Birkenstock (BIRK) Stock Insights
$5.63B
Market Cap
16.11
P/E
12.86
Forward P/E
70
Score
BIRK price $31.63 -0.63 -1.96%
Stocklytics score rationale: value 71, quality 68, growth 71.
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 728548000 | 962125000 | 1242833000 | 1491911000 | 1804690000 | 2097429000 |
Birkenstock Holding plc specializes in the creation and distribution of various foot-related products. While renowned for its extensive collection of footwear, which includes sandals, shoes, and closed-toe designs, the company also expands its offerings to encompass skincare items and accessories. These products are made available to customers through a diverse range of channels, including its own online retail…
BIRK fair value $80.24. Price $31.63. Price is 61% below fair value.
Below fair value, and cheaper than usual. A larger discount than on 98% of days in the past 5 years.
Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.
Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 283.87M. Growth 20.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 11.45% (beta 1.3). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 177.89M. Net debt 980.36M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, kept between 8 and 40. Fewer than five years of history uses the sector's typical P/E. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.
Model uncertainty high for this stock
| Date | EPS actual | EPS estimate | Revenue | Revenue estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | 0.86 | 0.86 | 821.74M | 816.95M |
| 2026-05-13 | 0.59 | 0.69 | 714.40M | 716.62M |
| 2026-02-12 | 0.31 | 0.31 | 472.04M | 471.91M |
| 2025-12-18 | 0.60 | 0.42 | 616.47M | 613.14M |
| 2025-08-14 | 0.70 | 0.70 | 747.72M | 749.79M |
| 2025-05-15 | 0.58 | 0.58 | 629.61M | 613.79M |
| 2025-02-20 | 0.19 | 0.16 | 374.56M | 570.85M |
| 2024-12-18 | 0.32 | 0.29 | 499.85M | 488.65M |
| 2024-08-29 | 0.49 | 0.52 | 607.25M | 606.41M |
| 2024-05-30 | 0.41 | 0.36 | 520.03M | 502.96M |
| 2024-02-29 | 0.09 | 0.10 | 333.14M | 375.72M |
| 2024-01-18 | 0.14 | 0.15 | 395.93M | 375.72M |
| 2023-09-15 | 0.46 | — | 516.13M | — |
| 2023-03-31 | -0.13 | — | 184.03M | — |
| 2023-01-30 | 0.36 | — | 493.21M | — |
| 2022-09-30 | 0.31 | — | 314.07M | — |
| 2022-06-30 | 0.32 | — | 396.09M | — |
| 2022-03-31 | 0.50 | — | 382.57M | — |
| 2021-12-31 | -0.05 | — | 229.61M | — |
Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency —.
Safety score 37/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. No dividend history was found. There is no dividend yield.
| Ex-date | Dividend | Record | Payment | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No data yet. | ||||
| Date | Insider | Action | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | Pitcher Anne | Buy | 2.27K | — | — |
| 2026-10-01 | Kennedy Ruth Anne Francis | Buy | 2.27K | — | — |
| 2026-10-01 | Kumar Nisha | Buy | 2.27K | — | — |
| 2026-08-17 | Chu James Michael | Sell | 28.15M | $39.18 | 1.10B |
| 2026-06-08 | Bouyakhf Mehdi Nico | Sell | 30.00K | $43.50 | 1.30M |
| 2026-06-05 | Bouyakhf Mehdi Nico | Sell | 60.00K | $42.07 | 2.52M |
| 2026-04-29 | Arnault Alexandre | Buy | 1.62K | — | — |
| 2026-04-29 | Arnault Alexandre | Sell | 690 | $37.50 | 25.88K |
| 2026-04-29 | Arnault Alexandre | Sell | 1.62K | — | — |
| 2026-04-29 | Kumar Nisha | Buy | 1.62K | — | — |
| 2026-04-29 | Kumar Nisha | Sell | 690 | $37.50 | 25.88K |
| 2026-04-29 | Kumar Nisha | Sell | 1.62K | — | — |
| 2026-04-29 | Kennedy Ruth Anne Francis | Buy | 1.62K | — | — |
| 2026-04-29 | Kennedy Ruth Anne Francis | Sell | 744 | $37.50 | 27.90K |
| 2026-04-29 | Kennedy Ruth Anne Francis | Sell | 1.62K | — | — |
| 2026-04-29 | Pitcher Anne | Buy | 1.62K | — | — |
| 2026-04-29 | Pitcher Anne | Sell | 325 | $37.50 | 12.19K |
| 2026-04-29 | Pitcher Anne | Sell | 1.62K | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | Chu James Michael | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | Thukral Nikhil | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | Baumann Klaus | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | Baum Markus | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | Arnault Alexandre | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | Arnault Alexandre | Other | 1.62K | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | Pitcher Anne | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | Pitcher Anne | Other | 1.62K | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | Bach Volker | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | Reichert Oliver | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | Krolo Ivica | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | Kahan David | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | Heesch Christian | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | Gutzy Jochen | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | Bouyakhf Mehdi Nico | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | Kennedy Ruth Anne Francis | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | Kennedy Ruth Anne Francis | Other | 1.62K | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | Kumar Nisha | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | Kumar Nisha | Other | 1.62K | — | — |
Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.
Institutions holding: 267, holders +14 vs prior quarter. Ownership 91.98%.
| Holder | Shares | Change | Change % | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CATTERTON MANAGEMENT COMPANY, L.L.C. | 99.42M | 0 | 0.00% | 4.28B |
| BAMCO INC /NY/ | 14.74M | 5.37M | +57.37% | 634.25M |
| T. ROWE PRICE INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, INC. | 9.28M | -2.53M | -21.45% | 399.43M |
| DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP | 4.65M | 598.02K | +14.77% | 200.00M |
| MASSACHUSETTS FINANCIAL SERVICES CO /MA/ | 4.13M | 948.46K | +29.82% | 177.74M |
| WILLIAM BLAIR INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, LLC | 2.87M | 290.49K | +11.28% | 123.32M |
| FMR LLC | 2.79M | -2.26M | -44.76% | 119.92M |
| UBS GROUP AG | 2.69M | 391.94K | +17.02% | 115.96M |
| NORGES BANK | 2.18M | 2.18M | New | 93.76M |
| MORGAN STANLEY | 2.15M | -354.95K | -14.17% | 92.49M |
| WESTFIELD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT CO LP | 1.97M | -371.66K | -15.89% | 84.65M |
| GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC | 1.66M | 775.41K | +87.39% | 71.55M |
| SWEDBANK AB | 1.60M | 0 | 0.00% | 68.85M |
| AMERICAN CENTURY COMPANIES INC | 1.39M | -171.74K | -10.99% | 59.83M |
| BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/ | 1.15M | 381.02K | +49.79% | 49.32M |
| LUNATE CAPITAL LTD | 1.01M | 1.01M | New | 43.46M |
| UBS GROUP AG | 1.00M | -1.30M | -56.58% | 43.03M |
| ANOMALY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LP | 936.37K | -478.87K | -33.84% | 40.29M |
| PRIMECAP MANAGEMENT CO/CA/ | 910.10K | 312.90K | +52.39% | 39.16M |
| BLACKROCK, INC. | 879.31K | -153.02K | -14.82% | 37.84M |
| CANADA PENSION PLAN INVESTMENT BOARD | 857.75K | -654.07K | -43.26% | 36.91M |
| J. GOLDMAN & CO LP | 789.00K | 789.00K | New | 33.95M |
| ARTISAN PARTNERS LIMITED PARTNERSHIP | 754.95K | -102.36K | -11.94% | 32.49M |
| MEDIOLANUM INTERNATIONAL FUNDS LTD | 717.85K | 717.85K | New | 31.16M |
| PRICE T ROWE ASSOCIATES INC /MD/ | 696.97K | -1.28M | -64.78% | 29.99M |
Insights · Dividends · Forecast · Financials · Learn
$5.63B
Market Cap
16.11
P/E
12.86
Forward P/E
70
Score