
Dividend yield ?
0.00%
Beta ?
2.70
Sector
Technology
Industry
Software - Application
Stocklytics score
64
Value
58
Quality
34
Growth
100

Stocklytics score rationale: value 58, quality 34, growth 100.

Financials

2019202020212022202320242025
1960100008200000068000000003000000

Aurora Innovation, Inc. is a U.S.-based company specializing in autonomous driving technology. Its primary focus involves creating the Aurora Driver, an advanced platform that integrates various self-driving hardware components, software systems, and data services. This comprehensive solution is engineered to enable and unify autonomous capabilities across diverse vehicle types, including passenger automobiles…

Fair value

AUR fair value $1.41. Price $5.04. Price is 257% above fair value.

Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.

Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 780.25K. Growth 20.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 12.00% (beta 2.0). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 2.00B. Net debt -65.00M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, kept between 8 and 40. Fewer than five years of history uses the sector's typical P/E. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.

Model uncertainty high for this stock

Compare AUR

Earnings

DateEPS actualEPS estimateRevenueRevenue estimate
2026-10-28—-0.12—2.99M
2026-07-29-0.14-0.122.00M1.66M
2026-05-06-0.11-0.121.00M966.80K
2026-02-11-0.12-0.121.00M1.69M
2025-10-28-0.11-0.121.00M1.47M
2025-07-30-0.11-0.121.00M1.02M
2025-05-08-0.12-0.11—150.00K
2025-02-12-0.11-0.11—266.67K
2024-10-30-0.13-0.11—1.58M
2024-07-31-0.12-0.13——
2024-05-08-0.11-0.14——
2024-02-14-0.13-0.15——
2023-11-01-0.13-0.15——
2023-08-02-0.18-0.1721.00M—
2023-05-03-0.17-0.17—250.00K
2023-02-15-0.25-0.172.00M250.00K
2022-11-02-0.17-0.202.90M3.00M
2022-08-03-0.14-0.1820.73M15.00M
2022-05-04-0.07-0.1842.00M21.00M
2022-02-16-0.28-0.1226.94M44.40M
2021-11-15-0.12—55.60M—
2021-10-12-0.16———
2021-05-15-0.17———
2020-12-31-0.09—233.91M—
2020-09-30-0.48———
2020-06-30-0.38———
2020-03-31-0.32———

Dividends

Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency —.

Safety score 37/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. No dividend history was found. There is no dividend yield.

Ex-dateDividendRecordPaymentFrequency
No data yet.

Insider trades

DateInsiderActionSharesPriceValue
2026-10-01Wehner David M.Buy2.41K——
2026-10-01Bagley BrittanyBuy3.42K——
2026-09-15Uber Technologies, IncSell29.37M$6.21182.24M
2026-08-20Fisher OssaSell70.28K$6.20435.74K
2026-08-20Maday DavidSell54.41K$6.20337.35K
2026-08-20WEBB SHELLEYSell41.70K$6.20258.53K
2026-08-17Volpi MichelangeloSell2.80M$7.0019.61M
2026-08-17Volpi MichelangeloBuy2.80M$7.0019.61M
2026-08-17Volpi MichelangeloSell42.64K$7.00298.64K
2026-08-17Volpi MichelangeloBuy42.64K$7.00298.64K
2026-08-17Volpi MichelangeloSell42.64K$7.00298.64K
2026-08-17Uber Technologies, IncSell72.00M$6.55471.60M
2026-08-13Volpi MichelangeloSell22.16K$7.01155.33K
2026-08-13Volpi MichelangeloSell338$7.012.37K
2026-08-13Volpi MichelangeloBuy22.16K$7.01155.33K
2026-08-13Volpi MichelangeloBuy338$7.012.37K
2026-08-13Volpi MichelangeloSell338$7.012.37K
2026-08-12Volpi MichelangeloSell14.69K$7.00102.85K
2026-08-12Volpi MichelangeloSell224$7.001.57K
2026-08-12Volpi MichelangeloBuy14.69K$7.00102.85K
2026-08-12Volpi MichelangeloBuy224$7.001.57K
2026-08-12Volpi MichelangeloSell224$7.001.57K
2026-08-11Volpi MichelangeloSell1.42M$6.999.93M
2026-08-11Volpi MichelangeloBuy1.42M$6.999.93M
2026-08-11Volpi MichelangeloSell21.63K$6.99151.25K
2026-08-11Volpi MichelangeloBuy21.63K$6.99151.25K
2026-08-11Volpi MichelangeloSell21.63K$6.99151.25K
2026-08-10Volpi MichelangeloSell34.18K$7.00239.28K
2026-08-10Volpi MichelangeloSell520$7.003.64K
2026-08-10Volpi MichelangeloBuy34.18K$7.00239.28K
2026-08-10Volpi MichelangeloBuy520$7.003.64K
2026-08-10Volpi MichelangeloSell520$7.003.64K
2026-08-10Volpi MichelangeloSell908.78K——
2026-08-07Volpi MichelangeloSell1.51M——
2026-08-07Volpi MichelangeloBuy1.51M——
2026-08-07Volpi MichelangeloSell23.01K——
2026-08-07Volpi MichelangeloBuy23.01K——
2026-08-07Volpi MichelangeloSell27.81K$7.05196.15K
2026-08-05Volpi MichelangeloSell177.09K$7.071.25M
2026-08-05Volpi MichelangeloSell2.70K$7.0719.08K
2026-07-01Bagley BrittanyBuy3.24K——
2026-06-11Wehner David M.Buy82.50K$6.04498.30K
2026-06-02Uber Technologies, IncSell67.50M$7.10479.25M
2026-05-28Hoffman ReidSell60.12K$7.27437.30K
2026-05-21Caimi LaraBuy73.09K——
2026-05-21Caimi LaraOther0——
2026-05-21Bagley BrittanyBuy36.55K——
2026-05-21Hoffman ReidBuy36.55K——
2026-05-21Boyland Gloria R.Buy36.55K——
2026-05-21Donahoe John JBuy36.55K——
2026-05-21Wehner David M.Buy36.55K——
2026-05-20Fisher OssaSell70.28K$6.94487.75K
2026-05-20Maday DavidSell54.41K$6.94377.62K
2026-05-20WEBB SHELLEYSell41.70K$6.94289.38K
2026-05-18Hoffman ReidSell312.88K$7.512.35M
2026-05-18Hoffman ReidSell17.38K$7.51130.46K
2026-05-15Hoffman ReidSell4.95M$7.8138.64M
2026-05-15Hoffman ReidSell274.93K$7.812.15M
2026-04-01Bagley BrittanyBuy4.85K——
2026-03-23Fisher OssaBuy436.92K——
2026-03-23WEBB SHELLEYBuy436.92K——
2026-03-23WEBB SHELLEYBuy200.00K$4.38876.00K
2026-03-23Maday DavidBuy655.38K——
2026-03-13Wehner David M.Buy51.25K——
2026-02-27Wehner David M.Other0——
2026-02-27Wehner David M.Other0——
2026-02-20WEBB SHELLEYSell29.18K$4.86141.83K
2026-02-20Fisher OssaSell60.80K$4.86295.46K
2026-02-20Maday DavidSell39.14K$4.86190.24K
2026-01-02Bagley BrittanyBuy4.97K——
2025-12-31Maday DavidSell79.87K——
2025-12-31Maday DavidBuy79.87K——
2025-12-30Maday DavidSell79.87K——
2025-12-30Maday DavidBuy79.87K——
2025-12-16Urmson ChristopherBuy258.00K——
2025-12-16Urmson ChristopherSell258.00K——
2025-11-25Urmson ChristopherBuy258.00K$3.881.00M
2025-11-20WEBB SHELLEYSell83.25K$3.83318.83K
2025-11-20Fisher OssaSell59.53K$3.83228.02K
2025-11-20Maday DavidSell51.53K$3.83197.36K
2025-10-31Hoffman ReidBuy6.34M——
2025-10-31Hoffman ReidBuy352.43K——
2025-10-31Hoffman ReidSell352.43K——
2025-09-30Bagley BrittanySell50.00K$5.39269.68K
2025-08-20Fisher OssaSell59.53K$5.98356.02K
2025-08-20Maday DavidSell51.53K$5.98308.15K
2025-08-06Donahoe John JBuy162.34K$6.10989.46K
2025-06-06Boyland Gloria R.Sell46.10K$5.92272.67K
2025-05-30Donahoe John JBuy63.75K——
2025-05-22Donahoe John JOther0——
2025-05-22Boyland Gloria R.Buy31.88K——
2025-05-22Hoffman ReidBuy31.88K——
2025-05-22Bhatt ShailenBuy31.88K——
2025-05-22Bagley BrittanyBuy31.88K——
2025-05-22Johnson Claire D'Oyly-HughesBuy31.88K——
2025-05-20Urmson ChristopherSell12.62K——
2025-05-20Maday DavidSell51.53K$6.28323.59K
2025-05-20Fisher OssaSell59.53K$6.28373.88K
2025-05-20Uber Technologies, IncSell0——
2025-05-12Fisher OssaSell13.14K$7.2895.65K

Institutional holders

Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.

Institutions holding: 489, holders +50 vs prior quarter. Ownership 86.33%.

HolderSharesChangeChange %Value
T. ROWE PRICE INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, INC.299.42M7.45M+2.55%2.04B
UBER TECHNOLOGIES, INC258.47M-67.50M-20.71%1.76B
MORGAN STANLEY213.92M21.47M+11.16%1.46B
VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC83.37M-5.36M-6.04%568.59M
CAPITAL RESEARCH GLOBAL INVESTORS83.05M312.17K+0.38%566.39M
CAPITAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTORS77.64M77.64MNew529.49M
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC69.72M762.81K+1.11%475.46M
BLACKROCK, INC.68.47M6.23M+10.00%466.97M
BAILLIE GIFFORD & CO55.18M-18.08M-24.68%376.35M
BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/23.52M-6.52M-21.71%160.38M
STATE STREET CORP22.92M1.29M+5.98%156.33M
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC22.86M119.37K+0.52%155.97M
D. E. SHAW & CO., INC.22.37M-6.89M-23.53%152.60M
JUPITER TOPCO LLC18.22M18.22MNew124.21M
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC16.53M25.75K+0.16%112.74M
XN LP15.45M15.45MNew105.35M
DAIWA SECURITIES GROUP INC.14.37M14.37MNew98.00M
SB INVESTMENT ADVISERS (UK) LTD14.28M-5.53M-27.93%97.38M
UBS GROUP AG12.59M5.74M+83.74%85.85M
MIRAE ASSET GLOBAL ETFS HOLDINGS LTD.12.53M358.57K+2.95%85.48M
SIXTH STREET PARTNERS MANAGEMENT COMPANY, L.P.11.94M11.94MNew81.40M
CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC11.94M71.93K+0.61%81.40M
GHISALLO CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC11.91M11.91MNew81.20M
FOXHAVEN ASSET MANAGEMENT, LP11.55M820.94K+7.65%78.80M
DURABLE CAPITAL PARTNERS LP10.89M9.40M+632.78%74.27M

Insights

Revenue by product
PeriodValue
Q2 2025Reportable Segment: 5000000.0
Q1 2026Reportable Segment: 5000000.0
Q2 2026Reportable Segment: 7000000.0

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Aurora Innovation (AUR) Stock Insights

AUR$5.04-0.08 -1.50%

$10.11B

Market Cap

-10.36

P/E

60.04

Forward P/E

64

Score

Price History